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January 2024 - TB Realty Group Market Update

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Market Update


GTA REALTORS RELEASE JANUARY STATS TORONTO, ONTARIO, February 6, 2024 – Home sales were up in January 2024 in comparison to January 2023. This annual increase came as some homebuyers started to benefit from lower borrowing costs associated with fixed rate mortgage products. New listings were also up year-over-year but by a lesser annual rate compared to sales. The resulting tighter market conditions when compared to the same period a year earlier, potentially points toward renewed price growth as we move into the spring market. “We had a positive start to 2024. The Bank of Canada expects the rate of inflation to recede as we move through the year. This would support lower interest rates which would bolster home buyers' confidence to move back into the market. First-time buyers currently facing high average rents would benefit from lower mortgage rates, making the move to homeownership more affordable,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

Source: TRREB Market Watch


There were 4,223 sales reported through TRREB’s MLS® System in January 2024 – an increase of more than one-third compared to January 2022. The number of new listings was also up year-over-year but by a lesser annual rate of approximately six per cent. Stronger sales growth relative to listings suggests buyers experienced tighter market conditions compared to a year ago. On a month-over-month seasonally adjusted basis, both sales and new listings were up. Sales increased more than listings which means market conditions tightened relative to December 2023. “Once the Bank of Canada actually starts cutting its policy rate, likely in the second half of 2024, expect home sales to pick up even further. There will be more competition between buyers in 2024 as demand picks up and the supply of listings remains constrained. The end result will be upward pressure on selling prices over the next two years,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite in January 2024 was down by less than one per cent year-over-year in January. The average selling price was down by one per cent year-over-year to $1,026,703. On a monthover-month seasonally adjusted basis, both the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price also trended lower. “While housing market conditions are expected to improve with lower borrowing costs, there are still a number of policy issues that need to be addressed. At the federal level, more reflection on the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institution (OSFI) mortgage stress test is required, especially to its application at different points in the interest rate cycle. The focus for the Province needs to remain on building 1.5 million new homes. At the municipal level, raising property taxes without consistent support from the federal and provincial governments won’t eliminate Toronto’s structural deficit. Helping first-time homebuyers get into the ownership market will ease movement across the entire spectrum and relieve pressure on the rental market,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

Source: TRREB Market Watch


GTA MARKET UPDATE

Year-Over-Year Summary January 2024

2024

2023

% CHANGE

SALES

4,223

3,083

37.0%

NEW LISTINGS

8,312

7,836

6.1%

ACTIVE LISTINGS

10,093

9,300

8.5%

AVERAGE PRICE

$1,026,703

$1,036,925

-1.0%

AVERAGE PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

54

41

31.7%

Sales

Average Price

416

905

416

905

Detached YoY % Change

342 7.5%

1,403 32.9%

$1,570,520 5.7%

$1,297,275 0.1%

Semi-Detached YoY % Change

106 26.2%

237 51.9%

$1,199,531 4.3%

$966,193 1.8%

Townhouse YoY % Change

131 42.4%

634 57.3%

$895,307 -8.8%

$890,645 2.9%

Condo Apartment YoY % Change

883 46.4%

452 31.4%

$709,419 0.1%

$628,375 -2.7%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


MISSISSAUGA MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$1,048,658

668

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

57

2.37

-0.03%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


TORONTO MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$959,915

3,456

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

55

3.08

-1.17%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


OAKVILLE MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$1,451,707

293

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

63

2.44

-2.78%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


BURLINGTON MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$969,008

253

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

54

1.83

Source: TRREB Market Watch

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

0.17%


MILTON MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$1,033,641

180

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

51

1.43

-1.52%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


VAUGHAN MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$1,254,227

361

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

55

2.38

1.72%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


DURHAM MARKET UPDATE AVERAGE HOME PRICE

NEW LISTINGS

$894,825

828

PROPERTY DAYS ON MARKET

MONTHS OF INVENTORY

YEAR OVER YEAR % CHANGE

48

1.39

-0.19%

Source: TRREB Market Watch


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I felt that I was working with best friends rather than realtors! There are simply not enough words to express how thankful and grateful I am to The TB Realty Group, specifically Theresa and Lindsay for being there to oversee and manage the selling of my Oakville home and the purchase of a new one in Guelph. Not only was I buying and selling in a unique marketplace, but I was also hospitalized before the house could be listed. Theresa and Lindsay, immediately took charge and had the house organized, staged, spotless, and were showing it before I was home. Their high energy, promptness, strategic mindset, market knowledge, genuine kindness and caring throughout the long selling process, quick purchase and a challenging closing was unbelievable. Both Theresa and Lindsay went above and beyond to make both transactions as easy as possible for me, and I will be forever grateful that together, they made my transition plans happen. To Lindsay, a very special thank you for the time, effort and great ideas you demonstrated in staging my Oakville home, and helping me find and choose the perfect furniture and accessories for my new home. Theresa and her team have now helped me relocate three times, and each time I felt that I was working with best friends rather than realtors! - Nancy D


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