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North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2018

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General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ted-Budd.PNG
Ted Budd (R)
 
51.5
 
147,570
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Kathy-Manning.PNG
Kathy Manning (D)
 
45.5
 
130,402
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/tombailey.jpg
Tom Bailey (L)
 
1.9
 
5,513
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RobertCorriher2023.jpeg
Robert Corriher (G)
 
1.0
 
2,831

Total votes: 286,316
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020
2016
North Carolina's 13th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 28, 2018
Primary: May 8, 2018
Primary runoff: July 17, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Ted Budd (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+19
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
North Carolina's 13th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
North Carolina elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Ted Budd (R) defeated Kathy Manning (D), Tom Bailey (Libertarian Party), and Robert Corriher (Green Party) in the general election for North Carolina's 13th Congressional District on November 6, 2018.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Budd ran for a second term after initially winning election to this seat in 2016 by 12 points. The district was among the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's initial targets in 2018.[1]

North Carolina's 13th Congressional District is located in the northern portion of the state and includes Davidson and Davie counties and portions of Guilford, Iredell, and Rowan counties.[2]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Election updates

  • October 21, 2018: The National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund spent more than $178,000 supporting Ted Budd.
  • October 8, 2018: A poll commissioned by the Civitas Institute and conducted by SurveyUSA showed Budd leading Manning by 3 points, 44 percent to 41 percent. There were 533 likely voters surveyed and the margin of error was 5.2 percent.[3]
  • October 8, 2018: In a New York Times and Siena College poll of 500 voters, Budd led Manning by 6 points, 47 percent to 41 percent. The margin of error was 4.9 percent.[4]

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13

Incumbent Ted Budd defeated Kathy Manning, Tom Bailey, and Robert Corriher in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ted-Budd.PNG
Ted Budd (R)
 
51.5
 
147,570
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Kathy-Manning.PNG
Kathy Manning (D)
 
45.5
 
130,402
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/tombailey.jpg
Tom Bailey (L)
 
1.9
 
5,513
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RobertCorriher2023.jpeg
Robert Corriher (G)
 
1.0
 
2,831

Total votes: 286,316
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13

Kathy Manning defeated Adam Coker in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Kathy-Manning.PNG
Kathy Manning
 
70.1
 
19,554
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Adam_Headshot_2018-1.jpg
Adam Coker
 
29.9
 
8,324

Total votes: 27,878
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13

Incumbent Ted Budd advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ted-Budd.PNG
Ted Budd

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Tom Bailey advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13.

Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Kathy Manning, business owner
Kathy Manning.PNG

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Manning received her bachelor's degree from Harvard University and her J.D. from the University of Michigan. She was a partner at a law firm in Greensboro, North Carolina, for 15 years before starting her own business.[5]

Key messages
  • Manning said she would put the country before her party in Congress and work with anyone to help North Carolina families in areas such as job growth and healthcare.[5][6]
  • Manning said she would stand up to special interest groups in the healthcare industry and work to lower the cost of prescription drugs and protect insurance coverage for individuals with preexisting conditions. She personalized the message by speaking about her daughter's experience with chronic illness.[5][6]
  • Manning said both parties and their leadership were to blame for congressional dysfunction and that she would vote against Nancy Pelosi for House Democratic leader.[7]



Ted Budd, U.S. representative from NC-13
Ted Budd.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: United States House of Representatives (assumed office: 2017)

Biography: Budd received his B.S. from Appalachian State University, his M.A. from Dallas Theological Seminary, and his M.B.A. from Wake Forest University. He was a investment analyst and business owner before being elected to Congress in 2016.[8] Budd joined the House Freedom Caucus after being elected.

Key messages
  • Budd said he was a political outsider who would stand up to insiders and make hard decisions "no matter how the liberal media and the politically correct Establishment react."[9]
  • Budd said he was working to address the opioid crisis and listened to his constituent's experiences with addiction and treatment along the way.[10]
  • Budd said he delivered on his 2016 campaign promises by cutting taxes, creating jobs, and addressing the opioid crisis. He said he would continue to advance these priorities if re-elected.[11]


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, general election
Poll Poll sponsor Kathy Manning (D) Ted Budd (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
SurveyUSA/Civitas Institute
(October 9-12, 2018)
Civitas Institute 41%44%15%+/-5.2533
New York Times Upshot/Siena College
October 3-8, 2018
New York Times 41%47%12%+/-4.9500
Civitas Institute
(July 12-16, 2018)
Civitas Institute 35%40%25%+/-4.0537
AVERAGES 39% 43.67% 17.33% +/-4.7 523.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign contributions

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ted Budd Republican Party $2,432,467 $2,381,821 $70,239 As of December 31, 2018
Kathy Manning Democratic Party $4,211,689 $4,206,037 $5,652 As of December 31, 2018
Robert Corriher Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Tom Bailey Libertarian Party $5,855 $5,677 $0 As of November 15, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • The American Bankers Association spent $125,000 supporting Ted Budd on April 25.[15]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[17]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[18][19][20]

Race ratings: North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 13th Congressional District the 47th most Republican nationally.[21]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[22]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Manning (D) Budd (R)
Organizations
Americans for Prosperity[23]
NextGen Climate Action[24]

Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Kathy Manning

Support

"Opportunity" - Manning campaign video, released September 19, 2018
"The Goal" - Manning campaign video, released September 19, 2018
"Blessings" - Manning campaign video, released August 21, 2018
"Shouting" - Manning campaign video, released August 14, 2018

Oppose

"A Flock of Liberals" - Club for Growth ad, released October 10, 2018

Republican Party Ted Budd

Support

"Ted Budd Will Protect Your Right to Self-Defense" - NRA ad, released October 23, 2018
"Tristan" - Budd campaign video, released September 6, 2018
"Saying" - Budd campaign video, released August 22, 2018

Oppose

"The Breaks" - House Majority PAC ad, released October 23, 2018
"Health" - League of Conservation Voters ad, released October 9, 2018
"Home" - Manning campaign video, released October 5, 2018

Campaign themes

Democratic Party Kathy Manning

Manning’s campaign website stated the following:

Jobs & The Economy
An Economy That Works for all North Carolinians

Good Paying Jobs for North Carolina: Kathy understands the importance of job creation and economic development. Kathy has spent her career working to make her community a better place, including helping to spearhead key economic development projects to revitalize downtown Greensboro. She thinks that the last thing our government should do is incentivize American jobs to go overseas. As a new Member of Congress, she’ll ensure our taxpayer dollars go toward supporting jobs here at home, and close tax loopholes that reward corporations that ship jobs overseas. Strong Small Businesses Make Strong Communities: As a business person, Kathy knows that small businesses are the key to creating jobs and helping communities thrive. North Carolina must be an environment for small businesses to compete, grow, and thrive in a 21st century economy. Kathy will work to support programs that help small businesses attract the funding, skilled workforce, and incentives they need to innovate and thrive in North Carolina. World Class Vocational Education, STEM, and Skills-Based Education and Training: During the Great Recession, Kathy led key efforts to help people in our community get back on their feet through job retraining programs. She understands the first step to bringing good jobs to North Carolina is having a skilled and prepared workforce. As a Member of Congress, Kathy will work to make sure our schools provide the top-quality education our children need to be ready for the jobs of today and the jobs of the future. Kathy will fight for tax credits for employers who increase their spending on training workers through a wide range of programs including apprenticeships programs, community colleges, and technical schools. An Equal Playing Field for North Carolina Workers: The trade deals of the past decimated North Carolina manufacturing, costing us hundreds of thousands of jobs in the manufacturing industry across our state and ruining lives. We have a responsibility to make sure trade deals are fair to American workers and that countries that cheat are required to pay the requisite penalties. Infrastructure: The 13th District includes major interstates I-85, I-40 and I-77, an international airport and several railways. Kathy will fight for investment in our infrastructure to improve our transportation system, increase economic growth in our communities and improve the quality of life. And Kathy opposes the I-77 toll road scheme, which works for foreign interests but not for the people of North Carolina. It’s costly and disruptive.

Affordable Healthcare & Drug Prices

Fixing Our Healthcare System: The high cost of healthcare and prescription drugs is a major problem, mostly because Congress is owned by special interests. Kathy Manning won’t take a dime from insurance companies or big drug companies who rig the system so people pay more and get less care in return. Our healthcare system is inefficient, costly, and inaccessible to many. Congress has failed to focus on how to fix this broken system. Kathy will work find solutions that will allow every American to get affordable healthcare, including people with pre-existing conditions and seniors. Lower Prescription Drug Prices: When a chronic illness struck one of her daughters, Kathy experienced firsthand the frustration of fighting with big insurance companies to get the medication her daughter needed. She also learned the outrageous prices drug companies charge for prescription drugs – drugs that could be purchased for half the price in other countries. Kathy will fight to bring down the cost of prescription drugs. Kathy supports allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices, examining the role of drug benefit managers in high drug prices, and looking for other ways to make prescription medication more affordable. She will look into shortages of much needed medications and she will go after price gougers. Fixing a Broken System: Kathy believes we must reduce the fragmentation in our healthcare system while emphasizing early detection and preventative care, including encouraging healthier living choices. We must also reduce reliance on expensive emergency room visits by increasing access to doctors and medical professionals.

Reducing Special Interest Influence

No Corporate PAC Pledge: Our current Congressman’s voting record shows what happens when a member of Congress listens to special interests instead of the people who elected him. There is too much special interest influence in Washington and not enough listening to North Carolinians. That’s why Kathy has taken a pledge to not accept a single dime of corporate PAC money during her campaign for Congress. She will not be beholden to large corporations and special interest influence. The people of North Carolina are Kathy’s only constituency. Putting a Stop to the Revolving Door: There are too many politicians and lobbyists going through the revolving door of the Washington swamp. Kathy supports legislation that would ban Members of Congress for five years from lobbying. End Citizens United: Corporate special interests are permitted undue influence in our political system through undisclosed and unlimited contributions to super PACs. Washington politicians like our current Congressman put these special interests before the needs of their constituents in order to raise campaign cash. This system must change. That’s why Kathy supports legislation that will end the corrupting impact of the Supreme Court’s decision in Citizens United and that will increase transparency of campaign spending. No Corporate or Taxpayer Funded Trips. If there is really an important fact-finding trip that’s necessary to pass laws that help North Carolina, Kathy will pay her own way – no vacation junkets paid for by your taxes or corporate special interests.

Quality Education
Quality Education for North Carolina Kids

Creating Opportunity: Quality public education is the key to opportunity. Kathy will fight to ensure every child goes to a great public school regardless of their zip code. She will also fight to increase the availability of vocational and technical education for those who want to learn skills, and providing them job readiness that will lead them to a good career and a productive future. Technical and Vocational Training to Land A Good Job: Roughly six million jobs are unfilled in this country due to a mismatch between the skills workers possess and those needed by employers. This skills gap is impacting key industries in our community such as manufacturing and transportation. Kathy will work to increase access to apprenticeship opportunities as well as vocational and technical education and training programs to shrink the skills gap and prepare our workforce for the 21st century economy. She will also support legislation to allow parents to use 529 college savings plans on skills and apprenticeship programs. Affordable Higher Education: Kathy believes a quality education provides the foundation for success in the 21st century economy. Every student should have access to an affordable education in our community colleges, four year universities, and technical and vocational institutions. Kathy supports expanding access to Pell Grants and allowing student borrowers to refinance their federal student loans to make college more affordable for all families. HBCUs Make America Strong: North Carolina has more Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) than all but one other state in the country. HBCUs educate a disproportionate number of first generation and low-income students, providing pathways to opportunity for communities in need. In Congress, Kathy is committed to fighting for greater financial support for these institutions and expanding opportunities for the students they serve.

Veterans & Military Families
Supporting Our Veterans & Military Families

Protecting Veterans Healthcare: North Carolina’s brave veterans deserve our gratitude and care when they return home. The 13th District is home to many veterans, as well as to the W.G. Hefner Veterans Affairs Medical Center, which provides services to the thousands of veterans located in the Triad region. Kathy believes our heroes deserve access to affordable and excellent continuing education top-quality and timely health care and economic opportunities when they come home. Economic Opportunities for Veterans: Veterans and their families serve our nation and deserve our respect and support once their service is completed. Kathy will fight for policies that support our veterans throughout their transition to civilian life. She’s committed to championing policies that will increase economic opportunity such as the extension and expansion tax credits for employers who prioritize hiring veterans. Protecting Military Families from Payday Lenders: Payday lending was outlawed in North Carolina years ago because it preyed on service members and their families. Now, after thousands of dollars in lobbying efforts and campaign donations, politicians like Congressman Budd are leading the effort to roll back consumer protections that protect working people from these predatory lenders. Kathy will never sell our heroes and their families out for campaign contributions. Instead, she’ll fight to protect military families from predatory payday lenders looking to make a quick buck at their expense.

Protecting Our Seniors
Standing Strong for North Carolina Seniors

Protecting Medicare and Social Security: Medicare and Social Security are this nation’s top commitment to our seniors. Kathy is committed to ensuring Medicare and Social Security are protected for this generation and generations to come. North Carolina seniors deserve the healthcare and retirement they have earned by working hard and playing by the rules. Kathy strongly opposes any attempts to cut benefits for our seniors by privatizing Social Security. Because it’s your money, not the Washington politicians’ money, and she won’t let them take away the money you paid in with every paycheck. Fighting the Age Tax: Last year, Congressman Budd supported legislation that would allow insurance companies to charge older adults five times more than younger adults. The AARP called this an “Age Tax.” Kathy will fight against legislation that discriminates against older policyholders.

Country Over Party
Bringing Commonsense Back to Washington

Country Over Party: Washington is dysfunctional. Partisan bickering has gotten in the way of getting things done, Congress is lurching from crisis to crisis, and the unlimited money being spent by special interests is having a corrosive effect on legislation and diminishing the American people’s trust in government. We need new leadership on both sides of the aisle. We need leaders and members who will put party aside, put the interests of the country and the American people first, and work hard and together to address the tough problems that are impacting our communities and the future of our country. Responsible Leadership: Kathy supports legislation like “No Budget, No Pay,” which would prohibit Members of Congress from receiving a paycheck if they don’t get their jobs done. Kathy supports term limits to encourage new leaders and fresh ideas. Kathy also supports saving taxpayer dollars by cutting duplicative and ineffective government programs. Just last year, the Government Accountability Office pointed out over $16 billion dollars in government programs that could be eliminated or changed because they are duplicative of other programs. A Representative Who Listens to North Carolina: Our current Congressman hasn’t held a single, in-person town hall meeting since he was elected. Instead of listening to the people who elected him, he hired lobbyists as top staffers and has taken hundreds of thousands of dollars from corporate special interests in campaign contributions. His voting record shows that he is doing the bidding of those special interests rather than voting for things that will help the people of our district. As a Member of Congress, Kathy pledges to hold regular, in-person, town hall meetings and listen to the concerns of her constituents to ensure the people of North Carolina are always heard by their elected leaders.

Defending America’s Values

Right to Vote and Fair Representation: There is nothing more American than the right to vote. Kathy is fed up with politicians attacking the right to vote and access to democracy for their own partisan, political gain. She’s also tired of politicians rigging the system by drawing unfair and unconstitutional voting districts. Kathy will fight to protect our democracy – from fighting against gerrymandering to standing up for the rights of our citizens to vote. Equality Under The Law: This country was built on the idea that if you work hard and play by the rules, you should be able to build a good future for yourself and your family. Kathy believes that idea should be accessible to everyone, and all our citizens deserve equality under the law no matter their race, gender, or sexual orientation. Comprehensive Immigration Reform: Kathy understands how complex and outdated our immigration system is, and thinks there should be more people in Washington who know what they’re talking about when it comes to immigration. Kathy believes we need commonsense immigration reform that will secure our borders, create a pathway for Dreamers, and strengthen North Carolina and our country’s economy. America’s Place in the World: America is the greatest country in the world and has a responsibility to lead on the world’s stage. Kathy will always fight to ensure America leads responsibly and with our values front and center. Kathy also believes that we should be striking trade deals that help North Carolina manufacturers and farmers, not deals that leave North Carolina workers out in the cold. As a Member of Congress, Kathy will always advocate for responsible, values-driven leadership that works for North Carolina and our country.

Keeping North Carolina Safe

Commonsense Gun Safety: Kathy grew up in a house with a gun and has always supported the Second Amendment. Her father taught her that with rights come responsibilities, and we have a responsibility to keep our kids and families safe from harm. Partisan politics and special interest influence is preventing politicians from getting anything done to keep our families safe in their schools, homes, businesses, places of worship, and public spaces. As a mother of three, Kathy never wants parents to wonder if their children will be safe when they leave their homes each day. Kathy knows there are commonsense, bipartisan policies that can take steps in the right direction, but there are too few people in Washington with the political courage to do what’s right. Kathy supports comprehensive background checks, closing loopholes for gun show sales, and keeping weapons out of the hands of terrorists, domestic abusers, criminals, individuals with mental illness, and those who pose a danger to themselves or others. Access to Mental Health Resources: Nearly two-thirds of all adults experience some type of mental illness in their lives, yet do not receive proper treatment. Kathy will take mental health care seriously and fight to ensure North Carolinians have access to the care they need to keep themselves healthy, both physically and mentally.

Fighting the Opioid Crisis

Holding Big Drug Companies Accountable: In 2016, over 1,500 North Carolinians died from opioid-related overdoses. Opioids have become an increasingly serious public health crisis for our communities, especially in the 13th District. Kathy will stand up against big pharmaceutical companies who have played a significant role in creating and fueling this crisis. For far too long, Washington politicians have failed to hold big drug companies accountable for their actions, all while those politicians line their pockets with special interest campaign contributions. Kathy will be free to go after outrageous drug prices because she won’t be taking campaign contributions from the same companies that are overcharging people for much needed medications. Keeping Our Communities Healthy: Kathy will also fight to ensure that our communities have the resources they need to address the health crisis happening on the ground. Kathy supports treatment programs that focus on rehabilitation to ensure former users become healthy, stay healthy, and are able to become productive members of society.

Protecting Our Environment

A Strong Economy and a Healthy Environment Go Hand-in-Hand: Kathy will work to ensure North Carolina continues its leadership in renewable energy technology and will help incentivize companies to shift toward more sustainable and cleaner power supplies. North Carolina families must also have clean water to drink and clean air to breathe. We’ve seen firsthand what happens when companies break the rules — children and families get sick. The health, safety, and well-being of North Carolina families are Kathy’s top priorities.

Women & Families
When Women Succeed, America Succeeds: Kathy understands the importance of empowering women and girls, protecting access to health care, and fighting for a fair playing field for women. Kathy will never let the government come between a woman and her doctor and will fight to ensure equal economic opportunities for women and girls, including equal pay for equal work, affordable and quality child care, and access to paid family leave.

[25]

—Kathy Manning’s campaign website (2018)[26]

Republican Party Ted Budd

Budd’s campaign website stated the following:

Taking On Political Insiders
I’m running for re-election because we need someone in Congress who is unafraid of political insiders, someone who will fight for solutions that make a difference. With so much riding on this election, we cannot send another political insider to Washington.

We need men and women in Congress who are willing to make the tough decisions it will take to solve problems – no matter how the liberal media and the politically correct Establishment react. Now is the time to take a stand and get things done.

I am committed to serving my community and defending our conservative values. Freedom, the family, and fiscal responsibility are under attack all day, every day. Washington DC and the radical left-wing are counting on people like us to give in. To preserve the freedoms we’ve experienced for generations, we can’t let them win.

Protecting Freedom
America is the “shining city on a hill” because of its freedom, yet today liberals are waging an unrelenting assault on our founding principles. I will continue to stand up to their assault and protect our constitutional freedoms. I have done as your voice in Congress for the last two years, and it is now more critical than ever that we continue this positive change.

We deserve freedom from oppression, both foreign and domestic. We must continue to support President Trump and his effective policies. He has gone to great lengths to return America to a strong and safe country and we must continue the progress. We should build a wall along our Southern border and prosecute illegal immigrants for breaking the law. I’ve led the fight in Congress to cripple terrorist organizations by attacking their funding.

Our federal government is too big, plain and simple. Excessive debt, red tape, and high taxes stifle job growth. While in Congress, I am working tirelessly for the 13th District by supporting comprehensive tax reform which is fueling our economic growth and letting hard working families keep more money in their pockets. I fought to eliminate wasteful earmark spending, like the Gateway Project, which would give North Carolina tax dollars to build a New York/New Jersey tunnel, and I will continue to do so. We made some good progress this year, but the political establishment is hungry for a return to their days of wasteful spending. We must stay vigilant!

Our Second Amendment is under more pressure and scrutiny than ever before. As the owner of a gun store and range, I understand how important the Second Amendment is to our nation. Law-abiding citizens are not the problem, and I will stand strong for the rights guaranteed to each of us by the 2nd Amendment. I will continue the fight for school safety and protecting our children, without compromising your right to bear arms.

Helping Families Thrive
My faith compels me to serve others, to love as Christ loved us, and to obey God rather than man. Politics doesn’t have to be nasty and cruel. We should treat each other with respect, kindness, and love. But our faith doesn’t ignore the crumbling walls around us. Our faith asks us to step forward and advocate for policies that help families to thrive.

I will evaluate each vote by its effect on families. I am 100% pro-life and pro-family. I will fight for the right to life of the unborn and defend marriage as an institution of one man and one woman. I also will protect religious freedom for individuals, businesses, nonprofits, and churches, because our country is as strong as our families and faiths are strong.

I’m leading a bipartisan package that helps families address the opioid crisis. Our plan helps medical providers acquire reliable, evidence-based resources to encourage safer use of prescription opioids and gives hospitals more tools to prevent unnecessary prescriptions. Medicare recipients deserve more transparency on pain medication guidelines, so we are increasing the information available at the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services website.

Every child deserves an education that makes the most of their God-given talent. Parents should have an opportunity to educate their child in the best public, private, or homeschool environment that they choose. Programs like Common Core illustrate the absurdity of putting Washington DC bureaucrats in charge of classrooms, instead of parents, teachers, and principals. Local control is best, especially for our schools.

Insisting on Fiscal Responsibility
We deserve better from our federal government. With an alarming debt and broken entitlement programs, we cannot keep kicking the can down the road. We must embrace policies which reduce the spirit of entitlement while rewarding hard work.

Taxes are too high and costs are rising, because politicians won’t make the tough decisions to root out corruption and waste from government. I am outraged by the many families suffering because of bureaucratic incompetence in the VA. Many of my team members at ProShots are veterans and wounded warriors, so I will not tolerate excuses or look the other way when it affects those who have dedicated their lives to protecting our homeland.

Fiscal responsibility is not just a good idea for Washington DC. For our country to lead the world, we must encourage personal and household financial responsibility and embrace policies that lead to superior long-term global competitiveness. The economy, and every American consumer, benefits when we do.

[25]

—Ted Budd’s campaign website (2018)[27]

Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Kathy Manning Facebook

Republican Party Ted Budd Facebook

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Six of 100 North Carolina counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Bladen County, North Carolina 9.39% 1.97% 2.07%
Gates County, North Carolina 9.07% 4.11% 5.22%
Granville County, North Carolina 2.49% 4.54% 6.58%
Martin County, North Carolina 0.43% 4.65% 4.64%
Richmond County, North Carolina 9.74% 2.95% 1.50%
Robeson County, North Carolina 4.27% 17.41% 13.78%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won North Carolina with 49.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 46.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, North Carolina voted Democratic 53.5 percent of the time and Republican 25 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, North Carolina voted Republican all five times with the exception of the 2008 presidential election.[28]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in North Carolina. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[29][30]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 40 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 38.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 44 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 80 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 22.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 76 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District history

2016

See also: North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Ted Budd (R) defeated Bruce Davis (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. In the Democratic primary, Bruce Davis defeated Adam Coker, Bob Isner, Kevin Griffin, and Mazie Ferguson. Budd defeated 16 other Republican candidates to win the Republican nomination.

Incumbent George Holding (R) of District 13 sought re-election for the District 2 seat in 2016. He defeated fellow Republican incumbent Renee Ellmers and Greg Brannon in the primary.[31] Holding's change of plans came after redistricting in North Carolina in February 2016 substantially changed the constituency of both districts. Holding's decision to run in District 2 essentially made District 13 an open seat, and as a result, 22 candidates filed to run for the seat. [32][33][34][35][36][31]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 13 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTed Budd 56.1% 199,443
     Democratic Bruce Davis 43.9% 156,049
Total Votes 355,492
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


U.S. House, North Carolina District 13 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTed Budd 20% 6,340
John Blust 10.4% 3,308
Hank Henning 10.4% 3,289
Julia Howard 10.3% 3,254
Matthew McCall 9.1% 2,872
Andrew Brock 8.8% 2,803
Jason Walser 7.3% 2,319
Dan Barrett 7.2% 2,296
Harry Warren 4% 1,266
Vernon Robinson 3.1% 970
Kay Daly 2.8% 889
George Rouco 2.4% 773
Jim Snyder 1.4% 436
Farren Shoaf 1.3% 404
Chad Gant 0.6% 198
David Thompson 0.5% 147
Kathy Feather 0.4% 142
Total Votes 31,706
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


U.S. House, North Carolina District 13 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngBruce Davis 25.7% 4,709
Bob Isner 25.1% 4,597
Adam Coker 22.5% 4,125
Mazie Ferguson 16.2% 2,963
Kevin Griffin 10.6% 1,946
Total Votes 18,340
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

2014

See also: North Carolina's 13th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 13th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent George Holding (R) defeated Brenda Cleary (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, North Carolina District 13 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGeorge Holding Incumbent 57.3% 153,991
     Democratic Brenda Cleary 42.7% 114,718
Total Votes 268,709
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in North Carolina heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

  • Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in North Carolina.
  • Republicans held 10 of 13 U.S. House seats in North Carolina.

State executives

  • As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 18 state executive positions, Republicans held five, and the remaining eight positions were officially nonpartisan.
  • The governor of North Carolina was Democrat Roy Cooper.

State legislature

Trifecta status

  • North Carolina was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Roy Cooper (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: North Carolina elections, 2018

North Carolina held elections for the following offices in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for North Carolina
 North CarolinaU.S.
Total population:10,035,186316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):48,6183,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:69.5%73.6%
Black/African American:21.5%12.6%
Asian:2.5%5.1%
Native American:1.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:2.4%3%
Hispanic/Latino:8.8%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:85.8%86.7%
College graduation rate:28.4%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$46,868$53,889
Persons below poverty level:20.5%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in North Carolina.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, North Carolina had a population of approximately 10,273,419 people, with its three largest cities being Charlotte (pop. 842,051 million), Raleigh (pop. 458,880), and Greensboro (pop. 287,027).[37]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in North Carolina from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the North Carolina State Board of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in North Carolina every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), North Carolina 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 49.83% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 46.17% 3.66%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 50.39% Democratic Party Barack Obama 48.35% 2.04%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 49.70% Republican Party John McCain 49.38% 0.32%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 56.02% Democratic Party John Kerry 43.58% 12.44%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 56.03% Democratic Party Al Gore 43.2% 12.83%

U.S. Senate elections, 2002-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in North Carolina from 2002 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), North Carolina 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Richard Burr 51.06% Democratic Party Deborah K. Ross 45.37% 5.69%
2014 Republican Party Thom Tillis 48.82% Democratic Party Kay Hagan 47.26% 1.56%
2010 Republican Party Richard Burr 54.81% Democratic Party Elaine Marshall 43.05% 11.76%
2008 Democratic Party Kay Hagan 52.65% Republican Party Elizabeth Dole 44.18% 8.47%
2004 Republican Party Richard Burr 51.60% Democratic Party Erskine Bowles 47.02% 4.58%
2002 Republican Party Elizabeth Dole 53.56% Democratic Party Erskine Bowles 44.96% 0.92%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in North Carolina.

Election results (Governor), North Carolina 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Roy Cooper 49.02% Republican Party Pat McCrory 48.80% 0.22%
2012 Republican Party Pat McCrory 54.6% Democratic Party Walter Dalton 43.2% 11.4%
2008 Democratic Party Bev Perdue 50.27% Republican Party Pat McCrory 46.88% 5.34%
2004 Democratic Party Mike Easley 55.62% Republican Party Patrick J. Ballantine 42.88% 12.74%
2000 Democratic Party Mike Easley 52.02% Republican Party Richard Vinroot 46.26% 5.76%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent North Carolina in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, North Carolina 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 10 76.9% Democratic Party 3 23.08% R+7
2014 Republican Party 10 76.9% Democratic Party 3 23.08% R+7
2012 Republican Party 9 69.2% Democratic Party 4 30.8% R+6
2010 Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2008 Republican Party 5 38.5% Democratic Party 8 61.5% D+3
2006 Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2004 Republican Party 7 53.8% Democratic Party 6 46.2% R+1
2002 Republican Party 7 53.8% Democratic Party 6 46.2% R+1
2000 Republican Party 7 58.3% Democratic Party 5 41.6% R+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


See also

Footnotes

  1. DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
  2. General Assembly of North Carolina, "2016 Contingent Congressional Plan - Corrected," accessed September 28, 2018
  3. Civitas Institute, "Budd with Narrow Lead in NC-13," accessed October 18, 2018
  4. The New York Times, "We polled voters in North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District," accessed October 15, 2018
  5. 5.0 5.1 5.2 Kathy Manning for Congress, "About Kathy," accessed October 3, 2018
  6. 6.0 6.1 YouTube, "Kathy Manning," accessed October 3, 2018
  7. YouTube, "Shouting," August 14, 2018
  8. Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "BUDD, Theodore Paul, (1971 - )," accessed January 14, 2017
  9. Tedd Budd for Congress, "Why I'm Running," accessed October 3, 2018
  10. YouTube, "Tristan," September 6, 2018
  11. YouTube, "Saying," August 22, 2018
  12. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  13. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  14. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  15. 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 ProPublica, "North Carolina’s 13th District House Race - 2018 cycle," accessed October 1, 2018
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Schedule E, Independent Expenditures, Filing FEC-1277437," accessed November 1, 2018
  17. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  18. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  20. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  21. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  22. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  23. NBC News, "Koch-aligned group endorses eight GOP congressmen," August 30, 2018
  24. [http://www.thecharlottepost.com/news/2018/06/28/local-state/progressive-youth-movement-in-nc-s-competitive-congressional-races/ The Charlotte Post, " Progressive youth movement in NC’s competitive congressional races," June 28, 2018]
  25. 25.0 25.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  26. Kathy Manning for Congress, “Issues,” accessed October 1, 2018
  27. Ted Budd for Congress, “Issues,” accessed October 1, 2018
  28. 270towin.com, "North Carolina," accessed June 1, 2017
  29. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  30. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  31. 31.0 31.1 North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016
  32. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Candidate_Listing_20160315," December 21, 2015
  33. Twitter, "Colin Campbell," accessed February 22, 2016
  34. News Observer, "NC Sen. Andrew Brock to run for Congress under new map," February 22, 2016
  35. Statesville Record and Landmark, "As primary nears, candidates meet Thursday in Mooresville," February 23, 2016
  36. Rhino Times, "Greensboro State Rep. Blust announces run for Congress," March 2, 2016
  37. United States Census Bureau, "American FactFinder," accessed April 3, 2018



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