- Molde University College, Specialized University in Logistics,
Britveien 2,
6410 Molde,
NORWAY - +47-99456006
Kjetil Haugen
Molde University College, Logistics, Faculty Member
- Operations Management, Mathematics, Economics, Applied Mathematics, Optimization (Mathematical Programming), Mathematical Economics, and 40 moreGame Theory, Industrial Organization, Economics of Football (soccer), Operations Research, Dynamic Pricing, Heavy computational game theory, Penalty Kicks Game Theory, Games and mutlimodal transport, Ship Transport Scheduling, Game Theory Football Games, Arbitrage and Game Theory in Sports Leagues, a vary fast LP algoruithm, Historical overview of Norwegian petroleum sector OR, Win or Profit Maximisation, Is option theory of any use?, Stochastic Programmin Vs Game Theory, What About the 3-1-0 System, Parallell Stochastic Optimizatiion, MIP planning of Norwegian Continental Shelf, Lot-Sizing with Uncertain Demand, Agricultural Economics, Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Europeanisation on bosman and the financial crisis in english professional football, Penalty Shootout Game Theory, What is Probabilistic Dynamic Programming, Probabilistic Dynamic Programming Examples, Penalty kick game theory, House Selling Dynamic Programming, Game Theory Penalty Shootout, Deterministic Dynamic Programming Examples, Deterministic and Probabilistic Dynamic Programming, Optimization techniques, Logistics, Economic Theory, Sport Management, Stochastic Programming, Gift economy, Philosophy, Health Sciences, and Economics of Doping(Game Theory, Industrial Organization, Economics of Football (soccer), Operations Research, Dynamic Pricing, Heavy computational game theory, Penalty Kicks Game Theory, Games and mutlimodal transport, Ship Transport Scheduling, Game Theory Football Games, Arbitrage and Game Theory in Sports Leagues, a vary fast LP algoruithm, Historical overview of Norwegian petroleum sector OR, Win or Profit Maximisation, Is option theory of any use?, Stochastic Programmin Vs Game Theory, What About the 3-1-0 System, Parallell Stochastic Optimizatiion, MIP planning of Norwegian Continental Shelf, Lot-Sizing with Uncertain Demand, Agricultural Economics, Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Europeanisation on bosman and the financial crisis in english professional football, Penalty Shootout Game Theory, What is Probabilistic Dynamic Programming, Probabilistic Dynamic Programming Examples, Penalty kick game theory, House Selling Dynamic Programming, Game Theory Penalty Shootout, Deterministic Dynamic Programming Examples, Deterministic and Probabilistic Dynamic Programming, Optimization techniques, Logistics, Economic Theory, Sport Management, Stochastic Programming, Gift economy, Philosophy, Health Sciences, and Economics of Doping)edit
- I am born in 1959, (in Kristiansund) living in Molde, Norway. I am a professor of Logistics and Sport Management at ... moreI am born in 1959, (in Kristiansund) living in Molde, Norway. I am a professor of Logistics and Sport Management at Molde University College, Specialized University in Logistics. I hold a PhD in Management Science from the Norwegian Institute of Technology from 1991. I achieved a (full) professorship in Logistics in 2005 and (full) professorship in Sport Management in 2011. Lately, my research interests have moved from operations management-/logistics into sports economics/strategy. My main interest has been game theory applied in football, both as a tool to understand football economics as well as the game itself. I have published in Journals such as Public Choice, EJOR, Annals of Regional Science, INTERFACES, PLoS ONE, Journal of Sports Economics, European Sport Management Quarterly, Sport Management Review and Sport in Society among others. Finally, I am a massive supporter of Molde Football Club.(I am born in 1959, (in Kristiansund) living in Molde, Norway. I am a professor of Logistics and Sport Management at Molde University College, Specialized University in Logistics. I hold a PhD in Management Science from the Norwegian Institute of Technology from 1991. I achieved a (full) professorship in Logistics in 2005 and (full) professorship in Sport Management in 2011. Lately, my research interests have moved from operations management-/logistics into sports economics/strategy. My main interest has been game theory applied in football, both as a tool to understand football economics as well as the game itself. I have published in Journals such as Public Choice, EJOR, Annals of Regional Science, INTERFACES, PLoS ONE, Journal of Sports Economics, European Sport Management Quarterly, Sport Management Review and Sport in Society among others. Finally, I am a massive supporter of Molde Football Club.)edit
This book, or perhaps anthology is a better description, collects most of the author’s research on doping during the last 25 years. I am not sure why doping, or use of performance-enhancing drugs, became a favourite subject for me. I have... more
This book, or perhaps anthology is a better description, collects most of the author’s research on doping during the last 25 years. I am not sure why doping, or use of performance-enhancing drugs, became a favourite subject for me. I have always been quite interested in sports, and my ongoing interest in mathematics and (especially) game theory may combined have lead to the interest in cheating and “the dark side of sport”.
Research Interests:
Preface to the second edition As mentioned in the original preface, this book was written as teaching ma- terial for a course in Event Logistics. It turned out to be used as such over a 5-year period from 2011 to 2015. The course was a... more
Preface to the second edition
As mentioned in the original preface, this book was written as teaching ma- terial for a course in Event Logistics. It turned out to be used as such over a 5-year period from 2011 to 2015. The course was a part of a master pro- gram in Event Management at Molde University College. Unfortunately, this program was stopped in 2015, and commercial demand for the book conse- quently also stopped. This lead to a transfer of copyright from the original publisher to me personally. As a consequence, I made the book available for free download at various platforms (Academia and Researchgate). Down- loads and reads indicates that the book still is used, maybe even at other institutions as a text book, and it seems reasonable to make a slightly revised version available.
This second edition adds something the original book lacked – exercises. In the 5 year period the course was given, three exams were conducted. These exam exercises with solutions are added in a set of new appendixes. I sincerely feel this version may provide better pedagogical opportunities both for students and teachers in their use of the book.
Molde, Norway August 2021
As mentioned in the original preface, this book was written as teaching ma- terial for a course in Event Logistics. It turned out to be used as such over a 5-year period from 2011 to 2015. The course was a part of a master pro- gram in Event Management at Molde University College. Unfortunately, this program was stopped in 2015, and commercial demand for the book conse- quently also stopped. This lead to a transfer of copyright from the original publisher to me personally. As a consequence, I made the book available for free download at various platforms (Academia and Researchgate). Down- loads and reads indicates that the book still is used, maybe even at other institutions as a text book, and it seems reasonable to make a slightly revised version available.
This second edition adds something the original book lacked – exercises. In the 5 year period the course was given, three exams were conducted. These exam exercises with solutions are added in a set of new appendixes. I sincerely feel this version may provide better pedagogical opportunities both for students and teachers in their use of the book.
Molde, Norway August 2021
Research Interests:
This is a revised (and formally published) version of the book: "Probabilistic Dynamic Programming" already published at academia.edu
Research Interests:
This book (unfortunately for an international audience written in Norwegian) is a collection of a weekly column I wrote between March and November 2014. The contents (not surprisingly) is on football. Here, I follow the home-team (MFK)... more
This book (unfortunately for an international audience written in Norwegian) is a collection of a weekly column I wrote between March and November 2014. The contents (not surprisingly) is on football. Here, I follow the home-team (MFK) through the best season ever. I comment on the matches, but I also present research, my own as well as others in order to spice up the total football experience. I must say I am very happy with the result and hopefully the global minority of Norwegian-reading researchers may find the book interesting. With my wishes of a continued happy christmas and a great new year.
Research Interests:
This book is written to be used as teaching material for a course in Event Logistics. The course is planned to be given at Molde University College - Specialized University in Logistics, the rst time in fall 2010. This course is a... more
This book is written to be used as teaching material for a course in Event
Logistics. The course is planned to be given at Molde University College -
Specialized University in Logistics, the rst time in fall 2010. This course is
a part of the Event Management programme launched in Molde, fall 2010.
To be able to understand this book, a basic knowledge in Logistics is
necessary. Some of the material is probably too advanced for readers with
only a basic knowledge of Logistics/Operations Management, and several
appendixes that signal this type of diculty are used. So, readers with only a
minor level of knowledge in logistics should probably avoid these appendixes.
In order to meet these constraints, the planned course will be accompanied
by another (standard) text book in logistics at an intermediate level - for
instance "Production and Operations Analysis", by S. Nahmias (Nahmias). The
basic idea in teaching the course, is to capture essential Logistics modelling
through selected topics in (e.g.) (Nahmias) and then continue and finish up withthe contents of this book.
The structure of the book is consciously kept at a minimal academic level
- in the sense that literature references are kept at a minimum. The reason
for such a choice is of course partly laziness, but also the wish to produce
something that is more easily accessible than normal research literature.
Logistics. The course is planned to be given at Molde University College -
Specialized University in Logistics, the rst time in fall 2010. This course is
a part of the Event Management programme launched in Molde, fall 2010.
To be able to understand this book, a basic knowledge in Logistics is
necessary. Some of the material is probably too advanced for readers with
only a basic knowledge of Logistics/Operations Management, and several
appendixes that signal this type of diculty are used. So, readers with only a
minor level of knowledge in logistics should probably avoid these appendixes.
In order to meet these constraints, the planned course will be accompanied
by another (standard) text book in logistics at an intermediate level - for
instance "Production and Operations Analysis", by S. Nahmias (Nahmias). The
basic idea in teaching the course, is to capture essential Logistics modelling
through selected topics in (e.g.) (Nahmias) and then continue and finish up withthe contents of this book.
The structure of the book is consciously kept at a minimal academic level
- in the sense that literature references are kept at a minimum. The reason
for such a choice is of course partly laziness, but also the wish to produce
something that is more easily accessible than normal research literature.
Research Interests:
This book is written as teaching material for a course in Soccer Economics and Game Theory. The course was given at Molde College for the first time in spring 2003. To be able to understand this book, a basic course in Game Theory... more
This book is written as teaching material for a course in Soccer
Economics and Game Theory. The course was given at Molde College for the
first time in spring 2003.
To be able to understand this book, a basic course in Game Theory is
necessary. Some of the material is probably too advanced for readers
with only a basic knowledge of Game Theory, and several appendixes
used here may signal this type of difficulty. Consequently, readers
with only a minor level of knowledge in Game Theory should probably
avoid these appendixes.
Many of the examples used to address game theoretic problems in
soccer are taken from Norwegian soccer. However, the thoughts, ideas
and results introduced by these examples are meant to be general, and the
contents should as such be interesting for any reader interested in both
soccer and Game Theory.
Economics and Game Theory. The course was given at Molde College for the
first time in spring 2003.
To be able to understand this book, a basic course in Game Theory is
necessary. Some of the material is probably too advanced for readers
with only a basic knowledge of Game Theory, and several appendixes
used here may signal this type of difficulty. Consequently, readers
with only a minor level of knowledge in Game Theory should probably
avoid these appendixes.
Many of the examples used to address game theoretic problems in
soccer are taken from Norwegian soccer. However, the thoughts, ideas
and results introduced by these examples are meant to be general, and the
contents should as such be interesting for any reader interested in both
soccer and Game Theory.
Research Interests:
"Dynamic Programming may be viewed as a general method aimed at solving multistage optimization problems. Probabilistic or Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) may be viewed similarly, but aiming to solve stochastic multistage... more
"Dynamic Programming may be viewed as a general method aimed at solving multistage optimization problems. Probabilistic or Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) may be viewed similarly, but aiming to solve stochastic multistage optimization problems. A stochastic multistage optimization problem is a problem where one or several of the parameters in the problem are modeled as stochastic variables or processes.
As many of the problems in the field of Operations Research deals with future planning and many future events are hard to predict with certainty, it is not hard to imagine the possible practical importance of SDP and related techniques. According to the old"gurus" in the field, Bellmann and Dreyfus, this - that is; the stochastic case - is always the actual situation."
As many of the problems in the field of Operations Research deals with future planning and many future events are hard to predict with certainty, it is not hard to imagine the possible practical importance of SDP and related techniques. According to the old"gurus" in the field, Bellmann and Dreyfus, this - that is; the stochastic case - is always the actual situation."
Research Interests:
This brief commentary presents a satirical examination of the relationship between wealth and intelligence, challenging the conventional wisdom that links financial success with rational decision-making. Through humorous and provocative... more
This brief commentary presents a satirical examination of the relationship between wealth and intelligence, challenging the conventional wisdom that links financial success with rational decision-making. Through humorous and provocative arguments, the manuscript posits that achieving extreme wealth often involves taking significant risks, which may be seen as irrational or "stupid" by conventional standards. Using a combination of economic theory and anecdotal evidence, the discussion explores how high-risk decisions can lead to substantial financial gains, while also highlighting the absurdity of measuring personal qualities by wealth. This analysis aims to provoke thoughtful reflection on societal values and the true determinants of financial success. By engaging with themes such as risk-taking, economic theory, and societal perceptions of wealth, this concise contribution invites a broader discussion on the nature of financial success and the qualities it truly reflects.
Research Interests:
This brief commentary presents a satirical critique of New Public Management (NPM) practices in higher education, using a fictional university in Norway as a case study. Drawing parallels with Soviet-era production methods, we explore the... more
This brief commentary presents a satirical critique of New Public Management (NPM) practices in higher education, using a fictional university in Norway as a case study. Drawing parallels with Soviet-era production methods, we explore the implications of applying industrial management tactics to academic settings. Through a humorous lens, we discuss how such approaches can lead to a dilution of academic standards and integrity, evidenced by tactics such as lowering student assessment criteria to artificially boost pass rates and employing superficial methods to enhance institutional reputations. This analysis aims to provoke thoughtful reflection on current educational policies and their long-term impacts on academic quality, university governance, and policy formulation. We critically examine the metrics-driven approach to educational success and its consequences on teaching quality and academic freedom. By engaging with themes such as accountability in education, marketization of higher education, and the commodification of learning, this concise contribution invites a broader discussion on the sustainability of NPM strategies in nurturing genuine educational excellence.
Research Interests:
This article argues by casual empirics that a low draw percent in chess may work as a simplified cheating indicator. Data from a large number of historical chess games (53331) indicate that this extremely simple heuristic may be used as a... more
This article argues by casual empirics that a low draw percent in chess may work as a simplified cheating indicator. Data from a large number of historical chess games (53331) indicate that this extremely simple heuristic may be used as a first test if suspicion of cheating arises for professional chess players. This heuristic does not prove any cheating, but it may be applied as a quick primal indicator of potential cheating behaviour for a player suspected of cheating.
Research Interests:
The other day, I ran into an article, “In capitalist USA, sports has a ’socialist’ money distribution”, (Veland, 2019). The title1 intrigued me (and my co-author), and I quickly discovered that the underlying (original) article, “Why... more
The other day, I ran into an article, “In capitalist USA, sports has a ’socialist’ money distribution”, (Veland, 2019). The title1 intrigued me (and my co-author), and I quickly discovered that the underlying (original) article, “Why American sports are socialist and why European sports are not”, (Thompson, 2016), was the correct starting point for a serious read through.
Research Interests:
This article investigates training in sports and argues (and demonstrates) that training (gametheoretically) works exactly as doping do. That is, the Nash equilibrium is, under reasonable assumptions, a Prisoner's Dilemma outcome.... more
This article investigates training in sports and argues (and demonstrates) that training (gametheoretically) works exactly as doping do. That is, the Nash equilibrium is, under reasonable assumptions, a Prisoner's Dilemma outcome. Furthermore, several other performance improving categories within sport are examined, and proven to behave similarly. Finally, a link to general competitive economic activity is examined and proven NOT (necessarily) to have similar characteristics. The article also discusses (initially) the Prisoner's Dilemma game and its lack of a sensible definition. Such a definition is proposed, although this proposition is not considered the main finding in the paper.
Research Interests:
Based on an assumption of an existing scoring probability difference between two teams engaged in a football match, the conditional probability distribution given the number of goals in the match for the low quality team beating the high... more
Based on an assumption of an existing scoring probability difference between two teams engaged in a football match, the conditional probability distribution given the number of goals in the match for the low quality team beating the high quality team, is derived. Furthermore, similar distributions for the high quality team beating the low quality team as well as a draw are also derived. Based on a Poisson distribution of goals, we discuss a potential for optimizing expected uncertainty of outcome (UO) by adjusting intra-match rules or league rules for team sports. The main variables in this regard are (i) the typical number of goals scored, and (ii) the evenness of competing teams. We identify a curve defining the optimal expected number of goals as a function of team quality difference.
Research Interests:
This paper demonstrates, by simple classical game theory, that the claim by Savulescu et al. (2004) of a safer and fairer sport with legalized doping is a highly unlikely outcome. This result, with added arguments related to adverse... more
This paper demonstrates, by simple classical game theory, that the claim by Savulescu et al. (2004) of a safer and fairer sport with legalized doping is a highly unlikely outcome. This result, with added arguments related to adverse effects on both demand and supply for the sports product, should hopefully affect the debate on legalization of performance-enhancing drugs. The Nash equilibrium obtained in the analysis predicts more doping, and maybe more importantly, use of more dangerous performance-enhancing drugs. As a consequence, a legalization of performance.enhancing drugs may threaten the actual existence of professional sports markets.
Research Interests:
The 50th anniversary of the McClintock effect deserves a new view on the subject. This paper applies (evolutionary) game theory to gain further insight. Among interesting results are strong indications of Nash equilibria in mixed... more
The 50th anniversary of the McClintock effect deserves a new view on the subject. This paper applies (evolutionary) game theory to gain further insight. Among interesting results are strong indications of Nash equilibria in mixed strategies, indicating that the effect depends on parameters characterizing both females and males in the group. As such, much of the empirical research conducted on the subject over the last 50 years may be questioned. Furthermore, the article predicts that the effect's potential presence depends strongly on female envy/jealousy as well as male preferences on female attractiveness.
Research Interests:
This article applies game theory to explain why football clubs have a tendency to sack their managers when relegation is a realistic option. As opposed to coach succession literature, which typically reports contradiction between theory... more
This article applies game theory to explain why football clubs have a tendency to sack their managers when relegation is a realistic option. As opposed to coach succession literature, which typically reports contradiction between theory and practice, this article produces credible explanations for this "problem". In addition, observations indicating accelerated manager replacements in modern professional football are also easily explained. Derived Nash equilibria are also quite robust to parameter assumptions and hence the possible variations.
Research Interests:
After many years of teaching utility maximization in Microeconomics a certain paradoxical puzzle has come to our attention. It is very simple and straightforward, but we still find it hard to explain it to students. Our hope is that the... more
After many years of teaching utility maximization in Microeconomics a certain paradoxical puzzle has come to our attention. It is very simple and straightforward, but we still find it hard to explain it to students. Our hope is that the distinguished community of theoretical economists may help us solve this mystery. After all, we would find it extremely unlikely that we are the first persons to identify this paradox.
Research Interests:
Tournament design of sports competitions may have a significant effect on the success of the event and is therefore an integral part of sport management. In this paper we discuss the design of the qualification for the UEFA Euro 2020 that... more
Tournament design of sports competitions may have a significant effect on the success of the event and is therefore an integral part of sport management. In this paper we discuss the design of the qualification for the UEFA Euro 2020 that is composed of the "usual" group stage, as well as an advancement option from the newly developed Nations League. We demonstrate several shortcomings that this structure may create, such as incentives to lose a single game as well as incentives to be the worst team in the group. In addition, it is possible to qualify for the final tournament by winning only two games in the play-offs and losing all the other 16 games in the "usual" group and in the Nations League. We also show that a top-seeded team in the final tournament is disadvantaged because it has to compete against two different teams that play at their home field. Finally, we discuss the scarcity of studies on tournament design in the sports management literature and call for its inclusion into the family of traditional topics in the field.
Research Interests:
Optimal values of parameters which play the major role in the implementation and financial sustainability of waste-to-energy plants technology can be obtained through the solution of mathematical programs corresponding to the minimization... more
Optimal values of parameters which play the major role in the implementation and financial sustainability of waste-to-energy plants technology can be obtained through the solution of mathematical programs corresponding to the minimization of total costs for the waste treatment. However, decisions based on the idea of total costs minimization can neglect the behavioural aspect of the problems and assume full cooperation between waste producers, which might not occur. The aim of this paper is to present possible approaches to modelling of cooperation between the waste producers in a certain location in the setting with limited or banned landfilling using the apparatus of cooperative game theory. The underlying idea is to justify and formalize the decision-making process leading to a cooperative reduction of the costs for non-recyclable solid waste treatment. In this paper, each application-oriented class of cooperative games is briefly described, and the games modelling interactions between waste producers in exemplary problems with different cooperation restrictions are defined. The Shapley value and its modifications are calculated for these games in order to present possible development of waste producers’ costs in a case of cooperation and to demonstrate the distinction between considered classes. The main contribution is an introduction of the newly implemented cooperative game theory approaches enabling analysis and prediction of waste producers’ behaviour. These approaches are suitable and prospective for the further research in the field of waste management and can be used in a prediction of the impact of WtE plants building on public finances and assessment of the waste treatment infrastructure sustainability.
Research Interests:
This paper applies simple game theory in order to analyze the UEFA Financial Fair Play (FFP) policy, which was fully implemented in the 2013/14 season. By involving budget constraints put on clubs, FFP may lead to unintended or even... more
This paper applies simple game theory in order to analyze the UEFA Financial Fair Play (FFP) policy, which was fully implemented in the 2013/14 season. By involving budget constraints put on clubs, FFP may lead to unintended or even adverse effects as indicated by some of the obtained results. In particular, the analysis shows that due to being in the situation of a Prisoner’s Dilemma, the clubs have a strong incentive to bypass the new regulations, what results in additional costs both for clubs to hide and UEFA to detect deviant behavior. As these costs might deter small clubs from trying to cheat, this consequently must have negative consequences on the level of competitive balance within a league. However, a positive outcome of FFP might be that clubs become more independent from benefactors or sugar daddies.
This article presents an algorithm, which by taking both goals scored as well as matches played into account, is meant to provide "more sensible" top scorer lists in football. The algorithm computes Upper Hulls recursively in order to... more
This article presents an algorithm, which by taking both goals scored as well as matches played into account, is meant to provide "more sensible" top scorer lists in football. The algorithm computes Upper Hulls recursively in order to provide a new and improved list. The complexity of the algorithm is reasonable, and should imply practically feasible execution on a modern computer. The proposed algorithm may also be an interesting alternative to academic scholar ranking. It has interesting properties for instance compared to the h-index.
Research Interests:
This article discusses an alternative to Video Assisted Refereeing (VAR) in football. An alternative option of positively adjusting the distance from the penalty spot to the goal, leading to a decrease in penalty scoring probabilities is... more
This article discusses an alternative to Video Assisted Refereeing (VAR) in football. An alternative option of positively adjusting the distance from the penalty spot to the goal, leading to a decrease in penalty scoring probabilities is suggested. 90 years of empirics from Serie A in Italy is used to discuss the suggested method. The article concludes by an example illustrating the proposed method.
Research Interests:
In this short note, we offer a suggestion that we believe may be ethically sound for research. Requiring co-authors to be able to deliver a reasonable presentation of a paper may lead to co-authors being fewer in number and more... more
In this short note, we offer a suggestion that we believe may be ethically sound for research. Requiring co-authors to be able to deliver a reasonable presentation of a paper may lead to co-authors being fewer in number and more representative in nature.
Research Interests:
Soviet tractor factories managed to fill their quotas by lowering quality. A similar strategy can be used for higher education. In Nor-way, education is free for all and there is only marginal competition between universities. Therefore,... more
Soviet tractor factories managed to fill their quotas by lowering quality. A similar strategy can be used for higher education. In Nor-way, education is free for all and there is only marginal competition between universities. Therefore, the Ministry of Education has chosen to use ideas from New Public Management to create incentives for productivity. Our fictitious NPM University is following the idea from the Soviet factories, at the same time as satisfying government policies.
In this short note, we offer a humorous view on New Public Management in Academia. Any similarities with real institutions, scholars or politicians are of course intended.
In this short note, we offer a humorous view on New Public Management in Academia. Any similarities with real institutions, scholars or politicians are of course intended.
Research Interests:
The article formulates, solves and draws inference from a game model intended to shed light on the evolution of artificial turf in professional European football (soccer). The main results indicate that the quality of teams (sports... more
The article formulates, solves and draws inference from a game model intended to shed light on the evolution of artificial turf in professional European football (soccer). The main results indicate that the quality of teams (sports performance-wise) defines which of the teams choose to play on artificial turf and which not. Furthermore, teams with low quality are predicted to be the "artificial turf pioneers", both model-wise, as well as indicated by some empirical examples with data taken from the Norwegian, Swedish and Dutch leagues. The fact that artificial turf may play a significant role also in the evolution of uncertainty of outcome is interesting and commented on in the conclusion.
Research Interests:
This paper proposes an alternative mathematical formulation to one (am-ong many) ways of estimating uncertainty of outcome. This alternative formulation may make such estimation processes easier for both practitioners and researchers.... more
This paper proposes an alternative mathematical formulation to one (am-ong many) ways of estimating uncertainty of outcome. This alternative formulation may make such estimation processes easier for both practitioners and researchers. Additionally, some approximative estimators 1 are derived, tested and discussed. Even though these estimators may not perform perfectly for football leagues, they may have a stronger potential for use in other sports.
Research Interests:
This (short) article/commentary discusses the video-assisted referee (VAR) system in association football. Based on simple logic, the link between uncertainty of outcome and VAR is established, and the article concludes that general... more
This (short) article/commentary discusses the video-assisted referee (VAR) system in association football. Based on simple logic, the link between uncertainty of outcome and VAR is established, and the article concludes that general introduction of the VAR system may be harmful to association football as it may lower uncertainty of outcome to levels which may seriously harm future demand.
Research Interests:
The article reports a series of regressions between various proxies for financial inequality and uncertainty of outcome in English football. The main finding is that no significant association between these two variables are identified.... more
The article reports a series of regressions between various proxies for financial inequality and uncertainty of outcome in English football. The main finding is that no significant association between these two variables are identified. Potential alternative explanatory factors for uncertainty of outcome are also discussed, and a significant association between corruption and uncertainty of outcome is identified.
Research Interests:
This article applies economics of doping theory (game theory) to corruption. Similarities and significant differences between the two topics are identified. As a consequence of such differences, the corruptive action – the bribe – is... more
This article applies economics of doping theory (game theory) to corruption. Similarities and significant differences between the two topics are identified. As a consequence of such differences, the corruptive action – the bribe – is introduced as a decision variable for the players. Nash equilibria of the “corruption game” are structurally similar to the doping situation – e.g. “everybody is corrupt”. However, the size of the bribe becomes, as a consequence of a significant revision of the basic models, “as high as possible”; indicating that the event corruption case should be at least as hard to handle as the doping problem and with possibly even more drastic adverse effects. Although the article focuses on corruption in sports and events, the results are also relevant for other types of corruptive action. Corruption in sports is a problem threatening the existence of professional sports. Hence, the methods for better understanding presented in this article are of vital importance for the professional sports business.
Research Interests:
This paper presents some useful mathematical results concerned with football table prediction. In addition, some empirical results indicate that an alternative methodology for football table prediction may produce high quality forecasts... more
This paper presents some useful mathematical results concerned with football table prediction. In addition, some empirical results indicate that an alternative methodology for football table prediction may produce high quality forecasts with far less resource usage than conventional methods.
Research Interests:
The purpose of this study is to analyze the consequences that point score systems in association football may have on potential collusion between teams. The study applies game theory and empirical analysis to derive and test hypotheses.... more
The purpose of this study is to analyze the consequences that point score systems in association football may have on potential collusion between teams. The study applies game theory and empirical analysis to derive and test hypotheses. The main findings of the article include Nash equilibria indicating a higher collusion potential associated with the 3-1-0 point score system than with the 2-1-0 system. Of particular interest is the finding that the competitive balance of the league affects collusion, and that (theoretically) high competitive balance in fact makes collusion more probable. Empirically, we are not able to prove that real-world participants do collude, but we provide circumstantial evidence that is consistent with collusion. The empirical analysis is based on a sample of 25 European top leagues with 823 played matches in the 2017 and 2016/17 seasons. These data are used to estimate uncertainty of outcome and draw ratio. We apply a standard t-test to test our main hypothesis. The main conclusion of the paper may hence be summed up as advice to reinstall the 2-1-0 point score system in association football.
Research Interests:
In this article, a new set of rules in professional handball, introduced in July 2016 are discussed. The discussion is aided by a reasonably broad empirical analysis, comparing uncertainty of outcome between European handball and football... more
In this article, a new set of rules in professional handball, introduced in July 2016 are discussed. The discussion is aided by a reasonably broad empirical analysis, comparing uncertainty of outcome between European handball and football (soccer). This analysis indicates that European handball, already before the introduction of the new rules, may have had problems with severe lack of uncertainty of outcome. Given this fact, we discuss the new rules, and conclude that they may lead to further increased competitive imbalance (reduced uncertainty of outcome) in handball. Such a conclusion should be of interest for handball officials, especially when the new set of rules, here identified as possibly harmful for uncertainty of outcome, still are under debate.
Research Interests:
A seemingly common practice of using MENSA membership as proxy for high IQ sampling is discussed. Perhaps not surprising, the conclusion questions such a strategy. A research case is used, emphasizing the care which is needed when drawing... more
A seemingly common practice of using MENSA membership as proxy for high IQ sampling is discussed. Perhaps not surprising, the conclusion questions such a strategy. A research case is used, emphasizing the care which is needed when drawing conclusions using this sampling technique.
Research Interests:
This paper presents a relatively comprehensive study of how Uncertainty of Outcome has developed over time in major European football leagues. The findings are clear; excitement in football is degrading, closing up on levels that many... more
This paper presents a relatively comprehensive study of how Uncertainty of Outcome has developed over time in major European football leagues. The findings are clear; excitement in football is degrading, closing up on levels that many should find unacceptable. The paper also discusses and proposes some simple means for reversing this development.
Research Interests:
This short note presents three arguments against a suggestion made by Ole M. Moen in his article “Bright new world”. The arguments cover different aspects of his proposition of offering subsidizes to women for choosing to have high IQ... more
This short note presents three arguments against a suggestion made by Ole M. Moen in his article “Bright new world”. The arguments cover different aspects of his proposition of offering subsidizes to women for choosing to have high IQ babies. Our main argument is related to evolution, but also economics as well as genetic feasibility is discussed. We do not agree with Ole M. Moen that this is a good idea. In fact, we believe it is a very bad idea.
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This article applies mathematical methods to investigating (extremely) simplified versions of the team selection problem for football managers. The team selection problem – obviously a game problem – is analysed game theoretically, but... more
This article applies mathematical methods to investigating (extremely) simplified versions of the team selection problem for football managers. The team selection problem – obviously a game problem – is analysed game theoretically, but some funny results of a combinatorial nature are also added. In general, the findings indicate that the problem of selecting a football team is a very demanding task. Still, a simple comparison between win and profit maximising game models indicate surprising complexity in game prediction.
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The Norwegian company EWOS AS produces fish feed for the salmon farming industry, supplying approximately 300 customers spread along the coast of Norway. The feed is produced at three factory locations and distributed by a fleet of 10... more
The Norwegian company EWOS AS produces fish feed for the salmon farming industry, supplying approximately 300 customers spread along the coast of Norway. The feed is produced at three factory locations and distributed by a fleet of 10 dedicated vessels. The high seasonality of the demand and the large number of customers make the distribution planning a substantial challenge. EWOS handles it by operating a system of mostly fixed routes with decentralized planning at each factory. The distribution can be described as a multi-depot vehicle routing problem with time windows, multiple vehicle usage, inter-depot routes, heterogeneous fleet and a rolling horizon. The paper presents a mathematical model for this problem, which is solved by heuristics and meta heuristics. Based on detailed historical data collected by EWOS during the autumn of 2010, the model has proposed a dynamic set of routes with a significant reduction of travelled distance – close to 30% – and an increase of average vessel fill-rate – from 60% up to 95%. This implies a substantial fuel saving, with a positive environmental impact, and also a potential for down-scaling the fleet, with additional considerable cost savings for the company.
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ENGLISH ABSTRACT, THE ARTICLE IS IN NORWEGIAN (AN ENGLISH TRANSLATION IS AVAILABLE AT: https://www.academia.edu/35647889/The_value_of_IQ_a_commentary_to_Bright_new_world_by_Ole_Martin_Moen) This short note presents three arguments... more
ENGLISH ABSTRACT, THE ARTICLE IS IN NORWEGIAN (AN ENGLISH TRANSLATION IS AVAILABLE AT:
https://www.academia.edu/35647889/The_value_of_IQ_a_commentary_to_Bright_new_world_by_Ole_Martin_Moen)
This short note presents three arguments against a suggestion made by Ole M. Moen in his article «Bright new world». The arguments cover different aspects of his proposition of offering subsidizes to women for choosing to have high IQ babies. Our main argument is related to evolution, but also economics as well as genetic feasibility is discussed. We do not agree with Ole M. Moen that this is a good idea. In fact, we believe it is a very bad idea.
https://www.academia.edu/35647889/The_value_of_IQ_a_commentary_to_Bright_new_world_by_Ole_Martin_Moen)
This short note presents three arguments against a suggestion made by Ole M. Moen in his article «Bright new world». The arguments cover different aspects of his proposition of offering subsidizes to women for choosing to have high IQ babies. Our main argument is related to evolution, but also economics as well as genetic feasibility is discussed. We do not agree with Ole M. Moen that this is a good idea. In fact, we believe it is a very bad idea.
Research Interests:
This commentary discusses how the rules of the game may affect doping positively and negatively. The link between rules and doping prevalence is established. Some examples are given, indicating what to do and not. The main scientific... more
This commentary discusses how the rules of the game may affect doping positively and negatively. The link between rules and doping prevalence is established. Some examples are given, indicating what to do and not. The main scientific outcome of the paper is perhaps that the fight against doping can be performed cheaper than through classical means such as improved test quality/higher test frequency, or less progressive (more egalitarian) prize functions, or tougher sanctions. As such, the recommended strategy may be seen as a “Columbi Egg”. But, as always, nothing comes for free, and some serious creativity in sport redesign is needed to realize this method’s potential.
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This article presents a simple linear regression between national football team quality and uncertainty of outcome in associated national leagues. The main results indicate no significant causal relationship between the variables, a... more
This article presents a simple linear regression between national football team quality and uncertainty of outcome in associated national leagues. The main results indicate no significant causal relationship between the variables, a conclusion somewhat contradictive to many practitioners argument on improving competitive balance in local leagues as a mean of improving national team quality.
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This article discusses " extreme " Prisoner's Dilemma games, and questions Nash equilibrium as a solution concept in such situations. A slight reformulation of the concept is suggested, securing that a more reasonable solution is chosen.... more
This article discusses " extreme " Prisoner's Dilemma games, and questions Nash equilibrium as a solution concept in such situations. A slight reformulation of the concept is suggested, securing that a more reasonable solution is chosen. A small warning to the reader: This article is special, not everything is true. That is, there are fictional parts. The reader is left for deciding what is fictional and what is science. Perhaps we could categorize the paper as a quiz where the objective is to rule out fictional parts from the content which at least is meant to be scientific.
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The new Norwegian system for calculation of publication credits is examined. The new system was launched due to criticism for penalizing collaborative research. It turns out that adverse incentive problems emerge as a result of this... more
The new Norwegian system for calculation of publication credits is examined. The new system was launched due to criticism for penalizing collaborative research. It turns out that adverse incentive problems emerge as a result of this system change. We show by a simple case, that institutions will benefit (credit-wise) by adding more authors to a scientific publication. Even worse, the beneficial effect increases the more authors the paper has initially. Alternative cases indicate even stronger incentives for co-author maximization.
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The effect of advertising on sales has been the subject of recent studies as an important aspect in many demand-based problems. Herein, we deal with the newsvendor problem, due to its simple structure, as a suitable tool for illustrating... more
The effect of advertising on sales has been the subject of recent studies as an important aspect in many demand-based problems. Herein, we deal with the newsvendor problem, due to its simple structure, as a suitable tool for illustrating how facets of marketing may affect decision-making concerning operational problems. In the setting presented, the newsvendor is faced with advertising-sensitive stochastic demand, where a demand-related random element comprises an advertising decision of the multiplicative or additive form. We assume that a suitable advertising strategy results in increased sales. Two advertising response functions are considered, these being concave downward and S-shaped. We review and extend the existing results relating to the newsvendor problem with marketing effects, which mostly pertain to the concave function. These are generalized by defining the S-shaped function, and some original insights into the effect of advertising are given. We establish that the optimal advertising expenditure for the multiplicative case is always less than or equal to the optimal amount in the equivalent deterministic model while it is always equal in the additive case. We finally illustrate the results that are obtained by providing numerical examples involving various advertising response functions, as well as management-related interpretations.
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In this paper, a game between two football (soccer) teams is analysed. The focus is on how the choice of point score system may affect Nash equilibria in a given simultaneous game and a corresponding sequential version. The reason for... more
In this paper, a game between two football (soccer) teams is analysed. The focus is on how the choice of point score system may affect Nash equilibria in a given simultaneous game and a corresponding sequential version. The reason for this choice, is (to some extent) experience related to the growing secrecy on pre-game strategic choices among football coaches. It is demonstrated by relatively simple game theory, that the point score system plays a vital role in how teams (coaches) will "play" such games, given that they are rational and recognize Nash equilibrium as a reasonable game prediction. In fact, some evidence on an increased tendency for more pre-game strategic secrecy is logically established in a move from a 2-1-0 point score system to a 3-1-0 point score system.
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This paper applies simple game theory to investigate an equilibrium link between composition of football clubs' fans preferences and the clubs' talent acquisition decisions. Such a link is identified, and wealth of the clubs turns out to... more
This paper applies simple game theory to investigate an equilibrium link between composition of football clubs' fans preferences and the clubs' talent acquisition decisions. Such a link is identified, and wealth of the clubs turns out to be important for such equilibria to be established. However, even poor clubs can reach equilibria where they end up being winners of the " talent-acquisition-game " , given that their fans are 'die-hard' enough. In short; clubs with a long history and a dedicated fan base are much better prepared for successful competition in the football market.
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In this paper, a game between two bookmakers is analysed. The simple game involves high or low odds strategies for each bookmaker, and an inherent Prisoner’s Dilemma structure is revealed. However, this structure may be partially... more
In this paper, a game between two bookmakers is analysed. The simple game involves high or low odds strategies for each bookmaker, and an inherent Prisoner’s Dilemma structure is revealed. However, this structure may be partially resolved given parametric changes in profit structures that might lead to a “Stag Hunt Game”.
An argument for possible bookmaker arbitrage is added. Although this argument is well known, it is sparsely treated in research literature. A proof of the necessity of differing beliefs between gamblers to obtain bookmaker arbitrage is added.
An argument for possible bookmaker arbitrage is added. Although this argument is well known, it is sparsely treated in research literature. A proof of the necessity of differing beliefs between gamblers to obtain bookmaker arbitrage is added.
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In this article, we present further discussion provoking explanation, why the existing fight against doping in sport is not fully successful although widely presented in media. Our paper is based on economical arguments derived from... more
In this article, we present further discussion provoking explanation, why the existing fight against doping in sport is not fully successful although widely presented in media. Our paper is based on economical arguments derived from discussions of practitioners due to lack of statistically valid data and their fundamental mathematical modeling. Hence, the maximization of a (two-variable) sports attendance demand function, depending on athletes’ performance and doping prevalence, may result in a positive optimal doping prevalence and explain the existing sport doping related situation. Given reasonable assumptions on relevant functional behavior, this result can be interpreted as an incentive for sports officials to allow (and even welcome) some doping. As a consequence, we conclude that one should not be surprised that doping exists and is widespread under the assumption of aggregated rational behavior that is common in economical research. Therefore, the need for a global coordinated system of testing and sanctions decoupled from sport may be a necessary condition in order to meet these challenges and together with the proposed model should be the subject of further discussions.
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This short note tells the story of an experiment aiming to fool the data collection system of the ResearchGate site. The note reports of a very successful experiment. However, such a success is perhaps better news for ResearchGate... more
This short note tells the story of an experiment aiming to fool the data collection system of the ResearchGate site. The note reports of a very successful experiment. However, such a success is perhaps better news for ResearchGate competitors than ResearchGate itself.
I conclude with some humble advice for the site, politely asking them to rethink their strategy of ranks, competition and metrics.
I conclude with some humble advice for the site, politely asking them to rethink their strategy of ranks, competition and metrics.
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This article presents a mathematical model for barge transport planning on the river Rhine, which is part of a decision support system (DSS) recently taken into use by the Swiss company Omya. The system is operated by Omya’s regional... more
This article presents a mathematical model for barge transport planning on the river Rhine, which is part of a decision support system (DSS) recently taken into use by the Swiss company Omya. The system is operated by Omya’s regional office in Cologne, Germany, responsible for distribution planning at the regional distribution center (RDC) in Moerdijk, the Netherlands. The distribution planning is a vital part of supply chain management of Omya’s production of Norwegian high quality calcium carbonate slurry, supplied to European paper manufacturers. The DSS operates within a vendor managed inventory (VMI) setting, where the customer inventories are monitored by Omya, who decides upon the refilling days and quantities delivered by barges. The barge planning problem falls into the category of inventory routing problems (IRP) and is further characterized with multiple products, heterogeneous fleet with availability restrictions (the fleet is owned by third party), vehicle compartments, dependency of barge capacity on water-level, multiple customer visits, bounded customer inventories and rolling planning horizon. There are additional modelling details which had to be considered to make it possible to employ the model in practice at a sufficient level of detail. To the best of our knowledge, we have not been able to find similar models covering all these aspects in barge planning. This article presents the developed mixed-integer programming model and discusses practical experience with its solution. Briefly, it also puts the model into the context of the entire business case of value chain optimization in Omya.
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The purpose of the paper is to present an overview of stochastic programs focusing on scenario-based stochastic linear programs. The ways of involving dynamic pricing idea into the selected models is discussed in short together with the... more
The purpose of the paper is to present an overview of stochastic programs focusing on scenario-based stochastic linear programs. The ways of involving dynamic pricing idea into the selected models is discussed in short together with the decision dependent randomness case. At the end, the particular case of scenario-based model of transportation network involving a random demand and dynamic pricing is introduced.
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In this paper, we follow up research of Vatne [23] related to how mentally ill patients could (and perhaps should) be treated. We propose, model, and analyze a simple sequential game of incomplete and asymmetric information where the... more
In this paper, we follow up research of Vatne [23] related to how mentally ill patients could (and perhaps should) be treated. We propose, model, and analyze a simple sequential game of incomplete and asymmetric information where the patient moves first, signaling behavior which is observed by the therapist with lack or limited knowledge of the actual patient type. We assume greatly approximated strategy spaces both for patient and therapist, but will still claim that our results increase knowledge of this important relation. Knowledge that may be critically important in continued improved treatment of patients with mental illness.
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This paper discusses typical strategies obtained by formulating and solving Stochastic Optimization problems. Such strategies tend to have ”hedging” capabilities; that is – somewhat cautious plans are recommended. These plans are seldom... more
This paper discusses typical strategies obtained by formulating and solving Stochastic Optimization problems. Such strategies tend to have ”hedging” capabilities; that is – somewhat cautious plans are recommended. These plans are seldom Ex post optimal. This fact is utilized in some simple examples which illustrate that such strategies may prove disadvantageous in a competitive setting.
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This paper describes an algorithm for a quadratic programming problem with a special structure The algorithm is implemented and tested against standard commercial mathematical programming code - MINOS version 5.2. The algorithm... more
This paper describes an algorithm for a quadratic programming problem with a special structure The algorithm is implemented and tested against standard commercial mathematical programming code - MINOS version 5.2. The algorithm competes favorably against MINOS. The quadratic programming problem arises as a subproblem in a profit maximizing version of the Capacitated Lot Sizing Problem (CLSP).
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This paper discusses recent trends in internet development and possible important consequences for the OR-community. The discussion refers some experiments with a new branch of internet applications which may prove to have a tremendous... more
This paper discusses recent trends in internet development and possible important consequences for the OR-community. The discussion refers some experiments with a new branch of internet applications which may prove to have a tremendous impact on the OR-related software industry.
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"The purpose of the paper is to present a hybrid algorithm to solve a transportation optimization model with random demand parameters and network design variables. At first, the classical deterministic linear transportation model with... more
"The purpose of the paper is to present a hybrid
algorithm to solve a transportation optimization model with
random demand parameters and network design variables. At
first, the classical deterministic linear transportation model
with network design 0-1 variables is introduced. Then, randomness
is considered for demand parameters and modeled
by here-and-now approach. The obtained scenario-based model
leads to a mixed integer linear program (MILP) that can be
solved by common integer programming techniques, see e.g.
the branch-and-bound algorithm implemented in the CPLEX
solver. Such a program may reach solvability limitations of MIP
algorithms for large scale real world data, so a suitable heuristic
development is welcome. Therefore, the idea of combination
of traditional optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm is
discussed and developed. At the end, the results are illustrated
and also verified for a small test instance by figures."
algorithm to solve a transportation optimization model with
random demand parameters and network design variables. At
first, the classical deterministic linear transportation model
with network design 0-1 variables is introduced. Then, randomness
is considered for demand parameters and modeled
by here-and-now approach. The obtained scenario-based model
leads to a mixed integer linear program (MILP) that can be
solved by common integer programming techniques, see e.g.
the branch-and-bound algorithm implemented in the CPLEX
solver. Such a program may reach solvability limitations of MIP
algorithms for large scale real world data, so a suitable heuristic
development is welcome. Therefore, the idea of combination
of traditional optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm is
discussed and developed. At the end, the results are illustrated
and also verified for a small test instance by figures."
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"The main purpose of the paper is to present a specific case of dynamic pricing for the newsvendor problem. Firstly, a short overview of the newsvendor problem is given together with references to selected literature and remarks to its... more
"The main purpose of the paper is to present a specific case of dynamic pricing for the newsvendor
problem. Firstly, a short overview of the newsvendor problem is given together with references to selected
literature and remarks to its applicability. Then, dynamic pricing principles are discussed together with references
to a decision dependent randomness case in stochastic programming. The dynamic pricing problem deals with
determination of selling prices over time for a product whose demand is random and whose supply is fixed. We
approach this problem by formulating the newsvendor problem, which is introduced as a single period problem
in our case. We focus on specific features of the demand function assuming a decision dependent uniform
distribution. We assume that its support size linearly decreases with the increase of the price. Under such
assumptions, the model has suitable computational features related to the expectation of the objective function.
In addition, a possibility to increase the profit by change of the price may appear. The model formulation allows
us to use the MAPLE software for symbolic computations and visualization of results. The test results for
the selected data set are visualized at the end of the paper."
problem. Firstly, a short overview of the newsvendor problem is given together with references to selected
literature and remarks to its applicability. Then, dynamic pricing principles are discussed together with references
to a decision dependent randomness case in stochastic programming. The dynamic pricing problem deals with
determination of selling prices over time for a product whose demand is random and whose supply is fixed. We
approach this problem by formulating the newsvendor problem, which is introduced as a single period problem
in our case. We focus on specific features of the demand function assuming a decision dependent uniform
distribution. We assume that its support size linearly decreases with the increase of the price. Under such
assumptions, the model has suitable computational features related to the expectation of the objective function.
In addition, a possibility to increase the profit by change of the price may appear. The model formulation allows
us to use the MAPLE software for symbolic computations and visualization of results. The test results for
the selected data set are visualized at the end of the paper."
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A presentation of some work in progress at a local research conference in Hustadvika, 2018
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The actual presentation file for a desktop recorded video, which will be available under Video Research Presentations on this site.
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A talk in the Sport Management Research Group at Molde University College, Specialized University in Logistics
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The actual presentation file for a desktop recorded video, which will be available under Video Research Presentations on this site.
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The actual presentation file for a desktop recorded video, which is available under Video Research Presentations on this site.
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The actual presentation file for a desktop recorded video, which is available under Video Research Presentations on this site.
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The actual presentation file for a desktop recorded video, which is available under Video Research Presentations on this site.
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Talk given for Zlin (Czech Republic) academic visitors
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Health Logistics
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Health logistics
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A presentation of HiMolde for a Russian academic delegation
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On logistics and cooperation with local businesses
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On health logistics
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On uncertainty and petroleum project scheduling
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Stochastic optimization related to scheduling of long-term investments in the Norwegian petroleum sector
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Some thoughts on environmental logistics
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A talk on a game model for trade-offs between road and ship transportation
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A simple regression model on effects of a new football stadium in Molde - AKER station
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Estimating the value of RBK (Norwegian football club)
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Valuation of football clubs
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On football economics - estimating value of football clubs
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Some health logistics, perhaps somewhat critical on how Norway has organized health services
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Some paradoxes related to research quality, evaluation and financing
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Some health logistics for Norwegian MDs
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Solving more old exams - IV
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Solving more old exams - III
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Solving more old exams - II
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Solving more old exams - I
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Solving the exam from 2009.
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Finishing up Exercise set II
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Exercise set II and a little lecture on the Economics of Doping.
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The myths of football.
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Regulating football - Point score systems and competitive balance.
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Norway vs. Belarus and the point of degrading your performance level. Also why good teams may loose against bad teams in WC opening games.
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Team tactics: Norway against Brazil
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The penalty kick
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Exercise set I - part 2
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Carrying out Exercise set I - part 1
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The Norwegian soccer wonder or the rise and fall of a "small" soccer nation like Norway.
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Comparing competitive balance between Norwegian female handball and Scottish football
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Measuring competitive balance/imbalance
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Why is football so popular?
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Mixed Strategies
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Punsihment and reward, Repeated games (very shortly) and some probability calculus.
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Prisoner's Dilemma & OPEC
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Elimination of dominated strategies & Nash Equilibrium
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Dominant Strategies & EBOLA
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Some simple examples of simultaneous and sequential games
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Introducing the course and Game Theory (silently).
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Exam preparation, information and discussion
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Running through the final parts of the exam from 2012
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Running through the exam from 2012
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Exercise set II - (2)
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Exerciset set II - (1)
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Ch. 10: Monopoly
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Ch. 9: Keeping on analyzing competitive markets
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Ch. 9 - Analyzing competitive markets.
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Guest lecture by former president of the Norwegian Football Association, Sondre Kåfjord.
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Guest lecture by former president of the Norwegian Football Association, Sondre Kåfjord.
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Guest lecture by former president of the Norwegian Football Association, Sondre Kåfjord.
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Running through Exercise set II - (2)
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Running through Exercise set II - (1)
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Deriving the supply curve.
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Still solving exercise set 1 - the absolute final parts - this time in complete silence (!)
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Keeping up running through Exercise set 1
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Running through exercise set 1.
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Chapter 7: Production cost
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Chapter 6: Production
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Chapter 4: The market demand curve and consumer surplus
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Chapter 4: Engel curves, Inferior goods, Giffen goods and Veblen goods
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A classroom exercise with linear utility functions, Linear programming
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Chapter 3: Graphical and Mathematical solutions to the utility maximization problem
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CHapter 3: Indifference curves, Budget constraints and utility maximization
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Chapter 3: Consumer Behavior
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Video presentation of an article: "Fighting doping through sport redesign" published in European Journal of sport studies, 2017. Part of a project of 'economics of doping' research presentations. Article can be read at:... more
Video presentation of an article: "Fighting doping through sport redesign" published in European Journal of sport studies, 2017.
Part of a project of 'economics of doping' research presentations.
Article can be read at: http://www.ejss-journal.com/index.php/fighting-doping-through-sport-redesign
Part of a project of 'economics of doping' research presentations.
Article can be read at: http://www.ejss-journal.com/index.php/fighting-doping-through-sport-redesign
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A video research presentation of the paper. Published in European Journal of Sport Science: doi: 10.12863/ejssax3x2-2015x2
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A presentation of "The multi-player performance-enhancing drug game, PLoS ONE, 2013 on video
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A presentation of "Why we shouldn't allow performance enhancing drugs in sport", BJSM - BLOG, 2011 on video
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""A presentation of "The doping self-reporting game: The paradox of a 'false-telling' mechanism and its potential research and policy implications" on video, SMR, 2012 on video
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""
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A presentation of "The performance-enhancing drug game", JSE, 2004 on video.
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One day the editor of idrottsforum.org, Kjell E. Eriksson, asked me if I wanted to review a new book in Sports Economics. As the title, Teaching Sport Economics and Using Sports to Teach Economics, seemed interesting, I accepted the... more
One day the editor of idrottsforum.org, Kjell E. Eriksson, asked me if I wanted to review a new book in Sports Economics. As the title, Teaching Sport Economics and Using Sports to Teach Economics, seemed interesting, I accepted the mission quickly. After reading the book, I am not altogether certain that my YES-decision was the optimal one. I must admit, I expected something slightly different.
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What’s the difference between a lawyer and an accountant?
The accountant knows he’s boring.
The accountant knows he’s boring.
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I never learn. Yesterday a football match collision (Bayern Munich v Bor. Dortmund and Brighton v Man. United) made me tape one of the matches and watch the other live. I always like to watch matches in full, and when matches are... more
I never learn. Yesterday a football match collision (Bayern Munich v Bor. Dortmund and Brighton v Man. United) made me tape one of the matches and watch the other live. I always like to watch matches in full, and when matches are broadcasted in parallel, I normally tape one to watch it later.
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Actually an article review for the paper: Research Note: A regression that probably never should have been performed – the case of Norwegian top-league football attendance. Written by Rasmus Storm at Idrættens Analyseinstitutt - Denmark.
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Jeg kan ikke stoppe med fliringa når jeg forlater kontoret denne fredagen. Hva kan det vaere som har satt meg i godt humør?
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I den senere tid har jeg fått et nytt ord i vokabularet, woke, men dessverre også færre. Tjukk og stygg er nå ord som er «forbudte».
Research Interests: Woke()
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Som ofte rapportert i denne spalten, får vi litt bedre tid om vinteren enn om sommeren. Ikke misforstå, det er nok av interessant idrett å fordrive tida med.
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Jeg har etter hvert blitt en erfaren deltager i hjemmeinstitusjonens styre. Jeg tror jeg debuterte som innvalgt varamedlem-antagelig en gang tidlig på 2000-tallet. Den gang, da slike styreverv ikke ga ekstra betaling, ga posisjonen som... more
Jeg har etter hvert blitt en erfaren deltager i hjemmeinstitusjonens styre. Jeg tror jeg debuterte som innvalgt varamedlem-antagelig en gang tidlig på 2000-tallet. Den gang, da slike styreverv ikke ga ekstra betaling, ga posisjonen som varamedlem en sikkerhet for deltagelse på mange møter[1].
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Som i fjor gikk seieren til prof. Harry A. Solberg (NTNU) med Irene L. Saetre (HiMolde) på sølvplass. Kjetil Kåre Haugen er professor ved HiMolde.
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MFK-SANDEFJORD (2-1): Årets jubelsesong er på det nærmeste avsluttet. Gullmedaljer er utdelt, og champagnen er drukket opp.
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Det slo ned som en veritabel mediabombe i kongeriket. Kjell Inge Røkke, en av Norges rikeste menn, flytter til Sveits.
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Martin Hall Larsen skriver i VG (1/9-22) (Lucia har bare toppkarakterer: Superstudentens beste triks) om NHH-studenten som oppnådde A i alle fag unntatt Etikk, som hun fikk B i ved bachelorstudiet på NHH.
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De som har fulgt internasjonal toppfotball tett de siste årene har fått med seg at Guardiola tok seg et sabbatsår sesongen 2012-13 (som han tilbrakte i New York). Av HAUGEN og KNUT PEDER HEEN (medforfatter) Gjennom sabbatsåret spiste han... more
De som har fulgt internasjonal toppfotball tett de siste årene har fått med seg at Guardiola tok seg et sabbatsår sesongen 2012-13 (som han tilbrakte i New York). Av HAUGEN og KNUT PEDER HEEN (medforfatter) Gjennom sabbatsåret spiste han middag med flere berømtheter som blant annet Alex Ferguson, Garry Kasparov, og Woody Allen. Ryktene skal ha det til at Guardiola ikke forstod hva Ferguson sa, og derfor avslo tilbudet om å ta over etter ham på Old Trafford.
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Det er sankthansaften i 1998. Jeg befinner meg på Stade Velodrome i Marseille sammen med 59999 andre. En av disse andre er professor (nåvaerende emeritus) Arild Hervik, og vi sitter sammen ganske langt nede på den ene langsiden.
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Så lenge jeg har jobbet ved HiMolde[1] har vi etter beste evne forsøkt å etterleve følgende nyansettelsesstrategi: «Hver gang en ny faglig ansatt skal ansettes, stiller vi krav om at kvaliteten på den nyansatte skal være høyere enn... more
Så lenge jeg har jobbet ved HiMolde[1] har vi etter beste evne forsøkt å etterleve følgende nyansettelsesstrategi:
«Hver gang en ny faglig ansatt skal ansettes, stiller vi krav om at kvaliteten på den nyansatte skal være høyere enn eksisterende gjennomsnittskvalitet.»
«Hver gang en ny faglig ansatt skal ansettes, stiller vi krav om at kvaliteten på den nyansatte skal være høyere enn eksisterende gjennomsnittskvalitet.»
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Vi har kommet til 14. februar og hjemmelaget (MFK) har gjennomført treningskamper mot både Dudelange fra Luxembourg, Aston Villa fra England og Hammarby fra Sverige.
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Årets fotballsesong er ferdig. Det er også Fra toppen av Haugens leder, men det er en sak vi kommer tilbake til.
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I de siste to ukene har pilene pekt rett til værs oppe i høyden.Humøret hos teammedlemmene har stadig bedret seg, og selv ikke litt ineffektivitet hos MFKs angripere har greid å ødelegge den gode stemningen. Gårsdagen seier i Europaligaen... more
I de siste to ukene har pilene pekt rett til værs oppe i høyden.Humøret hos teammedlemmene har stadig bedret seg, og selv ikke litt ineffektivitet hos MFKs angripere har greid å ødelegge den gode stemningen. Gårsdagen seier i Europaligaen avslutter en lang og god periode som bla. har inneholdt seier mot «umulige» Bodø/Glimt.
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Aldri så galt at det ikke er godt for noe, lyder et gammelt nordisk ordtak. Da burde det kanskje også være slik at om noe går skikkelig, forferdelig galt, har det kimen til voldsomme, eventyrlige forbedringer i seg.
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De fleste aktørene i norsk fotball har irritert seg mye over kamputfallet i den første play-off kampen mellom MFK og Ferencvaros.
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Vi kan vel alle erindre utallige TV-intervjuer med engstelige nordmenn, gjerne bosatt i grisgrendte strøk, ansatt i en hjørnesteinsbedrift som står i «fare» for å bli invadert av utenlandske eiere.
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After a quick read through, I was mesmerized! How could a writer with obvi- ous sport interest have failed to understand (or avoided to be informed about) the most basic of all sports economic hypotheses; The Uncertainty of outcome (UO)... more
After a quick read through, I was mesmerized! How could a writer with obvi- ous sport interest have failed to understand (or avoided to be informed about) the most basic of all sports economic hypotheses; The Uncertainty of outcome (UO) hypothesis?
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På tross av Færøyisk fotball på TV2 og oppstart i Bundesliga, er det fortsatt stusselig for oss fotballintellektuelle.
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I disse koronatider har Erna innført en smitte-app som tilsynelatende sier: «Every breath you take, I’ll be watching you.» Dermed faller alle brikker på plass. Det er åpenbart at Sting styrer verden.
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Vi kvalifiserte oss jo faktisk til OL i Moskva i 1980, men som noen kanskje husker, russernes invasjon av Afghanistan ledet til boikott og exit Norge. Denne gangen er det koronaviruset som ødelegger. Vi er nær suksess. To hjemmeseire mot... more
Vi kvalifiserte oss jo faktisk til OL i Moskva i 1980, men som noen kanskje husker, russernes invasjon av Afghanistan ledet til boikott og exit Norge.
Denne gangen er det koronaviruset som ødelegger. Vi
er nær suksess. To hjemmeseire mot Serbia og vinneren av Israel-Skottland synes slett ikke uoppnåelig med Ødegaard, Haaland og et lag vi etterhvert begynner å få tro på. Men, dette synes dessverre mer eller mindre uoppnåelig nå. Hele EM avlyses, og utsettes til 2021. Koronaviruset, har med god grunn, skjøvet det aller meste unna, også idrett og fotball.
Denne gangen er det koronaviruset som ødelegger. Vi
er nær suksess. To hjemmeseire mot Serbia og vinneren av Israel-Skottland synes slett ikke uoppnåelig med Ødegaard, Haaland og et lag vi etterhvert begynner å få tro på. Men, dette synes dessverre mer eller mindre uoppnåelig nå. Hele EM avlyses, og utsettes til 2021. Koronaviruset, har med god grunn, skjøvet det aller meste unna, også idrett og fotball.
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ola skinner utenfor vinduet mitt i dag, og våren er øyensynlig i anmarsj. Riktignok kom det snø i går, men mars måned er her og dermed snart også Eliteserie-oppstart. Hjemmelaget har, på tross av skader på sentrale angrepsspillere,... more
ola skinner utenfor vinduet mitt i dag, og våren er øyensynlig i anmarsj. Riktignok kom det snø i går, men mars måned er her og dermed snart også Eliteserie-oppstart. Hjemmelaget har, på tross av skader på sentrale
angrepsspillere, prestert meget sterkt i treningskampene, og et samlet lag på toppen av Haugen ser med frimodighet og forventning fram mot en ny suksessfull MFK-sesong.
angrepsspillere, prestert meget sterkt i treningskampene, og et samlet lag på toppen av Haugen ser med frimodighet og forventning fram mot en ny suksessfull MFK-sesong.
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Selv ikke her opp blant ørner, lundefugl og svartbak har det vært mulig å unngå å observere en viss intern uro den senere tid. Flere nylige artikler i Panorama har mer enn antydet at «vepsebolet[1]», som et styremedlem så treffende... more
Selv ikke her opp blant ørner, lundefugl og svartbak har det vært mulig å unngå å observere en viss intern uro den senere tid. Flere nylige artikler i Panorama har mer enn antydet at «vepsebolet[1]», som et styremedlem så treffende omtalte HiMolde som, synes å ha våknet fra vinterdvalen.
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Vi gikk ut av flyet på flyplassen med det velklingende navnet Falcone-Borsellino Lufthavn tidlig på ettermiddagen lokal tid. Min gamle venn professor Salvatore Cincimino møtte oss og kjørte oss til konferanselokalene, sentralt i Palermo.
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En distinkt kvinnelig sydsvensk røst var umulig å unngå å høre denne dagen: “Når har du tenkt å invitere kvinner inn i denne tabelltippingskonkurransen din, Haugen?!!"
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Selvsagt har gleden vaert stor etter seriegullet. Den knusende seieren mot Strømsgodset som avgjorde gullkampen, har resultert i gledessignaler av ulike slag. Mitt personlige bidrag har dreid seg om en litt fiffig anvendelse av moderne... more
Selvsagt har gleden vaert stor etter seriegullet. Den knusende seieren mot Strømsgodset som avgjorde gullkampen, har resultert i gledessignaler av ulike slag. Mitt personlige bidrag har dreid seg om en litt fiffig anvendelse av moderne teknologi. Litt tilfeldig, dog i forbindelse med et personlig jubileum, har jeg blitt den stolte eier av en Apple Watch. Denne (bokstavelig talt) håndholdte datamaskinen har, overraskende nok, imponert meg. Stadige påminnelser om bevegelser, trening, søvn og almen helsetilstand trodde jeg kanskje ville bli et irritasjonsmoment, men utrolig nok-den har blitt en kjaer
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Enkelte kan fristes til å tro at terminlister er noe fødeavdelinger setter opp for å håndtere planlegging av fremtidige fødsler. Slikt finnes kanskje også ved disse etterhvert utryddingstruede institusjoner, men her oppe blant... more
Enkelte kan fristes til å tro at terminlister er noe fødeavdelinger setter opp for å håndtere planlegging av fremtidige fødsler. Slikt finnes kanskje også ved disse etterhvert utryddingstruede institusjoner, men her oppe blant supersoniske jagere og satellitter er det selvsagt den fotballmessige versjonen av begrepet som interesserer.
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Vi blir ofte beskyldt for å vaere gammeldagse og konservative her oppe på toppen. Ikke så rent sjelden hører vi (gjerne ad omveier) at «denne gjengen er imot alt nytt», «alt skal vaere som det alltid har vaert» o.s.v.
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Ikke så rent sjelden blir jeg spurt om 'Fra toppen av Haugenʼ har noen opptakskrav. Tidvis dukker det nemlig opp noen ynglinger som ytrer interesse for medlemskap. Det er selvsagt både med glede og stolthet jeg mottar slike henvendelser,... more
Ikke så rent sjelden blir jeg spurt om 'Fra toppen av Haugenʼ har noen opptakskrav. Tidvis dukker det nemlig opp noen ynglinger som ytrer interesse for medlemskap. Det er selvsagt både med glede og stolthet jeg mottar slike henvendelser, men jeg vet samtidig at den eneste kvalifikasjonen som kreves kanskje kan oppfattes som både arrogant og udemokratisk.
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HiMolde-professor Kjetil Kåre Haugen fastholder sin kritikk av videoassistert dømming (VAR) i det amerikanske teknologimagasinet Wired.
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Leserne av denne spalten kan nok få et inntrykk av at teamet på toppen har en uforbeholden tro på hjemmelaget og hjemmelagets disposisjoner. Skal vi vaere 100% aerlige, og det bør vi kanskje-i alle fall innimellom-så finnes det øyeblikk... more
Leserne av denne spalten kan nok få et inntrykk av at teamet på toppen har en uforbeholden tro på hjemmelaget og hjemmelagets disposisjoner. Skal vi vaere 100% aerlige, og det bør vi kanskje-i alle fall innimellom-så finnes det øyeblikk av tvil.
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Kjetil Kåre Haugen Sommeren er på hell, og hvilken sommer har vi ikke hatt! Sol, varme og temperaturer i overkant av hva en kunne forvente, har sikkert smakt godt for både romsdalinger, nordmøringer og sunnmøringer. Et lite bilde (øverst)... more
Kjetil Kåre Haugen Sommeren er på hell, og hvilken sommer har vi ikke hatt! Sol, varme og temperaturer i overkant av hva en kunne forvente, har sikkert smakt godt for både romsdalinger, nordmøringer og sunnmøringer. Et lite bilde (øverst) fra Fra toppen av Haugens rikholdige reservoar av vakker natur, oppsummerer antagelig sommeren effektivt.
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Kjetil Kåre Haugen er professor ved HiMolde. Welhavens vrangforestillinger 24. juni 2019 Kjetil Kåre Haugen Forord: VGs Leif Welhaven lider øyensynlig av et mindreverdighetskompleks. Hans uttalelser i VG forleden styrker en slik hypotese.... more
Kjetil Kåre Haugen er professor ved HiMolde. Welhavens vrangforestillinger 24. juni 2019 Kjetil Kåre Haugen Forord: VGs Leif Welhaven lider øyensynlig av et mindreverdighetskompleks. Hans uttalelser i VG forleden styrker en slik hypotese. Det at MFK har suksess er vi 100% enige i, men at de mangler sjarm?!? Nei, Leif, der tar du feil. Hans uttalelser har falt mange tungt for brystet inkludert flere av Panoramas skribenter. Både Hallgeir Gammelsaeter (VG lever i underholdningsbransjen. La oss ta det innover oss) og Arve Hjelseth (Gleden ved å vaere upopulaer) har kommentert saken. Vi følte imidlertid ikke at hverken Arve eller Hallgeir helt traff med sin kritikk av Welhaven, og forfattet derfor vår egen kritikk. Vi er grunnleggende uenig i MFKs påståtte sjarmløshet og argumenterer derfor (i klassisk vitenskapelig ånd) for det motsatte. Det faktum at VG faktisk antok vår kritikk, men «glemte» å publisere den
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Dette bidragets tittel, «Jaevla Ålesund», for øvrig et udødelig sitat fra NRK-serien «Heimebane», får stå som et utrykk for sinnsstemningen på toppen av Haugen denne torsdagen.
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Hjemmelaget har åpnet solid i 2019-sesongen. 22 poeng etter 10 kamper eller 2,2 poeng per kamp i snitt, holder normalt til gull.
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Førstkommende søndag besøker tidligere års seiersvante trøndere Aker stadion. Ettersom årets seriestart har fart ille fram mot RBK, er dette lokaloppgjøret for en gangs skyld antagelig viktigere for RBK enn for hjemmelaget.
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Når slutten av mars nærmer seg stiger selvsagt aktiviteten på toppen av Haugen mange hakk. Tida er nemlig inne for seriestart. Vi har gjennom vinteren lagt all verdens flid i våre spådommer om årets eliteserie
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Jeg vet ikke om det er alder eller hva det er. Saken er at jeg har begynt å få dårlig samvittighet. Nei, ikke fordi jeg har vært spesielt slem eller ugrei mot de mennesker jeg har truffet gjennom livet[1].
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Vi er som kjent ikke veldig begeistret for nasjonalsporten langrenn, og i mangel av viktige fotballkamper prøver vi å forkorte ventetiden til fotballsesongen starter med litt uskyldig tipping.
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I dag det nær to uker til hjemmelaget møter RBK i «mesterfinalen» på Ullevål stadion. Teamet på toppen er som alltid levende opptatt av alt som skjer og (kanskje spesielt) ikke skjer på Aker stadion.
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Noen har muligens fått med seg at enkelte aktører på toppen av Haugen (les undertegnede) har en viss forkjærlighet for spillteori.
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På toppen av Haugen har vi gjort klart for vinterstenging og ro og fred. Vi ble imidlertid rykket opp av vinterdøsen rett før jul når Ole Gunnar solskjær ble presentert som ny manager i Manchester United.
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Året eliteserie er over. Hjemmelaget avsluttet sterkt, åtte seire og to uavgjorte på de ti siste kampene ga svært fortjente sølvmedaljer.
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Den spennende innspurten i Eliteserien (og OBOS-ligaen) har selvsagt engasjert hele Fra toppen av Haugen-gjengen de siste ukene. Av HAUGEN og OLAV HAUGE (medforfatter) Vi har gledet oss over både hjemmelaget og KBK, og noen har muligens... more
Den spennende innspurten i Eliteserien (og OBOS-ligaen) har selvsagt engasjert hele Fra toppen av Haugen-gjengen de siste ukene. Av HAUGEN og OLAV HAUGE (medforfatter) Vi har gledet oss over både hjemmelaget og KBK, og noen har muligens også felt en liten tåre for Ålesund som må inn i en lang og tung kvalik etter å ha ledet ligaen store deler av sesongen. Det som imidlertid har skapt mest diskusjon er utvilsomt Odd, og lagets mangeårige trener (klart lengst-sittende i Eliteserien) Dag-Eilev Fagermo. I forkant av forrige serierunde (runde 28) dro Skienslaget til Trondheim for å møte RBK. Undertegnede ble ikke lite paff da lagoppstillinga til Odd ble lest opp på
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På tross av uventet gode resultater fra hjemmelaget i det siste, greier vi ikke helt å glede oss på toppen av Haugen. Vi plages nemlig stadig med e-poster om Studiebarometeret fra administrasjonen, der vi mer enn oppfordres til å... more
På tross av uventet gode resultater fra hjemmelaget i det siste, greier vi ikke helt å glede oss på toppen av Haugen. Vi plages nemlig stadig med e-poster om Studiebarometeret fra administrasjonen, der vi mer enn oppfordres til å oppfordre våre studenter til å delta i dette underlige departementale eksperiment.
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Praten på toppen av Haugen har selvsagt vært livlig etter hjemmelagets overbevisende seier over RBK. Gleden har vært påtagelig de siste dagene, og enkelte eldre (og normalt sure) professorer har blitt observert smilende og i godt humør.... more
Praten på toppen av Haugen har selvsagt vært livlig etter hjemmelagets overbevisende seier over RBK. Gleden har vært påtagelig de siste dagene, og enkelte eldre (og normalt sure) professorer har blitt observert smilende og i godt humør. Imidlertid skapte en nylig utgave av (NRK-programmet) Folkeopplysningen: «Er klimakrisa en bløff?» vondt blod og uenighet. Mange med tilbøyeligheter til klimaskepsis ble skuffet over unge Wahls suverene håndtering (enkelte vil muligens bruke et så sterkt uttrykk som slakting) av tre eldre klimaskeptikere med CV-en i orden, mens andre ble skuffet over at hovedproblemet slett ikke ble berørt.
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Det er umulig å ikke bli fascinert av Sanna Sarromaa, denne solstrålen fra innlandsbygdene som til stadig pirker i vår urnorske sjølgodhet. Vi må innrømme at vi flere ganger tidligere har humret og nikket gjenkjennende til hennes... more
Det er umulig å ikke bli fascinert av Sanna Sarromaa, denne solstrålen fra innlandsbygdene som til stadig pirker i vår urnorske sjølgodhet. Vi må innrømme at vi flere ganger tidligere har humret og nikket gjenkjennende til hennes betraktninger enten det nå gjelder late nordmenn eller nynorsk. Denne gangen går hun imidlertid kraftig over streken. I et debattinnlegg i VG, Norge er forsøplet og forurenset med idrett!, tar hun til orde for at Norge og nordmenn slett ikke forstår sitt eget beste både ved at idretten får all mulig støtte, mens fag, kunnskap og akademia slettes ikke respekteres.
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Etter det triste bortetapet mot Stabaek, finner vi det rimelig å tro at Solskjaer la vekk håpet om seriegull. På det tidspunktet var avstanden til Brann 8 poeng (7 til RBK), noe som innebar at på de da 11 gjenstående kampene måtte MFK... more
Etter det triste bortetapet mot Stabaek, finner vi det rimelig å tro at Solskjaer la vekk håpet om seriegull. På det tidspunktet var avstanden til Brann 8 poeng (7 til RBK), noe som innebar at på de da 11 gjenstående kampene måtte MFK minst ta 9 poeng mer enn Brann – eller 0.82 poeng mer per kamp enn Brann. Det å skulle ta (omtrent) ett poeng mer per kamp enn to så kompetente motstandere som Brann og RBK er selvsagt å tro på julenissen.
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Rett før sommerferien ble jeg litt tilfeldig sittende å se Dagsnytt 18. Nei, la meg for engangs skyld være sannferdig. Det var slett ikke tilfeldig.
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«Molde slo RBK 3-0 i gårsdagens eliteseriekamp på Friends Arena i Stockholm. Dette er hjemmelagets andre seier på rad etter å ha slått Brann 4-3 i kampen på White Hart Lane i London i forrige uke. 3-målsscorer Kurt Stabben uttaler til... more
«Molde slo RBK 3-0 i gårsdagens eliteseriekamp på Friends Arena i Stockholm. Dette er hjemmelagets andre seier på rad etter å ha slått Brann 4-3 i kampen på White Hart Lane i London i forrige uke. 3-målsscorer Kurt Stabben uttaler til Rbnett at støtten fra det svenske publikummet gjorde hat-tricket mulig.» Det fiktive sitatet Rbnett sitatet over ble konstruert etter å ha sett tekst-TV-oppslaget øverst. Her framgår det at La-Liga (toppdivisjonen i Spania) har inngått avtale om at regulaere ligakamper skal kunne spilles utenfor Spania, i dette tilfellet i USA. Forleden var de fleste av Fra toppen av Haugens medlemmer tilstede sammen med vel 5000 andre på Aker Stadion og fikk tårer i øynene av MFK og Braut Hålands fenomenale nedkjemping av hardtarbeidende skotter fra Edinburgh.
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In this short note, I launch a suggestion which I think may be ethically sound for research. If the prerequisite for any co-author is to be able to give a reasonable presentation of a paper, it may lead both to less co-authors as well as... more
In this short note, I launch a suggestion which I think may be ethically sound for research. If the prerequisite for any co-author is to be able to give a reasonable presentation of a paper, it may lead both to less co-authors as well as more correct co-authors. A research market involving research papers with hundreds of authors , single authors with several hundred articles or strict definitions of who has done what is troublesome for public faith in research. To some extent, the public view of research as very trustworthy, has changed, and the society should judge radical propositions to regain its position as solid and credible.
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— Akademia er tuftet på prinsippet om diskusjon og uenighet. Etter et langt liv i akademia, har jeg vanskelig for å se at forskning kan fungere uten at kolleger kan si at denne artikkelen er dårlig, eller denne doktorgraden ikke er god.... more
— Akademia er tuftet på prinsippet om diskusjon og uenighet. Etter et langt liv i akademia, har jeg vanskelig for å se at forskning kan fungere uten at kolleger kan si at denne artikkelen er dårlig, eller denne doktorgraden ikke er god. Dette kan oppleves som krenkende, men har vært nødvendig for å utvikle akademia.
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Technology to assist football referees was introduced to ensure lineball decisions were correct. But at what cost to the game of chance?
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I år er det 30 år sidan verdas rikaste fotballsystem, Premier League, vart skapt.
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Det er ikke alltid best å vinne kampene for den som vil nå til topps.
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Verdien av storklubbenes Champions League-kamper har i gjennomsnitt doblet seg på fem år, viser tall fra Uefa.
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Faglærere ved HiMolde justerer oppgavene som gis når studentene i år tar alle eksamene hjemme. Fagforståelse og refleksjon vil gi større uttelling enn kunnskap som må pugges.
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Når markedet endelig begynner å fungere, er innskytelsen regulering? Tydeligvis har jeg misforstått Høyre- politikken grundig, skriver professor Kjetil K. Haugen.
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eg ble overrasket da jeg i morges leste innlegget i Khrono med tittelen Krever ubrukte milliarder tilbakebetalt til statskassa. Her hevder forsknings- og høyere utdanningsminister Henrik Asheim (H) at norske høgskoler og universiteter har... more
eg ble overrasket da jeg i morges leste innlegget i Khrono med tittelen Krever ubrukte milliarder tilbakebetalt til statskassa. Her hevder forsknings- og høyere utdanningsminister Henrik Asheim (H) at norske høgskoler og universiteter har vært alt for flinke til å spare.
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Professor er skeptisk: — Det er ikke noe vits i å gifte seg nedover, sier han.
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HiMolde-professor og Panorama-spaltist Kjetil Kåre Haugen har titt og ofte skrevet kritiske artikler om Studiebarometeteret, og sannsynligvis er det Idiotbarometeret fra 2015 som har satt størst spor blant Panoramas lesere. Senest i dag... more
HiMolde-professor og Panorama-spaltist Kjetil Kåre Haugen har titt og ofte skrevet kritiske artikler om Studiebarometeteret, og sannsynligvis er det Idiotbarometeret fra 2015 som har satt størst spor blant Panoramas lesere. Senest i dag bekreftet Haugen at han stadig bruker Studiebarometeret som eksempel når han underviser i spillteori.
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Professor Kjetil Kåre Haugen var langt mer skeptisk.
– Jeg er ikke glad i fusjon, og ikke i dette. Det er heller ikke kolleger jeg har snakket med, sa Haugen, som ville vite hva som er intensjon med HVL-saken.
– Jeg er ikke glad i fusjon, og ikke i dette. Det er heller ikke kolleger jeg har snakket med, sa Haugen, som ville vite hva som er intensjon med HVL-saken.
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Et knippe mektige klubbledere jobber for en «ny» mesterliga. Kritikerne tror det kan få katastrofale følger for europeisk fotball.
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At least one purist says VAR has removed a part of soccerʼs unexpected and inherently unfair spirit. By relying on video technology rather than the human biases of a ref, the game is slower and less emotional. It also gives an edge to the... more
At least one purist says VAR has removed a part of soccerʼs unexpected and inherently unfair spirit. By relying on video technology rather than the human biases of a ref, the game is slower and less emotional. It also gives an edge to the more powerful, wealthy teams over weaker, poorer teams. “The problem with the VAR system is that you make the game more fair,” says Kjetil Kåre Haugen, a sports management expert at Norwayʼs Mölde University College. “The more fair the sport is, the more it benefits the better teams.”
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But Professors Kai A Olsen and Kjetil Haugen of Molde University College told Khrono: "Both institutions and students have good reasons to limit student exchanges.”
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I 2016 tjente fotballspilleren Christiano Ronaldo 761 millioner kroner, og i 2012 betalte noen 615 millioner kroner for maleriet «Skrik» av Edvard Munch. Hvordan kan en fotballspiller bli så verdifull? Og hva skjer når verdien på et... more
I 2016 tjente fotballspilleren Christiano Ronaldo 761 millioner kroner, og i 2012 betalte noen 615 millioner kroner for maleriet «Skrik» av Edvard Munch. Hvordan
kan en fotballspiller bli så verdifull? Og hva skjer når verdien på et maleri blir så enorm?
kan en fotballspiller bli så verdifull? Og hva skjer når verdien på et maleri blir så enorm?
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Der findes en opskrift for, hvordan hvid altid kan undgå at tabe i skak, men ingen har fundet den endnu. Og har vi nu egentlig også lyst til at finde den?
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FNB Allt medan Norges Magnus Carlsen och Indiens Viswanathan Anand gör upp om världsmästartiteln i schack, klurar matematikerna vidare på den formel som skulle förstöra spelet för alltid, skriver Science Nordic. För exakt 100 år sedan,... more
FNB Allt medan Norges Magnus Carlsen och Indiens Viswanathan Anand gör upp om världsmästartiteln i schack, klurar matematikerna vidare på den formel som skulle förstöra spelet för alltid, skriver Science Nordic. För exakt 100 år sedan, 1913, publicerade den tyske matematikern Ernest Zermelo det som skulle bli känt som Zermelos teorem. Kortfattat går det ut på att för varje spel med två personer som bygger på att spelarna gör sina drag varannan gång och där varje spelare kan följa motspelarens drag och där beslutsprocessen inte påverkas av slumpen, så finns det en vinnande strategi. Åtminstone för den som har vita pjäser, det vill säga den som börjar. Problemet är bara att ingen, trots idoga försök, har hittat denna magiska strategi.-Alla är överens om att den finns. Men jag hoppas att ingen hittar den,
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There is a formula or recipe that would ensure the white pieces, which make the first move in chess games, never lose. No one has found it yet. But do we really want to?
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Onsdagens runde i herrenes fotball-NM fikk VG og Dagbladet til å ta fram elendighetsbeskrivelsene over norsk fotball. VGs kommentator beskriver resultatene som et «sykdomstegn» og påstår at «noe er alvorlig galt med nivået i toppen av... more
Onsdagens runde i herrenes fotball-NM fikk VG og Dagbladet til å ta fram elendighetsbeskrivelsene over norsk fotball. VGs kommentator beskriver resultatene som et «sykdomstegn» og påstår at «noe er alvorlig galt med nivået i toppen av norsk fotball». Dagbladets kommentator smører på med «grenseløs elendighet», «karakterløst» og «skammelig».
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Vi husker alle den lykkelige tiden første gang Egil «Drillo» Olsen var trener for det norske fotballandslaget. Vi husker også da det snudde.
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30. september i år investerte en gruppe med Tippeliga-sponsorer flere hundre tusen kroner i fotballklubben Lyn. Klubben hadde proklamert at de ville gå konkurs dagen etter om ikke millionbeløp ble sprøytet inn i klubben. Blant bedriftene... more
30. september i år investerte en gruppe med Tippeliga-sponsorer flere hundre tusen kroner i fotballklubben Lyn. Klubben hadde proklamert at de ville gå konkurs dagen etter om ikke millionbeløp ble sprøytet inn i klubben. Blant bedriftene som reddet Lyn var Sparebanken Møre som er hovedsponsor til både Molde Fotballklubb og Aalesunds Fotballklubb.
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Engelske eksperter gir antallet utlendinger skylden for landslagets nedtur. For enkelt, mener norske professorer. ASLÂN W.A. FARSHCHIAN Etter det famøse hjemmetapet mot Kroatia, glapp EM-sjansen for England. Trener Steve McClaren ble... more
Engelske eksperter gir antallet utlendinger skylden for landslagets nedtur. For enkelt, mener norske professorer. ASLÂN W.A. FARSHCHIAN Etter det famøse hjemmetapet mot Kroatia, glapp EM-sjansen for England. Trener Steve McClaren ble sparket, men delte skylden med roten-til-alt-ondt i engelsk fotball: Det økende antallet utlendinger.-Vi må ikke bare se på landslagsspillerne, men også hele den engelske fotballen. I Premier League er bare 38 prosent av spillerne engelske-det er ikke nok, sa McClaren da han gikk av. Kjetil Haugen og Harry Arne Solberg, professorer ved høyskolene henholdsvis i Molde og Sør-Trøndelag, har sett på sammenhengen av utlendinger i hjemlig liga og landslagets prestasjoner. De mener flere engelske eksperter bare synser.-Vi følte på et tidspunkt at det verserte altfor mange lettvinte løsninger på problemet, både her hjemme i Norge, men også internasjonalt og saerlig i England. Vårt mål var å nyansere debatten, og funnene var overraskende, sier Haugen til Aftenposten. Stiger. Tendensen er nemlig den at Englands plasseringer på FIFA-rankingen, det offisielle barometeret for landslagenes prestasjoner, stiger i takt med antallet utlendinger i Premier League.«En mulig forklaring på dette kan vaere at de engelske spillerne som ikke fortrenges fra Premier League-klubbene-hvilket pr. i dag utgjør ca. 80-100 spillere-vil utvikle seg bedre av å spille sammen med (eller mot) noen av verdens beste spillere i forhold til å spille med/mot middelmådige landsmenn», skriver de to i en kommentar på sportsanalyse.no. Haugen mener poenget ikke er å konkludere, men å nyansere debatten. Samtidig som man fant at landslaget bedret seg i England, var det ingen sammenheng mellom landslag og utlendinger i de tre andre store fotball-landene: Tyskland, Spania og Italia.
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VI har med forundring bivånet den pågående debatt (om vi ikke skal si krig) mellom de (historisk) gode naboene Kristiansund og Molde. Striden står øyensynlig om det banale faktum at et fellessykehus for Nordmøre og Romsdal er blitt... more
VI har med forundring bivånet den pågående debatt (om vi ikke skal si krig) mellom de (historisk) gode naboene Kristiansund og Molde. Striden står øyensynlig om det banale faktum at et fellessykehus for Nordmøre og Romsdal er blitt plassert på Hjelset og ikke på Storbakken – en kjøreavstand på vel 20 minutter.
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Det finnes en oppskrift for hvordan hvit alltid kan unngå å tape i sjakk, men ingen har funnet den ennå. Og vil vi nå egentlig det? Mens Magnus Carlsen og Viswanathan Anand gjør opp om VM-tittelen, så sitter matematikerne med teorien... more
Det finnes en oppskrift for hvordan hvit alltid kan unngå å tape i sjakk, men ingen har funnet den ennå. Og vil vi nå egentlig det?
Mens Magnus Carlsen og Viswanathan Anand gjør opp om VM-tittelen, så sitter matematikerne med teorien som kan gjøre hele idéen om et sjakkmesterskap overflødig.
Mens Magnus Carlsen og Viswanathan Anand gjør opp om VM-tittelen, så sitter matematikerne med teorien som kan gjøre hele idéen om et sjakkmesterskap overflødig.
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Det har blitt sagt og skrevet mye om den norske spillestilen i både inn- og utland. Noe er positivt og mye er negativt. Vi har blitt kritisert for å spille destruktiv fotball, for kun å slå langt og for å prioritere det defensive. I... more
Det har blitt sagt og skrevet mye om den norske spillestilen i både inn- og utland. Noe er positivt og mye er negativt.
Vi har blitt kritisert for å spille destruktiv fotball, for kun å slå langt og for å prioritere det defensive. I Danmark er ”Drillo” visstnok et skjellsord.
Vi har blitt kritisert for å spille destruktiv fotball, for kun å slå langt og for å prioritere det defensive. I Danmark er ”Drillo” visstnok et skjellsord.
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Rapporten fra nederlandske Hypercube om hvilken ligastruktur som kan skape norsk suksess i europeiske turneringer foreligger. Konsulentene påstår her at det er en sammenheng mellom inntekter (fra publikum, sponsorer og medier mv.) og... more
Rapporten fra nederlandske Hypercube om hvilken ligastruktur som kan skape norsk suksess i europeiske turneringer foreligger. Konsulentene påstår her at det er en sammenheng mellom inntekter (fra publikum, sponsorer og medier mv.) og kvalitet. Derfor må toppdivisjon gjøres mest mulig økonomisk attraktiv.
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De kinesiske forskerne stjal forskningsresultatene til logistikkprofessor Kjetil K. Haugen og hans medforfattere-og presenterte funnene som sine egne på en verdenskongress. Tyveriet har fått konsekvenser, og vedkommende som har erkjent å... more
De kinesiske forskerne stjal forskningsresultatene til logistikkprofessor Kjetil K. Haugen og hans medforfattere-og presenterte funnene som sine egne på en verdenskongress. Tyveriet har fått konsekvenser, og vedkommende som har erkjent å stå bak, Daoming Dai, er utestengt fra å publisere i det anerkjente forskningstidsskriftet European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR), i fem år.
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Financial Fair Play virker ikke, mener norsk ekspert. Det europeiske fotballforbundet (UEFA) vedtok i 2009 å innføre det de kaller Financial Fair Play (FFP) for å skremme toppklubbene til å drive økonomisk forsvarlig. Under FFP får ikke... more
Financial Fair Play virker ikke, mener norsk ekspert. Det europeiske fotballforbundet (UEFA) vedtok i 2009 å innføre det de kaller Financial Fair Play (FFP) for å skremme toppklubbene til å drive økonomisk forsvarlig. Under FFP får ikke klubbene lov til å bruke mer penger enn de tjener.
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Manchester United, sparka sjefen denne veka. David Moyes synte seg å vera ein fiasko trass i alle milliardane.
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Det morsomme her er sjølsagt det banale faktum at dersom de aktuelle aktører faktisk følger vår (rimelig forenklede) spillteoretiske tankemodell så vil kvaliteten på resultatene være perfekt, til tross for at alle lyger.
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Hva er en medforfatter? Professor i medisinsk statistikk Stian Lydersen (NTNU) vil ikke ta ansvar for de artiklene han er medforfatter på. Det ansvaret er han pålagt i følge Vancouver-retningslinjene. Professorene Kjetil Haugen (sittende)... more
Hva er en medforfatter? Professor i medisinsk statistikk Stian Lydersen (NTNU) vil ikke ta ansvar for de artiklene han er medforfatter på. Det ansvaret er han pålagt i følge Vancouver-retningslinjene. Professorene Kjetil Haugen (sittende) og Kai A. Olsen ved Høgskolen i Molde går i rette med professor Stian Lydersen ved NTNU om hvor grensen går for en medforfatters ansvar.
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Skal Norge ha en mulighet til å lykkes i fotball, må vi skaffe nye innbyggere og kanskje få en medalje fra VM lagt til i innvandrerregnskapet.
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De fleste har antagelig hørt om «New Public Management». Litt enkelt sagt innebærer begrepet at man bringer ledelses-og styringsprinsipper fra det private næringslivet inn i offentlig sektor. Dette kan sikkert væøre en god idé i noen... more
De fleste har antagelig hørt om «New Public Management». Litt enkelt sagt innebærer begrepet at man bringer ledelses-og styringsprinsipper fra det private næringslivet inn i offentlig sektor. Dette kan sikkert væøre en god idé i noen deler av statsforvaltningen, men i akademia er dette antagelig ikke særlig lurt.
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Det er stor forskjell i publikasjonstallene mellom tilsatte og valgte rektorer, hevder artikkelforfatterne. Etter mange års erfaring fra flere universiteter og høyskoler ser vi viktigheten av å ha ledere som også er gode forskere.... more
Det er stor forskjell i publikasjonstallene mellom tilsatte og valgte rektorer, hevder artikkelforfatterne. Etter mange års erfaring fra flere universiteter og høyskoler ser vi viktigheten av å ha ledere som også er gode forskere. Publisert fredag 24. februar 2017-17622 Sist oppdatert fredag 24. februar 2017-17622 Professorene Kjetil Haugen (t.v.) og Kari A. Olsen ved Høgskolen i Molde. Foto: Arild Waagbø, Panorama. Diskusjonen går-skal en velge rektor slik tradisjonen er eller skal en ha en tilsatt rektor. Det siste kan vaere et svar på ideene fra New Public Management der institusjonen skal vaere effektive og produktive. Det er nok bakgrunnen for at regjeringen foreslår at tilsatt rektor skal bli det normale.
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Når noen påstår at det var israelerne som stod bak angrepet på World Trade Center, er det åpenbart en konspirasjonsteori. Likeledes når en påstår at CIA eller Lyndon B. Johnson stod bak drapet på John F. Kennedy.
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Internett gir pasienter stadig mer kunnskap om sin egen sykdom. Vi bør la pasienter medisinere seg selv og la dem ta ansvar for sin egen behandling.
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Høgskolen i Molde har forsøkt å stå alene og oppfylle departementets ønske om fusjon gjennom samarbeid og allianser. Det har ikke ført fram. I dag har vi da fem alternativer: 1. Fortsatt alene 2. Fusjon med NTNU 3. Fusjon med et annet... more
Høgskolen i Molde har forsøkt å stå alene og oppfylle departementets ønske om fusjon gjennom samarbeid og allianser. Det har ikke ført fram. I dag har vi da fem alternativer:
1. Fortsatt alene
2. Fusjon med NTNU
3. Fusjon med et annet universitet
4. Fusjon med en annen høyskole
5. Fusjon med Norges Handelshøyskole (NHH)
1. Fortsatt alene
2. Fusjon med NTNU
3. Fusjon med et annet universitet
4. Fusjon med en annen høyskole
5. Fusjon med Norges Handelshøyskole (NHH)
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Fra toppen av Haugen-redaksjonen i Molde har mellom nedslående treningskamper for Molde Fotballklubb og vindbyger i Pyeongchang bitt seg merke i et interessant prosjekt ved NTNU.
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Alle artsindivider, enten de er sterke, svake, dumme, snille, dumsnille eller har hang til å forelske seg i eget kjønn, er akkurat like mye verdt evolusjonært.
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Tre HiMolde-forskere-én fra hver av høgskolens avdelinger-skyter i en artikkel i Norsk filosofisk tidsskrift ned UiO-forsker Ole Martin Moens forslag om å belønne kvinner for å få barn med menn med høy IQ.
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Årets sensurresultater i sportsøkonomi var ikke så veldig oppløftende. Etter en nærmere analyse tror vi at årsaken ligger i oppgavene. Over de siste årene er studentene bedt om å forholde seg til begreper som «uncertainty of outcome» og... more
Årets sensurresultater i sportsøkonomi var ikke så veldig oppløftende. Etter en nærmere analyse tror vi at årsaken ligger i oppgavene. Over de siste årene er studentene bedt om å forholde seg til begreper som «uncertainty of outcome» og «winners curse». Dette ligger nok langt fra studentenes hverdag.
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Det er mye «hype» rundt kunstig intelligens. Fra mange blir det hevdet at disse algoritmene vil revolusjonere helsetjenesten.
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Digging deep into the jazz-history
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Zelda’s song. Cool Nintendo music
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A vert early Ketil Bjørnstad tune - Prelude no. 1
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You are the sunshine of ny Life (Wonder) - boogie woogie style
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Playing an old Keith Jarrett tune from the album: Köln Concerto