Enter a state, candidate, or address to get a detailed forecast
HARRY’S LATEST UPDATE
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Most Likely Outcome
is forecasted to shift
DEMOCRAT HOUSE CONTROL
REPUBLICAN HOUSE CONTROL
Less likely election result
More likely
Margin of error predicts outcome 95% of the time
FORECAST MAP
Want to find out how your side is doing in a race? Simple — just locate it on the map. Some districts are very small, so we decided to lay a cartogram over the traditional map to give each district an equal size.
District’s Forecast
Enter a state, candidate, or address to get a detailed forecast
forecast winner
forecast loser
win margin
margin of error
Harry Explains the Forecast
What is the margin of error?
Look, we’re making a forecast. It’s not going to be perfect. Anything within this range could reasonably happen, though we expect the result to be close to our best estimate.
How does the prediction update?
The prediction updates every day as more polls come out. The prediction should become more accurate the closer we are to the election.