North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 12
- Early voting: Oct. 17 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| North Carolina's 12th Congressional District |
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 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: February 28, 2018 |
| Primary: May 8, 2018 Primary runoff: July 17, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Alma Adams (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in North Carolina |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th North Carolina elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on May 8, 2018, in North Carolina's 12th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Paul Wright defeated Paul Bonham and Carl Persson in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 12 on May 8, 2018.
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 12
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Paul Wright | 43.2 | 3,221 | |
| Paul Bonham | 31.5 | 2,349 | ||
| Carl Persson | 25.3 | 1,885 | ||
There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. | Total votes: 7,455 | |||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+17, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 12th Congressional District the 79th most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.92. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.92 points toward that party.[2]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in North Carolina heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in North Carolina.
- Republicans held 10 of 13 U.S. House seats in North Carolina.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 18 state executive positions, Republicans held five, and the remaining eight positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of North Carolina was Democrat Roy Cooper.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the General Assembly of North Carolina. They had a 75-45 majority in the state House and a 35-15 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- North Carolina was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Roy Cooper (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: North Carolina elections, 2018
North Carolina held elections for the following offices in 2018:
- Thirteen U.S. House seats
- All 50 state Senate seats
- All 120 state House seats
- State Supreme Court
- Intermediate appellate courts
- Local judges
- School boards
- Municipal government
Demographics
| Demographic data for North Carolina | ||
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 10,035,186 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 48,618 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 69.5% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 21.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2.5% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 8.8% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 85.8% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 28.4% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $46,868 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 20.5% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in North Carolina. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2017, North Carolina had a population of approximately 10,273,419 people, with its three largest cities being Charlotte (pop. 842,051 million), Raleigh (pop. 458,880), and Greensboro (pop. 287,027).[3]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in North Carolina from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the North Carolina State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in North Carolina every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 49.83% | 46.17% | 3.66% | ||
| 2012 | 50.39% | 48.35% | 2.04% | ||
| 2008 | 49.70% | 49.38% | 0.32% | ||
| 2004 | 56.02% | 43.58% | 12.44% | ||
| 2000 | 56.03% | 43.2% | 12.83% | ||
U.S. Senate elections, 2002-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in North Carolina from 2002 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 51.06% | 45.37% | 5.69% | ||
| 2014 | 48.82% | 47.26% | 1.56% | ||
| 2010 | 54.81% | 43.05% | 11.76% | ||
| 2008 | 52.65% | 44.18% | 8.47% | ||
| 2004 | 51.60% | 47.02% | 4.58% | ||
| 2002 | 53.56% | 44.96% | 0.92% | ||
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in North Carolina.
| Election results (Governor), North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 49.02% | 48.80% | 0.22% | ||
| 2012 | 54.6% | 43.2% | 11.4% | ||
| 2008 | 50.27% | 46.88% | 5.34% | ||
| 2004 | 55.62% | 42.88% | 12.74% | ||
| 2000 | 52.02% | 46.26% | 5.76% | ||
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent North Carolina in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 76.9% | 23.08% | R+7 | ||
| 2014 | 76.9% | 23.08% | R+7 | ||
| 2012 | 69.2% | 30.8% | R+6 | ||
| 2010 | 46.2% | 53.8% | D+1 | ||
| 2008 | 38.5% | 61.5% | D+3 | ||
| 2006 | 46.2% | 53.8% | D+1 | ||
| 2004 | 53.8% | 46.2% | R+1 | ||
| 2002 | 53.8% | 46.2% | R+1 | ||
| 2000 | 58.3% | 41.6% | R+2 | ||
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2018
- United States House elections in North Carolina (May 8, 2018 Republican primaries)
- North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
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