United States Senate election in Maine (June 12, 2018 Democratic primary)

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search


2020
2014
U.S. Senate, Maine
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 15, 2018
Primary: June 12, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Angus King (Independent)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Maine
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
U.S. Senate, Maine
U.S. Senate1st2nd
Maine elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 12, 2018 in Maine to determine which Democrat would run in the state's November 6, 2018, general election.

One Democrat ran for the seat. This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

Although incumbent Sen. Angus King (I) was urged to affiliate with the Democratic Party, a Democratic National Committee resolution calling on him to do so was defeated on October 20, 2017.[1] With no Democratic candidate reporting contributions through the third quarter of 2017, this primary was not expected to be competitive.




Candidates and election results

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

Zak Ringelstein advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Maine on June 12, 2018.

Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Maine

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/image.png
Zak Ringelstein
 
100.0
 
89,841

Total votes: 89,841
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Ranked-choice voting

On November 8, 2016, Maine voters approved the Maine Ranked Choice Voting Initiative, which provided for the use of ranked-choice voting (RCV) in both primary and general elections for United States senators, United States representatives, the governor, state senators, and state representatives. On February 2, 2017, the Maine State Senate voted 24 to 10 to ask the Maine Supreme Judicial Court to review the initiative and issue an advisory opinion on its constitutionality. On May 23, 2017, the Maine Supreme Judicial Court issued a unanimous advisory opinion finding that the law's provisions applying to general elections for state legislators and the governor violated the state constitution.[2][3][4][5]

A repeal bill introduced in light of the advisory opinion failed to clear the legislature, as did a bill providing for partial implementation (for those offices not affected by the advisory opinion) and a bill providing for a constitutional amendment to allow for full implementation. During a special legislative session convened on October 23, 2017, the state legislature approved LD 1646, a bill delaying the implementation of RCV pending voter approval of a constitutional amendment to allow for the use of RCV. The bill set a deadline of December 1, 2021, and provided for the repeal of ranked-choice voting if an amendment was not passed by that date. RCV proponents initiated a veto referendum campaign to overturn the bill. On March 5, 2018, the secretary of state announced that a sufficient number of valid signatures had been submitted to place the referendum on the June 12, 2018, primary election ballot, meaning that LD 1646 would be suspended and ranked-choice voting would be used for federal and state offices in the June 2018 primary election. If LD 1646 is repealed as a result of the veto referendum, RCV will remain in place unless the legislature or the courts take actions to change the statute. If LD 1646 is upheld, the law's provisions as described above will take effect.[6][7][8][9][10][11]

On March 29, 2018, Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap (D) announced that he had been notified by Assistant Attorney General Phyllis Gardiner of "legal concerns regarding the implementation of ranked-choice voting" that might prohibit its use in the June 2018 primary election. On April 3, 2018, Kennebec County Superior Court Justice Michaela Murphy issued an opinion in Committee for Ranked-Choice Voting v. Dunlap ordering state officials to proceed with the implementation of ranked-choice voting in June. Murphy wrote the following in her opinion: "The uncertainty that halting the ranked-choice voting implementation process at this late date causes is significant. Clarity, stability and public confidence are essential to ensure the legitimacy of Maine elections." In a separate lawsuit, Senate of Maine v. Dunlap, the Maine Supreme Judicial Court ruled unanimously that "ranked-choice voting is the current statutory law of Maine for the primary elections to be held on June 12, 2018." The court noted that its ruling "focuses only on the June 2018 primary election; it does not address any other potential application of ranked-choice voting in Maine," allowing for the possibility of further substantive challenges to the law's validity in future elections.[12][13][14][15]

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Eight of 16 Maine counties—50 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Androscoggin County, Maine 9.38% 12.78% 15.22%
Aroostook County, Maine 17.19% 7.62% 9.58%
Franklin County, Maine 5.47% 18.41% 20.29%
Kennebec County, Maine 3.58% 13.46% 14.78%
Oxford County, Maine 12.94% 14.73% 16.04%
Penobscot County, Maine 10.91% 2.93% 5.12%
Somerset County, Maine 22.67% 1.68% 5.70%
Washington County, Maine 18.44% 1.60% 1.01%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Maine with 47.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In 2016, Maine had four electoral votes. Maine's share of electoral votes represented 0.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 1.5 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president. Maine awards its electoral votes by congressional district and the popular vote. It has two electoral votes for the statewide vote and one for each of its two congressional districts. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Maine voted Republican 67.3 percent of the time and Democratic 32.6 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Maine voted Democratic all five times.[16]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Maine. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[17][18]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 129 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 19.2 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 69 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 23.7 points. Clinton won nine districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 8.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 82 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 16 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Maine heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

  • Following the 2016 elections, an independent held one U.S. Senate seat and a Republican held the other.
  • A Democrat held one of Maine's two U.S. House seats, and a Republican held the other.

State executives

  • As of September 2018, Democrats held two of 10 state executive positions, a Republican and an independent each held one, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
  • The governor of Maine was Republican Paul LePage. The state held an election for governor on November 6, 2018. Maine does not have a lieutenant governor.

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled the state House. They had a 73-70 majority in the state House. Republicans control the Maine State Senate. They had an 18-17 majority in the chamber.

Trifecta status

  • Maine was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Paul LePage (R) served as governor and Republicans controlled the state Senate while Democrats controlled the state House.

2018 elections

See also: Maine elections, 2018

Maine held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Maine
 MaineU.S.
Total population:1,329,453316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):30,8433,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:95%73.6%
Black/African American:1.1%12.6%
Asian:1.1%5.1%
Native American:0.6%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2%3%
Hispanic/Latino:1.5%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91.6%86.7%
College graduation rate:29%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$49,331$53,889
Persons below poverty level:16.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Maine.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Maine's three largest cities were Portland (pop. est. 65,000), Lewiston (pop. est. 35,000), and Bangor (pop. est. 30,000).[19]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Maine from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Maine Secretary of State and the Federal Election Commission.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Maine every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Maine 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 47.8% Republican Party Donald Trump 44.9% 2.9%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 56.3% Republican Party Mitt Romney 41.0% 15.3%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 57.7% Republican Party John McCain 40.4% 17.3%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 53.6% Republican Party George W. Bush 44.6% 9.0%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 49.1% Republican Party George W. Bush 44.0% 5.1%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Maine from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Maine 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Susan Collins 67.0% Democratic Party Shenna Bellows 30.8% 36.2%
2012 Grey.png Angus King 51.1% Republican Party Charles Summers 29.7% 21.4%
2008 Republican Party Susan Collins 61.3% Democratic Party Thomas H. Allen 38.6% 22.7%
2006 Republican Party Olympia Snowe 74.0% Democratic Party Jean Hay Bright 20.6% 53.4%
2002 Republican Party Susan Collins 58.4% Democratic Party Chellie Pingree 41.6% 16.8%
2000 Republican Party Olympia Snowe 68.9% Democratic Party Mark Lawrence 31.1% 37.8%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Maine.

Election results (Governor), Maine 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Paul LePage 48.2% Democratic Party Mike Michaud 43.4% 4.8%
2010 Republican Party Paul LePage 37.6% Grey.png Eliot Cutler 35.9% 1.7%
2006 Democratic Party John E. Baldacci 38.1% Republican Party Chandler E. Woodcock 30.2% 7.9%
2002 Democratic Party John E. Baldacci 47.1% Republican Party Peter E. Cianchette 41.5% 5.6%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Maine in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Maine 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2014 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2012 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2010 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2008 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2006 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2004 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2002 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2
2000 Republican Party 0 0% Democratic Party 2 100% D+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Maine Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R I I I I I I I I D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D
Senate D D D R R D D D D S S D D D D D D D D R R D D R R R R D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D


See also

Footnotes

  1. The Hill, "DNC votes down resolution demanding Sanders, King join Dem Party," October 20, 2017
  2. League of Women Voters, "Citizen Referendum on Ranked Choice Voting," accessed November 13, 2014
  3. Maine Legislature, "SO 12," accessed February 3, 2017
  4. Maine Public Radio, "Maine Supreme Court: Ranked Choice Voting Law Conflicts with State Constitution," May 23, 2017
  5. Bangor Daily News, "Maine Supreme Judicial Court rules ranked-choice voting unconstitutional," May 23, 2017
  6. Maine Legislature, "LD 1646 Overview," accessed October 24, 2017
  7. Portland Press Herald, "Ranked-choice voting supporters to begin 'people’s veto' campaign today," November 6, 2017
  8. Ballot Access News, "Maine Referendum in Support of Ranked Choice Voting Gathers 33,000 Signatures on First Day," November 14, 2017
  9. Ballot Access News, "Maine Referendum to Save Ranked-Choice Voting is Two-Thirds Finished," December 19, 2017
  10. Ballot Access News, "Maine Ranked Choice Voting Supporters Submit Petition on Friday, February 2," February 1, 2018
  11. Bristol Herald Courier, "Maine races to implement election overhaul before June vote," March 25, 2018
  12. Department of the Secretary of State, State of Maine, "Secretary Dunlap seeking guidance on implementation of ranked-choice voting," March 29, 2018
  13. Portland Press Herald, "Doubt surrounds Maine’s plan to use ranked-choice voting in June 12 primaries," March 29, 2018
  14. Bangor Daily News, "Maine’s top court asked to make deciding call on ranked-choice voting," April 11, 2018
  15. Maine Supreme Judicial Court, "Maine Senate v. Secretary of State et al.: Per Curiam," April 17, 2018
  16. 270towin.com, "Maine," accessed June 1, 2017
  17. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  18. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  19. Maine Demographics, "Maine Cities by Population," accessed September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Democratic Party (2)
Republican Party (1)
Independent (1)