Iowa gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018

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2022
2014
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Iowa
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
Libertarian primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 16, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Gov. Kim Reynolds (Republican)
Lt. Gov. Adam Gregg (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Voting in Iowa
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2018
Impact of term limits in 2018
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
Iowa
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant governor
Attorney general
Secretary of state
Treasurer
Auditor
Agriculture commissioner

Gov. Kim Reynolds (R) defeated businessman Fred Hubbell (D), Jake Porter (L), and Gary Siegwarth (Clear Water Party of Iowa) in the general election on November 6, 2018, for Iowa's governorship. Reynolds became governor in May 2017 after Gov. Terry E. Branstad (R) resigned to become ambassador to China. Her running mate was Lieutenant Gov. Adam Gregg (R). Hubbell's running mate was state Sen. Rita Hart (D).[1]

Heading into the election, Iowa had been a Republican trifecta since 2016 when Republicans won control of the Iowa State Senate. Republicans took control of the governorship and the Iowa House of Representatives in 2010.

The winner of this election stood to influence the state's redistricting process following the 2020 census. Under Iowa state law, the state legislature is responsible for drawing new maps for U.S. House and state legislative seats following the completion of the census. The governor has the power to veto these district map proposals.[2] Click here for more information on redistricting procedures.

Heading into the election, forecasters called the race a toss-up or said it slightly favored Democrats. Donald Trump (R) won Iowa by 9.4 percentage points in the 2016 presidential election. Barack Obama (D) won Iowa by 9.5 percentage points in 2008 and 5.7 percentage points in 2012. Two of Iowa's past 10 gubernatorial elections have resulted in the seat changing hands. In the 1998 election, the Democratic Party won the governorship for the first time since 1966. The party held the governorship until Branstad was elected in 2010 by 9.5 percentage points. Branstad was re-elected in 2014 by 21.5 percentage points.

Iowa was one of 36 states that held an election for governor in 2018. Democrats gained seven previously Republican-held seats, and Republicans gained one previously independent-held seat. Heading into the 2018 elections, there were 16 Democratic governors, 33 Republican governors, and one independent governor. In 2018, 26 of the 33 states with a Republican governor held a gubernatorial election, while nine out of the 16 states with a Democratic governor held a gubernatorial election. Seventeen of the 36 seats up for election were open seats (four Democratic, 12 Republican, and one independent), meaning that the sitting governor was not seeking re-election. Click here for more information on other 2018 gubernatorial elections.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Libertarian Party For more information about the Libertarian primary, click here.

Candidates

See also: Statistics on gubernatorial candidates, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Iowa

Incumbent Kim Reynolds defeated Fred Hubbell, Jake Porter, and Gary Siegwarth in the general election for Governor of Iowa on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Kim_Reynolds_2013.jpg
Kim Reynolds (R) Candidate Connection
 
50.3
 
667,275
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Fred_Hubbell_Iowa.jpg
Fred Hubbell (D)
 
47.5
 
630,986
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jake_Porter2.jpg
Jake Porter (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.6
 
21,426
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/gary_photo.jpg
Gary Siegwarth (Clear Water Party of Iowa Party)
 
0.6
 
7,463
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
488

Total votes: 1,327,638
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Iowa

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Iowa on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Fred_Hubbell_Iowa.jpg
Fred Hubbell
 
55.5
 
99,245
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Cathy_Glasson.jpg
Cathy Glasson
 
20.6
 
36,815
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/John_Norris_Iowa.jpg
John Norris
 
11.5
 
20,498
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Andy McGuire
 
5.3
 
9,404
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Nate_Boulton_portrait.jpg
Nate Boulton
 
5.1
 
9,082
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ross_Wilburn.jpg
Ross Wilburn
 
2.2
 
3,880

Total votes: 178,924
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Iowa

Incumbent Kim Reynolds advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Iowa on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Kim_Reynolds_2013.jpg
Kim Reynolds Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
94,118

Total votes: 94,118
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for Governor of Iowa

Jake Porter defeated Marco Battaglia in the Libertarian primary for Governor of Iowa on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jake_Porter2.jpg
Jake Porter Candidate Connection
 
58.4
 
991
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Marco_Battaglia.jpg
Marco Battaglia Candidate Connection
 
41.6
 
705

Total votes: 1,696
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Lieutenant governor

General election

General election for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa

Incumbent Adam Gregg defeated Rita Hart, Lynne Gentry, and Natalia Blaskovich in the general election for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/m7ws_7YP_400x400.jpg
Adam Gregg (R)
 
50.3
 
667,275
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Rita-Hart.jpg
Rita Hart (D)
 
47.5
 
630,986
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Lynne Gentry (L)
 
1.6
 
21,426
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Natalia Blaskovich (Clear Water Party of Iowa Party)
 
0.6
 
7,463
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
488

Total votes: 1,327,638
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa

Rita Hart advanced from the Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Rita-Hart.jpg
Rita Hart
 
100.0
 
2,002

Total votes: 2,002
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Fred Hubbell, businessman
Fred Hubbell.PNG

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Hubbell received his J.D. from the University of Iowa. He served as chairman of retailer Younkers before joining life insurance firm Equitable of Iowa as president. Hubbell has also served as chairman of the Iowa Power Fund and as interim director of the Iowa Department of Economic Development.[3]

Key messages
  • Hubbell highlighted his private sector experience and said he would use it to make Iowa work for common people.[4]
  • Hubbell campaigned on his plan to invest in Iowans, particularly through increased healthcare and education funding. He said he would pay for this by ending subsidies and tax breaks for corporations.[4]
  • Hubbell criticized Reynolds for her involvement in moving the state's Medicaid program to private managed care, saying the policy caused Iowans to lose their health coverage. He also said Reynolds did not do enough to protect the state's farmers from President Donald Trump's tariffs.[4]



Kim Reynolds, governor of Iowa
Kim Reynolds 2013.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: Governor of Iowa (Assumed office: 2017), Lieutenant Governor of Iowa (2011-2017), Iowa State Senate (2009-2011)

Biography: Reynolds was born in Truro, Iowa. She attended Northwest Missouri State University, Southeastern Community College, and Southwestern Community College. Reynolds' professional experience includes working as a pharmacist assistant, serving on the staff for the Clarke County Treasurer's Office and Department of Motor Vehicles, and serving on the Iowa Public Employees Retirement System board from 1996 to 2001.[5]

Key messages
  • Reynolds highlighted her life before serving in office, including being a working parent, finishing college later in life, and working as a waitress. She contrasted herself with Hubbell, who she said was as a self-interested businessman who fired his employees and cut their pay to enrich himself.[6]
  • Reynolds pointed to her record as governor, emphasizing her work on mental health legislation, STEM education, and trade relations with foreign countries.[6]
  • Reynolds said her top priorities for her next term were creating jobs, cutting taxes, and increasing public education funding.[7]


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Iowa gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018
Poll Poll sponsor Kim Reynolds (R) Fred Hubbell (D)Other/UndecidedMargin of errorSample size
Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa
October 30-November 2, 2018
Des Moines Register 44%46%10%+/-3.5801
University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll
October 8-22, 2018
N/A 40%44%16%+/-4.5496
Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa
September 17-20, 2018
Des Moines Register 41%43%16%+/-4.2555
Emerson College
September 6-8, 2018
N/A 31%36%33%+/-3.21,000
AVERAGES 39% 42.25% 18.75% +/-3.85 713
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

PredictIt Prices

This section provides the PredictIt market prices for this race during the three months leading up to the election. PredictIt is a site where people make and trade predictions on political and financial events. Market prices reflect the probability, based on PredictIt users' predictions, that a candidate will win a race. For example, a market price of $0.60 for Candidate A is equivalent to a 60 percent probability that Candidate A will win.

Campaign finance

Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[8][9][10]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • The FAMILY LEADER and Women Speak Out PAC, a partner of the Susan B. Anthony List, announced a six-figure campaign on September 14 to mobilize anti-abortion voters in support of Reynolds.[11]

Race ratings

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[12]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[13][14][15]

Race ratings: Iowa gubernatorial election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2018October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt DemocraticToss-upToss-upToss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Hubbell (D) Reynolds (R)
Individuals
Former President Barack Obama (D)[16]
White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders[17]
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee (D)[17]
Ivanka Trump[18]
Organizations
Iowa Farm Bureau[19]
Newspapers
The Des Moines Register[20]
The Daily Iowan[21]
Iowa State Daily[21]

Timeline

  • November 3, 2018: A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll found Hubbell with 46 percent and Reynolds with 44 percent. The margin of error was 3.5 percentage points.
  • November 2, 2018: Ivanka Trump campaigned with Reynolds.[18]
  • November 1, 2018: The Daily Iowan and Iowa State Daily editorial boards endorsed Fred Hubbell.
  • October 20, 2018: The Des Moines Register reported that Hubbell had raised $17.9 million, including $6.5 million of his own money, and had $1.1 million in cash on hand. Reynolds had raised $10.8 million and had nearly $1.3 million in cash on hand.[22]
  • October 17, 2018: Reynolds and Hubbell met in a debate in Sioux City. Read more here.
  • October 10, 2018: Reynolds and Hubbell met in a debate in Des Moines. Read more here.
  • October 9, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) held a rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa. He said Hubbell wanted to “massively raise your taxes,” “take away your ethanol” and “devastate your farms and businesses.”[23]
  • October 1, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Fred Hubbell.
  • September 22, 2018: Hubbell led Reynolds 43 percent to 41 percent in a Des Moines Register poll of 555 likely voters. The margin of error was 4.2 percent.[24]
  • September 14, 2018: Women Speak Out PAC and The FAMILY LEADER announced a six-figure campaign to support Kim Reynolds.
  • September 10, 2018: An Emerson College e-poll showed Fred Hubbell leading Kim Reynolds 36-31. The margin of error was 3.2 percentage points.
  • September 7, 2018: The Iowa Farm Bureau endorsed Kim Reynolds.

Policy stances

Medicaid managed care

In April 2016, when Terry Branstad (R) was governor and Kim Reynolds was lieutenant governor, Iowa switched from a government-run Medicaid program to Medicaid managed care, where private insurance companies contracted with the state to run its Medicaid program.[25]

Democratic Party Fred Hubbell

Hubbell opposed the transition to Medicaid managed care. He said the state had lost control of the Managed Care Organizations (MCO), adding, "The MCOs write the contracts, the MCOs basically tell the providers what they’re going to pay, when they’re going to pay, here’s the rules and then they can change the rules anytime they want."[26]

Hubbell also said that the transition had harmed vulnerable Iowans and increased administrative costs. He said he would begin to transition the program away from managed care but would not move back to the fee-for-service program the state had before April 2016.[25]

Republican Party Kim Reynolds

Reynolds supported the transition to Medicaid managed care, saying it was more fiscally responsible than the previous system. She said problems with the rollout, including untimely payments to providers, were being addressed and the program needed more than two years to have time to succeed.

She said, “We’ve identified where the problems were, and I think we’ve accounted for that in the rates that we just certified, and I want to make sure that I have a sustainable system, Now we have actual experiences that we can take a look at where some of the issues were at and how we can improve the system.”[25]

Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Kim Reynolds

Support

"Leader" - Reynolds campaign ad, released July 11, 2018
"This is For" - Reynolds campaign ad, released June 7, 2018
"Longer" - Reynolds campaign ad, released May 9, 2018
"Driveway" - Reynolds campaign ad, released April 11, 2018

Oppose

"Kenneth" - Hubbell campaign ad, released October 25, 2018
"Decision" - Hubbell campaign ad, released September 22, 2018
"Reality Check" - Hubbell campaign ad, released September 13, 2018
"Closer Look" - Hubbell campaign ad, released September 6, 2018
"Trade Talks" - Hubbell campaign ad, released July 10, 2018

Democratic Party Fred Hubbell

Support
"Day One" - Hubbell campaign ad, released September 17, 2018
"Tucker" - Hubbell campaign ad, released August 27, 2018
"Revive" - Hubbell campaign ad, released August 16, 2018
"Charts" - Hubbell campaign ad, released August 15, 2018
"Delivered" - Hubbell campaign ad, released July 25, 2018
"Put People First" - Hubbell campaign ad, released July 11, 2018

Oppose

"Fact" - Reynolds campaign ad, released September 5, 2018
"Just Like Us" - Reynolds campaign ad, released August 14, 2018
"Younkers" - Reynolds campaign ad, released July 22, 2018

Debates and forums

Oct. 10 debate in Des Moines

Reynolds and Hubbell met in a debate at the Des Moines Area Community College. The issues they discussed included Medicaid, tax policy, and Iowa's economic climate.

See roundups of the debate here:

Oct. 17 debate in Sioux City

Reynolds and Hubbell met in a debate at Morningside College. The issues they discussed included abortion, medical cannabis oil, tariffs, and sexual harassment in state government.

See roundups of the debate here:

Oct. 24 debate in Davenport

Reynolds and Hubbell met in a debate in Davenport.[27]

Campaign themes

Democratic Party Fred Hubbell

Hubbell’s campaign website stated the following:

Funding Pre-K and K-12 It’s time to take politics out of education funding. Iowa used to be known as a state that guaranteed a world-class public education, but over the years we’ve seen the legislature play politics with education funding, leaving our kids and teachers out in the lurch.

As governor, Fred will work with local school districts to give them more discretion over how they locally allocate funds. Whether schools need better transportation options or programs to attract top-notch teachers in rural areas, or special funding for ELL programs in urban areas, each school system across the state should be able to provide for their community in the best way possible.

Fred has heard from school superintendents across Iowa who lament the state’s constant fluctuation in funding, preventing proper local planning. Iowa teachers deserve the resources they need to educate, and Iowa children deserve stability in their education that gives them the best opportunity to succeed. That starts with full and consistent funding.

Affordable Higher Education Iowa’s community colleges and regent schools are state treasures, but Governor Reynolds and Republican legislators are making it harder and harder for students to access higher education. In January, Governor Reynolds announced another round of cuts to higher education funding that would result in steep tuition hikes.

As governor, Fred will work with community colleges and regent schools to stabilize skyrocketing tuition. He brings with him first-hand experience as the former chair of Simpson College, where he worked to regularly find ways to reduce student debt.

Our state grows when we have the best educated workforce possible, but dramatic cuts to higher education are taking a toll on our economic development. Making higher education more accessible and affordable creates a more skilled workforce and helps get Iowa growing.

Job Training and Apprenticeship Programs Ensuring Iowans have the opportunity for higher paying jobs starts with job training. Across the state, Fred has heard from a number of employers who say jobs are going unfilled because of a lack of qualified candidates. A stronger focus on job training and apprenticeship programs is key to growing our workforce and our economy.

As the interim Director for the Department of Economic Development, Fred prioritized funding for job training and apprenticeship programs, and as governor, it will be a key piece of his education plan. Fred will work with employers to create locally-driven public-private partnerships at all high schools and community colleges to help equip Iowans with the skills local employers are looking for. Iowans deserve to work where they live.

Creating Jobs and Economic Development The best approach to creating jobs and spurring economic activity is to invest in our local communities and grow them from the ground up. For too long the Iowa legislature has created special tax giveaways for big corporations that don’t create enough jobs and don’t help get incomes rising. That money should be used to grow local Iowa businesses — including expansion of broadband internet access across the state. The amount of money rural Iowans have to pay to simply access the internet in the 21st century is unacceptable.

Fred knows we must make investments that push incomes higher for Iowans all across the state. As Director of Economic Development, Fred prioritized investing state funds in projects that created good returns for Iowans.

As a state, we can’t be flooding the market with low income jobs. As governor, Fred will work to ensure Iowans have access to jobs and higher incomes where they live — not just in our growing cities, and definitely not outside Iowa. An example can be found in our growing wind and solar industry, where we could create thousands of new jobs while investing in renewable resources.

Supporting Farmers Farmers are key to the success of Iowa’s economy. We need to support our hardworking farmers by ensuring strong trade partnerships not just with other states, but with other countries to expand our markets for Iowa-grown goods.

Continuing the investment in a robust renewable energy portfolio is a vital component in supporting Iowa’s agriculture industry. Iowa’s farmers produce much of this country’s ethanol and biodiesel supply, and that effort must continue. It’s good for agriculture, our economy, and the environment. As head of the Iowa Power Fund, Fred helped grow Iowa’s clean energy sector by making investments in more than 30 projects across the state.

Taxes We need an approach to taxes that puts people first. Our current tax system is too complicated and artificially inflates tax rates for individuals and businesses through excessive and ineffective tax credit programs. Iowa has so many tax credits, deductions and exemptions that it creates winners and losers depending on who has the best lobbyist or the most creative accountant. It’s patently unfair. In 2017, the state of Iowa awarded $208.8 million in tax credits, some of which are refundable and transferable credits the recipient can sell on the secondary market for cash.

Appointed interim Director of Economic Development by Governor Chet Culver to help clean up the disastrous film tax credit scandal in 2009, Fred also participated in a tax review panel that actually identified a bevy of wasteful tax credits and incentives that, if capped or eliminated, would have saved the state $161.5 million annually.

Governor Reynolds is giving out even more wasteful corporate giveaways, like the “Apple Deal”, which gave the richest company in the world $20 million in tax credits for only 50 permanent jobs. Meanwhile, to pay for these giveaways, Reynolds is cutting health care, higher education, infrastructure investment, funding for our court system, and much more. Iowans continue to suffer from Reynolds’ misguided priorities and fiscal mismanagement. It’s unacceptable.

As governor, Fred would propose a comprehensive reform of the state tax code that scrutinizes every tax credit and incentive to make sure they actually provide a good returns, simplifies tax law, and lowers rates for Iowa’s middle and working class families and small businesses.

Mental Health Care How we treat the most vulnerable in our community speaks volumes about our state’s strength and heart — but right now our state isn’t doing enough to fix Iowa’s growing mental health and substance abuse crisis. In every community Fred travels to Iowans are concerned about family members, friends, or neighbors who are in desperate need of mental health care and substance abuse services but don’t have local access.

We need to reverse Medicaid privatization, give local communities more authority to invest in locally-driven programs like crisis intervention and prison diversion programs, create a program for youth in need of treatment, put a focus on preventive treatment, and increase the number of high-intensity treatment beds available across the state.

While the legislature has slashed funding for mental health services and failed to properly address this growing crisis, Fred and his wife, Charlotte, have personally worked with a local medical center to help increase the number of acute treatment beds by 50%, hire additional mental health professionals, and expand services. As governor, Fred will expand on this work and bring much needed care to communities statewide.

Click here to find Fred’s plan to fix Iowa’s growing mental health care crisis.

Medicaid We need to reverse Medicaid privatization NOW. We see story after story in our local communities and in the press about what a disaster the Reynolds’ failed privatization experiment has been, but they have not taken action to rectify it.

Medicaid privatization has left many of the 600,000 Iowans who use the program with greatly reduced benefits and systemic denials of coverage that especially hurt the most vulnerable among us: the elderly, children, and the disabled. Health care providers continue to be financially strapped, with some forced to close, because of denied and delayed payments from managed care organizations. In addition, over a third of patients were left with just ONE care provider after the departure of AmeriHealth late last year. So how is the Reynolds Administration addressing the failures of her privatization experiment? By hiring the same Medicaid director who drove Kansas’ Medicaid system in to the ground.

We cannot wait any longer. As governor, reversing Medicaid privatization will be a priority on Day 1.

Planned Parenthood Fred is the former chair of Planned Parenthood of Mid-Iowa and served on its board for a number of years. During his time at Planned Parenthood, protesters threatened his business because of his work with the women’s health organization — but, to Fred, what’s right is right. Not only did he continue to work with Planned Parenthood, but in 2011 when they were blocked from opening a new clinic in Dubuque, Charlotte and Fred stepped in to help the organization purchase a new building and successfully open the new clinic, bringing better and safer health care services to women in Eastern Iowa.

Part of making sure all Iowans have access to quality and affordable healthcare is ensuring everyone is treated fairly — no matter their gender or economic circumstance. Planned Parenthood provides important medical services and education for thousands of Iowans, and as governor, Fred will continue to do everything he can to restore state funding and improve access to quality, affordable health care across the state.

Environment
s Iowans, we take great pride in our land and natural resources — from our fertile soil to our rivers, lakes and trails all across the state. They not only drive our economy, but boost our quality of life. By investing in renewable energy, preserving our topsoil, and bringing together all Iowans, urban and rural, to address growing water and air quality concerns, we can ensure that the Iowa we all love is safe and protected for future generations.

Fred and his wife, Charlotte, have been long time supporters and advocates for environmental sustainability efforts. Fred served as chairman of the Iowa Power Fund from 2007 – 2011, where he led efforts to invest state funds in the renewable energy sector, helping make Iowa a leading producer of wind power and clean energy. Charlotte currently serves on the Environmental Law and Policy Center’s Iowa Advisory Council, co-founded the Iowa Environmental Council in 1993, and previously served on the Iowa Environmental Protection Commission, overseeing the environmental protection activities of the Iowa Department of Natural Resources.

Click here to read Fred’s detailed plan to protect Iowa’s precious natural resources.

Air & Water Quality

We need a unified effort, in both our urban and rural communities, to implement long-term, permanent solutions to protect the water we all share. By supporting our farmers to implement sustainable farming practices and promoting expanded soil and water conservation efforts, together with appropriate water quality monitoring and transparency across the state, we can help keep our drinking water and recreational waters clean and safe for all Iowans.

Given the very rapid increase in the number of CAFOs across our state, and the growing number of counties which have registered their frustrations with current rules, it is also time to review the state’s master matrix and its applications.

Restoring Workers' Rights
Expanded collective bargaining is not only the right thing to do, it’s personal to Fred. He is a former labor union member, and both his daughter and son-in-law currently belong to a union. When Fred later became a business leader, he regularly worked with unions to encourage their representation in the workforce and ensure fairness at each and every level.

The dismantling of workers’ rights in Iowa is politically motivated and wrong. Every Iowan deserves safe working conditions and to be paid fairly for their work. As governor, Fred would restore Chapter 20, allowing for expanded collective bargaining rights, and restore the workers compensation laws that were recently stripped, allowing Iowans who are hurt on the job the protection they deserve.

Across the state, teachers are leaving Iowa to seek employment in states with stronger collective bargaining rights and better pay. If we want to provide our kids with a world-class education, we need to fix the damage done to workers rights by Republican leadership in the legislature.

Supporting Veterans
When our state’s women and men step up to serve, they put everything on the line. They do it for family, friends, and for our country — for all of us. When they return home, they should find a state that is not only grateful for their service but one that makes them feel welcome, that eases them into civilian life and provides them with the resources they need to move their lives forward.

Our Veterans should receive the quality health care they deserve. As governor, I will work to make sure the state of Iowa is an ally in connecting Veterans with services through the VA. In reversing Medicaid privatization and increasing access to mental health services, we’ll reform a system that has grown to value profits over people into one that puts people first.

Beyond services, Veterans should come home to a state that is a partner in their transition back to civilian life. As governor, I will work to ensure our state invests in opportunity, expanding access to capital investment funding, and connecting Veterans to gainful employment in the private sector. The skills forged in military service are invaluable to Iowa’s businesses, and we need that skilled labor across our state — from improving our infrastructure, to teaching our students, to working in our hospitals or clinics. Further, we’ll work to ensure access to quality, affordable, continuing education opportunities so we ensure that development never ceases, and that all Iowans have an opportunity to grow.

[28]

—Fred Hubbell’s campaign website (2018)[29]

Republican Party Kim Reynolds

Reynolds' campaign website stated the following:

Kim Reynolds understands the challenges families face because she’s faced them herself. A fifth-generation Iowan, she grew up in a working-class family in St. Charles, Iowa. A recognized leader in state and local issues, Kim served as county treasurer and state senator before becoming Lieutenant Governor and Governor.

As Lt. Governor, she served as the chairwoman of the National Lt. Governors Association. In this role, she led nationwide discussions on policy, economic development, and issues affecting states across the country.

Kim has made Iowa a national leader in STEM education; and she’s led economic development trade missions to China, Germany, South Korea, Vietnam, the Philippines and Thailand, working towards increased exports, more foreign direct investment and new jobs for Iowa.

Throughout her entire life, Kim Reynolds has never forgotten her working class roots. As a teenager she worked as a waitress at Younkers, and later as a checker at Hy-Vee all while raising a young family and getting her college degree.

That’s why her top priorities as governor are creating good-paying jobs, cutting taxes, investing in public schools, and increasing opportunity in every part of Iowa. Kim and her husband, “First Dude” Kevin, have been married 36 years, have three daughters and nine grandchildren. [28]

—Kim Reynolds' campaign website (2018)[30]

Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Fred Hubbell Facebook

Republican Party Kim Reynolds Facebook

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Thirty-one of 99 Iowa counties—31 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Allamakee County, Iowa 24.15% 4.17% 14.25%
Boone County, Iowa 13.69% 6.64% 7.63%
Bremer County, Iowa 13.68% 2.68% 9.31%
Buchanan County, Iowa 15.02% 13.87% 18.48%
Cedar County, Iowa 17.78% 4.59% 9.64%
Cerro Gordo County, Iowa 7.66% 13.38% 20.83%
Chickasaw County, Iowa 22.94% 11.07% 20.74%
Clarke County, Iowa 28.02% 1.47% 2.25%
Clayton County, Iowa 22.78% 7.03% 17.17%
Clinton County, Iowa 5.12% 22.84% 23.03%
Des Moines County, Iowa 6.89% 18.41% 23.04%
Dubuque County, Iowa 1.23% 14.71% 20.77%
Fayette County, Iowa 19.36% 11.96% 16.60%
Floyd County, Iowa 14.84% 14.63% 21.88%
Howard County, Iowa 20.49% 20.95% 25.78%
Jackson County, Iowa 19.27% 16.89% 24.39%
Jasper County, Iowa 18.13% 7.07% 7.50%
Jefferson County, Iowa 0.47% 15.97% 20.23%
Jones County, Iowa 19.08% 7.78% 10.40%
Lee County, Iowa 16.02% 15.49% 16.01%
Louisa County, Iowa 28.37% 0.64% 4.25%
Marshall County, Iowa 8.31% 9.36% 9.35%
Mitchell County, Iowa 24.04% 3.37% 12.31%
Muscatine County, Iowa 6.26% 15.88% 15.64%
Poweshiek County, Iowa 6.53% 9.35% 11.75%
Tama County, Iowa 20.28% 7.43% 12.19%
Union County, Iowa 27.49% 3.86% 3.70%
Wapello County, Iowa 20.60% 11.88% 13.53%
Webster County, Iowa 21.52% 5.84% 8.51%
Winneshiek County, Iowa 0.79% 14.74% 22.65%
Worth County, Iowa 21.68% 14.53% 22.42%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Iowa with 51.1 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 41.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1848 and 2016, Iowa voted Republican 69.76 percent of the time and Democratic 30.23 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Iowa voted Democratic three times and Republican the other two times.[31]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Iowa. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[32][33]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 61 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 19.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 35 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 18.8 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 39 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 13.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 65 out of 100 state House districts in Iowa with an average margin of victory of 24.5 points. Trump won 10 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

Election history

2014

See also: Iowa Gubernatorial election, 2014
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Iowa, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTerry Branstad/Kim Reynolds Incumbent 59% 666,023
     Democratic Jack Hatch/Monica Vernon 37.3% 420,778
     Libertarian Lee Hieb/Tim Watson 1.8% 20,319
     New Independent Party Jim Hennager/Mary Krieg 0.9% 10,582
     Iowa Party Jonathan Narcisse/Michael Richards 0.9% 10,239
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0.1% 1,093
Total Votes 1,129,034
Election results via Iowa Secretary of State

2010

See also: Iowa gubernatorial election, 2010
2010 Iowa gubernatorial general election
Party Candidate Vote Percentage
     Democratic Party Chet Culver 42.85%
     Republican Party Approveda Terry E. Branstad 52.15%
     Socialist Dave Rosenfeld 0.24%
     Libertarian Party Eric Cooper 1.27%
     Independent Jonathan Narcisse 1.88%
     Independent Gregory James Hughes 0.34%
     Other write-ins 0.25%
     Other spoilt ballots 1.01%
Total Votes 1,131,434

Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to gubernatorial elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 11 gubernatorial waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

Gubernatorial wave elections
Year President Party Election type Gubernatorial seats change Elections analyzed[34]
1970 Nixon R First midterm -12 35
1922 Harding R First midterm -11 33
1932 Hoover R Presidential -10 35
1920 Wilson D Presidential -10 36
1994 Clinton D First midterm -10 36
1930 Hoover R First midterm -9 33
1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -9 33
1966 Johnson D First midterm[35] -9 35
1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -8 33
1982 Reagan R First midterm -7 36
2010 Obama D First midterm -7 33

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Iowa heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Iowa General Assembly. They had a 58-41 majority in the state House and a 29-20 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Iowa had a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled both chambers of the state legislature and the governorship. Kim Reynolds (R) served as governor; she succeeded Terry E. Branstad, who resigned on May 24, 2017, to take the position of U.S. Ambassador to China.

2018 elections

See also: Iowa elections, 2018

Iowa held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Iowa
 IowaU.S.
Total population:3,121,997316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):55,8573,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:91.2%73.6%
Black/African American:3.2%12.6%
Asian:2%5.1%
Native American:0.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:2%3%
Hispanic/Latino:5.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91.5%86.7%
College graduation rate:26.7%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$53,183$53,889
Persons below poverty level:13.8%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Iowa.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Iowa's three largest cities were Des Moines (pop. est. 220,000), Cedar Rapids (pop. est. 130,000), and Davenport (pop. est. 100,000).[36]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Iowa from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Iowa Secretary of State website.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Iowa every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Iowa 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 50.7% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 41.3% 9.4%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 51.7% Republican Party Mitt Romney 46.0% 5.7%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 53.7% Republican Party John McCain 44.2% 9.5%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 49.9% Democratic Party John Kerry 49.2% 0.7%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 48.5% Republican Party George W. Bush 48.2% 0.3%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Iowa from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Iowa 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Chuck Grassley 60.1% Democratic Party Patty Judge 35.7% 24.4%
2014 Republican Party Joni Ernst 51.5% Democratic Party Bruce Braley 43.3% 8.2%
2010 Republican Party Chuck Grassley 63.4% Democratic Party Roxanne Conlin 32.8% 30.6%
2008 Democratic Party Tom Harkin 61.4% Republican Party Christopher Reed 36.5% 24.9%
2004 Republican Party Chuck Grassley 70.2% Democratic Party Arthur Small 27.9% 42.3%
2002 Democratic Party Tom Harkin 54.2% Republican Party Greg Ganske 43.8% 10.4%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Iowa.

Election results (Governor), Iowa 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Terry Branstad 58.4% Democratic Party Jack Hatch 36.9% 21.5%
2010 Republican Party Terry Branstad 52.3% Democratic Party Chet Culver 42.8% 9.5%
2006 Democratic Party Chet Culver 53.7% Republican Party Jim Nussle 44.1% 9.6%
2002 Democratic Party Tom Vilsack 52.7% Republican Party Doug Gross 44.5% 8.2%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Iowa in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Iowa 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 3 75.0% Democratic Party 1 25.0% R+2
2014 Republican Party 3 75.0% Democratic Party 1 25.0% R+2
2012[37] Republican Party 2 50.0% Democratic Party 2 50.0% Split
2010 Republican Party 2 40.0% Democratic Party 3 60.0% D+1
2008 Republican Party 2 40.0% Democratic Party 3 60.0% D+1
2006 Republican Party 2 40.0% Democratic Party 3 60.0% D+1
2004 Republican Party 4 80.0% Democratic Party 1 20.0% R+3
2002 Republican Party 4 80.0% Democratic Party 1 20.0% R+3
2000 Republican Party 4 80.0% Democratic Party 1 20.0% R+3

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Iowa Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R S S D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R
House D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


Recent news

The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Iowa governor election 2018. These results are automatically generated from Google. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles.

See also

Iowa government:

Elections:

Ballotpedia exclusives:

External links

Footnotes

  1. Des Moines Register, "Fred Hubbell names Sen. Rita Hart as running mate on Democratic ticket for governor," June 16, 2018
  2. All about Redistricting, "Who draws the lines?" accessed January 24, 2018
  3. Fred Hubbell for Governor, "Home," accessed November 12, 2017
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 YouTube, "Fred Hubbell," accessed September 13, 2018
  5. Office of the Iowa Lieutenant Governor, "About the Lieutenant Governor," accessed February 15, 2016 (Archived)
  6. 6.0 6.1 YouTube, "Kim Reynolds," accessed September 13, 2018
  7. Kim Reynolds for Governor, "Meet Kim," accessed September 13, 2018
  8. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  9. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  10. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  11. Caffeinated Thoughts, "Pro-Life Groups Announce Six-Figure Campaign to Back Kim Reynolds," September 14, 2018
  12. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  13. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  14. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  15. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  16. Twitter, "Barack Obama on October 1, 2018"
  17. 17.0 17.1 NPR Illinois, "In Danger Of Losing, Iowa Governor Enlists Republican Heavy Hitters Ahead Of Midterms," October 17, 2018
  18. 18.0 18.1 Des Moines Register, "Ivanka Trump to campaign with Kim Reynolds on Friday in Iowa governor's race," November 1, 2018
  19. Caffeinated Thoughts, "Iowa Farm Bureau Endorses Kim Reynolds, Mike Naig," September 7, 2018
  20. Des Moines Register, "Register Editorial Board's endorsement: Hubbell is the governor Iowa needs to move forward," October 20, 2018
  21. 21.0 21.1 Iowa State Daily, "Editorial: The Iowa State Daily and The Daily Iowan endorse Fred Hubbell as right choice for Iowa," November 1, 2018
  22. Des Moines Register, "Fueled in part by his own contributions, Democrat Hubbell outraises Republican Reynolds in governor's race," October 20, 2018
  23. Washington Post, "‘Too dangerous to govern’: Trump paints a dark picture of Democratic control," October 9, 2018
  24. Des Moines Register, "Iowa Poll: Democrat Fred Hubbell narrowly leads Republican Kim Reynolds in governor's race," September 25, 2018
  25. 25.0 25.1 25.2 The Courier, "Reynolds, Hubbell disagree over Medicaid," September 5, 2018
  26. Quad City Times, "Hubbell: State has lost control over its Medicaid program," September 12, 2018
  27. KTIV, "Kim Reynolds and Fred Hubbell agree on debate dates," September 10, 2018
  28. 28.0 28.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  29. Fred Hubbell for Governor, “Priorities,” accessed September 13, 2018
  30. Kim Reynolds for Governor, “Meet Kim,” accessed September 18, 2018
  31. 270towin.com, "Iowa," accessed June 1, 2017
  32. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  33. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  34. The number of gubernatorial seats up for election varies, with as many as 36 seats and as few as 12 seats being up in a single even-numbered year.
  35. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
  36. Iowa Demographics, "Iowa Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
  37. Iowa lost one U.S. House seat following the 2010 census.