Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: Oct. 17 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Kansas' 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 1, 2018 |
Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Kevin Yoder (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Kansas |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Lean Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Kansas elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Attorney Sharice Davids (D) defeated incumbent Rep. Kevin Yoder (R) and teacher Chris Clemmons (L) in the general election for Kansas' 3rd Congressional District on November 6, 2018.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Yoder was re-elected in 2016 by 10 points. The district backed the Republican presidential nominees in 2008 and 2012 before flipping blue for Hillary Clinton (D), who won it by 1 percentage point in 2016.[1]
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee included the district in its list of targets for 2018.[2] On October 3, 2018, The Washington Post named the race one of 15 seats most likely to flip.[3]
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Kansas District 3
Sharice Davids defeated incumbent Kevin Yoder and Chris Clemmons in the general election for U.S. House Kansas District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Sharice Davids (D) | 53.6 | 170,518 | |
Kevin Yoder (R) | 43.9 | 139,762 | ||
Chris Clemmons (L) | 2.5 | 8,021 |
Total votes: 318,301 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Kansas District 3
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kansas District 3 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Sharice Davids | 37.3 | 23,379 | |
Brent Welder | 33.8 | 21,190 | ||
Tom Niermann | 14.3 | 8,939 | ||
Mike McCamon | 7.0 | 4,354 | ||
Sylvia Williams | 4.7 | 2,955 | ||
Jay Sidie | 2.9 | 1,790 |
Total votes: 62,607 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Reggie Marselus (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Kansas District 3
Incumbent Kevin Yoder defeated Trevor Keegan and Joe Myers in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kansas District 3 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kevin Yoder | 68.1 | 53,130 | |
Trevor Keegan | 18.7 | 14,574 | ||
Joe Myers | 13.2 | 10,268 |
Total votes: 77,972 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
Party: Libertarian
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Clemmons received a bachelor's degree in geology and education from Kansas University and a master's degree in curriculum and instruction from Concordia University. He was a Libertarian candidate for the U.S. House to represent Kansas' 2nd Congressional District in 2014. As of the election, he had worked as a science teacher in Kansas public schools.[4][5]
- Clemmons said he supported constitutional rights and personal liberties as well as non-aggression in foreign policy. He described himself as a fiscal conservative supporting balanced budgets.[6][7]
- Clemmons said he has run for political office as a Libertarian because he "became frustrated with both parties, as they seemed to have many of the same objectives: bigger budgets, more regulation, more war, less freedoms."[6]
- Clemmons said he was not a career politician and that he would not accept campaign contributions over $100.[7][8]
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Davids earned her B.A. in business administration from the University of Missouri-Kansas City in 2007 and her J.D. from Cornell Law School in 2010.[9] Davids' career experience includes working as a White House Fellow in the Department of Transportation, as chair of the board of directors of Twelve Clans, Inc. for the Ho-Chunk Nation and as deputy director for the Thunder Valley Community Development Corporation on the Pine Ridge Indian Reservation.[10]
- Davids campaigned on an economic platform that included a tax cut for the middle class, incentivizing health care benefits for small businesses, and creating a childcare tax credit.[11]
- Davids believed climate change should be addressed immediately and believed Kansas is uniquely poised to capitalize on wind energy, saying the region has some of the highest wind production potential in the world. Davids supported tax incentives that promote wind and similar energy sources.[11]
- Davids' healthcare strategy included the continued expansion of Medicaid and enabling Medicare to negotiate drug prices.[12]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. House Kansas District 3 (Assumed office: 2011), Kansas State House of Representatives (2003-2011)
Biography: Yoder earned his B.A. and J.D. at the University of Kansas in 1999 and 2002, respectively. Yoder worked as a special assistant in the U.S. Department of Defense's Office of Counternarcotics in 2001. In 2002 Yoder was elected to represent the 20th House District in the Kansas State Legislature where he chaired the House Appropriations Committee. Yoder was first elected to represent the 3rd Congressional District in 2010. As of 2018 Yoder served on the Agriculture and Financial Services Subcommittees and as the chairman of the Homeland Security Subcommittee on Appropriations.[13]
- Yoder highlighted his efforts to secure a budget increase for the National Institutes of Health to find cures to diseases. In 2016 Yoder said, “This will be a top priority in the next Congress.” He also said he had voted "to restore choice and competition in the private health insurance marketplace."[14][15]
- Yoder touted the Email Privacy Act, a bill he authored that he said would "force government agents to get a warrant before searching the contents of your emails."[14]
- Yoder emphasized security in his campaign messaging, citing bills he authored to strengthen border security and guard against international threats, as well as a vote for the largest increase in military spending since the start of the war on terror.[16]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, Davids (D) v. Yoder (R) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Davids (D) | Yoder (R) | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||||||
New York Times/Siena College October 14-17, 2018 | 48% | 39% | 11% | +/-4.7 | 504 | ||||||||||||||
New York Times/Siena College September 20-23, 2018 | 51% | 43% | 6% | +/-4.7 | 494 | ||||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 49.5% | 41% | 8.5% | +/-4.7 | 499 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, Davids (D) v. Yoder (R) v. Clemens (L) | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Davids (D) | Yoder (R) | Clemens (L) | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
Emerson College September 26-28, 2018 | 47% | 41% | 2% | 10% | +/-6.4 | 246 | |||||||||||||
Davids Campaign/Global Strategy Group August 13-15, 2018 | 46% | 43% | 4% | 7% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 46.5% | 42% | 3% | 8.5% | +/-5.65 | 323 | |||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Yoder | Republican Party | $4,655,830 | $4,966,110 | $125,073 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Sharice Davids | Democratic Party | $4,860,761 | $4,852,129 | $8,632 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Chris Clemmons | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[17][18][19]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC spent $2.9 million toward the race through October 23. Around $460,000 went toward media supporting Yoder and the rest, toward media opposing Davids.[20]
- The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) spent $497,000 as of September 14, 2018, on ads criticizing Yoder.[21]
- EMILY's List had spent $399,000 to oppose Yoder as of September 25.[22]
- Independence USA PAC, a super PAC founded by former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, spent $1 million toward this race through October 26. Of that, around $630,000 went toward TV ads supporting Davids and around $370,000 toward internet ads both opposing Yoder and supporting Davids.[20]
- 'The National Republican Congressional Committee (RNCC) announced that they would spend $1.8 million on Kansas' 2nd and 3rd Congressional Districts. The committee did not clarify how much would be spent in each district. The NRCC also added Yoder to its Patriot Program, which devotes resources to incumbents in competitive races.[23] On September 30, 2018, The Daily Caller reported that the NRCC decided to cut at least $1 million in advertising spending it had reserved in district.[24]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[25]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[26][27][28]
Race ratings: Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kansas' 3rd Congressional District the 208th most Republican nationally.[29]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[30]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below for to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | Yoder (R) | Davids (D) | ||||
Elected officials | ||||||
President Donald Trump (R)[31] | ✔ | |||||
Former President Barack Obama (D)[32] | ✔ | |||||
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D)[33] | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
Kansas City Star[34] | ✔ |
Timeline
- November 2, 2018: Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R) campaigned in Kansas City, Missouri, for Yoder and other Republican candidates in Missouri and Kansas.[35]
- October 30, 2018: Yoder and Davids participated in a debate. View coverage of the event here.
- October 17, 2018: A New York Times/Siena College poll showed Davids leading Yoder 48 percent to 39 percent, with 11 percent of respondents undecided.
- September 30, 2018: Emerson College released an e-poll of 246 registered voters finding Davids leading Yoder 47 percent to 41 percent.
- September 30, 2018: The Daily Caller reported that the NRCC decided to cut at least $1 million in advertising spending it had reserved in district
- September 23, 2018: The New York Times released a survey conducted with Siena College of 494 likely voters finding Davids leading Yoder 51 percent to 43 percent.
- August 21, 2018: Global Strategy Group surveyed 400 likey voters from August 13-15, finding Davids leading Yoder 46 percent to 43 percent.
- July 18, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Kevin Yoder.[36]
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Sharice Davids
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Kevin Yoder
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Campaign themes
The following themes were found on candidates' campaign websites.
Sharice Davids
“ |
Our Economy Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
Our Gun Safety Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
Our Environment Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
Our Immigration Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
Our Equal Rights Sharice believes -
Sharice plans to -
CONTACT campaign@shariceforcongress.com 13851 W. 63rd St. #303 Shawnee, KS 66216 |
” |
—Sharice Davids for Congress[38] |
Kevin Yoder
“ |
GROWING THE ECONOMY by CUTTING TAXES FOR MIDDLE CLASS FAMILIES and reducing regulatory burdens for main street small businesses, resulting in MORE JOBS, BIGGER PAYCHECKS, and more money in 401K RETIREMENT SAVINGS. Voted for policies to help lift Americans FROM WELFARE TO WORK.
|
” |
—Kevin Yoder for Congress[14] |
Interviews
FOX 4 Kansas City conducted interviews with Yoder, Davids, and Clemmons. Click here to watch videos of the interviews and read select responses.
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Sharice Davids Tweets by Kevin Yoder
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Republican district won by Hillary Clinton
This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[39] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.
Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Kansas. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Kansas with 56.7 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 36.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1864 and 2016, Kansas voted Republican 84.21 percent of the time and Democratic 15.78 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Kansas voted Republican all five times.[44]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Kansas. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[45][46]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 29 out of 125 state House districts in Kansas with an average margin of victory of 21.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 34 out of 125 state House districts in Kansas with an average margin of victory of 20.9 points. Clinton won six districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 96 out of 125 state House districts in Kansas with an average margin of victory of 32.8 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 91 out of 125 state House districts in Kansas with an average margin of victory of 35.5 points. Trump won 11 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 34.52% | 63.35% | R+28.8 | 23.35% | 71.63% | R+48.3 | R |
2 | 39.77% | 57.53% | R+17.8 | 27.77% | 66.50% | R+38.7 | D |
3 | 46.36% | 51.22% | R+4.9 | 38.05% | 54.82% | R+16.8 | D |
4 | 30.10% | 67.41% | R+37.3 | 20.25% | 74.79% | R+54.5 | R |
5 | 32.25% | 65.27% | R+33 | 23.45% | 69.48% | R+46 | R |
6 | 29.97% | 68.18% | R+38.2 | 26.18% | 67.84% | R+41.7 | R |
7 | 37.56% | 60.32% | R+22.8 | 27.74% | 66.71% | R+39 | R |
8 | 29.85% | 68.98% | R+39.1 | 39.07% | 55.47% | R+16.4 | R |
9 | 34.83% | 62.80% | R+28 | 26.84% | 66.79% | R+39.9 | R |
10 | 56.98% | 40.00% | D+17 | 56.46% | 35.14% | D+21.3 | D |
11 | 30.79% | 66.61% | R+35.8 | 24.48% | 70.05% | R+45.6 | R |
12 | 22.13% | 75.66% | R+53.5 | 16.45% | 78.95% | R+62.5 | R |
13 | 22.55% | 75.21% | R+52.7 | 16.51% | 77.88% | R+61.4 | R |
14 | 35.33% | 63.12% | R+27.8 | 40.81% | 52.23% | R+11.4 | R |
15 | 41.90% | 55.57% | R+13.7 | 42.04% | 48.78% | R+6.7 | R |
16 | 42.20% | 56.14% | R+13.9 | 47.32% | 45.91% | D+1.4 | D |
17 | 41.27% | 56.85% | R+15.6 | 47.24% | 45.90% | D+1.3 | R |
18 | 43.81% | 54.18% | R+10.4 | 45.07% | 47.41% | R+2.3 | D |
19 | 44.88% | 53.47% | R+8.6 | 53.76% | 39.96% | D+13.8 | R |
20 | 37.95% | 60.61% | R+22.7 | 48.15% | 46.37% | D+1.8 | R |
21 | 50.02% | 48.02% | D+2 | 57.77% | 35.71% | D+22.1 | D |
22 | 52.33% | 44.57% | D+7.8 | 52.46% | 38.89% | D+13.6 | D |
23 | 49.29% | 48.38% | D+0.9 | 51.80% | 40.42% | D+11.4 | R |
24 | 53.41% | 43.84% | D+9.6 | 54.71% | 37.19% | D+17.5 | D |
25 | 50.47% | 47.54% | D+2.9 | 59.32% | 33.38% | D+25.9 | R |
26 | 32.80% | 65.25% | R+32.4 | 33.61% | 58.71% | R+25.1 | R |
27 | 29.93% | 68.57% | R+38.6 | 36.38% | 57.73% | R+21.4 | R |
28 | 31.83% | 66.95% | R+35.1 | 42.47% | 52.42% | R+9.9 | R |
29 | 44.53% | 53.59% | R+9.1 | 49.08% | 44.00% | D+5.1 | D |
30 | 43.67% | 54.04% | R+10.4 | 47.90% | 44.60% | D+3.3 | R |
31 | 68.34% | 29.12% | D+39.2 | 64.49% | 28.46% | D+36 | D |
32 | 70.85% | 26.33% | D+44.5 | 69.13% | 24.93% | D+44.2 | D |
33 | 53.07% | 44.74% | D+8.3 | 46.77% | 46.81% | R+0 | D |
34 | 87.52% | 11.61% | D+75.9 | 82.15% | 14.18% | D+68 | D |
35 | 83.97% | 14.71% | D+69.3 | 79.07% | 17.21% | D+61.9 | D |
36 | 57.58% | 41.19% | D+16.4 | 54.32% | 40.28% | D+14 | D |
37 | 60.83% | 36.66% | D+24.2 | 53.70% | 39.94% | D+13.8 | D |
38 | 34.73% | 63.29% | R+28.6 | 30.42% | 63.22% | R+32.8 | R |
39 | 35.39% | 62.94% | R+27.5 | 39.04% | 53.11% | R+14.1 | R |
40 | 40.75% | 57.27% | R+16.5 | 38.32% | 53.56% | R+15.2 | D |
41 | 46.66% | 50.70% | R+4 | 39.81% | 50.78% | R+11 | D |
42 | 36.18% | 61.14% | R+25 | 31.04% | 61.02% | R+30 | R |
43 | 34.15% | 63.16% | R+29 | 31.41% | 59.98% | R+28.6 | R |
44 | 62.77% | 34.89% | D+27.9 | 67.49% | 25.53% | D+42 | D |
45 | 54.91% | 42.82% | D+12.1 | 59.16% | 33.32% | D+25.8 | R |
46 | 77.64% | 19.20% | D+58.4 | 76.44% | 14.71% | D+61.7 | D |
47 | 38.18% | 59.43% | R+21.3 | 31.44% | 61.94% | R+30.5 | R |
48 | 36.29% | 62.51% | R+26.2 | 45.15% | 48.99% | R+3.8 | R |
49 | 38.40% | 59.65% | R+21.3 | 42.61% | 49.98% | R+7.4 | R |
50 | 37.85% | 59.91% | R+22.1 | 32.39% | 60.99% | R+28.6 | R |
51 | 28.55% | 68.80% | R+40.3 | 24.87% | 67.57% | R+42.7 | R |
52 | 38.48% | 59.83% | R+21.4 | 41.24% | 52.33% | R+11.1 | R |
53 | 49.46% | 48.55% | D+0.9 | 48.48% | 44.69% | D+3.8 | D |
54 | 36.08% | 61.42% | R+25.3 | 31.53% | 61.19% | R+29.7 | R |
55 | 58.75% | 38.23% | D+20.5 | 56.22% | 35.86% | D+20.4 | D |
56 | 50.35% | 47.61% | D+2.7 | 47.52% | 45.37% | D+2.1 | D |
57 | 60.24% | 37.08% | D+23.2 | 52.56% | 40.10% | D+12.5 | D |
58 | 68.89% | 28.89% | D+40 | 62.81% | 30.95% | D+31.9 | D |
59 | 34.91% | 62.26% | R+27.3 | 27.17% | 65.34% | R+38.2 | R |
60 | 44.81% | 52.89% | R+8.1 | 41.23% | 50.34% | R+9.1 | R |
61 | 28.37% | 68.24% | R+39.9 | 21.25% | 72.95% | R+51.7 | R |
62 | 23.43% | 74.47% | R+51 | 17.38% | 77.05% | R+59.7 | R |
63 | 35.08% | 62.22% | R+27.1 | 26.76% | 66.59% | R+39.8 | R |
64 | 25.27% | 72.77% | R+47.5 | 20.43% | 73.29% | R+52.9 | R |
65 | 43.74% | 54.05% | R+10.3 | 34.93% | 58.47% | R+23.5 | R |
66 | 50.12% | 46.43% | D+3.7 | 51.05% | 38.79% | D+12.3 | D |
67 | 40.06% | 57.80% | R+17.7 | 42.63% | 49.20% | R+6.6 | R |
68 | 34.43% | 63.50% | R+29.1 | 29.68% | 63.68% | R+34 | R |
69 | 35.59% | 61.03% | R+25.4 | 30.21% | 60.42% | R+30.2 | R |
70 | 23.84% | 73.94% | R+50.1 | 19.14% | 74.53% | R+55.4 | R |
71 | 32.78% | 64.93% | R+32.1 | 30.30% | 61.66% | R+31.4 | R |
72 | 40.72% | 57.33% | R+16.6 | 36.99% | 55.92% | R+18.9 | D |
73 | 26.35% | 71.50% | R+45.2 | 22.73% | 70.59% | R+47.9 | R |
74 | 29.70% | 67.81% | R+38.1 | 26.47% | 66.27% | R+39.8 | R |
75 | 30.67% | 66.90% | R+36.2 | 24.51% | 69.40% | R+44.9 | R |
76 | 30.91% | 66.27% | R+35.4 | 24.82% | 68.60% | R+43.8 | R |
77 | 27.21% | 70.71% | R+43.5 | 22.92% | 70.69% | R+47.8 | R |
78 | 34.61% | 63.40% | R+28.8 | 38.30% | 53.87% | R+15.6 | R |
79 | 32.96% | 65.00% | R+32 | 28.05% | 65.25% | R+37.2 | D |
80 | 35.06% | 62.13% | R+27.1 | 26.70% | 67.44% | R+40.7 | R |
81 | 33.84% | 63.99% | R+30.2 | 31.03% | 61.27% | R+30.2 | R |
82 | 30.06% | 67.52% | R+37.5 | 26.99% | 65.38% | R+38.4 | R |
83 | 54.37% | 43.11% | D+11.3 | 51.85% | 39.65% | D+12.2 | D |
84 | 70.84% | 26.86% | D+44 | 68.69% | 24.53% | D+44.2 | D |
85 | 34.31% | 63.97% | R+29.7 | 37.32% | 56.24% | R+18.9 | R |
86 | 53.12% | 43.21% | D+9.9 | 48.15% | 43.40% | D+4.7 | D |
87 | 37.57% | 60.74% | R+23.2 | 40.94% | 52.41% | R+11.5 | R |
88 | 49.69% | 48.03% | D+1.7 | 47.67% | 44.31% | D+3.4 | D |
89 | 61.51% | 37.13% | D+24.4 | 59.18% | 34.73% | D+24.4 | D |
90 | 24.03% | 73.80% | R+49.8 | 22.19% | 71.68% | R+49.5 | R |
91 | 30.91% | 66.80% | R+35.9 | 29.71% | 63.58% | R+33.9 | R |
92 | 50.33% | 46.78% | D+3.5 | 49.74% | 42.40% | D+7.3 | D |
93 | 27.30% | 70.28% | R+43 | 21.81% | 71.39% | R+49.6 | R |
94 | 29.42% | 68.69% | R+39.3 | 29.97% | 63.69% | R+33.7 | R |
95 | 47.49% | 49.01% | R+1.5 | 43.07% | 48.91% | R+5.8 | D |
96 | 46.56% | 50.44% | R+3.9 | 39.83% | 52.31% | R+12.5 | D |
97 | 36.12% | 61.26% | R+25.1 | 30.50% | 61.72% | R+31.2 | R |
98 | 40.62% | 56.26% | R+15.6 | 33.41% | 58.84% | R+25.4 | D |
99 | 26.09% | 72.26% | R+46.2 | 28.46% | 64.66% | R+36.2 | R |
100 | 31.22% | 66.92% | R+35.7 | 31.69% | 61.73% | R+30 | R |
101 | 23.17% | 75.00% | R+51.8 | 21.32% | 72.49% | R+51.2 | R |
102 | 44.74% | 51.67% | R+6.9 | 36.80% | 53.97% | R+17.2 | D |
103 | 64.24% | 33.10% | D+31.1 | 59.09% | 33.27% | D+25.8 | D |
104 | 31.01% | 67.13% | R+36.1 | 29.17% | 64.11% | R+34.9 | R |
105 | 37.77% | 59.32% | R+21.5 | 36.00% | 56.30% | R+20.3 | R |
106 | 23.27% | 74.50% | R+51.2 | 18.06% | 76.25% | R+58.2 | R |
107 | 21.11% | 76.29% | R+55.2 | 16.89% | 77.37% | R+60.5 | R |
108 | 28.23% | 68.87% | R+40.6 | 24.51% | 68.39% | R+43.9 | R |
109 | 18.44% | 79.59% | R+61.2 | 14.04% | 81.00% | R+67 | R |
110 | 17.45% | 80.37% | R+62.9 | 13.13% | 82.19% | R+69.1 | R |
111 | 26.84% | 71.10% | R+44.3 | 24.33% | 69.49% | R+45.2 | D |
112 | 23.09% | 75.31% | R+52.2 | 19.09% | 75.85% | R+56.8 | R |
113 | 24.26% | 73.83% | R+49.6 | 18.44% | 76.06% | R+57.6 | R |
114 | 26.19% | 71.17% | R+45 | 20.18% | 73.85% | R+53.7 | R |
115 | 19.36% | 78.60% | R+59.2 | 15.93% | 78.96% | R+63 | R |
116 | 24.38% | 73.12% | R+48.7 | 16.94% | 76.79% | R+59.8 | R |
117 | 20.29% | 78.08% | R+57.8 | 15.14% | 79.76% | R+64.6 | R |
118 | 14.70% | 83.44% | R+68.7 | 11.38% | 84.39% | R+73 | R |
119 | 35.54% | 62.75% | R+27.2 | 33.22% | 61.23% | R+28 | R |
120 | 17.37% | 80.09% | R+62.7 | 12.51% | 82.46% | R+70 | R |
121 | 34.73% | 63.15% | R+28.4 | 37.99% | 54.71% | R+16.7 | R |
122 | 21.80% | 76.17% | R+54.4 | 20.40% | 74.49% | R+54.1 | R |
123 | 32.30% | 65.78% | R+33.5 | 35.21% | 58.47% | R+23.3 | R |
124 | 16.22% | 82.22% | R+66 | 15.64% | 79.80% | R+64.2 | R |
125 | 29.14% | 69.53% | R+40.4 | 32.81% | 62.26% | R+29.4 | R |
Total | 38.08% | 59.72% | R+21.6 | 36.28% | 57.01% | R+20.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as a race to watch. Incumbent Kevin Yoder (R) defeated Jay Sidie (D) and Steve Hohe (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Yoder defeated Greg Goode in the Republican primary, while Sidie defeated Reggie Marselus and Nathaniel McLaughlin to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 2, 2016.[47][48]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 51.3% | 176,022 | ||
Democratic | Jay Sidie | 40.6% | 139,300 | |
Libertarian | Steve Hohe | 8.1% | 27,791 | |
Total Votes | 343,113 | |||
Source: Kansas Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
41.5% | 13,879 | ||
Nathaniel McLaughlin | 36.2% | 12,105 | ||
Reggie Marselus | 22.2% | 7,435 | ||
Total Votes | 33,419 | |||
Source: Kansas Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
|
63.6% | 37,681 | ||
Greg Goode | 36.4% | 21,563 | ||
Total Votes | 59,244 | |||
Source: Kansas Secretary of State |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Kansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Kevin Yoder (R) defeated Kelly Kultala (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | 60% | 134,493 | ||
Democratic | Kelly Kultala | 40% | 89,584 | |
Total Votes | 224,077 | |||
Source: Kansas Secretary of State Official Results |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Kansas heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Kansas.
- Republicans held all four U.S. House seats in Kansas.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held six of 11 state executive positions, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Kansas was Republican Jeff Colyer. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
Republicans controlled both chambers of the Kansas State Legislature. They had a 85-40 majority in the state House and a 30-9 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Kansas had a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship. Jeff Colyer served as governor; he succeeded Sam Brownback, who left office in January 2018 after being appointed ambassador-at-large for international religious freedom by Pres. Donald Trump.
2018 elections
- See also: Kansas elections, 2018
Kansas held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 4 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- 4 lower state executive positions
- 5 board of education seats
- 125 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Sedgwick County
Demographics
Demographic data for Kansas | ||
---|---|---|
Kansas | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,906,721 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 81,759 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 85.2% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.8% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.8% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 3.3% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 11.2% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 90.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $52,205 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 15% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Kansas. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Kansas' three largest cities were Wichita (pop. est. 390,000), Overland Park (pop. est. 190,000), and Kansas City (pop. est. 150,000).[49]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Kansas from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Kansas Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Kansas every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Kansas 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 56.6% | 36.0% | 20.6% | ||
2012 | 59.7% | 37.9% | 21.8% | ||
2008 | 56.6% | 41.6% | 15.0% | ||
2004 | 62.0% | 36.6% | 25.4% | ||
2000 | 58.0% | 37.2% | 20.8% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Kansas from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Kansas 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | 62.1% | 32.2% | 29.9% | ||
2014 | 53.1% | 42.5% | 10.6% | ||
2010 | 70.0% | 26.3% | 43.7% | ||
2008 | 60.0% | 36.4% | 23.6% | ||
2004 | 69.1% | 27.4% | 41.7% | ||
2002 | 82.5% | 9.1% | 73.4% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Kansas.
Election results (Governor), Kansas 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | 49.8% | 46.1% | 3.7% | ||
2010 | 63.2% | 32.2% | 31.0% | ||
2006 | 57.9% | 40.4% | 17.5% | ||
2002 | 52.9% | 45.1% | 7.8% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Kansas in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Kansas Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Sixteen years of Republican trifectas
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 19, 2017
- ↑ DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
- ↑ Washington Post, October 3, 2018
- ↑ Chris Clemmons' 2018 campaign website, "About," accessed November 2, 2018
- ↑ Vote Smart, "Chris Clemmons' Biography," accessed November 2, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ 7.0 7.1 'Chris Clemmons' 2018 campaign website, "Why Am I Running?" February 28, 2018
- ↑ YouTube, "FOX 5 News Kansas City: Chris Clemmons, Kansas 3rd District candidate," October 24, 2018
- ↑ Information submitted on Ballotpedia’s biographical information submission form on July 9, 2018.
- ↑ Sharice for Congress, "About," accessed July 16, 2018
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Sharice for Congress," "Priorities," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ Congressman Kevin Yoder, "Biography," accessed September 18. 2018
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 Yoder for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ McClatchey DC, "These Republicans want more money for medical research. Will Trump agree?" December 12, 2016
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ 20.0 20.1 ProPublica, "Kansas’s 3rd District House Race - 2018 cycle," accessed October 29, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURES:DCCC," accessed September 14, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Independent Expenditures:Women Vote!" accessed September 30, 2018
- ↑ The Kansas City Star, "GOP directs $1.8 million to defend two House seats in deep red Kansas," September 4, 2018
- ↑ Daily Caller, "NRCC CANCELS $1 MILLION IN ADS IN VULNERABLE HOUSE SEAT," September 30, 2017
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ U.S. News & World Report, "Trump Endorses GOP Rep. Yoder's Re-Election in Kansas 3rd," July 18, 2018
- ↑ KSHB, "Wave of Obama endorsements includes Sharice Davids," October 1, 2018
- ↑ CJonline.com, "Joe Biden endorses Sharice Davids in Kansas’ 3rd District congressional race," October 8, 2018
- ↑ Kansas City Star, "The Star endorses Sharice Davids for Kansas' 3rd District," November 4, 2018
- ↑ KSHB, "VP Pence campaigns in KC for Hawley, Kobach, Yoder," November 2, 2018
- ↑ StarTribune, "Trump endorses GOP Rep. Yoder's re-election in Kansas 3rd," accessed July 18, 2018
- ↑ 37.0 37.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ "Priorities," accessed June 16, 2018
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Kansas," accessed June 1, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Kansas Secretary of State, "Candidates for the 2016 Primary," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Kansas House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
- ↑ Kansas Demographics, "Kansas Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
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