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Florida's 27th Congressional District election, 2018

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2020
2016
Florida's 27th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 4, 2018
Primary: August 28, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+5
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Florida's 27th Congressional District
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Florida elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
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Former Health and Human Services Secretary Donna Shalala (D) defeated broadcast journalist Maria Elvira Salazar (R) and immigration attorney Mayra Joli (I) in the general election for Florida's 27th Congressional District on November 6, 2018.

Incumbent Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R), who was first elected in 1988, did not seek re-election.[3]

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

The New York Times called Florida's 27th "the best Democratic pick-up opportunity in the country" because of Ros-Lehtinen's retirement.[4] In the 2016 presidential election, the district supported Hillary Clinton (D) by 20 points, the highest margin for any Republican-held district.[5]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 27

Donna Shalala defeated Maria Elvira Salazar and Mayra Joli in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 27 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/shalala.jpg
Donna Shalala (D)
 
51.8
 
130,743
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/_Maria_Elvira_Salazar_.jpg
Maria Elvira Salazar (R)
 
45.8
 
115,588
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/_60__fixed.jpg
Mayra Joli (No Party Affiliation)
 
2.5
 
6,255

Total votes: 252,586
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 27

Donna Shalala defeated David Richardson, Kristen Rosen Gonzalez, Matt Haggman, and Michael Hepburn in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 27 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/shalala.jpg
Donna Shalala
 
31.9
 
14,158
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/David_Richardson__Florida_-7_fixed.jpg
David Richardson
 
27.5
 
12,192
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Kristen_Rosen_Gonzalez_.JPG
Kristen Rosen Gonzalez
 
17.5
 
7,783
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Matt_Haggman.jpg
Matt Haggman
 
16.9
 
7,511
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Michael_A._Hepburn.jpg
Michael Hepburn Candidate Connection
 
6.1
 
2,723

Total votes: 44,367
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 27

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 27 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/_Maria_Elvira_Salazar_.jpg
Maria Elvira Salazar
 
40.5
 
15,817
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bruno_Barreiro.jpg
Bruno Barreiro
 
25.7
 
10,029
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Maria_Peiro.png
Maria Peiro
 
8.0
 
3,121
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Stephen_Marks_Profile_Pic.png
Stephen Marks
 
7.0
 
2,733
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Angie Chirino
 
6.9
 
2,678
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/B044A439-A6D2-4CD0-BD8D-CA91217939FE.jpeg
Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera
 
4.3
 
1,684
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Michael_Ohevzion_picture.JPG
Michael Ohevzion
 
3.8
 
1,467
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Elizabeth Adadi
 
2.0
 
775
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Gina_Sosa-Suarez.jpeg
Gina Sosa-Suarez
 
1.9
 
760

Total votes: 39,064
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Donna Shalala, former U.S. health and human services secretary
Donna Shalala.PNG

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services (1993-2001)

Biography: Shalala earned her Ph.D. from the Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs at Syracuse University. She served as president of Hunter College of the City University of New York and chancellor of the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Following her time in the Clinton administration, Shalala became the president of the University of Miami. She was also the president of the Clinton Foundation from 2015 to 2017.[6]

Key messages
  • Shalala said that she would be ready to serve and deliver in Congress from day one because of her experience in education and government administration.[6][7]
  • Shalala highlighted her tenure as the longest-serving U.S. secretary of health and human services, working in the Clinton administration for eight years and implementing the Children’s Healthcare Insurance Program.[6][8]
  • Shalala called climate change the biggest planetary challenge and a threat to Miami. She said that Miami should be a worldwide hub for climate change research.[9]



Maria Elvira Salazar, broadcast journalist
Maria Elvira Salazar.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Salazar earned a B.A. from the University of Miami and a master's in public administration from Harvard University. She worked a broadcast journalist for 35 years, including as a news anchor for Mega TV and CNN Español, a senior political correspondent for Telemundo, and the White House and Pentagon correspond for Univision. She also authored If God is With You, Who Could Be Against You.[10]

Key messages
  • Salazar said she spent three decades in broadcast journalism as a trusted voice for her viewers, driving her to bring her voice as a political outsider to Washington, D.C. to fight for South Florida.[11]
  • Salazar described Miami as her home—where she was born and raised and chose to raise her own children—and the place she was committed to serving.[12][13]
  • Salazar said she would be a moderate. She would "consider an assault weapons ban, support a carbon tax and vote to give certain groups of undocumented immigrants a path to citizenship," The Miami Herald reported after an interview with her.[14]



Mayra Joli, immigration attorney
Mayra Joli.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Independent

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Joli, an attorney, founded Joli Law Firm PLLC, a boutique immigration law firm in South Florida. She also participated in several beauty pageants, holding the titles of Mrs. Dominican Republic 2015, Mrs. Coral Gables 2015, Mrs. Miami 2015, and Mrs. World Congeniality 2016. Joli also created the charity Fashion Night on Brickell to help fund legal services for individuals with financial need.[15]

Key messages
  • On her campaign website, Joli said, "Both mainstream political parties have failed their constituents by doing things counter-productive to the good of the whole. Direct representation is the answer. We must vote against the party establishment."[16]
  • Joli said that she "trusts the marketplace and disfavors big government control and over-taxation of the inherent power of our capital-based economy."[17]
  • Joli said she was a Trump supporter but disagreed with him on limiting legal immigration and climate change.[18]


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Florida's 27th Congressional District election, 2018
Poll Poll sponsor Democratic Party Shalala Republican Party SalazarUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
October 25-28, 2018
N/A 49%39%12%+/-4.4500
The New York Times/Siena College
October 15-19, 2018
N/A 44%37%18%+/-5.0542
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
October 11-14, 2018
N/A 44%39%17%+/-4.4500
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
October 1-6, 2018
N/A 42%44%14%+/-4.0625
McLaughlin & Associates
September 10-13, 2018
N/A 42%51%7%+/-4.9400
Bendixen & Amandi
August 29-September 2, 2018
N/A 46%42%12%+/-4.0600
AVERAGES 44.5% 42% 13.33% +/-4.45 527.83
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Donna Shalala Democratic Party $4,477,268 $4,414,481 $62,787 As of December 31, 2018
Maria Elvira Salazar Republican Party $2,069,164 $2,056,401 $12,763 As of December 31, 2018
Mayra Joli No Party Affiliation $76,939 $78,129 $144 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[19][20][21]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg's super PAC, Independence USA, made a $109,000 digital ad buy to support Shalala in October 2018.[23]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[25]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[26][27][28]

Race ratings: Florida's 27th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLean DemocraticLean DemocraticToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+5, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Florida's 27th Congressional District the 170th most Democratic nationally.[29]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.09. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.09 points toward that party.[30]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Campaign advertisements

Democratic Party Donna Shalala

Support

"Loving the Limelight" - Shalala campaign ad, released October 4, 2018
"Listo Desde El Primer Día" - Shalala campaign ad, released August 7, 2018
"Time to Expand Medicare" - Shalala campaign ad, released August 6, 2018

Oppose

"Shalala's Story" - NRCC ad, released October 23, 2018
"$7" - Congressional Leadership Fund campaign ad, released October 16, 2018

Republican Party Maria Elvira Salazar

Support

"Las Élites de Washington Jamás Van a Entender Qué Nos Preocupa" - Salazar campaign ad, released October 16, 2018
"Ready to fight on behalf of South Florida families in Congress" - Salazar campaign ad, released October 11, 2018
"María Elvira Salazar for Congress" - Salazar campaign ad, released September 28, 2018
"Comparte mi video con sus familias y amigos para apoyar un futuro mejor" - Salazar campaign ad, released August 13, 2018
"Candidata al Congreso Federal" - Salazar campaign ad, released July 28, 2018

Oppose

"Not Yours" - House Majority PAC ad, released October 30, 2018
"Tuit" - DCCC ad, released October 17, 2018
"La Animadora de Trump" - Shalala campaign ad, released October 9, 2018

Debates and forums

October 13, 2018, debate

Shalala, Salazar, and Joli participated in a Spanish-language debate broadcast by Telemundo 51 and NBC 6 on October 13, 2018, and moderated by Telemundo 51 senior political reporter Marilys Llanos. The candidates discussed the Affordable Care Act, environmental issues like sea level rise and water quality, and the economy and jobs, among other issues.[31]

  • Find the NBC Miami round-up of the debate here.
  • Find the WLRN round-up of the debate here.

Campaign themes

These were the policy positions listed on the top candidates' websites, if available.

Democratic Party Donna Shalala

CLIMATE CHANGE

Secretary Shalala believes climate change is the biggest planetary challenge we face in the 21st Century, and for South Florida it is a dire existential threat.

The United States must once again assume a position of leadership in an international, coordinated response to the threat posed by global warming, and the first step in that direction is to fully rejoin the Paris Climate Accord.

Domestically we need to invest in clean energy infrastructure, facilitate and encourage the installation of solar panels in as many American homes as possible and progressively tighten efficiency standards as they pertain to transportation, housing and the workplace.

She also believes that, with institutions such as the National Hurricane Center and the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science headquartered in this community, Miami has the potential to become a worldwide hub for research on this crucial issue, and she intends to pursue federal dollars to make that a reality.

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY

Today, for too many working families, the American dream is slipping away. Low wage jobs, wage stagnation and high health care cost have forced many people to work harder than ever, not to get ahead but just to survive.

Secretary Shalala will fight to build an economy that invests in people, not in tax cuts for the wealthy. Smart, strategic investments that include an education system that prepares our children for the jobs and industries of the future; building a strong local infrastructure of roads, bridges, mass transit options, airports and seaports that allows the movement of people and goods throughout our region and investments in a social safety net that allows everyone in our society to enjoy a decent minimum standard of living.

She will support efforts to diversify the local economy to attract entrepreneurship and grow new businesses in high-tech, international commerce and other industries that can capitalize on Miami’s unique strengths and geographic location. We need to work on making existing jobs stronger for day care workers, nursing home employees, hotel housekeeping staff, maintenance crews and home health aides, just to name a few. As a nation we can do better. It is not enough to just create more jobs, we need better jobs with higher wages, jobs that can deliver affordable health care, retirement plans you can count on and a genuine sense of prosperity and security for American workers and their families.

IMMIGRATION

Donna Shalala will work to mend our immigration system so that America can remain a beacon of hope to the world. The granddaughter of immigrants from Lebanon, Donna is proud of our heritage as a nation of immigrants and believes that we must continue to welcome those seeking better opportunities for themselves and their families with fairness, dignity, and compassion.

To fix America’s immigration system and help restore the American Dream, Donna Shalala will:

  • Protect and unify families – not tear them apart. If you’ve worked hard and played by the rules, there should be a pathway to citizenship. Separating children from their parents to try and scare people into not crossing the border is evil — plain and simple.
  • It is plainly un-American that families living here should be fearful of government.
  • Defend DACA and protect DREAMers. Donna Shalala believes that Congress must renew DACA and provide a pathway to citizenship for our young DREAMers and their families as well.
  • Extend Temporary Protected Status (TPS) where applicable and provide a pathway to permanent residency for those who have children or parents who are citizens or who can prove extreme hardship if deported.
  • Pressure dictatorial regimes through sanctions and diplomatic strength, but not punish their citizens or those seeking freedom and opportunity in the United States.
  • Ensure access to education, social services, public safety, and affordable health care to all families, regardless of immigration status – providing sanctuary wherever we can to upstanding members of our communities.

HEALTHCARE

As the longest-serving Secretary of Health and Human Services in American history, Donna Shalala is one of America’s foremost experts on health care.

To continue working towards universal, high-quality, affordable health care for Floridians and all Americans, Donna Shalala will:

  • Defend and improve the Affordable Care Act. Florida’s 27th District has the highest number of people enrolled in the ACA marketplace in the entire country. Taking that coverage away would do irreparable damage to the health of our community.
  • Create a “Medicare Option for All” by enhancing Medicare to better cover routine dental and vision, and long-term care, and make it available to anyone regardless of income, immigration status, or age. At the same time, preserve employer coverage as an option for those Americans satisfied with their current coverage.
  • Reduce prescription drug costs, along with other out-of-pocket expenses like copays and deductibles. Medicare must be allowed to use its immense bargaining power to negotiate with drug companies for lower prices, similar to how Medicaid and the Veterans Health Administration achieves lower prices.

Donna Shalala is uniquely qualified to hit the ground running, with decades of experience in improving America’s health:

  • During her tenure as Secretary of Health and Human Services, among her accomplishments, Donna led the effort to provide health care to millions of children through the Children’s Health Care Insurance Program (CHIP).
  • She also oversaw the doubling of the National Institute of Health’s budget and secured the highest immunization rates in American history. At the end of her tenure, a Washington Post article described her as “one of the most successful government managers of modern times.”
  • In 2007, President George W. Bush handpicked Donna Shalala to co-chair with Senator Bob Dole the Commission on Care for Returning Wounded Warriors, to evaluate how wounded service members transition from active duty to civilian society. For her work, President Bush awarded her the Presidential Medal of Freedom, our nation’s highest civilian honor, in recognition of her “leadership and determination to ensure that all Americans can enjoy lives of hope, promise and dignity.”
  • In 2012, Donna Shalala chaired the Future of Nursing, an initiative of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Institute of Nursing, which addressed the role of nursing in a reformed health Care system.
  • Donna Shalala served as Chairwoman of the Children’s Defense Fund, serving on the Board alongside Hillary Clinton. In its mission to ensure a level playing field for all children, the organization works to expand children’s access to health care.
  • Donna Shalala has taught health care policy throughout her tenure as President of the University of Miami and afterward as Trustee Professor of Political Science and Health Policy.

GUN CONTROL

Donna Shalala is calling for immediate action to reduce gun violence in our country.

She was part of the team that pushed the 1994 assault weapons ban, and knows that we can do it again. In addition to banning assault weapons, she believes in expanding background checks by closing the gun show, internet sales, and “Charleston” loopholes, and increasing access to mental health services.

Beyond legislative solutions, Americans can also help move our country towards common sense gun reform by pressuring Wall Street and large institutional investors to divest themselves from gun manufacturer stocks. It would encourage these companies, along with the National Rifle Association, to come to the table and agree to work in good faith towards reasonable steps that would reduce gun violence in our country. Socially responsible investing often involves funds that take into account human rights abuses and environmental concerns. Funds that exclude gun manufacturer stocks should be available too.

Donna Shalala supports the Second Amendment and comes from a family of hunters. Law-abiding Americans should have access to firearms for sporting and self-defense. This is about common sense measures to prevent more tragedies from happening.

The only way these and other common sense gun control measures will come to fruition is with your help. Now is the time to join Team Donna. Work with us to mobilize, to create real change, and to make sure our views are represented in Washington.

Donna Shalala is inspired by the nationwide movement that has sprung forth from the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School tragedy. She has long understood the power of the collective voice. It is time for bold, fearless action to defend our youth from gun violence. With your support and Donna Shalala’s leadership, we can make Miami-Dade a safer place to live, work, and learn.

TRAFFIC

Inadequate and outdated transportation infrastructure is crippling to the long-term viability of our community, hampering the economy and undermining the quality of life of Miami-Dade residents.

Donna Shalala is committed to promoting innovative solutions to help alleviate traffic concerns and will fight for the resources to improve local infrastructure – including roads, bridges, mass transit options, airports and seaports – allowing efficient movement of people and goods throughout our region.

Donna Shalala will work to bring federal dollars back to Miami-Dade County. She will lead efforts to prioritize and focus on transportation infrastructure in the federal budget that for too long as been ignored. The residents of Miami-Dade County deserve a world-class transportation system. Efforts include:

Expanding local trolley routes Implementing Bus Rapid Transit along US1 Increasing reliability and expand the Metrorail Investing in high tech road technology like synchronizing traffic lights to improve efficiency Delivering those federal transit dollars to Miami-Dade requires engaged leadership to bring all the local stakeholders together – the county, the cities, transportation experts, budgetary experts – to improve coordination and efficiency.

She has a proven track record of doing just that. Donna Shalala is a trained urbanist with expertise on state/urban government and finance, and early in her career served as treasurer of New York City’s Municipal Assistance Corporation, the organization that helped rescue the city from the brink of bankruptcy. She later worked extensively on urban issues while serving as Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and Research at the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

As President of the University of Miami, Donna Shalala worked to mitigate traffic congestion in Coral Gables by overseeing policies prohibiting on-campus freshmen from bringing cars and the disbursement of millions of dollars in subsidies for transit fares to encourage students, faculty, and staff to use public transportation. Transportation is a regional issue and we need a long-term vision of a system that connects all of the people of South Florida without regard to city and county boundaries.

WOMEN’S RIGHTS

Donna Shalala has been a leader in the ongoing fight for women’s rights and equality throughout her career. While we have made significant progress, too many barriers and inequalities remain. In Congress, Donna Shalala will continue to be an outspoken voice for women by:

  • Working to close the gender pay gap and fighting for paid family leave.
  • Defending women’s health and fighting any attempt to roll back women’s reproductive freedom
  • Addressing violence against women by fighting for legislation that protects and assists victims of sexual harassment, rape, and domestic abuse, while punishing the perpetrators to the fullest extent of the law.

Donna Shalala has been a groundbreaking, national leader in fighting for equality for women:

  • As one of the founders of EMILY’s List, she has been on the front lines of efforts to elevate pro-choice women into positions of leadership in government decision-making throughout her career.
  • As a member of the National Women’s Hall of Fame, Donna Shalala has been widely recognized for her distinguished leadership. She served as Director of the National Women’s Law Center, and 1987, she became the first woman to lead a Big Ten school as the Chancellor of the University of Wisconsin-Madison. She was named a Woman of the Year by Glamour magazine, named one of 100 of America’s Most Important Women by Ladies Home Journal, and named as one of America’s 200 Most Influential Women by Vanity Fair.
  • Donna Shalala has fought tirelessly for women in the workplace – not just to get their foot in the door but to take their rightful place in the ranks of leadership and on the board. During the Carter Administration, Donna served on the President’s Interagency Committee on Women Business Owners to address issues of women business owners and help them get the resources they need to succeed.
  • As Secretary of Health and Human Services, Donna Shalala was at the forefront of the fight for women’s health and protection from violence. She was instrumental in passing the Violence Against Women Act, and along with Janet Reno, hosted the meetings of the National Advisory Council on Violence Against Women.

Miami-Dade deserves the bold and fearless action in the fight for women’s rights that Donna Shalala has led throughout her career. With your support and Donna Shalala’s leadership, we can make Miami-Dade and our country a safer, fairer place.[32]

—Shalala for Congress[33]

Republican Party Maria Elvira Salazar

PROTECT

Our Veterans

Our veterans offered their lives to protect and defend our nation from its enemies. We can never do enough to demonstrate our gratitude for their devout patriotism, their sacrifice and their service. As a grateful nation, it is our obligation to do everything in our power so that when these brave souls return home, they have access to the best possible healthcare, good paying jobs, continuing education and vocational training, affordable housing and other support systems. We must demand that the Department of Veterans Affairs be held accountable so that our retired servicemen and women receive the very best possible their country has to offer. The manner in which we care for our veterans must always reflect our nation’s profound appreciation for their service.

National Security

Since 911, our nation and its allies are facing increasing security threats from every sector of the globe. America, as the leader of the free world, must continue to provide strong leadership abroad. If we wish to protect and expand our democratic influence around the world, we must maintain strong and fully-funded military forces. Unfortunately, after years of cuts and neglect across all branches of our Armed Forces, our proud men and women in uniform are now left with the formidable task of protecting our nation, in spite of serious gaps in military readiness. I will work tirelessly to rebuild our military to ensure that our servicemen and women receive the necessary equipment, training, and support they need to successfully complete their missions.

Public Safety

Our nation’s most important responsibility is keeping its citizens free and safe. We must ensure that our local law enforcement has the necessary resources to protect our cities, communities and neighborhoods. Our public safety is paramount to the stability of our country. I am a firm believer in the 2nd Amendment. Although we must continue to protect this fundamental Constitutional right, we must find ways to keep guns out of the hands of those who should never have them – namely children, criminals, and the mentally ill. As Congresswoman, I will strongly support solutions that concentrate on gun safety, including improving school resource officer training, universal background checks, and effectively closing loopholes that allow criminals to have access to firearms, while preserving the integrity of all our rights as Americans. Protecting our children from any type of harm will be one of my highest priorities as a public servant. No family should ever have to endure the tragedy of a school shooting. To ensure their safety, one of my first acts as Congresswoman, I will introduce legislation to create an Early Intervention and Prevention Center (EIPC) in every public school in the country with the task of identifying mental health issues in our students before they become critical and lead to tragic consequences.

Life

As a Christian and a mother, I believe in a culture that values and nurtures all life from birth to natural death. As your Congresswoman, I will protect the life of the unborn and also the life and health of the mother. I oppose tax-payer funding for late-term abortions. I understand that, in some cases, the termination of a pregnancy—ectopic pregnancy, rape, and incest, may dangerously affect the health of the mother as determined by her physician. My votes will consistently protect life, and I will work to ensure that abortions become the exception, not the rule. We must oppose the culture of death. I do understand that, sometimes, difficult and painful decisions will have to be made which might lead to the termination of a pregnancy.

Likewise, I will always stand by the elderly and work so that as they enter their golden years, they do so with the dignity, care and support they so greatly deserve. Ensuring their quality of life will always be one of my highest priorities as your Congresswoman.

PROSPER

The Economy

I will always support any legislative measure that puts more money in the pockets of the middle class. The Republican Tax Cut law was the right thing to do for our economy and our struggling middle class. I also believe, that tax cuts, combined with fewer regulations, have led to the explosive growth of our economy. As your elected representative, I will work with my colleagues to ensure that the tax cut law becomes permanent for everyone, not just corporations. The reduction in the corporate tax rate has been very beneficial to the U.S. economy and job growth, but we must also ensure that the corporations pay their fair share of taxes by closing current loopholes that have allowed them in the past to pay less than required. I will also work hard to attract investments to South Florida, including strengthening the industries that drive our dynamic economy – particularly tourism, business, and international trade – by investing and improving our infrastructure—roads, public transportation, and traffic flow.

Our local economy is driven by our small businesses, who employ the majority of our residents. We must help these small businesses grow by allowing them to invest and create more high paying jobs. I believe that our government does more when it involves itself less in our markets and leaves the business of job growth for our job creators. In the 1980s, Ronald Reagan described his goal for his tax reform initiatives as ‘fairness, simplicity and economic growth’ and that vision remains applicable today.

Healthcare

With Obamacare premiums expected to rise by at least 17% in Florida, many families in our communities are gravely concerned on how they will be able to afford health insurance now and in the future. The current system is simply not working. I am determined to protect South Florida families from mounting costs by reforming our broken healthcare system with cost-effective and patient-centered solutions. Specifically, we need to go after the $95 billion in annual waste, fraud and abuse; give individuals and businesses the right to purchase health insurance across state lines; and repeal crushing Obama-era taxes and needless regulations, while ensuring that the neediest among us have access to affordable, quality healthcare.

South Floridians deserve better! I am dedicated to bringing patient-oriented reforms to Washington that will work for hard-working American families.

Traffic & Transportation

The quality of life of the residents in our district could be significantly improved in several ways, one of which has to do with reducing the traffic flow problems that are threatening to paralyze our county. In addition, few know that our major traffic arteries—826, I-95, and 836—are managed and operated by different authorities, each responding to its own interests independently of each other. Add to this the political rivalries that exists in our community that have derailed any real effort to bring to this county a public transportation and road systems worthy of our community. This lack of coordination and cooperation between local, state, and federal authorities has – for decades – made it impossible to develop a coherent and practical plan to expand and improve our highways, roads, and public transportation systems (Metrorail in particular). Politics as usual, poor planning, and coordination has cost South Florida millions in federal dollars that are badly needed to solve the traffic and transportation crisis that affects all of us. It is shameful and intolerable that your commute to work will take almost an hour and half each way – every day! And all because we have failed to present a united front in Washington that could make a strong case for why South Florida badly needs and deserves federal transportation dollars. If Boston or Chicago can have a first-rate public transportation system, why can’t Miami, one of the busiest and most culturally diverse cities in the nation! We can and must do better for the betterment of our community… and with me in Congress you will get it!

STRENGTHEN

Immigration

Washington has failed to find a permanent solution to our immigration crisis. For too long, our approach to immigration has been piecemeal and mostly driven by executive orders. But this has not worked. What we need is an Immigration Reform Plan that addresses the problem on all fronts. We must tackle border security in a humane manner – without separating families – swiftly remove criminal aliens and correct visa overstay, while establishing a work authorization for the undocumented and a permanent solution for DACA recipients. It is also important that we have an honest conversation with Central American nations with the goal of identifying solutions that will stem the wave of immigrants seeking asylum in the U.S. Any assistance we provide to these countries should be tied to actions and, most importantly, measurable outcomes that bring about the kind of changes and transformation that will make it worth for the citizens of those nations to stay in their home country.

Israel

Our nation’s close ties with Israel should be honored and protected. As our closest ally in the Middle East and the region’s only true free market democracy – we should stand by Israel. They’re right to exist should never be put in Jeopardy by threats from terrorists or Iran. As Congresswoman, you can count on me to stand by our allies, especially Israel.[32]

—Salazar for Congress[34]


Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Donna Shalala Facebook

Republican Party Maria Elvira Salazar Facebook

Timeline

  • October 29, 2018: In an Anzalone Liszt Grove Research poll of 500 voters, Shalala led Salzar by 10 points, 49 percent to 39 percent. The margin of error was 4.4 percent.
  • October 19, 2018:
    • The National Republican Congressional Committee made a $1.5 million broadcast and cable TV ad buy to back Salazar.[35]
    • In a New York Times/Siena College poll of 542 likely voters, Shalala led Salazar by 7 points, 44 percent to 37 percent. The margin of error was 5.0 percent.
  • October 18, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee made a $440,000 ad buy opposing Salazar.[22]
  • October 16, 2018: Shalala led Salazar by 5 percentage points, 44 percent to 39 percent, in a Anzalone Liszt Grove Research poll of 500 voters. The margin of error was 4.4 percentage points.
  • October 13, 2018: Shalala, Salazar, and Joli participated in a Spanish-language debate broadcast by Telemundo 51 and NBC 6 and moderated by Telemundo 51 senior political reporter Marilys Llanos. The candidates discussed the Affordable Care Act, environmental issues like sea level rise and water quality, and the economy and jobs, among other issues.[31]
  • October 8, 2018: Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg's super PAC, Independence USA, made a $109,000 digital ad buy to support Shalala.[23]
  • September 4, 2018: The National Republican Congressional Committee added Salazar to the final phase of its "Young Guns" program, representing the most competitive congressional seats.[36]

Republican district won by Hillary Clinton

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Republican and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[37] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.

Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.


2018 election results in Republican-held U.S. House districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 2nd Republican Party Martha McSally Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick D+9.5 Clinton+4.9 Romney+1.5
California's 10th Republican Party Jeff Denham Democratic Party Josh Harder D+2.6 Clinton+3.0 Obama+3.6
California's 21st Republican Party David Valadao Democratic Party TJ Cox D+0.8 Clinton+15.5 Obama+11.1
California's 25th Republican Party Steve Knight Democratic Party Katie Hill D+6.4 Clinton+6.7 Romney+1.9
California's 39th Republican Party Ed Royce Democratic Party Gil Cisneros D+1.4 Clinton+8.6 Romney+3.7
California's 45th Republican Party Mimi Walters Democratic Party Katie Porter D+1.6 Clinton+5.4 Romney+11.8
California's 48th Republican Party Dana Rohrabacher Democratic Party Harley Rouda D+5.8 Clinton+1.7 Romney+11.7
California's 49th Republican Party Darrell Issa Democratic Party Mike Levin D+7.4 Clinton+7.5 Romney+6.7
Colorado's 6th Republican Party Mike Coffman Democratic Party Jason Crow D+11.2 Clinton+8.9 Obama+5.1
Florida's 26th Republican Party Carlos Curbelo Democratic Party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell D+1.8 Clinton+16.1 Obama+11.5
Florida's 27th Republican Party Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Democratic Party Donna Shalala D+6.0 Clinton+19.7 Obama+6.7
Illinois' 6th Republican Party Peter Roskam Democratic Party Sean Casten D+5.6 Clinton+7.0 Romney+8.2
Kansas' 3rd Republican Party Kevin Yoder Democratic Party Sharice Davids D+9.1 Clinton+1.2 Romney+9.5
Minnesota's 3rd Republican Party Erik Paulsen Democratic Party Dean Phillips D+11.4 Clinton+9.4 Obama+0.8
New Jersey's 7th Republican Party Leonard Lance Democratic Party Tom Malinowski D+4.7 Clinton+1.1 Romney+6.2
New York's 24th Republican Party John Katko Republican Party John Katko R+6.3 Clinton+3.6 Obama+15.9
Pennsylvania's 1st Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick[38] Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick R+2.6 Clinton+2.0 Obama+2.6
Pennsylvania's 5th Republican Party Pat Meehan[39] Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon D+30.2 Clinton+28.2 Obama+27.7
Pennsylvania's 6th Republican Party Ryan Costello[40] Democratic Party Chrissy Houlahan D+17.6 Clinton+9.3 Obama+3.2
Pennsylvania's 7th Republican Party Charlie Dent[41] Democratic Party Susan Wild D+11.3 Clinton+1.1 Obama+7.0
Texas' 7th Republican Party John Culberson Democratic Party Lizzie Pannill Fletcher D+5.0 Clinton+1.4 Romney+21.3
Texas' 23rd Republican Party Will Hurd Republican Party Will Hurd R+0.5 Clinton+3.4 Romney+2.6
Texas' 32nd Republican Party Pete Sessions Democratic Party Colin Allred D+6.3 Clinton+1.9 Romney+15.5
Virginia's 10th Republican Party Barbara Comstock Democratic Party Jennifer Wexton D+12.4 Clinton+10.0 Romney+1.6
Washington's 8th Republican Party David Reichert Democratic Party Kim Schrier D+6.2 Clinton+3.0 Obama+1.6


Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections..

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Four of 67 Florida counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Jefferson County, Florida 5.06% 1.75% 3.66%
Monroe County, Florida 6.82% 0.44% 4.90%
Pinellas County, Florida 1.11% 5.65% 8.25%
St. Lucie County, Florida 2.40% 7.86% 12.12%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Florida with 49 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.8 percent. Florida was considered a key battleground state in the 2016 general election. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Florida voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. Florida went to the Republicans in 2000, 2004, and 2016, and it went to the Democrats in 2008 and 2012.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Florida. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[42][43]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 55 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 29.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 54 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 30.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 65 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 17.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 66 out of 120 state House districts in Florida with an average margin of victory of 21.1 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District history

2016

See also: Florida's 27th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) defeated Scott Fuhrman (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Ros-Lehtinen defeated David Adams and Maria Peiro in the Republican primary, while Fuhrman defeated Frank Perez and Adam Sackrin to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 30, 2016.[44][45]

U.S. House, Florida District 27 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngIleana Ros-Lehtinen Incumbent 54.9% 157,917
     Democratic Scott Fuhrman 45.1% 129,760
Total Votes 287,677
Source: Florida Division of Elections


U.S. House, Florida District 27 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngIleana Ros-Lehtinen Incumbent 80.5% 30,485
Maria Peiro 11.7% 4,450
David Adams 7.8% 2,945
Total Votes 37,880
Source: Florida Division of Elections
U.S. House, Florida District 27 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngScott Fuhrman 58.9% 17,068
Frank Perez 24.5% 7,087
Adam Sackrin 16.6% 4,808
Total Votes 28,963
Source: Florida Division of Elections

2014

See also: Florida's 27th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 27th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) ran unopposed in the general election.

U.S. House, Florida District 27 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngIleana Ros-Lehtinen Incumbent 0% 0
Total Votes 0
Source: Florida Division of Elections

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Florida heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

Trifecta status

2018 elections

See also: Florida elections, 2018

Florida held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Florida
 FloridaU.S.
Total population:20,244,914316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):53,6253,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:76%73.6%
Black/African American:16.1%12.6%
Asian:2.6%5.1%
Native American:0.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:2.4%3%
Hispanic/Latino:23.7%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:86.9%86.7%
College graduation rate:27.3%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$47,507$53,889
Persons below poverty level:19.8%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Florida.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, Florida's three largest cities were Jacksonville (pop. est. 860,000), Miami (pop. est. 430,000), and Tampa (pop. est. 360,000).[46][47]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Florida from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Florida Department of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Florida every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Florida 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 49.0% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 47.8% 1.2%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 50.0% Republican Party Mitt Romney 49.1% 0.9%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 51.0% Republican Party John McCain 48.2% 2.8%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 52.10% Democratic Party John Kerry 47.09% 5.01%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 48.847% Democratic Party Al Gore 48.838% 0.009%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Florida from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Florida 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Marco Rubio 52.0% Democratic Party Patrick Murphy 44.3% 7.7%
2012 Democratic Party Bill Nelson 55.2% Republican Party Connie Mack 42.2% 13.0%
2010 Republican Party Marco Rubio 48.9% Independent Charlie Crist 29.7% 19.2%
2006 Democratic Party Bill Nelson 60.3% Republican Party Katherine Harris 38.1% 22.2%
2004 Republican Party Mel Martinez 49.4% Democratic Party Betty Castor 48.3% 1.1%
2000 Democratic Party Bill Nelson 51.0% Republican Party Bill McCollum 46.2% 4.8%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Florida.

Election results (Governor/Lt. Governor), Florida 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Rick Scott/Carlos Lopez-Cantera 48.1% Democratic Party Charlie Crist/Annette Taddeo-Goldstein 47.1% 1%
2010 Republican Party Rick Scott/Jennifer Carroll 48.9% Democratic Party Alex Sink/Rod Smith 47.7% 1.2%
2006 Republican Party Charlie Crist/Jeff Kottkamp 52.2% Democratic Party Jim Davis/Daryl Jones 45.1% 7.1%
2002 Republican Party Jeb Bush/Frank Brogan 56.0% Democratic Party Bill McBride/Tom Rossin 43.2% 12.8%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Florida in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Florida 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 17 62.9% Democratic Party 10 37.0% R+7
2014 Republican Party 17 62.9% Democratic Party 10 37.0% R+7
2012 Republican Party 17 62.9% Democratic Party 10 37.0% R+7
2010 Republican Party 19 76.0% Democratic Party 6 24.0% R+13
2008 Republican Party 15 60.0% Democratic Party 10 40.0% R+5
2006 Republican Party 16 64.0% Democratic Party 9 36.0% R+7
2004 Republican Party 18 66.7% Democratic Party 7 33.3% R+11
2002 Republican Party 17 66.7% Democratic Party 8 33.3% R+9
2000 Republican Party 15 57.9% Democratic Party 8 42.1% R+7

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes

  1. Counties could add additional early voting days from October 22 through October 26 and/or November 4.
  2. Counties could add additional early voting days from October 22 through October 26 and/or November 4.
  3. Miami Herald, "Why I’m retiring from Congress. A message from Ileana Ros-Lehtinen," April 30, 2017
  4. The New York Times, "Democrats’ Best Chance to Retake the House? 8 Types of G.O.P. Districts to Watch," June 26, 2017
  5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 10, 2017
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 Donna Shalala, "Meet Donna Shalala," accessed September 19, 2018
  7. YouTube, "Ready to Deliver," March 22, 2018
  8. YouTube, "American Dream," May 7, 2018
  9. Donna Shalala, "Climate Change," accessed October 6, 2018
  10. Maria Elvira, "About," accessed September 19, 2018
  11. Maria Elvira, "Home," accessed September 19, 2018
  12. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named MeetElvira
  13. YouTube, "Comparte mi video con sus familias y amigos para apoyar un futuro mejor," August 13, 2018
  14. Miami Herald, "Salazar casts herself as moderate Republican open to carbon tax, assault weapons ban," September 26, 2018
  15. Mayra Joli, "Meet Mayra," accessed November 1, 2018
  16. Mayra Joli, "Home," accessed November 1, 2018
  17. Mayra Joli, "Issues," accessed November 1, 2018
  18. Miami Herald, "Miami’s ‘master of selfies’ mounts a pro-Trump congressional bid," Novmber 20, 2017
  19. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  20. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  21. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  22. 22.0 22.1 FEC, "FILING FEC-1274847," accessed October 22, 2018
  23. 23.0 23.1 Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/8," October 8, 2018
  24. Politico, "NRCC bails on Coffman, targets Shalala," October 19, 2018
  25. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  26. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  27. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  28. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  29. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  30. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  31. 31.0 31.1 NBC Miami, "District 27 Candidates Square Off in Telemundo 51 Debate," October 13, 2018
  32. 32.0 32.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  33. Shalala for Congress, "Women's Rights," accessed September 18, 2018
  34. Salazar for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 18, 2018
  35. Politico, "NRCC bails on Coffman, targets Shalala," October 19, 2018
  36. NRCC, "NRCC Announces Second Round of Young Guns," September 4, 2018
  37. This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  38. The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
  39. The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
  40. The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
  41. The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
  42. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  43. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  44. Florida Department of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed June 25, 2016
  45. Politico, " Florida House Races Results," August 30, 2016
  46. United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts - Florida," accessed May 9, 2018
  47. Florida Demographics, "Florida Cities by Population," accessed May 9, 2018



Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (22)
Democratic Party (8)