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California's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018 - Ballotpedia

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California's 3rd Congressional District
2020 → ← 2016

Top-two primary General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 9, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: John Garamendi (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in California
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+5 Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
California's 3rd Congressional District U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th • 28th • 29th • 30th • 31st • 32nd • 33rd • 34th • 35th • 36th • 37th • 38th • 39th • 40th • 41st • 42nd • 43rd • 44th • 45th • 46th • 47th • 48th • 49th • 50th • 51st • 52nd • 53rd California elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of California, held elections in 2018.

Heading into the election the incumbent was John Garamendi (D), who was first elected in 2009.

California's 3rd Congressional District is located in the north-central portion of the state and includes the counties of Colusa, Sutter, and Yuba. It also includes portions of Glenn, Lake, Sacramento, Solano and Yolo counties.^[1]

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 3

Incumbent John Garamendi defeated Charlie Schaupp in the general election for U.S. House California District 3 on November 6, 2018.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	John Garamendi (D)	58.1	134,875
	Charlie Schaupp (R)	41.9	97,376

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 232,251
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 3

Incumbent John Garamendi and Charlie Schaupp defeated Kevin Puett in the primary for U.S. House California District 3 on June 5, 2018.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	John Garamendi (D)	53.6	74,552
✔	Charlie Schaupp (R)	42.1	58,598
	Kevin Puett (D)	4.3	5,971

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.	Total votes: 139,121
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+5, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 3rd Congressional District the 173rd most Democratic nationally.^[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.00. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.00 points toward that party.^[3]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name

Party

Receipts*

Disbursements**

Cash on hand

Date

John Garamendi

Democratic Party

$1,120,045

$839,435

$724,376

As of December 31, 2018

Charlie Schaupp

Republican Party

$38,286

$27,159

$6,753

As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

District history

2016

See also: California's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent John Garamendi (D) defeated Eugene Cleek (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Garamendi and Cleek defeated Ryan Detert (R) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016.^[4]^[5]

**U.S. House, California District 3 General Election, 2016**
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	John Garamendi Incumbent	59.4%	152,513
	Republican	Eugene Cleek	40.6%	104,453
Total Votes				256,966
Source: California Secretary of State

**U.S. House, California District 3 Primary, 2016**
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	John Garamendi Incumbent	63.1%	98,430
	Republican	Eugene Cleek	24.3%	37,843
	Republican	Ryan Detert	12.6%	19,699
Total Votes				155,972
Source: California Secretary of State

2014

See also: California's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 3rd Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent John Garamendi (D) defeated Dan Logue (R) in the general election.

**U.S. House, California District 3 General Election, 2014**
Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Democratic	John Garamendi Incumbent	52.7%	79,224
	Republican	Dan Logue	47.3%	71,036
Total Votes				150,260
Source: California Secretary of State

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in California. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won California with 61.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 31.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, California voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, California voted Democratic all five times. In 2016, California had 55 electoral votes, which was the most of any state. The 55 electoral votes were 10.2 percent of all 538 available electoral votes and were 20.4 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in California. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.^[6]^[7]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 58 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 38.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 66 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 40.3 points. Clinton won 11 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.

In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 12.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 13 points.

2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District
District	Obama	Romney	2012 Margin	Clinton	Trump	2016 Margin	Party Control
1	39.63%	57.31%	R+17.7	36.09%	56.75%	R+20.7	R
2	64.68%	30.51%	D+34.2	62.20%	28.98%	D+33.2	D
3	42.41%	54.46%	R+12.1	39.47%	53.31%	R+13.8	R
4	63.16%	33.86%	D+29.3	63.03%	29.95%	D+33.1	D
5	41.27%	55.92%	R+14.7	38.51%	54.85%	R+16.3	R
6	38.59%	59.09%	R+20.5	41.17%	52.02%	R+10.9	R
7	67.59%	29.61%	D+38	67.63%	25.69%	D+41.9	D
8	51.72%	45.62%	D+6.1	51.77%	41.03%	D+10.7	D
9	60.56%	37.52%	D+23	61.47%	32.89%	D+28.6	D
10	73.76%	23.28%	D+50.5	75.65%	17.96%	D+57.7	D
11	60.96%	36.87%	D+24.1	58.86%	35.17%	D+23.7	D
12	45.19%	52.50%	R+7.3	43.11%	51.05%	R+7.9	R
13	64.23%	33.88%	D+30.4	62.97%	31.79%	D+31.2	D
14	68.80%	28.72%	D+40.1	69.55%	24.47%	D+45.1	D
15	86.82%	9.56%	D+77.3	87.39%	7.04%	D+80.4	D
16	57.74%	40.10%	D+17.6	64.47%	29.23%	D+35.2	R
17	87.07%	9.36%	D+77.7	88.12%	6.95%	D+81.2	D
18	86.89%	10.23%	D+76.7	85.89%	8.44%	D+77.5	D
19	78.94%	18.38%	D+60.6	81.63%	13.34%	D+68.3	D
20	75.74%	22.15%	D+53.6	75.52%	19.12%	D+56.4	D
21	55.61%	42.03%	D+13.6	54.63%	39.46%	D+15.2	D
22	71.43%	26.31%	D+45.1	75.16%	19.75%	D+55.4	D
23	43.46%	54.71%	R+11.2	43.95%	50.78%	R+6.8	R
24	72.16%	24.96%	D+47.2	78.19%	15.93%	D+62.3	D
25	72.40%	25.26%	D+47.1	73.61%	20.90%	D+52.7	D
26	41.15%	56.68%	R+15.5	41.54%	52.93%	R+11.4	R
27	76.36%	21.54%	D+54.8	77.76%	17.29%	D+60.5	D
28	66.64%	30.77%	D+35.9	70.63%	23.08%	D+47.6	D
29	69.95%	26.66%	D+43.3	70.00%	22.96%	D+47	D
30	66.99%	30.86%	D+36.1	66.70%	27.32%	D+39.4	D
31	61.98%	36.21%	D+25.8	62.13%	32.93%	D+29.2	D
32	56.20%	41.81%	D+14.4	56.50%	37.98%	D+18.5	D
33	41.80%	55.51%	R+13.7	40.02%	54.61%	R+14.6	R
34	33.96%	63.85%	R+29.9	34.07%	60.21%	R+26.1	R
35	47.82%	49.42%	R+1.6	49.57%	43.43%	D+6.1	R
36	48.79%	48.48%	D+0.3	49.94%	43.86%	D+6.1	R
37	60.97%	36.28%	D+24.7	64.27%	29.21%	D+35.1	D
38	46.73%	50.84%	R+4.1	49.64%	44.39%	D+5.2	R
39	73.75%	23.67%	D+50.1	74.64%	19.80%	D+54.8	D
40	53.14%	44.72%	D+8.4	54.08%	40.01%	D+14.1	R
41	59.74%	37.72%	D+22	62.82%	31.27%	D+31.5	D
42	44.98%	52.93%	R+7.9	45.61%	49.70%	R+4.1	R
43	67.35%	29.62%	D+37.7	68.94%	25.45%	D+43.5	D
44	52.37%	45.51%	D+6.9	57.12%	36.99%	D+20.1	D
45	63.46%	34.12%	D+29.3	67.36%	27.39%	D+40	D
46	73.73%	23.65%	D+50.1	76.20%	18.48%	D+57.7	D
47	71.49%	26.54%	D+44.9	70.10%	24.80%	D+45.3	D
48	64.08%	33.44%	D+30.6	65.60%	28.50%	D+37.1	D
49	64.69%	33.26%	D+31.4	67.57%	27.17%	D+40.4	D
50	70.79%	26.51%	D+44.3	76.72%	18.33%	D+58.4	D
51	83.48%	13.50%	D+70	84.05%	10.19%	D+73.9	D
52	65.01%	32.92%	D+32.1	65.78%	28.71%	D+37.1	D
53	84.64%	12.59%	D+72	84.83%	9.63%	D+75.2	D
54	83.62%	13.88%	D+69.7	85.15%	10.12%	D+75	D
55	45.77%	52.23%	R+6.5	49.92%	44.61%	D+5.3	R
56	62.14%	36.26%	D+25.9	64.21%	31.24%	D+33	D
57	63.71%	34.01%	D+29.7	65.92%	28.39%	D+37.5	D
58	70.24%	27.80%	D+42.4	72.54%	22.26%	D+50.3	D
59	93.24%	5.19%	D+88	90.70%	5.09%	D+85.6	D
60	51.32%	46.31%	D+5	52.48%	41.97%	D+10.5	D
61	63.43%	34.55%	D+28.9	62.47%	31.62%	D+30.9	D
62	80.81%	17.00%	D+63.8	82.05%	13.06%	D+69	D
63	76.06%	21.73%	D+54.3	77.35%	17.38%	D+60	D
64	88.74%	9.98%	D+78.8	86.21%	9.61%	D+76.6	D
65	51.90%	45.68%	D+6.2	56.73%	37.28%	D+19.4	D
66	54.18%	43.24%	D+10.9	59.97%	33.60%	D+26.4	D
67	39.61%	58.33%	R+18.7	38.89%	55.94%	R+17.1	R
68	42.55%	55.12%	R+12.6	49.42%	44.58%	D+4.8	R
69	67.37%	30.30%	D+37.1	71.94%	22.33%	D+49.6	D
70	67.38%	29.93%	D+37.5	68.13%	25.09%	D+43	D
71	38.47%	59.51%	R+21	38.19%	56.26%	R+18.1	R
72	46.71%	51.06%	R+4.4	51.40%	43.13%	D+8.3	R
73	38.68%	59.36%	R+20.7	43.89%	50.38%	R+6.5	R
74	45.14%	52.42%	R+7.3	50.71%	43.29%	D+7.4	R
75	39.42%	58.50%	R+19.1	43.22%	50.68%	R+7.5	R
76	48.76%	49.04%	R+0.3	53.11%	40.38%	D+12.7	R
77	48.25%	49.83%	R+1.6	55.16%	38.94%	D+16.2	R
78	63.15%	34.08%	D+29.1	67.48%	25.85%	D+41.6	D
79	61.21%	36.91%	D+24.3	64.24%	30.04%	D+34.2	D
80	69.47%	28.67%	D+40.8	73.15%	21.34%	D+51.8	D
Total	60.35%	37.19%	D+23.2	62.25%	31.89%	D+30.4	-
Source: Daily Kos

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in California heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in California.
Democrats held 39 of 53 U.S. House seats in California.

State executives

As of May 2018, Democrats held seven of 10 state executive positions and the remaining three positions were officially nonpartisan.
The governor of California was Democrat Jerry Brown.

State legislature

Democrats controlled both chambers of the California State Legislature. They had a 55-25 majority in the state Assembly and a 27-13 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

California was a state government trifecta, meaning that Democrats held the governorship and majorities in the state house and state senate.

2018 elections

See also: California elections, 2018

California held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for California
	California	U.S.
Total population:	38,993,940	316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):	155,779	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:	61.8%	73.6%
Black/African American:	5.9%	12.6%
Asian:	13.7%	5.1%
Native American:	0.7%	0.8%
Pacific Islander:	0.4%	0.2%
Two or more:	4.5%	3%
Hispanic/Latino:	38.4%	17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:	81.8%	86.7%
College graduation rate:	31.4%	29.8%
Income
Median household income:	$61,818	$53,889
Persons below poverty level:	18.2%	11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in California. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, California had a population of approximately 39,000,000 people, with its three largest cities being Los Angeles (pop. est. 4.0 million), San Diego (pop. est. 1.4 million), and San Jose (pop. est. 1 million).^[8]^[9]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in California from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the California Secretary of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in California every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), California 2000-2016
Year	First-place candidate	First-place candidate votes (%)	Second-place candidate	Second-place candidate votes (%)	Margin of victory (%)
2016	Hillary Clinton	61.7%	Donald Trump	31.6%	30.1%
2012	Barack Obama	60.2%	Mitt Romney	37.1%	23.1%
2008	Barack Obama	61.1%	John McCain	37%	24.1%
2004	John Kerry	54.4%	George W. Bush	44.4%	10%
2000	Al Gore	53.5%	George W. Bush	41.7%	11.8%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in California from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), California 2000-2016
Year	First-place candidate	First-place candidate votes (%)	Second-place candidate	Second-place candidate votes (%)	Margin of victory (%)
2016	Kamala Harris	61.6%	Loretta Sanchez	38.4%	23.2%
2012	Dianne Feinstein	62.5%	Elizabeth Emken	37.5%	25%
2010	Barbara Boxer	52.2%	Carly Fiorina	42.2%	10%
2006	Dianne Feinstein	59.5%	Richard Mountjoy	35.1%	24.4%
2004	Barbara Boxer	57.8%	Bill Jones	37.8%	20%
2000	Dianne Feinstein	55.9%	Tom Campbell	36.6%	19.3%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in California.

Election results (Governor), California 2000-2016
Year	First-place candidate	First-place candidate votes (%)	Second-place candidate	Second-place candidate votes (%)	Margin of victory (%)
2014	Jerry Brown	60%	Neel Kashkari	40%	20%
2010	Jerry Brown	53.8%	Meg Whitman	40.9%	12.9%
2006	Arnold Schwarzenegger	55.9%	Phil Angelides	39.0%	16.9%
2002	Gray Davis	47.3%	Bill Simon	42.4%	4.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent California in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, California 2000-2016
Year	Democrats	Democrats (%)	Republicans	Republicans (%)	Balance of power
2016	39	73.5%	14	26.4%	D+25
2014	39	73.5%	14	26.4%	D+25
2012	38	71.7%	15	28.3%	D+23
2010	34	64.1%	19	35.8%	D+15
2008	34	64.1%	19	35.8%	D+15
2006	34	64.1%	19	35.8%	D+15
2004	33	62.3%	20	37.7%	D+13
2002	33	62.3%	20	37.7%	D+13
2000	32	61.5%	20	38.5%	D+12

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Assembly	D	D	D	S	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

Footnotes

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[show]

California's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Laphonza Butler (D)

Alex Padilla (D)

Representatives

District 1

Doug LaMalfa (R)

District 2

Jared Huffman (D)

District 3

Kevin Kiley (R)

District 4

Mike Thompson (D)

District 5

Tom McClintock (R)

District 6

Ami Bera (D)

District 7

Doris Matsui (D)

District 8

John Garamendi (D)

District 9

Josh Harder (D)

District 10

Mark DeSaulnier (D)

District 11

Nancy Pelosi (D)

District 12

Barbara Lee (D)

District 13

John Duarte (R)

District 14

Eric Swalwell (D)

District 15

Kevin Mullin (D)

District 16

Anna Eshoo (D)

District 17

Ro Khanna (D)

District 18

Zoe Lofgren (D)

District 19

Jimmy Panetta (D)

District 20

Vince Fong (R)

District 21

Jim Costa (D)

District 22

David Valadao (R)

District 23

Jay Obernolte (R)

District 24

Salud Carbajal (D)

District 25

Raul Ruiz (D)

District 26

Julia Brownley (D)

District 27

Mike Garcia (R)

District 28

Judy Chu (D)

District 29

Tony Cárdenas (D)

District 30

Adam Schiff (D)

District 31

Grace Napolitano (D)

District 32

Brad Sherman (D)

District 33

Pete Aguilar (D)

District 34

Jimmy Gomez (D)

District 35

Norma Torres (D)

District 36

Ted Lieu (D)

District 37

Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)

District 38

Linda Sánchez (D)

District 39

Mark Takano (D)

District 40

Young Kim (R)

District 41

Ken Calvert (R)

District 42

Robert Garcia (D)

District 43

Maxine Waters (D)

District 44

Nanette Barragán (D)

District 45

Michelle Steel (R)

District 46

Lou Correa (D)

District 47

Katie Porter (D)

District 48

Darrell Issa (R)

District 49

Mike Levin (D)

District 50

Scott Peters (D)

District 51

Sara Jacobs (D)

District 52

Juan Vargas (D)

Democratic Party (42)

Republican Party (12)

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