Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2018

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
General election
General election for Governor of Wyoming

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mark-Gordon.jpg
Mark Gordon (R)
 
67.1
 
136,412
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Throne.jpg
Mary Throne (D) Candidate Connection
 
27.5
 
55,965
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Rex-Rammell.PNG
Rex Rammell (Constitution Party)
 
3.3
 
6,751
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Lawrence_Struempf.jpg
Lawrence Gerard Struempf (L)
 
1.5
 
3,010
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.5
 
1,100

Total votes: 203,238
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.


2022
2014
Governor of Wyoming
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 1, 2018
Primary: August 21, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Matt Mead (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Wyoming
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
Wyoming
executive elections
Governor

Secretary of State
Treasurer
Auditor
Superintendent of Public Instruction

Wyoming held an election for governor on November 6, 2018. The candidate filing deadline was June 1, 2018.

State Treasurer Mark Gordon (R) defeated Mary Throne (D), Rex Rammell (Constitution), and Lawrence Gerard Struempf (L), receiving 67.4 percent of the vote to Throne's 27.7 percent, Rammell's 3.3 percent, and Struempf's 1.5 percent. Gordon's 67.4 percent share of the vote was greater than any Republican candidate for governor in state history, surpassing the 65.68 percent record set by Matt Mead (R) in 2010. Click here for more.



Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

For more information about gubernatorial elections in 2018, click here.

SETTING THE STAGE
  • Heading into the 2018 election, the sitting governor was Matt Mead (R), who was first elected in 2010 and was re-elected in 2014. Mead was prevented from seeking a third term in 2018 by term limits.
  • Heading into the election, Wyoming was a Republican trifecta. It had held this status since Mead took office in 2011. Wyoming was also a Republican triplex.
  • Wyoming was won by the Republican candidate in each of the five previous presidential elections. The widest margin of victory was Donald Trump's 46 percent margin in 2016, while the narrowest was John McCain's 32 percent margin in 2008.
  • Wyoming was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.


    Candidates and election results

    See also: Statistics on gubernatorial candidates, 2018

    General election

    General election for Governor of Wyoming

    Mark Gordon defeated Mary Throne, Rex Rammell, and Lawrence Gerard Struempf in the general election for Governor of Wyoming on November 6, 2018.

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mark-Gordon.jpg
    Mark Gordon (R)
     
    67.1
     
    136,412
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Throne.jpg
    Mary Throne (D) Candidate Connection
     
    27.5
     
    55,965
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Rex-Rammell.PNG
    Rex Rammell (Constitution Party)
     
    3.3
     
    6,751
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Lawrence_Struempf.jpg
    Lawrence Gerard Struempf (L)
     
    1.5
     
    3,010
     Other/Write-in votes
     
    0.5
     
    1,100

    Total votes: 203,238
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Democratic primary election

    Democratic primary for Governor of Wyoming

    Mary Throne defeated Michael Allen Green, Ken Casner, and Rex Wilde in the Democratic primary for Governor of Wyoming on August 21, 2018.

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Throne.jpg
    Mary Throne Candidate Connection
     
    72.9
     
    12,948
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screenshot_2018-08-03-01-11-13-1.png
    Michael Allen Green
     
    13.5
     
    2,391
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screenshot_2018-08-14-10-27-59-1.png
    Ken Casner
     
    6.8
     
    1,213
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screenshot_2018-08-14-10-24-50-1.png
    Rex Wilde
     
    6.8
     
    1,201

    Total votes: 17,753
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Republican primary election

    Republican primary for Governor of Wyoming

    The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Wyoming on August 21, 2018.

    Candidate
    %
    Votes
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mark-Gordon.jpg
    Mark Gordon
     
    33.4
     
    38,951
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/FF_-_Flo_McCall_cropped.jpg
    Foster Friess
     
    25.6
     
    29,842
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Harriet-Hageman.PNG
    Harriet Hageman
     
    21.5
     
    25,052
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Sam_Galeotos.jpg
    Sam Galeotos
     
    12.5
     
    14,554
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Taylor_Haynes.png
    Taylor Haynes
     
    5.6
     
    6,511
    Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/FB_IMG_1525230318313.jpg
    Bill Dahlin
     
    1.5
     
    1,763

    Total votes: 116,673
    Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

    Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

    Context of the 2018 election

    Race rating

    Race ratings: Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2018
    Race trackerRace ratings
    November 5, 2018October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018
    The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
    Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
    Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
    Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

    Other 2018 statewide elections

    See also: States with both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections in 2018

    This race took place in one of twenty-two states that held elections for both governor and U.S. Senate in 2018.

    A table of where these elections occurred, the names of incumbents prior to the 2018 elections, and links to our coverage of these races can be viewed by clicking "[show]" on the banner below:

    Wave election analysis

    See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

    The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

    Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

    Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

    The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

    Gubernatorial wave elections
    Year President Party Election type Gubernatorial seats change Elections analyzed[1]
    1970 Nixon R First midterm -12 35
    1922 Harding R First midterm -11 33
    1932 Hoover R Presidential -10 35
    1920 Wilson D Presidential -10 36
    1994 Clinton D First midterm -10 36
    1930 Hoover R First midterm -9 33
    1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -9 33
    1966 Johnson D First midterm[2] -9 35
    1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -8 33
    1982 Reagan R First midterm -7 36
    2010 Obama D First midterm -7 33

    State overview

    Partisan control

    This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Wyoming heading into the 2018 elections.

    Congressional delegation

    State executives

    State legislature

    • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Wyoming State Legislature. They had a 51-9 majority in the state House and a 27-3 majority in the state Senate.

    Trifecta status

    2018 elections

    See also: Wyoming elections, 2018

    Wyoming held elections for the following positions in 2018:

    Demographics

    Demographic data for Wyoming
     WyomingU.S.
    Total population:586,555316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):97,0933,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:91%73.6%
    Black/African American:1.1%12.6%
    Asian:0.9%5.1%
    Native American:2.2%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
    Two or more:2.7%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:9.6%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:92.3%86.7%
    College graduation rate:25.7%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$58,840$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:12.7%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Wyoming.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    As of July 2017, Wyoming's three largest cities were Cheyenne (pop. est. 64,000), Casper (pop. est. 58,000), and Laramie (pop. est. 32,000).[3]

    State election history

    This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Wyoming from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Wyoming Secretary of State.

    Historical elections

    Presidential elections, 2000-2016

    Election results (President of the United States), Wyoming 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 68.2% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 21.9% 46.3%
    2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 68.6% Democratic Party Barack Obama 27.8% 40.8%
    2008 Republican Party John McCain 64.8% Democratic Party Barack Obama 32.5% 32.3%
    2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 68.9% Democratic Party John Kerry 29.1% 39.8%
    2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 67.8% Democratic Party Al Gore 27.7% 40.1%

    U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Wyoming from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

    Election results (U.S. Senator), Wyoming 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2014 Republican Party Mike Enzi 72.2% Democratic Party Charlie Hardy 17.5% 54.7%
    2012 Republican Party John Barasso 75.9% Democratic Party Tim Chesnut 21.6% 54.3%
    2008 Republican Party Mike Enzi 75.6% Democratic Party Chris Rothfuss 24.3% 51.3%
    2008 (special election) Republican Party John Barasso 73.4% Democratic Party Nick Carter 26.5% 46.9%
    2006 Republican Party Craig Thomas 70.0% Democratic Party Dale Groutage 29.9% 40.1%
    2002 Republican Party Mike Enzi 73.0% Democratic Party Joyce Corcoran 27.0% 46.0%
    2000 Republican Party Craig Thomas 73.8% Democratic Party Mel Logan 22.0% 51.8%

    Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Wyoming.

    Election results (U.S. Senator), Wyoming 2000-2016
    Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
    2014 Republican Party Matt Mead 58.3% Democratic Party Pete Gosar 26.7% 31.6%
    2010 Republican Party Matt Mead 65.7% Democratic Party Leslie Petersen 22.9% 42.8%
    2006 Democratic Party Dave Freudenthal 70.0% Republican Party Ray Hunkins 30.0% 40.0%
    2002 Democratic Party Dave Freudenthal 47.9% Republican Party Eli Bebout 47.9% 2.1%

    Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

    This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Wyoming in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

    Congressional delegation, Wyoming 2000-2016
    Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
    2016 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2014 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2012 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2010 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2008 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2006 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2004 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2002 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1
    2000 Republican Party 1 100% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+1

    Trifectas, 1992-2017

    A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

    Wyoming Party Control: 1992-2024
    No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
    Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties by state

    There are no Pivot Counties in Wyoming. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

    In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Wyoming with 68.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 21.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Wyoming cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Wyoming supported Republican candidates more often than Democratic candidates, 76.7 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

    Presidential results by legislative district

    The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Wyoming. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[4][5]

    In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won five out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 13.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won three out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 24.1 points.
    In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 55 out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 45 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 57 out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 51 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


    Recent news

    The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Wyoming governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

    See also

    Wyoming government:

    Elections:

    Ballotpedia exclusives:

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
    2. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
    3. Wyoming Demographics by Cubit, "Wyoming Cities by Population," accessed September 6, 2018
    4. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
    5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017