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Tracking the US Mid Term Elections

There are bucketloads of American websites that collate opinion polls, comment on the latest figures and try to predict election results. Rather than try to do any analysis myself, here is a round up of the some of the best links for those of you interested in following the US polls.
Polling Report is the best [...]

ICM/NUS – 74% of people (in general, not potential students) think that the rising cost of getting a degree will put people off applying.
ICM/Department of Education – proportion of people thinking that education is getting better has fallen over the last year, discipline is the worst problem and the overwhelming majority of people think [...]

YouGov give the Conservatives a 7 point lead

There is somewhat less confusion about the actual state of the parties with YouGov’s monthly poll, which tallies with the sort of lead produced by ICM and Communicate during the past week. The topline figures with changes from YouGov’s last poll are CON 39% (+3), LAB 32% (-4), LDEM 16% (nc). YouGov’s last poll was [...]

Squaring the latest ICM and MORI polls

In the last week we’ve had one poll putting Labour at their lowest level since 1987, and another poll giving Labour their largest lead since April. Earlier in the week David Cameron was being asked on the radio why his party was 2 points behind, now a poll shows him 10 points ahead? That’s a [...]

ICM – Labour drop below 30%

ICM’s latest voting intention poll has the lowest level of Labour support since before the 1987 election (according to the Guardian it equals the lowest ever rating by ICM, back in May 1987), and puts them below the symbolic 30% level. It is the largest Conservative lead recorded by ICM since May 1992. The full [...]

Communicate Research put the Tories 6 points ahead

A Communicate Research poll in today’s Independent gives the Conservatives an 6 point lead over Labour. The full topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 32%, LDEM 14%, Others 16%.
It is Communicate’s first voting intention poll since back in 2005, so there no changes from the last poll and it is impossible to say [...]