Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024

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Michigan's 10th Congressional District
Democratic primary Republican primary General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 23, 2024
Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Michigan's 10th Congressional District U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th Michigan elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Michigan, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary is August 6, 2024. The filing deadline was April 23, 2024. All 435 seats U.S. House are up for election in 2024. Republicans have a 219 to 213 majority with three vacancies.^[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) beat Donald Trump (R) 55.9%-42.7%.^[2]

Michigan's 10th Congressional District is one of 34 congressional districts with a Republican incumbent or an open seat the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) is targeting in 2024. To read about DCCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of DCCC targeted districts, click here.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

• Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
• Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)

Candidates and election results

General election

The primary will occur on August 6, 2024. The general election will occur on November 5, 2024. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Emily Busch, Carl Marlinga, Tiffany Tilley, and Diane Young are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 6, 2024.

		Candidate
		Emily Busch
		Carl Marlinga
		Tiffany Tilley
		Diane Young

---

	There are no incumbents in this race.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Rhonda Powell (D)
• Anil Kumar (D)
• Brian Steven Jaye (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent John James is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 6, 2024.

		Candidate
		John James

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Michigan

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign finance

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

• Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
• Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
• Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[3]
• Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[4][5][6]

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Michigan in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

• District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
• Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
• Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
• State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

• District map
• Competitiveness
• Presidential elections
• State party control

Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Michigan.

Michigan U.S. Senate competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	1	1	1	6	2	1	1	100.0%	0	N/A
2020	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0.0%	0	N/A
2018	1	1	0	3	2	0	1	50.0%	0	N/A
2014	1	1	1	2	2	0	0	0.0%	0	N/A

U.S. House

Michigan U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	13	13	2	43	26	6	6	46.1%	5	41.7%
2022	13	13	2	53	26	4	9	50.0%	7	58.3%
2020	14	14	1	55	28	7	8	53.6%	4	30.8%
2018	14	14	2	51	28	9	1	35.7%	1	8.3%
2016	14	14	2	38	28	3	3	21.4%	3	25.0%
2014	14	14	4	48	28	5	8	46.4%	6	60.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Michigan in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 5, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-three candidates ran for Michigan’s 13 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s an average of 3.3 candidates per district.

The 43 candidates who ran in Michigan in 2024 was the fewest number of candidates since 2016, when 38 candidates ran.

The 7th and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.2 districts were open per year.

Incumbent Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-07) did not run for re-election because she ran for the U.S. Senate. Rep. Dan Kildee (D-08) retired from public office.

Six candidates—three Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the open 8th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Michigan in 2024.

Twelve primaries—six Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 11.4 primaries were contested per year.

Five incumbents—three Democrats and two Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 4.2 incumbents ran in contested primaries.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 13 districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Michigan's 10th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
48.8%	49.8%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
52.4	45.0	R+7.3

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Michigan, 2020

Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)

• 13 Democratic wins
• 17 Republican wins
• 1 other win

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	P[8]	R	R	R	R	D	D	R	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	D

See also: Party control of Michigan state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	7	9
Republican	0	6	6
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	13	15

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Michigan, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Gretchen Whitmer
Lieutenant Governor	Garlin Gilchrist II
Secretary of State	Jocelyn Benson
Attorney General	Dana Nessel

State legislature

Michigan State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	20
	Republican Party	18
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		38

Michigan House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	54
	Republican Party	54
	Other	0
	Vacancies	2
Total		110

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

Michigan Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D
House	D	S	S	R	R	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

John James defeated Carl Marlinga, Andrea Kirby, and Mike Saliba in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 8, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		John James (R)	48.8	159,202
		Carl Marlinga (D)	48.3	157,602
		Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party)	1.8	5,905
		Mike Saliba (L)	1.1	3,524
		Other/Write-in votes	0.0	4

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 326,237
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Carl Marlinga defeated Rhonda Powell, Angela Rogensues, Huwaida Arraf, and Henry Yanez in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 2, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Carl Marlinga	47.8	32,653
		Rhonda Powell	16.7	11,396
		Angela Rogensues	13.9	9,503
		Huwaida Arraf	13.0	8,846
		Henry Yanez	8.6	5,891

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 68,289
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

John James defeated Tony Marcinkewciz in the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 2, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		John James	86.3	63,417
		Tony Marcinkewciz	13.7	10,079

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 73,496
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Eric Esshaki (R)

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Mike Saliba advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on July 10, 2022.

		Candidate
✔		Mike Saliba (L)

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Working Class Party convention

Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Andrea Kirby advanced from the Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on June 26, 2022.

		Candidate
✔		Andrea Kirby (Working Class Party)

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020

See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Lisa McClain defeated Kimberly Bizon in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 3, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Lisa McClain (R)	66.3	271,607
		Kimberly Bizon (D)	33.7	138,179

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 409,786
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Kimberly Bizon defeated Kelly Noland in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 4, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kimberly Bizon	53.7	27,971
		Kelly Noland	46.3	24,085

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 52,056
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Don Wellington (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Lisa McClain defeated Shane Hernandez and Doug Slocum in the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 4, 2020.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Lisa McClain	41.7	50,927
		Shane Hernandez	36.4	44,526
		Doug Slocum	21.9	26,750

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 122,203
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Bisham Singh (R)
• Brandon Mikula (R)
• Richard Piwko (R)
• Jeffrey Jowske (R)

2018

See also: Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent Paul Mitchell defeated Kimberly Bizon, Jeremy Peruski, and Harley Mikkelson in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Paul Mitchell (R)	60.3	182,808
		Kimberly Bizon (D)	35.0	106,061
		Jeremy Peruski (Independent)	3.7	11,344
		Harley Mikkelson (G)	0.9	2,851

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 303,064
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Kimberly Bizon defeated Frank Accavitti Jr. and Michael McCarthy in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 7, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Kimberly Bizon	41.1	21,944
		Frank Accavitti Jr.	32.0	17,047
		Michael McCarthy	26.9	14,353

---

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 53,344
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Incumbent Paul Mitchell advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 7, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Paul Mitchell	100.0	81,867

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 81,867
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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See also

Michigan	2024 primaries	2024 U.S. Congress elections
Michigan congressional delegation Voting in Michigan Michigan elections: 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018	Democratic primary battlegrounds Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries	U.S. Congress elections U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access

External links

• Search Google News for this topic

Footnotes

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