Texas' 20th Congressional District election, 2024
← 2022
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Texas' 20th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: December 11, 2023 |
Primary: March 5, 2024 Primary runoff: May 28, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Texas |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th • 28th • 29th • 30th • 31st • 32nd • 33rd • 34th • 35th • 36th • 37th • 38th Texas elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 20th Congressional District of Texas, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was May 28, 2024. The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.
All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election in 2024. Republicans have a 220 to 213 majority with two vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) beat Donald Trump (R) 65.8%-32.7%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Texas' 20th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 20th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The candidate list in this election may not be complete.
General election for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro, Pat Dixon, and William Hayward are running in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 20 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Joaquin Castro (D) | ||
Pat Dixon (L) | ||
William Hayward (Independent) |
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro | 100.0 | 25,018 |
Total votes: 25,018 | ||||
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Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 20
Pat Dixon advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 16, 2024.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Pat Dixon (L) |
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Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Texas
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joaquin Castro | Democratic Party | $402,069 | $377,473 | $187,339 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Pat Dixon | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Texas' 20th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
July 9, 2024 | July 2, 2024 | June 25, 2024 | June 18, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Pending | Pending | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Texas | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | $3,125.00 | 12/11/2023 | Source |
Texas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | N/A | 12/11/2023 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.
Texas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 38 | 38 | 3 | 160 | 76 | 16 | 23 | 51.3% | 19 | 54.3% | ||||
2022 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 222 | 76 | 17 | 27 | 57.9% | 19 | 59.4% | ||||
2020 | 36 | 36 | 6 | 231 | 72 | 24 | 26 | 69.4% | 18 | 60.0% | ||||
2018 | 36 | 36 | 8 | 212 | 72 | 25 | 21 | 63.9% | 15 | 53.6% | ||||
2016 | 36 | 36 | 2 | 127 | 72 | 13 | 20 | 45.8% | 19 | 55.9% | ||||
2014 | 36 | 36 | 1 | 100 | 72 | 6 | 13 | 26.4% | 12 | 34.3% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/29/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2024, 164 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 63 Democrats and 101 Republicans. That was 4.3 candidates per district, the lowest number since 2016, when 3.5 candidates ran.
In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in Texas increased from 36 to 38, 5.8 candidates ran per district. In 2020, 6.4 candidates ran, and 5.8 candidates ran in 2018.
The 164 candidates who ran in 2024 were also the fewest total number to run since 2016, when 127 candidates ran. One hundred candidates ran for Texas’ then-36 districts in 2014, the fewest in the decade, while 231 ran in 2020, the decade-high.
Three seats were open. That was the fewest since 2016, when two seats were open. Six seats were open in 2022 and 2020, and eight were in 2018—the decade-high.
Reps. Kay Granger (R-12th) and Michael Burgess (R-26th) retired from public office. Rep. Colin Allred (D-32nd) didn't seek re-election in order to run for the U.S. Senate. Fourteen candidates—10 Democrats and 4 Republicans—ran for the open 32nd district, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.
Thirty-nine primaries—16 Democratic and 23 Republican—were contested this year. That was the fewest since 2016, when 33 were contested. There were 44 contested primaries in 2022, 50 in 2020, and 46 in 2018.
Nineteen incumbents—six Democrats and thirteen Republicans—faced primary challengers this year. That was the same number as 2022, and one more than in 2020.
Three districts—the 9th, the 20th, and the 30th—were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run. Five were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run—the 1st, the 11th, the 13th, the 19th, and the 25th.
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Texas' 20th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |||
65.8% | 32.7% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline |
Republican Baseline |
Difference | ||
62.9 | 34.3 | R+28.6 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020
Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Texas state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 13 | 13 |
Republican | 2 | 25 | 27 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 38 | 40 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Texas, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | |
Lieutenant Governor | |
Secretary of State | |
Attorney General |
State legislature
Texas State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
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Democratic Party | 11 | |
Republican Party | 19 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 31 |
Texas House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 64 | |
Republican Party | 86 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 150 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
Texas Party Control: 1992-2024
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
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Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro defeated Kyle Sinclair and Adam Jonasz in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 20 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro (D) | 68.4 | 115,352 | |
Kyle Sinclair (R) | 31.6 | 53,226 | ||
Adam Jonasz (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 21 |
Total votes: 168,599 | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ismael Garcia (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro | 100.0 | 33,214 |
Total votes: 33,214 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 20
Kyle Sinclair advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 1, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kyle Sinclair | 100.0 | 15,938 |
Total votes: 15,938 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michael Stevens (R)
- Mark Murray (R)
- Raquel Lopez (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro defeated Mauro Garza and Jeffrey Blunt in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 20 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro (D) | 64.7 | 175,078 | |
Mauro Garza (R) | 33.1 | 89,628 | ||
Jeffrey Blunt (L) | 2.2 | 6,017 |
Total votes: 270,723 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Adam Jonasz (Independent)
- Adam Martinez-Gomez (Independent)
Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 20
Mauro Garza defeated Gary Allen in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 20 on July 14, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mauro Garza | 60.1 | 7,162 | |
Gary Allen | 39.9 | 4,762 |
Total votes: 11,924 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro defeated Justin Lecea and Rob Hostetler in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro | 92.1 | 61,861 | |
Justin Lecea | 4.5 | 3,047 | ||
Rob Hostetler | 3.4 | 2,252 |
Total votes: 67,160 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 20
Mauro Garza and Gary Allen advanced to a runoff. They defeated Dominick Dina, Anita Kegley, and Tammy Orta in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Mauro Garza | 33.3 | 7,720 | |
✔ | Gary Allen | 26.9 | 6,230 | |
Dominick Dina | 22.6 | 5,242 | ||
Anita Kegley | 9.5 | 2,210 | ||
Tammy Orta | 7.7 | 1,786 |
Total votes: 23,188 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joshua Carrizales (R)
- Dan McQueen (R)
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 20
Jeffrey Blunt advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 21, 2020.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Jeffrey Blunt (L) |
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro defeated Jeffrey Blunt in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 20 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro (D) | 80.9 | 139,038 | |
Jeffrey Blunt (L) | 19.1 | 32,925 |
Total votes: 171,963 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20
Incumbent Joaquin Castro advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 20 on March 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Joaquin Castro | 100.0 | 32,189 |
Total votes: 32,189 | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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