United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 12
- Early voting: Oct. 17 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
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May 8, 2018 |
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The 2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections in North Carolina took place on November 6, 2018. Voters elected 13 candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's 13 congressional districts.
Partisan breakdown
Heading into the November 6 election, the Republican Party held 10 of the 13 congressional seats from North Carolina.
| Members of the U.S. House from North Carolina -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2018 | After the 2018 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 3 | 3 | |
| Republican Party | 10 | 10 | |
| Total | 13 | 13 | |
Incumbents
Heading into the 2018 election, the incumbents for the 13 congressional districts were:
| Name | Party | District |
|---|---|---|
| G.K. Butterfield | 1 | |
| George Holding | 2 | |
| Walter Jones | 3 | |
| David Price | 4 | |
| Virginia Foxx | 5 | |
| Mark Walker | 6 | |
| David Rouzer | 7 | |
| Richard Hudson | 8 | |
| Robert Pittenger | 9 | |
| Patrick McHenry | 10 | |
| Mark Meadows | 11 | |
| Alma Adams | 12 | |
| Ted Budd | 13 |
2016 Pivot Counties
North Carolina features six congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[1]
Candidates
District 1
General election
General election candidates
- G.K. Butterfield (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Roger Allison (Republican Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- G.K. Butterfield (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election
General election candidates
- George E.B. Holding (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Linda Coleman (Democratic Party)
- Jeff Matemu (Libertarian Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Timmy Strickland (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- George E.B. Holding (Incumbent) ✔
- Allen Chesser II
Libertarians
Independents
District 3
General election candidates
General election candidates
- Walter B. Jones (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
Primary candidates
There are no official candidates yet for this election.
Republican primary candidates
- Walter B. Jones (Incumbent) ✔
- Scott Dacey
- Phil Law
District 4
General election
General election candidates
- David Price (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Steve Von Loor (Republican Party)
- Barbara Howe (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- David Price (Incumbent) ✔
- Michelle Laws
- Richard Watkins
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Libertarian
District 5
General election
General election candidates
- Virginia Foxx (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Denise Adams (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Virginia Foxx (Incumbent) ✔
- Dillon Gentry
- Cortland Meader
Did not make the ballot:
District 6
General election
General election candidates
- Mark Walker (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Ryan Watts (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Mark Walker (Incumbent) ✔
District 7
General election
General election candidates
- David Rouzer (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Kyle Horton (Democratic Party)
- David Fallin (Constitution Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- David Rouzer (Incumbent) ✔
District 8
General election
General election candidates
- Richard Hudson (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Frank McNeill (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Richard Hudson (Incumbent) ✔
District 9
General election
General election candidates
- Dan McCready (Democratic Party)
- Mark Harris (Republican Party)
- Jeff Scott (Libertarian Party)
Following the general election for the seat on November 6, 2018, no winner was declared in the race due to allegations of absentee ballot fraud. On February 21, 2019, the state Board of Elections voted 5-0 to call a new election in 2019.[6]
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Robert Pittenger (Incumbent)
- Clarence Goins
- Mark Harris ✔
Libertarians
District 10
General election
General election candidates
- Patrick T. McHenry (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- David Wilson Brown (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
District 11
General election
General election candidates
- Mark Meadows (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Phillip Price (Democratic Party)
- Clifton Ingram Jr. (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Mark Meadows (Incumbent) ✔
- Chuck Archerd
Did not make the ballot:
Libertarian
District 12
General election
General election candidates
- Alma Adams (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Paul Wright (Republican Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Alma Adams (Incumbent) ✔
- Gabe Ortiz
- Patrick Register
- Keith Young
Republican primary candidates
District 13
General election
General election candidates
- Ted Budd (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Kathy Manning (Democratic Party)
- Robert Corriher (Green Party)
- Tom Bailey (Libertarian Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Ted Budd (Incumbent) ✔
Libertarian
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to U.S. House elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 48 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
| U.S. House wave elections | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | President | Party | Election type | House seats change | House majority[10] | |
| 1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -97 | D | |
| 1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -76 | R | |
| 1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -70 | D | |
| 2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -63 | R (flipped) | |
| 1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -59 | R | |
| 1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -53 | D (flipped) | |
| 1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -50 | D | |
| 1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[11] | -48 | D | |
| 1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[12] | -48 | D | |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
- U.S. House primaries, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑ Email submission to Ballotpedia, January 19, 2018
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "STRICKLAND, TIMMY MR," accessed September 28, 2017
- ↑ State Board of Elections, "Candidate List Grouped By Contest," March 1, 2018
- ↑ State Board of Elections, "Candidate List Grouped By Contest," March 1, 2018
- ↑ APNews.com, "The Latest: New election ordered in undecided US House race," February 21, 2019
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Candidate List Grouped by Contest," accessed February 23, 2018
- ↑ State Board of Elections, "Candidate List Grouped By Contest," March 1, 2018
- ↑ State Board of Elections, "Candidate List Grouped By Contest," March 1, 2018
- ↑ Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
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