Posted on December 29th, 2005 by Anthony Wells
So that was 2005. What should we be looking for the political polls for 2006?
At the moment the Conservatives are ahead in the opinion polls – amongst some of the pollsters it is their first lead since the fuel strikes. It’s probably four years until a general election, so polls are of no use in [...]
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Filed under: Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dem
Posted on December 21st, 2005 by Anthony Wells
As the third party you don’t actually get many opinion polls focusing on the Liberal Democrats, further details of the monthly ICM poll in today’s Guardian include the first question related to to Charles Kennedy’s recent troubles.
Asked if, in the light of the Labour and Tory parties both having new leaders at the next [...]
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Filed under: ICM, Lib Dem
Posted on December 20th, 2005 by Anthony Wells
One of the reasons I first started blogging about opinion polls was the newspapers’ insistance on writing about the polls they commissioned themselves as if they were the only polls in the universe. Today’s Guardian leader says ” With the sole exception of September 2000, in the aftermath of the tanker drivers’ fuel protest, this [...]
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Filed under: ICM, Voting Intention
Posted on December 19th, 2005 by Anthony Wells
The last two weeks’s PMQs exchanges between David Cameron and Tony Blair have concentrated on education, with Cameron doing his best to try and drive a wedge between Blair and his backbenchers, and Blair doing his best to paint Cameron as a supporter of academic selection in schools. Is that really such a bad thing [...]
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Filed under: Education, YouGov
Posted on December 18th, 2005 by Anthony Wells
This month’s political monitor from MORI has one of the largest shifts I’ve ever seen in a voting intention poll – the topline figures are CON 40%(+8), LAB 31%(-11), LDEM 21% (+2). The nine point lead is the largest Conservative lead in any poll since May 1992, and the largest lead in a MORI poll [...]
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Filed under: MORI, Methodology, Voting Intention
Posted on December 16th, 2005 by Anthony Wells
YouGov’s monthly tracker poll is in today’s Telegraph and shows the Conservatives continuing to enjoy a slight lead over Labour. The topline figures with changes from YouGov’s poll last weekend are CON 38%(+1), LAB 36%(nc), LDEM 18%(nc). It won’t be for a month or two until we can tell if if Conservative advance is a [...]
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Filed under: Conservatives, Voting Intention, YouGov