Ballotpedia:Who Runs the States, New Jersey

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Who Runs the States

Main Report Pages
Main PagePart 1Partisanship InfographicPart 2Part 3

Partisanship Results Report (Part 1)
Executive SummaryState Partisanship AnalysisPartisan Control of GovernorshipsPartisan Control of State LegislaturesPartisan Control of State SenatesPartisan Control of State HousesState Government TrifectasOverall Partisan Control: Bright, Medium and Soft StatesChanges of Partisan Domination over 22 yearsYear-to-Year Changes in State Partisan ControlTrifectas and Presidential Election PatternsConclusionMethodologyAppendix AAppendix B

State Quality of Life Index (SQLI) Report (Part 2)
Executive SummaryState Quality of Life Index (SQLI)About the IndexOverall RankingsDramatic Changes from 1st Half to 2nd HalfIndividual IndicatorsMethodologyAppendices

Partisanship and (SQLI) Overlay Report (Part 3)
IntroductionComparing Partisanship and the State Quality of Life Index (SQLI) RankingsDescription of the dataTrends and correlationsMethodologyKey Values for Fifty-State RegressionsAppendices

Praise or blame is extended to political parties for the economic, educational, health and other quality of life outcomes that result from the policies those parties enact into law. To better understand which political party enjoys power in each of the states, Ballotpedia has analyzed state government control from 1992-2013 using the concept of a "partisan trifecta." A partisan trifecta is defined as when a state's governorship and legislative chambers are controlled by the same political party.

The two major political parties claim that their policies will lead to better outcomes. What does the data show?

At Ballotpedia, we explored these issues in a three-part study, Who Runs the States.

This page takes a specific look at how New Jersey performed in the study.

Background about the study

See also: Ballotpedia: Who Runs the States

Part One examines the partisanship of state government from 1992 to 2013. Part Two establishes a State Quality of Life Index (SQLI), aggregating a variety of existing state indices into one measurement. Part Three will overlay the two reports, looking for trends and correlations.

Part 1: Partisanship analysis

New Jersey Governor

From 1992 to 2013, New Jersey had Democratic governors in office for 10 years while there were Republican governors in office for 12 years, including the last four.

Across the country, there were 493 years of Democratic governors (44.82%) and 586 years of Republican governors (53.27%) from 1992-2013.

Over the course of the 22-year study, state governments became increasingly more partisan. At the outset of the study period (1992), 18 of the 49 states with partisan legislatures had single-party trifectas and 31 states had divided governments. In 2013, only 13 states have divided governments, while single-party trifectas held sway in 36 states, the most in the 22 years studied.

New Jersey Senate

From 1992 to 2013, the Democratic Party was the majority in the New Jersey State Senate for the first 10 years and the Republicans were the majority for the last 10 years.

Across the country, there were 541 Democratic and 517 Republican state senates from 1992 to 2013.

New Jersey House of Representatives

From 1992 to 2013, the Democratic Party was the majority in the New Jersey House of Representatives for the last 12 years and the Republicans were the majority for the first 10 years.

Across the country, there were 577 Democratic and 483 Republican state houses of representatives from 1992 to 2013.

The chart below shows the partisan composition of the Office of the Governor of New Jersey, the New Jersey State Senate and the New Jersey House of Representatives from 1992-2013.

Partisan composition of New Jersey state government(1992-2013).PNG

Partisan control changes

There were four partisan control changes in New Jersey during the study period. The average number of changes in the 50 states was four, putting New Jersey equal to the average.

New Jersey legislature pie chart 1992-2013.png
New Jersey government pie chart 1992-2013.png
New Jersey gubernatorial pie chart 1992-2013.png

Part 2: State Quality of Life Index (SQLI)

New Jersey’s average ranking over the course of the study period was 16.33, which puts it at 14 in the overall SQLI ranking.[1]

  • The years that New Jersey had the highest ranking were 1999 and 2000, in which it ranked 6th.
  • The year that New Jersey had the lowest ranking was 2012, in which it ranked 36th.
  • The index type that New Jersey had the highest ranking in was Personal Income Per Capita and Poverty Rate, in which it ranked 2nd.
  • The index type that New Jersey had the lowest ranking in was State/Local Tax Burden, in which it ranked 49th.
New Jersey SQLI 1992-2012
Index 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
24/7 Wall St Best/Worst Governed States N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 21 37 46
America's Health Rankings 24 23 24 22 21 25 24 23 22 21 21 21 16 19 15 18 15 18 17 17 8
CAFR Debt/GDP N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 41 42 40 40 42 46 45 N/A
Chief Executive Magazine Best and Worst States for Business Survey N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 37 45 45 46 47 47 47 45
CNBC Top States for Business N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15 18 24 22 30 41
Forbes Best States for Business N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16 19 34 45 40 44 36
Govt. Employment Share Population 19 18 17 16 13 14 13 12 12 13 15 17 18 20 21 21 19 19 16 16 18
Graduation Rate 12 8 7 7 5 8 6 1 11 7 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 5 6 5 6
Personal Income Per Capita 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3
Poverty Rate 7 15 9 3 8 10 2 10 3 10 4 6 4 2 8 5 7 4 13 11 N/A
Real GDP per capita 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 N/A
S&P Credit Rating N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 11 21 20 36 17 20 21 24 26 26 45 45
State Govt. Spending/GDP 32 22 23 30 22 14 18 13 11 14 17 20 21 24 25 22 20 21 26 27 N/A
State & local tax burden 49 48 49 48 48 46 46 48 46 48 48 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 N/A N/A
Tax Freedom Day N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 48
Unemployment Rate 43 45 44 44 43 37 32 33 22 20 35 33 20 19 29 24 31 31 33 37 46
Unfunded Pension Liabilities per capita N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 46 39 44 N/A
Voter Turnout 24 38 38 19 19 43 43 22 22 37 37 22 22 34 34 14 14 46 46 19 19
Well-Being Index N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 24 29 24 29 31

Part 3: Partisanship and SQLI Overlay

New Jersey was one of eight states to demonstrate a dramatic partisan shift in the 22 years studied. A dramatic shift was defined by a movement of 40 percent or more toward one party over the course of the study period.

The chart below depicts the partisanship of New Jersey state government and the state's SQLI ranking for the years studied. For the SQLI, the states were ranked from 1-50, with 1 being the best and 50 the worst. New Jersey had Republican trifectas from 1994-2001 and Democratic trifectas from 2004-2009. There were four years when New Jersey finished in the top-10, all of those years with Republican trifectas.

  • SQLI average with Democratic trifecta: 18.67
  • SQLI average with Republican trifecta: 9.75
  • SQLI average with divided government: 21.86
Chart displaying the partisanship of New Jersey government from 1992-2013 and the State Quality of Life Index (SQLI).

See also

Additional information

External links

Footnotes

  1. Note: The average rank is compiled by adding up all years of rankings and then dividing by 21 to obtain the average state ranking. This average figure is ranked relative to the rest of the 49 states to derive an overall SQLI ranking.