New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



2020
2016
New Jersey's 7th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 2, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Leonard Lance (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in New Jersey
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+3
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
New Jersey's 7th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
New Jersey elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Former Obama State Department official Tom Malinowski (D) defeated U.S. Rep. Leonard Lance (R), Diane Moxley (G), and Gregg Mele (Freedom, Responsibility, Action) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent New Jersey's 7th Congressional District.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Although Lance, who was first elected in 2008, won re-election from 2012 to 2016 by more than 10 percentage points, the district voted for Hillary Clinton (D) by 1 percentage point in the 2016 presidential election.[1] Heading into the election, forecasters called the seat a toss-up.

New Jersey's 7th Congressional District is located in the northwestern portion of the state and includes Hunterdon County and portions of Essex, Morris, Somerset, Union, and Warren counties.[2]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 7

Tom Malinowski defeated incumbent Leonard Lance, Diane Moxley, and Gregg Mele in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 7 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/TOM_MALINOWSKI.jpg
Tom Malinowski (D)
 
51.7
 
166,985
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Leonard_Lance.jpg
Leonard Lance (R)
 
46.7
 
150,785
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Diane.jpg
Diane Moxley (G)
 
0.8
 
2,676
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Gregg_Mele.jpg
Gregg Mele (Freedom, Responsibility, Action Party)
 
0.7
 
2,296

Total votes: 322,742
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 7

Tom Malinowski defeated Peter Jacob and Goutam Jois in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 7 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/TOM_MALINOWSKI.jpg
Tom Malinowski
 
66.8
 
26,172
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Peter_Jacob.jpg
Peter Jacob
 
19.1
 
7,503
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Goutam_Jois.jpg
Goutam Jois
 
14.1
 
5,507

Total votes: 39,182
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 7

Incumbent Leonard Lance defeated Lindsay Brown and Raafat Barsoom in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 7 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Leonard_Lance.jpg
Leonard Lance
 
74.9
 
24,934
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/lindsaybrown2-min.jpg
Lindsay Brown
 
14.4
 
4,795
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RaafatBarsoom1.jpg
Raafat Barsoom
 
10.7
 
3,556

Total votes: 33,285
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Leonard Lance, U.S. representative from NJ-7
Leonard Lance.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: United States House of Representatives (assumed office: 2009), New Jersey State Senate (2003-2009), New Jersey General Assembly (1991-2003)

Biography: Lance was born in Easton, Pennsylvania. He earned a B.A. from Lehigh University in 1970, a J.D. from Vanderbilt University in 1974, and an M.P.A. from Princeton University in 1982. He worked as the assistant counsel for county and municipal matters to Governor Thomas H. Kean (R). He served as minority leader of the New Jersey State Senate from 2004 to 2008.[3]

Key messages
  • Lance said he was a moderate conservative who believed the country should be governed from the center. He highlighted his membership in the Problem Solvers Caucus and said he was a bipartisan problem solver.[4]
  • Lance said he was a fiscal and limited government conservative, pointing to his legislation aimed at addressing the federal deficit, lowering taxes, and decreasing regulations on business.[4][5]
  • Lance said Malinowski would be too liberal for the district and that Democratic leadership would allow for higher taxes, more expensive healthcare, and a weakened U.S.-Israeli relationship.[6]



Tom Malinowski, former Department of State official
Tom malinowski.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Malinowski came to the United States from Poland when he was six. After receiving a Rhodes Scholarship, he served on President Bill Clinton's National Security Council, worked for Human Rights Watch, and was the Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor in Barack Obama's administration.[7]

Key messages
  • Malinowski highlighted his career as a diplomat and human rights advocate, saying he stood up to Russian leader Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un and worked with both parties to oppose the George W. Bush administration's policy on torture.[8][9]
  • Malinowski said he wanted to stand up for the New Jersey middle class by restoring the property tax deduction and protecting Social Security and Medicare. He opposed the Trump administration's healthcare and tax policies, saying they would benefit the rich at the expense of the middle class.[8][9]
  • Malinowski said that Lance was a typical politican who enriched himself in office and was not prepared to stand up to Trump.[8]


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
New Jersey's 7th Congressional District, general election
Poll Poll sponsor Tom Malinowski (D) Leonard Lance (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Siena College
(October 28-31)
New York Times 47%39%14%+/-4.6503
Monmouth University (likely voters)
(October 25-29)
N/A 47%44%9%+/-7.3356
Siena College
(September 17-21)
New York Times 44%45%11%+/-4.8504
Monmouth University (likely voters)
(September 13-17)
N/A 46%43%11%+/-7.2414
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(June 20-25)
Malinowski campaign 47%45%8%+/-4.4500
AVERAGES 46.2% 43.2% 10.6% +/-5.66 455.4
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Leonard Lance Republican Party $2,650,511 $2,747,583 $63,170 As of December 31, 2018
Tom Malinowski Democratic Party $6,306,928 $6,246,479 $60,450 As of December 31, 2018
Gregg Mele Freedom, Responsibility, Action Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Diane Moxley Green Party $5,731 $5,229 $501 As of November 26, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[10][11][12]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • The New York Hotel and Motel Trades Council targeted Lance and five other Republican members of Congress in New York and New Jersey in a $2 million negative ad campaign.[17]
  • No Labels had spent $70,000 supporting Leonard Lance as of September 10.[13]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[18]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[19][20][21]

Race ratings: New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesToss-upTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Jersey's 7th Congressional District the 215th most Republican nationally.[22]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[23]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.



Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Malinowski (D) Lance (R)
Elected officials
Former President Barack Obama (D)[24]
Former New Jersey Gov. Thomas Kean (R)[25]
Organizations
Giffords[26]
The Laborers’ International Union of North America[27]
The New York and New Jersey State Conference of the Transport Workers Union of America[28]
Newspapers
The New York Times[29]
The Courier News[30]
The Daily Record[30]
Home News Tribune[30]
New Jersey Star-Ledger[31]

Timeline

  • October 31, 2018: A New York Times/Siena College poll found Malinowski with 47 percent and Lance with 39 percent. The margin of error was 4.6 percentage points.
  • October 31, 2018: A Monmouth University poll found Malinowski with 47 percent and Lance with 44 percent. The margin of error was 7.2 percentage points.
  • October 30, 2018: The Laborers’ International Union of North America endorsed Lance.
  • October 20, 2018: The New York Times endorsed Malinowski.
  • October 17, 2018: Lance and Malinowski met in a debate hosted by NJTV. Read more below.
  • October 15, 2018: Tom Malinowski reported raising $2.3 million in the third quarter of 2018. Leonard Lance reported raising $562,000.[46]
  • October 9, 2018: House Majority PAC launched a $1 million television ad campaign opposing Lance.[15]
  • October 9, 2018: The New York Hotel and Motel Trades Council targeted Lance and five other Republican members of Congress in New York and New Jersey in a $2 million negative ad campaign.
  • September 22, 2018: Sen. Cory Booker (D) campaigned for Malinowski, joining him for a rally in Cranford.[47]
  • September 21, 2018: A poll conducted by the New York Times and Siena College found Lance leading Malinowski 45-44. The margin of error was 4.8 percentage points.
  • September 20, 2018: A Monmouth University poll of likely voters showed Malinowski leading Lance 46-43. The margin of error was 7.2 percentage points.
  • September 17, 2018: The Defending Main Street Super PAC, an affiliate of the Republican Main Street Partnership, spent $75,000 supporting Lance.
  • September 14, 2018: The Congressional Leadership Fund disclosed $210,000 in spending to oppose Malinowski.
  • August 23, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee made a $1.2 million ad buy to support Malinowski, beginning September 18 and running through until the general election.
  • May 10, 2018: The New Jersey Building and Construction Trades Council, which historically supports Democratic candidates, endorsed Lance.[48]
  • April 18, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee named Malinowski to its Red to Blue program, giving him access to fundraising and additional support.[49]

Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Tom Malinowski

Support
"Good Life" - Malinowski campaign ad, released October 18, 2018
"Grateful" - Malinowski campaign ad, released September 12, 2018
"He Stood Up to Dictators. He'll Stand Up for Us." - Malinowski campaign ad, released August 3, 2018
"A Contract" - Malinowski campaign ad, released June 7, 2018
"At Risk" - Malinowski campaign ad, released June 7, 2018
Oppose
"Different" - CLF campaign ad, released October 17, 2018
"Safe" - CLF campaign ad, released September 27, 2018
"Working" - CLF campaign ad, released September 6, 2018
"Tax Cheat Tom" - Malinowski campaign ad, released September 4, 2018
"Lifelong Progressive Democrat" - Lance campaign ad, released July 19, 2018
"Different" - CLF campaign ad, released August 16, 2018

Republican Party Leonard Lance

Support
"Proven Leader" - Lance campaign ad, released August 28, 2018

Oppose

"Hurt" - DCCC ad, released October 18, 2018
"Leonard Lance Pretends To Be With Us" - Malinowski campaign ad, released October 17, 2018
"Family Tradition" - House Majority PAC campaign ad, released October 9, 2018
"Sixty Times" - Malinowski campaign ad, released October 3, 2018
"Times Changed" - DCCC ad, released September 24, 2018
"Debate" - House Majority PAC campaign ad, released August 28, 2018
"Ordinary" - Malinowski campaign ad, released August 14, 2018

Debates and forums

Oct. 17 NJTV debate

On October 17, Lance and Malinowski met in a debate hosted by NJTV, New Jersey’s public television network.[50] The topics they discussed included Lance's record in Congress, healthcare policy, and the civility of American politics.

Read the following roundups of the debate:

"New Jersey 7th Congressional District Debate Leonard Lance vs Tom Malinowski" - October 17, 2018

Media coverage

  • Tom Moran, NJ.com (March 25, 2018): Rep. Leonard Lance wants us to know that Donald Trump and he have nothing in common and might even be bred from different species of animals. 'My personality is vastly different than Donald Trump's,' Lance says. 'I don't think I'm high on his list. And I hope that in America we are judged by our own actions.' What you are hearing is the sound of a blue-state Republican running for his life as a tidal wave bears down on him. Last week, the race was officially declared a toss-up by the Cook Political Report.
Lance has voted with Trump on 88 percent of the bills that have crossed his desk, but he's abandoned ship on the two biggest ones. He voted against the tax bill, and against the repeal of Obamacare. And he hopes those votes will save him. 'I have voted against his policies,' he says.
Lance is part of a vanishing breed in American politics, a moderate Republican from a gentler era, a buffalo in the age of the railroad. During his decade in Congress, he has beaten back angry challenges from the Tea Party over and over, and now he faces fury from the opposite direction. So, go ahead, feel sorry for the guy if you must. He's caught in a trap. But know this: Trump wants Lance to win this race. And if your top priority is to stop Trump, then logic demands that you work to stop Lance."[51]

Campaign themes

Republican Party Leonard Lance

Lance’s campaign website stated the following:

MEET LEONARD LANCE

Leonard Lance record in Congress includes fighting for a strong national defense, a secure border, spending cuts and lower taxes, American-made energy and job-creating policies to get our economy going again.

CREATING JOBS & STRENGTHENING OUR ECONOMY

Leonard Lance record in Congress includes fighting for a strong national defense, a secure border, spending cuts and lower taxes, American-made energy and job-creating policies to get our economy going again. Leonard Lance voted for fiscally responsible proposals that will bring growth, prosperity and certainty to our economy. And Lance has voted for proposals that lift bureaucratic hurdles, red tape, and cost burdens that have hurt New Jersey’s small businesses.

FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY

Leonard Lance voted for a federal balanced budget amendment to the U.S. Constitution and is the author of the Lance Amendment to the New Jersey State Constitution that prohibits further state borrowing without voter approval. Leonard Lance has always fought against wasteful government spending, opposing the $1 trillion stimulus, the 9,000-earmark omnibus spending bill and President Obama's $3.6 trillion budget. And Lance was one of the first Republicans to reject earmarks and authored legislation to repeal the wasteful ethanol subsidy.

REAL HEALTH CARE REFORM

As a member of the House Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee, Leonard Lance is leading the fight for real Health Care Reform with sensible measures that include allowing insurance to be sold across state lines, improving health savings accounts (HSAs), establishing Association Health Plans (AHP) insurance pools and enacting real medical malpractice reform.

AMERICAN-MADE ENERGY

As New Jersey's only Republican member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Leonard Lance is committed to an “all-of-the-above” American-made energy policy to help bring down fuel prices, create more jobs and reduce our dependence on foreign energy. Four times Leonard Lance voted to approve the Keystone XL pipeline that will bring secure energy to America, support the creation of thousands of jobs, and help bring down prices at the pump.

IMMIGRATION

Leonard Lance opposes amnesty, supports securing our borders first and requiring businesses to use the E-Verify background check system.

TRANSPORTATION ISSUES

Leonard Lance voted for the highway transportation law that will ensure important construction projects continue moving forward while keeping more than 700,000 construction workers on the job. Leonard Lance also supported the bipartisan water resources legislation that is critically important to more than 20,000 Garden State jobs and directly contributes $3.4 billion to our state’s economy.

LOWER TAXES FOR NEW JERSEY

Leonard Lance voted to lower taxes for 99 percent of New Jersey taxpayers, voted to cut business taxes by 20 percent and cosponsored legislation to repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Leonard Lance is one of Congress' leading advocates for elimimating the "death tax. Leonard Lance supports a tax reform plan that calls for a simpler, flatter and fairer tax system that will restore economic opportunity and prosperity to our Nation's economy. Leonard Lance voted to protect American businesses from overly burdensome environmental regulations, including twice casting his vote against President Obama’s national energy tax proposal.

NO BAILOUTS; REJECT TOO-BIG-TO-FAIL

Leonard Lance voted against the TARP bailout bill. Leonard Lance voted to rein in housing giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and cosponsored legislation to audit the Federal Reserve. Leonard Lance voted against the disastrous Dodd-Frank financial reform bill that codified "too-big-to-fail" and created a permanent federal bailout authority paid for by the taxpayers. [52]

—Leonard Lance’s campaign website (2018)[53]

Democratic Party Tom Malinowski

Malinowski’s campaign website stated the following:

Affordable Healthcare for All
I have fought for human rights all my life, and I believe that every American has a right to affordable healthcare. It is cruel to force families to choose between life saving treatment for their children and avoiding bankruptcy, as we did before passage of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). There’s no reason for America to remain the only country in the world where people know – and dread – the term “pre-existing condition.” And we can’t build an innovation economy if people feel they can’t leave a job to start a new business or pursue an invention without losing healthcare.

DEFEND THE AFFORDABLE CARE ACT The ACA was not perfect, but it made things better. The uninsured rate decreased by half; essential benefits like maternity care were guaranteed; mental health coverage vastly expanded; children could stay on their parents’ insurance plans until they were 26; and no American could be denied health care because of a pre-existing condition.

My opponent, Congressman Lance, voted to repeal affordable healthcare 19 different times. He voted to another 45 times to take out essential elements of the ACA. That is an undeniable pattern of partisan behavior in which Lance turned his back on the families he is supposed to represent.

And now, the Trump administration and Republican leadership in Congress are sabotaging the ACA: by repealing the individual mandate, which ensures that the costs of insurance are widely and equitably shared; by ending payments to insurance companies that keep the cost of insurance down; by promoting junk insurance plans that leave out essential health services and attacking protections for those with pre-existing conditions.

We’re already seeing the consequences: insurance companies are leaving ACA exchanges due to uncertainty about the marketplace and the expectation that fewer healthy people will be covered, and the cost of healthcare for everyone – especially seniors and those who need it most – is going up. In New Jersey, monthly premiums for a Silver Plan are up 16% since 2016, and will rise even more without the individual mandate. Meanwhile, the sabotage of the ACA has not saved taxpayers money – in fact, the increase in direct-to-consumer subsidies by the federal government (a result of ending cost-sharing subsidies to insurance companies) is predicted to increase the deficit by $194 billion.

I will work to stop the assault on healthcare in America. We need to move forward, not backward – fixing what was wrong with the Affordable Care Act, and building on its advances to achieve, once and for all, universal and affordable healthcare.

EVERYONE SHOULD BE COVERED We would not accept a system that forces only bad drivers to have car insurance or only irresponsible homeowners to have fire insurance – because everyone suffers misfortunes, and the only way to keep costs down is to ask everyone to pay into the pool. Health insurance is no different. I would support restoring the health insurance mandate nationally, just as we are doing in New Jersey; that will encourage younger and healthier people to get preventive care, and stop insurance rates from skyrocketing for older Americans and for those with serious health conditions. I also would support paying the cost-sharing subsidies that allow insurance companies to provide affordable coverage to those in need while saving taxpayers money.

STOP DISCRIMINATION AGAINST WOMEN’S HEALTHCARE NEEDS I will work to ensure we fund reproductive health programs, for the sake of women, men, and families. I support and am proud to be endorsed by Planned Parenthood, which provides basic healthcare to millions of women in New Jersey, and has contributed to historic reductions in teen pregnancies and the spread of infectious disease. I will support access to contraceptives, and defend the progress the Affordable Care Act made by requiring insurers to provide women contraceptive coverage. I believe in a woman’s right to choose when, if, and how to start a family.

I also oppose the Trump administration’s effort to push through junk insurance plans, which won’t cover basic services like maternity care, mental health, and prescription drugs. It will create two parallel insurance markets in America, with substandard care for one group of Americans, and unaffordable care for another.

NO ONE SHOULD BE PUNISHED FOR A PRE-EXISTING CONDITION We cannot go back to the days when children born with congenital heart disease could be denied affordable coverage for essential treatment, or when women faced higher premiums because they were pregnant. In the 7th congressional district, over 330,000 people under age 65 have what insurance companies consider a pre-existing condition: everything from high blood pressure and high cholesterol, to past incidence of cancer or a heart attack, to being pregnant. They could be denied health insurance or see premiums spike if the Trump-backed legal challenge to protections for pre-existing conditions succeeds. We should not wait for that case to go through the courts, since the uncertainty it creates will further destabilize the health insurance marketplace. Congress must reaffirm these protections now.

A Fair Deal for New Jersey Workers
NEW JERSEY NEEDS TO BE AN EASIER PLACE TO LIVE FOR WORKING FAMILIES.

Affordability is out of control in our district – but we can do more to ease that burden by implementing worker protections that ensure incomes keep pace with the cost of living, families are supported, and all people are guaranteed a safe workplace free from discrimination.

Strong wage protections for women. Governor Murphy enshrined equal pay for equal work into law with the Diane B. Allen Equal Pay Act, requiring for enhanced equal pay protections for all public employees in the state of New Jersey. I support efforts to pass and enforce similar laws on the national level, and explore mechanisms to ensure that the same protections are enforceable in the private sector.

Fighting for paid family leave. Starting a family or caring for a sick parent should not jeopardize a person’s economic future. The United States is the only industrialized nation in the world that does not guarantee paid parental leave which has been proven to have overwhelming positive health and developmental impacts for the child, improved health outcomes for the mother, and increased economic security for both parents.

To live in New Jersey, workers need to earn a living wage – and New Jersey has been leading the fight for $15. Our district has among the highest costs of living in the country, with a survival wage for a single working adult of $13.78 per/hr, in the least expensive parts of the state. Low wages trap our workers in a cycle of poverty that limits their ability to advance their economic futures, provide for their families and grow our economy. That’s why I will be a strong fighter for a $15 minimum wage nationally.

Empowering our unions. Our workers must be permitted to bargain on an even playing field. In Congress I will fight against the Conservative attack on collective bargaining rights in this country to ensure that New Jersey’s laborers can take control of their own futures.

Workplace Safety and Worker Misclassification. Too many workers have been injured or killed on the job because of loose or neglected safety regulations. This needs to end. Ending worker misclassification is a big step towards this ultimate goal. I am committed to fighting back against the underground economy that’s crippling New Jersey’s construction industry and leading to unskilled workers on unsafe job sites. According to a recent Stockton University study, worker misclassification could be costing union shops as much as $16 billion annually and has led to a dramatic increase in job site accidents. I will work to strengthen the state’s ability to identify and punish misclassification and other forms of wage theft. Stronger enforcement means more highly skilled workers on safer job sites, better wages, and a better environment for our building trades unions.

Protecting the Prevailing Wage. Paying our workers the wage they deserve means more highly skilled workers, safer job sites, safer buildings, and projects far more likely to finish on time and on budget. Labor accounts for less than a quarter of construction costs in New Jersey. Balancing our budget on the backs of our workers doesn’t make sense for New Jersey and I will be the first and loudest voice in the House opposing any effort to undermine prevailing wage.

Protecting Our National Security
I’VE SPENT MUCH OF MY CAREER WORKING IN THE U.S. STATE DEPARTMENT AND THE NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL TO KEEP AMERICA STRONG, SAFE, AND RESPECTED.

For decades under presidents of both parties, America has built alliances with countries that share our democratic values and that have helped us prevent war, build prosperity and solve global problems. President Trump is turning his back on those alliances and on the ideals that underpin them. In Congress, I will be a strong voice for preserving principled American leadership around the world.

We must maintain a strong military to deter potential adversaries, but also strong diplomacy so that we don’t have to use our military all of the time. I will support our State Department and our front line diplomats, making sure they have the funding they need to do their jobs.

I will champion trade policies that are fair to American workers and businesses, and tough on countries like China that violate the rules of the global trading system. But I oppose starting trade wars with our closest allies, which cost American jobs and make goods more expensive for American consumers, while threatening the friendships and alliances that keep us safe.

I will insist that we keep our commitments to NATO and maintain sanctions on Russia until it stops its aggression in Ukraine and interference in our democracy. Russia should be readmitted to the G-7, and its government afforded the respect it craves, only when its behavior changes.

I believe the United States must continue to stand by Israel, and that we should work with our allies to maintain pressure on Iran to dismantle its nuclear program, while increasing pressure to stop Iran’s support for terrorism and missile development. Our policy should be to isolate Iran, not ourselves -- a break with our allies on this issue endangers both America and Israel.

I will urge deterrence, sanctions and diplomacy to achieve the denuclearization of North Korea, and make sure we keep funding an effort that I ran at the State Department to spread information to the North Korean people.

Congress has abdicated its responsibility to authorize and oversee military operations overseas. I will do my part to provide that oversight, insisting that our counterterrorism efforts are focused on real threats to the United States and our closest allies, consistent with American values, and reinforced by programs that win friends, rather than merely killing enemies.

I will work to keep America a force for good in the world, aligned with countries that share our belief in defending human rights and fighting corruption, not with the dictators whom Trump envies and praises.

Protecting the Environment
I WANT TO PRESERVE THE NATURAL BEAUTY OF OUR STATE FOR THE HIKERS, FISHERS, HUNTERS AND TOURISTS WHO CHERISH IT, AND TO KEEP OUR AIR, WATER AND SOIL SAFE AND CLEAN. I ALSO BELIEVE THAT OUR ECONOMIC FUTURE DEPENDS ON CLEAN ENERGY.

Congressman Lance has joined Tea Party Republicans to allow coal companies to dump waste in our rivers and streams and oil companies to pollute our atmosphere, while opposing sensible safeguards against climate change. That’s bad for our health, and for our economy, as China races to overtake us in electric cars and solar power.

I believe that climate change is real, and in the overwhelming scientific consensus that it is exacerbated by human activity. I support the Paris Climate Change Agreement and want the federal government to work with states to meet the voluntary commitments America made to reduce our emissions. I strongly oppose subsidies and other policies that artificially prop up fossil fuel industries, which hurt the environment and make no economic sense. I want America to lead the world to a clean energy future, and I want New Jersey to lead America.

To that end, I oppose the PennEast and Pilgrim pipelines – two projects that would pose immediate threats to farmland and landowners in the 7th district, to residential communities, EPA Sole Source aquifers, and more. I would also support legislation that would require the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to receive more public input before approving pipeline projects and measure environmental impact in a more rigorous way, unlike Leonard Lance – who voted in 2013 to speed up the natural gas pipeline approval process. New Jersey should be leading the charge on the environment by developing our burgeoning solar energy industry, not placing our health at risk by using old and unsafe energy sources.

I oppose offshore drilling – especially on the Jersey Shore. When hard working New Jersey families take a weekend off, we should not be greeted by the sight of oil rigs on the horizon, or have to cancel our plans last minute because of a leak. If we build anything off our coast, it should be windmills producing clean, reliable and safe energy for our state.

I will also support funding for the Environmental Protection Agency, and defend its scientists from political appointees who seek to censor their research or punish them for doing their jobs. We should be basing environmental policy in America on science, not ideology.

Breaking the NRA
It is a little-known fact that the first mass shooting in United States history occurred in New Jersey.

ON SEPTEMBER 6, 1949, AFTER BEING THE SUBJECT OF NUMEROUS PETTY SQUABBLES AND PERCEIVED SLIGHTS, HOWARD BARTON UNRUH, A WORLD WAR II VETERAN, WALKED THROUGH A NEIGHBORHOOD IN CAMDEN CALLED CRAMER HILL AND MURDERED THIRTEEN PEOPLE. THIS INCIDENT BECAME KNOWN AS THE WALK OF DEATH.

Currently, there are approximately 13,000 firearm homicides each year. Fifty women are shot to death by intimate partners each month. Seven children and teenagers are killed every day. This is not a problem that other countries face; our homicide rate is twenty-five times higher than the average industrialized country around the world. We have heard from military veterans who know better than most the dangers of giving weapons of war to civilians. We have heard from police officers, the true “good guys with a gun,” that they are tired of being outgunned in our neighborhoods. We have heard from our children that they don’t want to be afraid at school, or at the movies, or at the mall. We have heard from responsible gun owners who believe in the right to bear arms, but who also recognize that firearm ownership should be regulated no less than driving a car or drinking a beer.

We may not be able to stop gun violence in its entirety. But we have shown in New Jersey that common sense gun safety laws are consistent with the Second Amendment and can make violence more rare. As a Moms Demand Action “Gun Sense Candidate,” I am proud to offer the following proposals to strengthen our gun laws and make our communities safer:

ASSAULT WEAPONS BAN The Assault Weapons Ban (“AWB”) was in place from 1994 to 2004 and prohibited domestic firearm manufacturers from producing military-style assault rifles like the AR-15, as well as ammunition magazines that held more than ten rounds, unless ordered for police or military use. Many of these weapons of war are equipped with the capacity for modifications that give them full automatic capabilities, as well as high-capacity magazines. The AWB led to a 66 percent decrease in crimes resulting from an assault weapon. These types of weapons have been featured prominently in the mass shootings that have come to be a hallmark of the twenty first century. They have characteristics well suited to a military battlefield—the ability to deliver a large number of high velocity, devastatingly lethal rounds in a short period of time—but which are not needed for legitimate civilian uses, such as hunting or protecting a home. I strongly support renewing the ban nationwide, as well as reinforcing the ban that exists in New Jersey – something that our judicial system has repeatedly ruled would be consistent with the Second Amendment.

MINIMUM AGE FOR PURCHASING A FIREARM The NRA believes that if you’re 17, you’re old enough to own an AR-15, but not old enough to express an opinion about AR-15 ownership. New Jersey is already leading the way regarding keeping guns out of the hands of minors, with Assemblyman Roy (LD16) having proposed legislation that would raise the minimum age for purchasing any firearm in New Jersey to 21. I believe that New Jersey should serve as a role model to other states, and that this legislation should be enacted nationwide. One in five murders involves an assailant under 21 years old. Delaying the purchase of a firearm an additional 3 years would have a dramatic impact on gun deaths.

NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION We must face the difficult reality that all of these efforts will be tough to pass until we elect representatives who will stand up to the National Rifle Association. The NRA gun lobby can no longer claim to be an organization that represents responsible gun owners in America, most of whom support sensible measures to reduce gun violence in our country. It promotes virulent, divisive anti-government propaganda that borders on incitement to violence, and accepts massive amounts of dark money from anonymous –and sometimes foreign– donors, to attack any political candidate who seeks to find common ground on gun safety issues. I will never accept NRA campaign donations, or be bullied by their lobbying efforts. I am running for the U.S. House of Representatives to protect and fight for you, not the NRA nor the gun manufacturers that it represents.

CONCEALED WEAPONS I am strongly opposed to the Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act of 2017, which would allow residents of states with weak gun safety laws to carry their concealed weapons in states like New Jersey, completely overriding the laws we’ve passed to protect our citizens. I agree with the International Association of Chiefs of Police (“IACP”), which represents 18,000 police departments across the United States, and which recently published a letter signed by 473 police officials from 39 states urging Congress to reject this legislation.

UNIVERSAL BACKGROUND CHECKS The Gun Control Act of 1968 requires that individuals “engaged in the business” of selling firearms must possess a Federal Firearms License (“FFL”). If you hold an FFL, you are required to conduct background checks through the National Instant Background Check system (NICS) and maintain a record of all firearm sales. There are exemptions, however, that allow sales between private individuals to occur without a background check, which is often referred to as the “Gun Show Loophole.” This is a dangerous loophole, allowing people who would never pass a background check because they clearly pose a threat to public safety to purchase firearms. In fact, the Islamic State terrorist organization has encouraged its followers in the United States to buy weapons at guns shows, specifically because it is so easy.

GUN VIOLENCE RESTRAINING ORDERS I support laws that allow family members, law enforcement officers, and other concerned individuals to petition a court to remove a person’s firearms if they are acting in ways that suggest a risk to themselves or to others. After many mass shootings, people close to the perpetrators reported previous disturbing behavior, but felt that if they had informed the authorities, nothing could be done, because a crime had not yet been committed. Federal prohibitions already exist to limit access to firearms for those citizens under permanent restraining orders, and I support state-level expansions to cover those with temporary restraining orders. This would be particularly helpful in protecting intimate partners and family members who have sought out the protection of temporary restraining orders in cases involving domestic abuse.

ARMOR-PIERCING AMMUNITION I support legislation that will prohibit the ownership of armor-piercing ammunition, in addition to existing legislation which prohibits its sale. It is important that the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (“ATF”) has put in place both regulations defining armor-piercing ammunition and performance-based testing to determine whether a manufacturer has created such ammunition. There is zero reason why any reasonable gun owner should need ammunition designed to pierce a police officer’s body armor.

BODY ARMOR The proliferation of body armor protection has made it immeasurably more difficult for law enforcement officials to do their job. We should prohibit the acquisition, sale, or transfer of body armor to anyone except those who are required by the duties of their job to protect the public, such as police officers or members of the military, as well as other, limited circumstances, like journalists or humanitarian workers visiting war zones.

FIREARM PURCHASE WAITING PERIOD The National Instant Check Background System (“NICS”) has not eliminated the need for a firearm purchase waiting period. Studies have shown that such a period sometimes allows both homicidal and suicidal individuals to “cool off” and reconsider their actions, and would decrease the number of suicides by firearm. As such, I support a mandatory national five-day waiting period, regardless of the method of purchase, before an individual can purchase a handgun.

TRAFFICKING/FIREARMS TRACING Because of the Tiahrt Amendment, the National Tracing Center cannot release information from its databases to anyone other than law enforcement agencies or prosecutors when it's relevant to a criminal investigation. As a result, gun trace data cannot be used in academic research of gun use in crime, nor is it admissible in civil lawsuits. This Amendment significantly limits the ability of our nation’s law enforcement agencies to combat the sale of illegal guns, especially through municipal police departments. I strongly support repealing the Tiahrt Amendment, which weakens law enforcement’s ability to trace illegal firearms. We must close this loophole by mandating universal background checks in all situations. This would involve opening NICS to sales between private sellers for a nominal fee and increasing federal funding to ensure uniformity of both criminal and mental health updates to the system. Congress must appropriate this funding as mandatory spending, rather than leaving the Executive Branch discretion to decide whether it is spent at all.

Conclusion There are many pieces to the gun crisis puzzle. These include prohibiting high-capacity magazines, encouraging safe gun technology, repealing the Dickey Amendment, which prohibits the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) from conducting research that may be used to advocate or promote gun reform, expanding mental health treatment and barring sales to the mentally ill, barring sales to domestic abusers, restricting Internet gun sales of kits used to make/modify guns, etc.

None of these on their own will stop all gun deaths. But as we place reasonable limits on other potentially dangerous activities, including driving, smoking, and drinking, we must also ensure that we protect an individual’s Second Amendment rights while also protecting everyone’s right to life.

Tax Reform: Repeal & Replace
THE TAX LAW THAT THE REPUBLICAN CONGRESS PASSED IN 2017 WAS A DELIBERATE ATTACK ON STATES LIKE NEW JERSEY, WHERE WE HAVE CHOSEN TO HAVE BETTER SCHOOLS FOR OUR KIDS AND SERVICES FOR OUR CITIZENS.

Eliminating deductibility of state and local and property taxes will cost middle class families in New Jersey dearly, and has already resulted in a loss of property values in our state. New Jerseyans already get only 72 cents back from the federal government for every dollar we send to Washington (the worst of any state); the tax law makes that problem even worse.

The GOP tax law was also an act of economic malpractice: it will add $2 trillion to our national debt, largely to give the wealthiest Americans and corporations a tax break, which they have used mostly to reward their investors, not their employees. That’s $2 trillion we will not have to build infrastructure, or to relieve college debt, or to stimulate the economy during the next recession, or to pay down the debt when growth is strong. And Republicans are already threatening to pay for this scam by cutting Social Security and Medicare — which we must not allow to happen.

I will work to repeal the GOP tax law and replace it with fiscally responsible tax reform. New tax legislation must preserve middle class tax deductions like the State and Local Tax deduction (SALT), which prevented us from being double-taxed on our state payments, close corporate and special interest loopholes, bring home money stashed in foreign tax shelters, and avoid ballooning the deficit. A great New Jersey Senator, Bill Bradley, worked with Ronald Reagan to pass that kind of tax reform 30 years ago, and we can do it again. Support for such an effort will be one of my main demands of anyone who wants my vote for Speaker of the House.

Commuter Infrastructure
MILLIONS OF NEW JERSEYANS USE OUR ROADS AND RAIL LINES TO GET TO WORK EVERY DAY; OUR ECONOMY DEPENDS ON KEEPING THESE ARTERIES STATE-OF-THE-ART, AS WELL AS ON IMPROVING THE AIR AND SEA PORTS THAT MAKE OUR STATE A HUB OF NATIONAL AND GLOBAL COMMERCE.

Allowing our infrastructure to fall into disrepair increases our commute times and costs, and endangers our economic future.

As a member of Congress, I will have no more urgent priority than securing the investments we need to build and maintain the roads, bridges, railways and tunnels that New Jersey and America need to preserve our quality of life and competitiveness.

In particular, we need to fund the Gateway project. This tunnel is vital for the economic well-being of the 7th district and our region, and should be viewed as an economic and national security priority by the federal government. I will work with Democrats and Republicans in Congress who know that critical infrastructure is a non-partisan issue to ensure that Washington keeps its commitment to fund Gateway. And if the Trump administration refuses to do its part, I will fight to hold up funding for its highest priorities until it relents.

I will also work to obtain the resources and political commitments required to allow commuters using the Raritan Valley Line to ride into NYC without having to change trains, and to extend it further into the 7th district. Time spent commuting is a cost of living, whether it means buying food each night rather than cooking dinner, or having to spend more money to make sure someone is watching your kids, or simply the loss of time relaxing with our families.

Immigration
WHEN I WAS SIX YEARS OLD, MY MOTHER AND I LEFT COMMUNIST POLAND AND SETTLED IN NEW JERSEY. WE CAME HERE FOR THE PROMISE OF A BETTER LIFE AND OF A COUNTRY WHERE THOSE WITH POWER WEREN’T ALLOWED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THOSE WITHOUT AT A WHIM.

Sometimes I wonder what it would be like if today, 46 years later, federal agents came to my door and deported me to a country I no longer know -- because of something my parents did when I was a small child, or because the president was just feeling particularly vindictive that day. This is the predicament that DREAMers and DACA recipients face.

I would support bipartisan, comprehensive immigration reform which provides funds to better secure the border, encourages legal immigration that will strengthen our economy, create a tough but fair process to bring unauthorized immigrants out of the shadows, and strengthens employment verification.

I fully support the extension of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, because by any common measure, DREAMers are Americans. They grew up in America; they pay taxes; they have started businesses; they have served in our military; and if deported they would be forced to start entirely new lives in countries they have never known.

I strongly oppose the Trump Administration’s policy of separating children from their families at the border. There is nothing unlawful about approaching a customs officer and asking for asylum from repression or violence; to punish people for doing so by taking away their children is heartless and lawless. I would oppose using a single cent of taxpayer money to fund the practice of family separation by ICE.

I believe a border wall would be a harmful symbol of America shutting itself off from the world and a waste of money -- anyone with a ladder can get over a wall and most illegal immigration these days results from people overstaying visas, not from crossing the border.

Unlike Congressman Lance, I have consistently opposed the Trump administration’s ban on travel from Muslim majority countries and closing the door to refugees coming to America. These policies hurt our national security by alienating allies who are fighting with us against terrorism and are inconsistent with our values as Americans.

And finally, I support granting additional protections for domestic and farm workers. Many of these jobs are taken by immigrants on work visas. This leaves these workers vulnerable to exploitation from their employers, who can threaten deportation if these law abiding immigrants speak out against low wages or abhorrent work conditions. Abuse of migrant workers also keeps wages artificially low for all workers.

Corruption
THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE BEING TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF – BY POWERFUL SPECIAL INTERESTS, INCLUDING FOREIGN INTERESTS, WHO ARE THREATENING OUR PROSPERITY AND OUR SECURITY.

Our lax rules against corruption allow corporate lobbyists to bend government to their will, politicians to profit from public service, and hostile foreign leaders to undermine our democracy. We have seen this under Scott Pruitt’s polluter-friendly Environmental Protection Agency. We saw how influence peddlers for foreign countries were allowed to run the 2016 Republican presidential campaign – without disclosing their foreign task-masters. We see corruption driving up the cost of everything from real estate, to our utility bills to our national defenses. The next Congress must act to restore trust in our institutions, protect our democracy, and take the fight for clean and honest government to the foreign autocrats and kleptocrats who threaten our country.

Unlike Congressman Lance, I have pledged not to take campaign contributions from corporate PACs. I strongly support a Constitutional Amendment to overturn the Supreme Court’s decision in Citizen United, making clear that corporations are not people and do not have a right to spend unlimited funds to elect the candidates of their choice. And I would work to pass the bipartisan DISCLOSE Act, to require outside groups like the NRA trying to influence elections to report their contributors and their spending.

Whether you’re a drug trafficker laundering your profits, or a Russian oligarch making secret campaign contributions, or the president’s lawyer paying off a porn star, you should not be able to hide your tracks by establishing an anonymously owned company on American soil. When I was at the State Department, I urged the Congress to pass a bill requiring disclosure of the true owners of companies registered in the United States. As a member of Congress, I’ll work to ensure that happens.

As a candidate, I am maintaining an archive on this website containing every ad I run online so that everyone can see them, not just those targeted by the ads. In Congress, I’ll support the Honest Ads Act, to require online companies to keep a public registry of political ads and to disclose who pays for them, and a law to prevent online “bots” from impersonating human beings.

I support codifying ethics rules enforced by past administrations -- to prevent conflicts of interest and forbid former special interest lobbyists from regulating the industries they served. I believe presidents should be required to fully divest themselves of profit-making businesses, to disclose their tax returns, and to abide by the same rules as other government officials.

Defending Democracy
AMERICANS DISAGREE ABOUT MANY THINGS. BUT WE SHOULD AGREE THAT IT’S WRONG FOR OUR PRESIDENT TO PRAISE WHITE SUPREMACISTS WHILE DENIGRATING THE PATRIOTIC CITIZENS DEMONSTRATING AGAINST THEM; TO INSULT JUDGES, CIVIL SERVANTS, GOLD STAR PARENTS, AND THE BRAVE MEN AND WOMEN OF OUR INTELLIGENCE AND LAW ENFORCEMENT COMMUNITIES; OR TO FIRE AN FBI DIRECTOR FOR TRYING TO MAINTAIN THE INDEPENDENCE OF HIS INSTITUTION.

All of us, whether we’re Democrats, Republicans or Independents, should defend our Constitution, freedom of speech and of the press, the integrity of our democracy, and the idea that America is one country, where we respect every person no matter their race, religion, sexual orientation, gender identity or country of origin.

As a member of Congress, I will fight to protect the democratic institutions that keep us free and hold our leaders accountable, and defend the women and men who serve America as members of the armed forces, diplomats, and civil servants. I will support the independence of the Justice Department and the FBI against partisan attacks, and insist that no one in America is above the law.

I will oppose policies and statements meant to divide Americans based on who we are, where we come from, or whom we love, whether President Trump’s current travel and refugee ban, or his effort to kick transgender Americans out of the military. I will continue to support LGBTQ rights by fighting to extend federal anti-discrimination laws to cover gender identity and sexual orientation.

I will encourage our law enforcement agencies to pay proper attention to all extremists who use violence in America, including white supremacist militias, and our leaders to combat antisemitism and Islamophobia at home and abroad

I will oppose voter suppression and partisan gerrymandering. Our government should do everything possible to make it easier for Americans to exercise their right to vote.

I will champion legislation in the Congress to safeguard our democracy from malign foreign interference, including by better securing voting machines and registration records, combating malicious online propaganda, and preventing dark money from abroad from corrupting our politics.

[52]

—Tom Malinowski’s campaign website (2018)[54]

Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Tom Malinowski Facebook

Republican Party Leonard Lance Facebook

Republican district won by Hillary Clinton

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Republican and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[55] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.

Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.


2018 election results in Republican-held U.S. House districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 2nd Republican Party Martha McSally Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick D+9.5 Clinton+4.9 Romney+1.5
California's 10th Republican Party Jeff Denham Democratic Party Josh Harder D+2.6 Clinton+3.0 Obama+3.6
California's 21st Republican Party David Valadao Democratic Party TJ Cox D+0.8 Clinton+15.5 Obama+11.1
California's 25th Republican Party Steve Knight Democratic Party Katie Hill D+6.4 Clinton+6.7 Romney+1.9
California's 39th Republican Party Ed Royce Democratic Party Gil Cisneros D+1.4 Clinton+8.6 Romney+3.7
California's 45th Republican Party Mimi Walters Democratic Party Katie Porter D+1.6 Clinton+5.4 Romney+11.8
California's 48th Republican Party Dana Rohrabacher Democratic Party Harley Rouda D+5.8 Clinton+1.7 Romney+11.7
California's 49th Republican Party Darrell Issa Democratic Party Mike Levin D+7.4 Clinton+7.5 Romney+6.7
Colorado's 6th Republican Party Mike Coffman Democratic Party Jason Crow D+11.2 Clinton+8.9 Obama+5.1
Florida's 26th Republican Party Carlos Curbelo Democratic Party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell D+1.8 Clinton+16.1 Obama+11.5
Florida's 27th Republican Party Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Democratic Party Donna Shalala D+6.0 Clinton+19.7 Obama+6.7
Illinois' 6th Republican Party Peter Roskam Democratic Party Sean Casten D+5.6 Clinton+7.0 Romney+8.2
Kansas' 3rd Republican Party Kevin Yoder Democratic Party Sharice Davids D+9.1 Clinton+1.2 Romney+9.5
Minnesota's 3rd Republican Party Erik Paulsen Democratic Party Dean Phillips D+11.4 Clinton+9.4 Obama+0.8
New Jersey's 7th Republican Party Leonard Lance Democratic Party Tom Malinowski D+4.7 Clinton+1.1 Romney+6.2
New York's 24th Republican Party John Katko Republican Party John Katko R+6.3 Clinton+3.6 Obama+15.9
Pennsylvania's 1st Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick[56] Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick R+2.6 Clinton+2.0 Obama+2.6
Pennsylvania's 5th Republican Party Pat Meehan[57] Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon D+30.2 Clinton+28.2 Obama+27.7
Pennsylvania's 6th Republican Party Ryan Costello[58] Democratic Party Chrissy Houlahan D+17.6 Clinton+9.3 Obama+3.2
Pennsylvania's 7th Republican Party Charlie Dent[59] Democratic Party Susan Wild D+11.3 Clinton+1.1 Obama+7.0
Texas' 7th Republican Party John Culberson Democratic Party Lizzie Pannill Fletcher D+5.0 Clinton+1.4 Romney+21.3
Texas' 23rd Republican Party Will Hurd Republican Party Will Hurd R+0.5 Clinton+3.4 Romney+2.6
Texas' 32nd Republican Party Pete Sessions Democratic Party Colin Allred D+6.3 Clinton+1.9 Romney+15.5
Virginia's 10th Republican Party Barbara Comstock Democratic Party Jennifer Wexton D+12.4 Clinton+10.0 Romney+1.6
Washington's 8th Republican Party David Reichert Democratic Party Kim Schrier D+6.2 Clinton+3.0 Obama+1.6


Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections..

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Two of 21 New Jersey counties—9.5 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Gloucester County, New Jersey 0.48% 10.77% 12.16%
Salem County, New Jersey 15.00% 1.31% 3.92%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Jersey with 55.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 41.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic 46.67 percent of the time and Republican 53.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic all five times.

District election history

2016

See also: New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Leonard Lance (R) defeated Peter Jacob (D), Dan O'Neill (L), and Arthur Haussmann Jr. (Conservative) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Lance defeated Craig Heard and David Larsen in the Republican primary, while Jacob faced no opposition for the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on June 7, 2016. Lance won re-election in the November 8 election.[60][61]

U.S. House, New Jersey District 7 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLeonard Lance Incumbent 54.1% 185,850
     Democratic Peter Jacob 43.1% 148,188
     Libertarian Dan O'Neill 1.6% 5,343
     Conservative Arthur Haussmann Jr. 1.2% 4,254
Total Votes 343,635
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections


U.S. House, New Jersey District 7 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngLeonard Lance Incumbent 53.9% 31,807
David Larsen 32.9% 19,425
Craig Heard 13.2% 7,774
Total Votes 59,006
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections


2014

See also: New Jersey's 7th Congressional District elections, 2014
U.S. House, New Jersey District 7 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLeonard Lance Incumbent 59.3% 104,287
     Democratic Janice Kovach 38.8% 68,232
     Libertarian Jim Gawron 2% 3,478
Total Votes 175,997
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Jersey heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

  • As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 14 state executive positions. The other nine positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
  • The governor of New Jersey was Democrat Phil Murphy.

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the New Jersey State Legislature. They had a 54-26 majority in the state Assembly and a 25-15 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • New Jersey was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party held the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state Assembly.

2018 elections

See also: New Jersey elections, 2018

New Jersey held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for New Jersey
 New JerseyU.S.
Total population:8,935,421316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):7,3543,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:68.3%73.6%
Black/African American:13.5%12.6%
Asian:9%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:19%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:88.6%86.7%
College graduation rate:36.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$72,093$53,889
Persons below poverty level:12.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Jersey.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, New Jersey had a population of approximately 9 million people, and its three largest cities were New Jersey (pop. est. 283,000), Jersey City (pop. est. 265,000), and Paterson (pop. est. 147,000).[62][63]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Jersey every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey 2000-2016[64]
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 55.5% Republican Party Donald Trump 41.4% 14.1%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 58.4% Republican Party Mitt Romney 40.6% 17.8%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 57.2% Republican Party John McCain 41.7% 15.5%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 52.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 46.2% 6.7%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 56.1% Republican Party George W. Bush 40.3% 15.8%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), New Jersey 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014[65] Democratic Party Cory Booker 55.8% Republican Party Jeff Bell 42.3% 13.5%
2012[66] Democratic Party Bob Menendez 58.9% Republican Party Joseph Kyrillos 39.4% 19.5%
2008[67] Democratic Party Frank Lautenberg 56.0% Republican Party Dick Zimmer 42.0% 14.0%
2006[68] Democratic Party Bob Menendez 53.3% Republican Party Thomas Kean Jr. 44.3% 9.0%
2002[69] Democratic Party Frank Lautenberg 53.9% Republican Party Doug Forrester 44.0% 9.9%
2000[70] Democratic Party Jon Corzine 50.1% Republican Party Bob Franks 47.1% 3.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2001-2017

This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2001 and 2017. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Jersey, and, unlike most states, they take place in odd years.

Election results (Governor), New Jersey 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2017[71] Democratic Party Phil Murphy 56.0% Republican Party Kim Guadagno 41.9% 14.1%
2013[72] Republican Party Chris Christie 60.3% Democratic Party Barbara Buono 38.2% 22.1%
2009[73] Republican Party Chris Christie 48.5% Democratic Party Jon Corzine 44.9% 3.6%
2005[74] Democratic Party Jon Corzine 53.5% Republican Party Doug Forrester 43.0% 10.5%
2001[75] Democratic Party Jim McGreevey 56.4% Republican Party Bret Schundler 41.7% 14.7%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Jersey in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, New Jersey 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016[76] Republican Party 5 41.7% Democratic Party 7 58.3% D+2
2014[65] Republican Party 6 50.0% Democratic Party 6 50.0% Even
2012[66] Republican Party 6 50.0% Democratic Party 6 50.0% Even
2010[77] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2008[67] Republican Party 5 38.5% Democratic Party 8 61.5% D+3
2006[68] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2004[78] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2002[69] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2000[70] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1

Trifectas, 1992-2018

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2024
Thirteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R S S D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Assembly R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D


,

See also

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 20, 2017
  2. New Jersey Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
  3. Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "LANCE, Leonard, (1952 - )," accessed October 16, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 Leonard Lance for Congress, "Home," accessed September 15, 2018
  5. Leonard Lance for Congress, "Voting Record," accessed October 4, 2018
  6. YouTube, "Lifelong Progressive Democrat," July 19, 2018
  7. Tom Malinowski for Congress, "A few words," accessed September 15, 2018
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 YouTube, "Tom Malinowski," accessed September 15, 2018
  9. 9.0 9.1 Tom Malinowski for Congress, "Home," accessed September 15, 2018
  10. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  11. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  12. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  13. 13.0 13.1 13.2 ProPublica, "NJ-07 Outside Spending," accessed September 14, 2018
  14. Politico, "DCCC makes moves on LANCE — MURPHY threatens suit after feds block SALT workaround — Governor to veto plastic bags bill," August 24, 2018
  15. 15.0 15.1 House Majority PAC, "HMP Launches $20 Million Media Blitz in 13 Districts," October 9, 2018
  16. Daily Kos, "Morning Digest: Daily Kos Elections upgrades Texas Senate race from Likely to Lean Republican," September 25, 2018
  17. Politico, "Limo crash puts spotlight on regulations — HTC flexes muscle in House midterm elections — DAVID PATERSON for Public Advocate?" October 9, 2018
  18. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  20. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  21. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  22. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  23. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  24. Twitter, "Barack Obama on August 1, 2018"
  25. New Jersey Globe, "Gov. Kean wants Lance back in Congress," November 3, 2018
  26. Leonard Lance for Congress, "Giffords Endorses Lance," August 17, 2018
  27. Insider NJ, "The Laborers Backs Lance in CD-7,"October 30, 2018
  28. Insider NJ, "Transport Workers Back Malinowski in CD-7," October 30, 2018
  29. The New York Times, "Candidates Who Can Help Take Back the House," October 20, 2018
  30. 30.0 30.1 30.2 New Jersey Globe, "Malinowski endorsed by Courier News, Daily Record, Home News Tribune," October 29, 2018
  31. NJ.com, "A moderate like Lance is neutered in Trump's GOP. Malinowski for Congress in NJ-7 | Editorial," October 26, 2018
  32. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos elections live digest: 12/19," December 19, 2017
  33. 33.0 33.1 33.2 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Poage
  34. Linda Weber for Congress, "Springfield Township Committeeman Christopher Capodice Endorses Linda Weber for Congress in New Jersey’s 7th District," March 2, 2018
  35. 35.0 35.1 Linda Weber for Congress, "Former Summit Councilman-At-Large Richard Sun and Former Union County Prosecutor Ted Romankow Endorse Technology and Finance Trailblazer Linda Weber for Congress in New Jersey’s 7th District," January 22, 2018
  36. Facebook, "Tom Malinowski for Congress on January 24, 2018," accessed January 25, 2018
  37. 37.0 37.1 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named union
  38. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ECU
  39. Insider NJ, "In Hunterdon, Malinowski wins the line," February 4, 2018
  40. Insider NJ, "Weber beats Malinowski for the Somerset County Democratic Line," January 25, 2018
  41. Linda Weber for Congress, "NATIONAL EDUCATION LEADER DIANE RAVITCH AND THE NETWORK FOR PUBLIC EDUCATION ACTION ENDORSE LINDA WEBER FOR CONGRESS IN THE 7TH DISTRICT OF NEW JERSEY," June 28, 2017
  42. 42.0 42.1 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named jacobendorsements
  43. Jois for Congress, "Civil Rights Pioneers endorse Goutam Jois for Congress," January 22, 2018
  44. Facebook, "Tom Malinowski for Congress on January 19, 2018," accessed January 25, 2018
  45. 45.0 45.1 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named weberwithdraw
  46. New York Times, "Democrats Are Outraising G.O.P. Incumbents in New York and New Jersey House Races," October 16, 2018
  47. TAP into, "Senator Booker Visits Cranford to Rally for Malinowski," September 24, 2018
  48. Insider NJ, "New Jersey Building and Construction Trades Council Endorses Lance," May 10, 2018
  49. The Hill, "House Dems add five candidates to ‘Red to Blue’ program," April 18, 2018
  50. NJTV, "NJTV TO HOST FOUR POLITICAL DEBATES THIS OCTOBER AT ITS NEWARK STUDIO," accessed October 9, 2018
  51. NJ.com, "Leonard Lance, facing anti-Trump wave, is in grave danger," March 25, 2018
  52. 52.0 52.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  53. Leonard Lance for Congress, “Issues,” accessed September 14, 2018
  54. Tom Malinowski for Congress, “Issues,” accessed September 14, 2018
  55. This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  56. The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
  57. The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
  58. The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
  59. The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
  60. New Jersey Division of Elections, "Candidates for House of Representatives for Primary Election 6/7/2016," accessed April 5, 2016
  61. New Jersey Secretary of State, "Candidates for House of Representatives," accessed September 7, 2016
  62. United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts New Jersey," March 27, 2018
  63. World Population Review, "Population of Cities in New Jersey (2018)," accessed March 27, 2018
  64. US Election Atlas, "United States Presidential Election Results," accessed March 27, 2018
  65. 65.0 65.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2014 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  66. 66.0 66.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2012 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  67. 67.0 67.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2008 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  68. 68.0 68.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2006 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  69. 69.0 69.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2002 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  70. 70.0 70.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2000 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  71. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2017 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  72. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2013 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  73. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2009 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  74. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2005 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  75. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2001 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  76. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2016 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  77. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2010 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  78. New Jersey Secretary of State, "2004 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018



Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
Vacant
District 11
District 12
Democratic Party (10)
Republican Party (3)
Vacancies (1)