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Most Recent Federal Fiscal Outlook Report

Source: GAO
Note: Data are from GAO's Spring 2013 simulations based on the Trustees' assumptions for Social Security and the Trustees' and CMS Actuary's alternative assumptions for Medicare.

Baseline Extended simulation data: txt pdf
Alternative simulation data: txt pdf

Since 1992, GAO has published long-term fiscal simulations showing federal deficits and debt levels under both "Baseline Extended" and an "Alternative" set of assumptions. GAO has regularly updated these twice a year. GAO developed its long-term model in response to a bipartisan request from Members of Congress concerned about the long-term effects of fiscal policy. GAO's simulations provide a broad context for consideration of policy options by illustrating both the importance of taking action and the magnitude of the steps necessary to change the path. They are not intended to suggest particular policy choices that are the prerogative of elected officials but rather to help facilitate a dialog on this important issue.

The Federal Government's Long-Term Fiscal Outlook
Spring 2013 Update
GAO-13-481SP, April 11, 2013