Michigan's 7th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID requested
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Michigan's 7th Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 24, 2018 |
| Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Tim Walberg (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Likely Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 13th (special) Michigan elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on August 7, 2018, in Michigan's 7th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Tim Walberg advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 7 on August 7, 2018.
Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 7
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Tim Walberg | 100.0 | 69,248 | |
Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source | Total votes: 69,248 | |||
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District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 7th Congressional District the 176th most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.12. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.12 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Michigan heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Michigan.
- Republicans held 9 of 14 U.S. House seats in Michigan, Democrats held four seats, and one seat was vacant.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held eight of 16 state executive positions, Democrats held four, and the remaining four positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Michigan was Republican Rick Snyder. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Michigan State Legislature. They had a 63-46 majority in the state House and a 27-10 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Michigan was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Rick Snyder (R) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Michigan elections, 2018
Michigan held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 14 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 38 state Senate seats
- 110 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Wayne County
Demographics
| Demographic data for Michigan | ||
|---|---|---|
| Michigan | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 9,917,715 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 56,539 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 79% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 14% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2.7% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 4.7% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 89.6% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 26.9% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $49,576 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 20% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Michigan. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Michigan's three largest cities were Detroit (pop. est. 673,000), Grand Rapids (pop. est. 199,000), and Warren (pop. est. 135,000).[4]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Michigan from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Michigan Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Michigan every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 47.5% | 47.3% | 0.2% | ||
| 2012 | 54.2% | 44.7% | 9.5% | ||
| 2008 | 57.4% | 41.0% | 16.4% | ||
| 2004 | 51.2% | 47.8% | 3.4% | ||
| 2000 | 51.3% | 46.2% | 5.1% | ||
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Michigan from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | 54.6% | 41.3% | 13.3% | ||
| 2012 | 58.8% | 38.0% | 20.8% | ||
| 2008 | 62.7% | 33.9% | 28.8% | ||
| 2006 | 56.9% | 41.3% | 15.6% | ||
| 2002 | 60.6% | 37.9% | 22.7% | ||
| 2000 | 49.5% | 47.9% | 1.6% | ||
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Michigan.
| Election results (Governor), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | 50.9% | 46.9% | 4.0% | ||
| 2010 | 58.1% | 39.9% | 18.2% | ||
| 2006 | 56.4% | 42.3% | 14.1% | ||
| 2002 | 51.4% | 47.4% | 4.0% | ||
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Michigan in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 64.3% | 35.7% | R+4 | ||
| 2014 | 64.3% | 35.7% | R+4 | ||
| 2012 | 64.3% | 35.7% | R+4 | ||
| 2010 | 60.0% | 40.0% | R+3 | ||
| 2008 | 46.7% | 53.3% | D+1 | ||
| 2006 | 53.3% | 46.7% | R+1 | ||
| 2004 | 60.0% | 40.0% | R+3 | ||
| 2002 | 60.0% | 40.0% | R+3 | ||
| 2000 | 43.75% | 56.25% | D+2 | ||
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Michigan Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
| House | D | S | S | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2018
- United States House elections in Michigan (August 7, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Michigan's 7th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ Michigan Demographics, "Michigan Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
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