United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID requested
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
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August 7, 2018 |
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The 2018 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan took place on November 6, 2018. Voters elected 14 candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts.
Partisan breakdown
Heading into the November 6 election, the Republican Party held nine of the 14 congressional seats from Michigan.
| Members of the U.S. House from Michigan -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2018 | After the 2018 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 4 | 7 | |
| Republican Party | 9 | 7 | |
| Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
| Total | 14 | 14 | |
Incumbents
Heading into the 2018 election, the incumbents for the 14 congressional districts were:
| Name | Party | District |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Bergman | 1 | |
| Bill Huizenga | 2 | |
| Justin Amash | 3 | |
| John Moolenaar | 4 | |
| Dan Kildee | 5 | |
| Fred Upton | 6 | |
| Tim Walberg | 7 | |
| Mike Bishop | 8 | |
| Sander Levin | 9 | |
| Paul Mitchell | 10 | |
| David Trott | 11 | |
| Debbie Dingell | 12 | |
| Vacant | 13 | |
| Brenda Lawrence | 14 |
2016 Pivot Counties
Michigan features nine congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.
The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[1]
Candidates
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District 1
General election candidates
- Jack Bergman (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Matthew Morgan (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Matthew Morgan (Write-in) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
- Matthew Morgan was disqualified from the primary ballot in May 2018, but successfully ran as a write-in candidate. He appeared on the general election ballot.[2]
Republican primary candidates
- Jack Bergman (Incumbent) ✔
District 2
General election
General election candidates
- Bill Huizenga (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Rob Davidson (Democratic Party)
- Ronald Graeser (U.S. Taxpayers Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Bill Huizenga (Incumbent) ✔
District 3
General candidates
General election candidates
- Justin Amash (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Cathy Albro (Democratic Party)
- Ted Gerrard (U.S. Taxpayers Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- Douglas Smith (Independent)
Write-in candidates
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- Justin Amash (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
Independents
District 4
General candidates
General election candidates
- John Moolenaar (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Jerry Hilliard (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- John Moolenaar (Incumbent) ✔
District 5
General election
General election candidates
- Dan Kildee (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Travis Wines (Republican Party)
- Kathy Goodwin (Working Class Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Dan Kildee (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Libertarians
Withdrew
District 6
General election
General election candidates
- Fred Upton (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Matt Longjohn (Democratic Party)
- Stephen J. Young (U.S. Taxpayers Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Fred Upton (Incumbent) ✔
District 7
General election
General election candidates
- Tim Walberg (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Gretchen Driskell (Democratic Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Tim Walberg (Incumbent) ✔
District 8
General candidates
General election candidates
- Mike Bishop (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Elissa Slotkin (Democratic Party) ✔
- Brian Ellison (Libertarian Party)
- David Jay Lillis (U.S. Taxpayers Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Mike Bishop (Incumbent) ✔
- Lokesh Kumar
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Libertarians
District 9
General candidates
General election candidates
- Andy Levin (Democratic Party) ✔
- Candius Stearns (Republican Party)
- John McDermott (Green Party)
- Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Green
District 10
General candidates
General election candidates
- Paul Mitchell (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Kimberly Bizon (Democratic Party)
- Harley Mikkelson (Green Party)
- Jeremy Peruski (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Paul Mitchell (Incumbent) ✔
Independent
Green
District 11
General candidates
General election candidates
- Haley Stevens (Democratic Party) ✔
- Lena Epstein (Republican Party)
- Leonard Schwartz (Libertarian Party)
- Cooper Nye (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Libertarian
Independents
District 12
General election
General election candidates
- Debbie Dingell (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Jeff Jones (Republican Party)
- Gary Walkowicz (Working Class Party)
- Niles Niemuth (Independent)
Did not make the ballot:
- Steve Young (Green Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Debbie Dingell (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Green Party
Socialist Equality Party
District 13
General election
General election candidates
- Rashida Tlaib (Democratic Party) ✔
- D. Etta Wilcoxon (Green Party)
- Sam Johnson (Working Class Party)
Did not make the ballot:
- John Conyers III (Independent)
Write-in candidates
- Jim Casha
- David Dudenhoefer
- John Conyers III
- Royce Kinniebrew
- Kimberly Hill Knott
- Douglas Gardner
- Danetta Simpson
- Brenda Jones
- Jonathan Pommerville
Primary candidates
- See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District special election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District special election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
No candidates filed for the Republican Party primary.
Did not make the ballot:
Minor Party general election candidates
Did not make the ballot:
- John Conyers III Independent
Did not make the ballot
District 14
General election
General election candidates
- Brenda Lawrence (Incumbent) (Democratic Party) ✔
- Marc Herschfus (Republican Party)
- Philip Kolody (Working Class Party)
Primary candidates
Democratic primary candidates
- Brenda Lawrence (Incumbent) ✔
Republican primary candidates
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to U.S. House elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 48 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 U.S. House waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
| U.S. House wave elections | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | President | Party | Election type | House seats change | House majority[11] | |
| 1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -97 | D | |
| 1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -76 | R | |
| 1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -70 | D | |
| 2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -63 | R (flipped) | |
| 1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -59 | R | |
| 1946 | Truman | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1994 | Clinton | D | First midterm | -54 | R (flipped) | |
| 1930 | Hoover | R | First midterm | -53 | D (flipped) | |
| 1942 | Roosevelt | D | Third midterm | -50 | D | |
| 1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[12] | -48 | D | |
| 1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[13] | -48 | D | |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2018
- U.S. House primaries, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Michigan write-in candidate for Congress gets 29,293 votes," August 24, 2018
- ↑ Douglas Smith for Congress, "Home," accessed September 28, 2017
- ↑ Information submitted to Ballotpedia via email on February 17, 2018
- ↑ Facebook, "Jeremy Peruski for US Congress," accessed May 10, 2018
- ↑ Information submitted to Ballotpedia on February 27, 2018
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "YOUNG, STEPHEN ROBERT NEALE," accessed September 28, 2017
- ↑ World Socialist Web Site, "Socialist Equality Party to run Niles Niemuth for Michigan’s 12th Congressional district," June 27, 2018
- ↑ The Detroit News, "John Conyers III plans to run for Congress as independent," July 2, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Conyers III disqualified as independent candidate for Congress," July 31, 2018
- ↑ Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
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