10 July 2012
Palestinian
Public Opinion Poll No (44)
While the
popularity of Fateh and President Abbas drops, and while Hamas' popularity
improves, popular criticism of crackdown on freedoms increases and opposition
to a two-state solution rises
21-23 June
2012
Table of contents:
These are the results of the latest poll conducted
by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip between 21-23 June 2012. This poll was conducted during a military escalation and exchange of rocket
fire in the Gaza Strip. The period preceding the poll witnessed the ending of
the prisoners' hunger strike and the announcement of the elementary results of
the Egyptian presidential elections with reports of a victory of the Muslim
Brotherhood candidate Mohammad Morsi. The weeks
before the conduct of the poll witnessed the signing of an agreement between
Fateh and Hamas that allowed the Central Election Commission to begin voter
registration in the Gaza Strip and the beginning of consultation to form a
reconciliation agreement. It also witnessed the arrest of journalists and the
blocking of internet sites by the PA in the West Bank. The journalists were
released and sites opened before the conduct of the poll. Finally, this period
witnessed the formation of a new government in the West Bank headed by Salam
Fayyad. This press release covers Palestinian attitudes regarding the arrest of
journalists and blocking of internet sites, reconciliation, prisoners' hunger
strike, the performance of the governments of Salam Fayyad and Ismail Haniyeh,
the internal balance of power between Fateh and Hamas, and the views of the
public on the most vital Palestinian goals and the main problems Palestinians
confront today. Total size of the sample is 1200 adults interviewed face to
face in 120 randomly selected locations. Margin of error is 3%.
For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or Walid Ladadweh at tel 02-296 4933 or email pcpsr@pcpsr.org.
Main Findings:
The second quarter of 2012 shows
clear improvement in the standing and popularity of Hamas and Ismail Haniyeh,
especially in the Gaza Strip, and a decline in the popularity of Fateh and
President Abbas. The increased Hamas popularity might be due to the fact that
it has allowed the Palestinian election commission to begin voter registration
in the Gaza Strip and might reflect optimism about future improvement in the
conditions of the Gaza Strip in the aftermath of the victory of the Muslim
Brotherhood candidate in the Egyptian presidential elections. The decline in
the popularity of Fateh and president Abbas comes in light of widespread
popular anger with the PA for the arrest of journalists and the blocking of
internet sites. It might also reflect public perception of a
reluctance on the part of Abbas to form a reconciliation government
despite Hamas' decision to allow the election commission to operate in the Gaza
Strip. Furthermore, it is possible that Abbas' reluctance to go to the UN or
take the initiative to break the deadlock in the relationship with Israel might
in part explain the increase in public dissatisfaction with his performance and
the decrease in the percentage of votes he might receive in a new presidential
elections. Findings also indicate that
the overwhelming majority of the public opposes the arrest of journalists or
the blocking of internet sites and view such measures as harming the
Palestinian cause in international public opinion. A majority is also
pessimistic about the chances to implement the reconciliation agreement and a
very small minority is optimistic about the chances of forming a reconciliation
government in days or weeks or organizing parliamentary and presidential
elections before the end of the year.
Parallel to the decline in the
popularity of president Abbas and Fateh, findings show a significant decline in
the support for a two-state solution. Findings also show continued majority
belief that this solution is no longer practical due to settlement expansion
while more than two thirds believe that the chances for establishment of a
Palestinian state alongside Israel in the next five years is slim or
non-existent. Despite all this, a majority of about two-thirds opposes a one-state
solution. Moreover, a clear majority opposes a unilateral Israeli plan aimed at
strengthening the two-state dynamics through cessation of settlement
construction in those areas to the east of the separation wall and encouraging
settlers in those settlements to the East of the wall to evacuate those
settlements.
(1) Arrest of Journalists and Blocking
of Internet Sites:
- 88% oppose and 7%
support the arrest of journalists and the blocking of internet sites for
the views they express or articles they publish
- 86% believe that the
PA's arrest of journalists and the blocking of websites harm the
Palestinian cause
- 71% indicate that they
felt angry when hearing about the PA's arrest of journalists and the
blocking of internet sites
- 67% say that these days
they feel they are living in a non democratic political system that crack
down on freedoms
We asked the public about its views regarding the arrest of
journalists and the blocking of internet sites by the PA, incidents that took
place during the weeks that preceded the conduct of the poll: 88% oppose and 7%
support the arrest of the journalists and the blocking of sites for the views
or articles they publish or post. Moreover, 86% believe such measures as those
taken by the PA in the West Bank in arresting journalists or blocking internet
sites cause harm to the Palestinian cause in international public opinion. When
asked how they felt when they first heard about these measures, 71% said they
felt angry and 21% said they felt indifferent and 3% said they felt satisfied.
Feeling of anger rises in the West Bank (75%) compared to the Gaza Strip (61%),
in cities (73%) compared to refugee camps (55%), among women (75%) compared to
men (66%), among those with BA degree (78%) compared to illiterates (59%),
among those between the ages of 40 and 50 years old (78%) compared to those
whose age is between 18 and 28 (63%), and among supporter of Hamas (83%)
compared to supporters of Fateh (64%).
Findings also show that 67% feel as if they are living in an
undemocratic system that cracks down on freedoms while only 29% say they feel
they live in a democratic system that protects freedoms. 4% say they have no
opinion. It is interesting to note that the feeling that one lives in an
undemocratic system that cracks down on freedoms is higher in the West Bank
(72%) than in the Gaza Strip (58%) despite the fact that a majority in both
areas feel that it lives in such a system. The feeling of living in an
undemocratic system rises also among non refugees (70%) compared to refugees
(63%), among holders of BA degree (66%) compared to illiterates (51%), among
those who do not intend to participate in future elections (76%) and those who
do not know to whom they intend to vote (70%) and those who intend to vote for
third parties, other than Fateh and Hamas, (69%) compared to those who intend
to vote for Fateh and Hamas (59% and 61% respectively). When we separate Gaza
findings from those of the West Bank, the feeling of living in an undemocratic
system increases in the West Bank among those who do not intend to participate
in new elections (76%) and among supporters of Hamas (45%) compared to
supporters of Fateh (37%). In the Gaza Strip, feeling of living in an
undemocratic system rises among supporters of Fateh (73%) and those who will
not participate in new elections (51%) compared to supporters of Hamas (20%).
(2) Reconciliation:
- 71% are dissatisfied
with the fact that no parliamentary or presidential elections took place
last may
- Only 35% believe that
Fateh and Hamas will succeed in implementing the reconciliation agreement
and 57% believe they will not succeed
- Only 12% believe that
a reconciliation government will be
formed in the coming days or weeks and 47% believe one will eventually be
formed but after a long time
- Only 12% believe that
presidential and parliamentary elections might take place in the West Bank
and the Gaza Strip during 2012 and 55% believe it might take place after a
year or two or after several years
71% say they are dissatisfied with the fact that
presidential and parliamentary elections did not take place last May as
originally planned in the reconciliation agreement reached between Fateh and
Hamas. 22% say they are satisfied that the elections did not take place.
Findings show that 60% blame Fateh and Hamas together for the failure to hold
elections last May while 13% blame Hamas, 10% blame Fateh, and 7% blame other
parties. In light of the start of voter registration by the Central Election
Commission in the Gaza Strip and the start of consultation to form a
reconciliation government, only 35% believe that Fateh and Hamas will succeed
in implementing the reconciliation agreement and reunify the West Bank and the
Gaza Strip while 57% say they will not succeed. In fact, 32% believe no
reconciliation government will ever be formed, 47% believe it will be formed
but only after a long time, and only 12% believe it will be formed in the next
days or weeks. Similarly, 20% expect
that no election will ever be organized jointly in the West Bank and the Gaza
Strip in the future while 24% believe it will be organized after many years,
31% say it will be organized after one or two years, and 12% say it might be
organized this year.
(3) Domestic Conditions:
- Positive evaluation of
conditions in the Gaza Strip stands today at 22% and in the West Bank at 30%
- Belief that there is
corruption in public institutions in the Gaza Strip stands at 57% and in
the PA institutions in the West Bank at 71%
- 34% say there is press
freedom in the Gaza Strip and 21% say there is press freedom in the West
Bank
- 25% say people in the
Gaza Strip can these days criticize the authorities without fear and 29%
say people in the West Bank can criticize the PA without fear
- Perception of safety and
security in the West Bank stands at 55% and in the Gaza Strip at 58%
- Positive evaluation of
the performance of Ismail Haniyeh's government
stands at 38% and Fayyad's at 36%
- Level of satisfaction
with the performance of president Abbas stands at 49%
Positive evaluation of conditions in the Gaza Strip rises to
22% while 56% say conditions are bad or very bad. In our last poll, three
months ago, only 13% said conditions in the Gaza Strip were good or very good
and 70% said conditions were bad or very bad. Positive evaluation of conditions
in the West Bank remains stable at 30% while 37% say conditions are bad or very
bad. Positive evaluation of conditions in the West Bank stood at 31% three
months ago.
71% say there is corruption in the PA institutions in the
West Bank while only 57% say there is corruption in the institutions of the
dismissed government in the Gaza Strip. Moreover, 21% say there is, and 41% say
there is to some extent, press freedom in the West Bank while 34% say there is
no press freedom in the West Bank. By contrast, 17% say there is, and 34% say
there is to some extent, press freedom in the Gaza Strip while 38% say there is
no press freedom in the Gaza Strip. Similarly,
29% of the Palestinian public say people in the West
Bank can criticize the authority in the West Bank without fear. By contrast,
25% of the public say people in the Gaza Strip can criticize the authorities in
Gaza without fear.
Perception of safety and security in the West Bank reaches
55% and in the
Gaza Strip 58%. Three months ago these percentages stood at 47% in the Gaza
Strip and 51% in the West Bank. Positive evaluation of the performance of the
Haniyeh government stands today at 38% and positive evaluation of the
performance of the Fayyad government stands at 36%. These figures are similar
to those we obtained three months ago. Findings show that the percentage of
Gazans who say they seek immigration to other countries stands at 42%; in the
West Bank, the percentage stands at 27%. Three months ago, these figures stood
at 45% and 22% respectively.
Percentage of satisfaction with the performance of President
Abbas stands at 49% while 49% say they are dissatisfied with his performance.
Three months ago, satisfaction with Abbas stood at 55% and dissatisfaction at
43%. Satisfaction with the president's performance in this poll stands at 37%
in the Gaza Strip and 56% in the West Bank. In our previous poll, three months
ago, satisfaction with Abbas stood at 60% in the West Bank and 48% in the Gaza
Strip. The decline in the level of satisfaction with the president's
performance might be due to public belief that conditions of freedoms have worsened, the lack of progress in the reconciliation
process, and the lack of movement on the Palestinian UN statehood bid.
(4) Presidency and Legislative Elections:
- In a new presidential
election, Abbas receives 49% and Haniyeh 44% and if the contest is between
Marwan Barghouti and
Haniyeh, the former receives 60% and the latter 34%. If the competition
was between all three, Barghouti receives 37%,
Haniyeh 33%, and Abbas 25%.
- In a new parliamentary
election, Hamas receives 29%, Fateh 40%, and all third parties combined
12%, and 19% have not decided yet to whom they will vote
- With a vote of 53%, Marwan Barghouti is the most
preferred candidate for Fateh in a presidential elections in which Abbas
does not run, and Saeb Erikat
is the most favored, by 17%, if Abbas and Barghouti
do not run
If new presidential elections are held today, and only two
were nominated, Abbas would receive the vote of 49% and Haniyeh 44% of the vote
of those participating. The rate of participation in such election would reach
65%. Three months ago, Abbas received the support of 54% and Haniyeh 42%. In
the Gaza Strip, Abbas receives 49% and Haniyeh 45% and in the West Bank Abbas
receives 50% and Haniyeh 43%. If the presidential elections were between Marwan Barghouti and Ismail
Haniyeh, the former would receive 60% and the latter would receive 34% of the
participants’ votes. The rate of participation in this case would reach 72%. If the presidential elections were between
three: Mahmud Abbas, Marwan Barghouti
and Ismail Haniyeh, Barghouti receives the highest
percentage (37%) followed by Haniyeh (33%), and Abbas (25%). The rate of
participation in this case would reach 75%. This is the first time that we have
asked about possible presidential elections with these three candidates. Support
for Barghouti is equal in the West Bank and the Gaza
Strip (37% and 38% respectively), but support for Haniyeh is slightly higher in
the Gaza Strip compared to the West Bank (35% and 32% respectively), and
support for Abbas is slightly higher in the West Bank compared to the Gaza
Strip (26% and 22% respectively). Support for Barghouti
is higher among men (41%) compared to women (34%) while support for Haniyeh is
higher among women (40%) compared to men (26%), and support for Abbas is higher
among men (28%) compared to women (21%). Support for Barghouti
is also higher among the youth, between the ages of 18 and 28 years old (40%)
compared to those over 50 years of age (33%) while support for Haniyeh is
higher among those over 50 years of age (38%) compared to those between 18 and
28 years of age (30%).
If new legislative elections are held today with the
participation of all factions, 70% say they would participate in such
elections. Of those who would participate, 29% say they would vote for Hamas
and 40% say they would vote for Fateh, 12% would vote for all other third
parties combined, and 19% are undecided. Vote for Hamas in the Gaza Strip
stands in this poll at 31% and in the West Bank at 27%. Vote for Fateh in the
Gaza Strip stands in this poll at 39% and in the West Bank at 41%. These
results indicate a decline in Fateh's popularity in the Gaza Strip by seven
percentage points and an increase in the popularity of Hamas in the Gaza Strip
by 4 percentage points. When we asked the public about its expectations
regarding the outcome of the parliamentary and presidential elections, 41% said
they expect Fateh to win, 23% expected Hamas to win, 20% expected other parties
to win, and 16% said they do not know.
In a question about the favored Fateh candidate to replace
Abbas as a president, assuming Abbas would not run, a majority of 53% selected Marwan Barghouti, followed by Saeb Erekat and Abu Mahir Ghnaim (3% each). Mahmoud Aloul, Nasir al Qidwa, and Ahmad Qurie’ received
2% each, Azzam al Ahmad, Jibril al Rojoub, and Salim al Za'noun received 1% each. When we asked the public to
select a candidate from a list that did not include Marwan
Barghouti, a large part of the vote went to Saeb Erikat (17%) followed by Abu
Mahir Ghnaim (9%), Mahmud
al Aloul and Nasir al Qidwa (8% each), Azzam al Ahmad
(5%), Jibril al Rojoub and
Ahmad Qurie' (4%), and finally Salim al Za'noun (2%).
(5) Most vital Palestinian goals
and the main problems confronting Palestinians today:
- 47% select ending
occupation and building a Palestinian state based on the 1967 lines with
East Jerusalem as a capital is the most vital national priority and 30%
say the most vital priority is to obtain the right of return
- Selected by 27%,
continued occupation and settlement activities is the most serious problem
confronting Palestinians today followed by the spread of poverty and
unemployment, selected by 26%, and the absence of national unity, selected
by 24%
47% believe that the first most vital Palestinian
goal should be to end Israeli occupation in the areas occupied in 1967 and
build a Palestinian state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East
Jerusalem as its capital. By contrast, 30% believe the first most vital goal
should be to obtain the right of return of refugees to their 1948 towns and
villages, 15% believe that it should be to build a pious or moral individual
and a religious society, one that applies all Islamic teachings, and 8% believe
that the first and most vital goal should be to establish a democratic political
system that respects freedoms and rights of Palestinians.
The most serious problem confronting Palestinian society
today is the continuation of occupation and settlement activities in the eyes
of 27% of the public while 26% believe the most serious problem is the spread
of poverty and unemployment, 24% say it is the absence of national unity due to
the West Bank-Gaza Strip split, 15% believe the most serious problem is
corruption in some public institutions, and 8% believe it is the siege and the
closure of the Gaza border crossings.
(6) The Peace Process:
- 49% support and 49%
oppose the two-state solution and 55% believe such a solution is no longer
practical due to continued settlement expansion. But 65% oppose a
one-state solution.
- 35% believe that an
Israeli unilateral plan to stop settlement construction in those
settlements located to the east of the separation wall and in Palestinian
neighborhoods in East Jerusalem and to help settlers relocate outside
those settlements is good for Palestinians and 59% believe it is bad for them.
69% believe that the chances for implementing this plan
by the Netanyahu government is slim to non-existent.
- 51% support the Saudi
peace initiative and 45% oppose it
- 43% support and 55%
oppose recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish people after
reaching a peace agreement that resolves all issues of the conflict.
Findings show a
significant decline in the level of support for the two-state solution from 57%
in March 2010 to 49% in this poll. Opposition to this solution stands at 49%
compared to 41% in the previous poll. Findings also show that a majority of 55%
believes that the two-state solution is no longer practical due to expanded
settlement construction while only 39% believe the two state solution remains viable
because settlements can be dismantled or evacuated once an agreement is
reached. Despite the belief of the majority that the two-state solution is no
longer practical, only 31% support the alternative solution known as the
one-state solution, one in which Palestinians and Jews enjoy equality.
Opposition to the one-state solution reaches 65% in this poll.
Opposition to the
two-state solution increases in the Gaza Strip (54%) compared to the West Bank
(46%), among those who oppose the peace process (62%) compared to those who
support the peace process (43%), among refugees (53%) compared to non refugees
(46%), among holders of BA degree (56%) compared to illiterates (33%), among
students (61%) compared to laborers, merchants, and retirees (40%, 40%, and 20%
respectively), among those who work in the public sector (54%) compared to
those who work in the private sector (42%), among those whose age is between 18
and 28 years (58%) compared to those whose age is over 50 years (34%), among
supporters of Hamas and those who do not wish to participate in future
elections (62% and 56% respectively) compared to supporters of Fateh, those who
would vote for third parties and those who have not decided yet to whom they
will vote (35%, 41%, and 46% respectively).
Support for the one-state
solution is higher in the West Bank (36%) compared to the Gaza Strip (23%), in
refugee camps (35%) compared to residents of cities (31%), among those who
define themselves as somewhat religious (33%) compared to those who define themselves
as religious (29%), among supporters of the peace process (34%) compared to
those who oppose the peace process (23%), and among those who say they will not
participate in new elections (36%) and supporters of Fateh (33%) compared to
supporters of Hamas (26%).
We asked the public
about its views regarding an Israeli plan calling for unilateral steps that
would stop construction in those settlements located to the east of the
separation wall and in Arab neighborhoods in East Jerusalem and encouraging
settlers to evacuate those settlements while keeping the Israeli army in those
areas. Findings show that 59% view the plan as bad for Palestinians while 35%
view it as good for Palestinians. Yet, a big majority (70%)
believe the chances that the Netanyahu government will implement such a
plan are slim or non-existent. Perception that the plan is good for
Palestinians increases in cities and villages (36% each) compared to refugee
camps (27%), among supporters of the peace process (41%) compared to those who
oppose the peace process (27%), among holders of BA degree (35%) compared to
illiterates (27%), among those whose age is between 18 and 28 years (37%)
compared those whose age is over 50 years (26%), among those who use the
internet on daily basis (39%) compared to those who use the internet once a
month (28%), and among supporters of Fateh (41%) compared to supporters of
Hamas (25%).
Findings show that a
majority of 51% supports and 45% oppose the Arab (or Saudi) peace initiative
which calls for Arab recognition of Israel and for normalization of relations
with it in return for its withdrawal from the occupied territories and the
establishment of a Palestinian state. On the other hand, 55% oppose and 43%
support recognition of Israel as the state for the Jewish people after all
issues of the conflict have been resolved. Findings also show that 68% believe
that the chances for the establishment of a Palestinian state in the next five
years to be slim to non-existent while 30% believe the chances to be medium or
high. A majority of 54% believe that the
inclusion of Kadima in the coalition government of
Netanyahu means the government will be less willing to reach a peace agreement
with the Palestinians while only 12% believe that the government will be more willing
to do so. 26% believe that the addition of Kadima to
Netanyahu government will have no impact on its peace policies.
Findings also show that
about three quarters (74%) of the Palestinian public are worried that they or
members of their family will be hurt by Israelis or that their land will be
confiscated or home demolished. Moreover, the level of perceived threat
regarding the aspirations of Israel in the long run is very high. 62% of
Palestinians think that Israel’s long term goals is to extend its borders to
cover all the area between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and expel
its Arab citizens, and 19% think the goal is to annex the West Bank while
denying political rights to the Palestinians. Only 17% think Israel’s
aspiration in the long run is to withdraw from part or all of the territories
occupied in 1967.
(7) Palestinian Options in the
confrontation with Israeli occupation:
- Largest percentage (73%)
supports going to the UN in order to obtain an international recognition
of the Palestinian state and 58% support a unilateral declaration of
statehood.
- 57% support a non
violent popular resistance and only 37% support an armed intifada.
- 39% support and 55%
oppose the dissolution of the PA.
- Half of the public is
satisfied and the other half is dissatisfied with the performance of the
PA leadership in its efforts to obtain an international recognition of
Palestinian statehood.
- 56% believe that the
Palestinian leadership is still trying to obtain an international
recognition of Palestinian statehood and 39% believe that the leadership
has abandoned that goal.
We asked the public about its views regarding six options
that Palestinians have in their relations with Israel in the absence of
negotiations. Findings show that the public supports three of these options and
opposes the other three. The highest support (73%) goes to the option of
turning to the UN for international recognition of Palestinian statehood
followed by a unilateral declaration of statehood (58%), and a non violent
popular resistance (57%). By contrast, only 37% supported going back to an
armed intifada, 39% supported dissolving the PA, and 26% supported abandoning
the two-state solution in favor of a one-state solution.
When asked about the performance of the Palestinian leadership
in its efforts to obtain an international recognition of Palestinian statehood,
half of the public indicated satisfaction with these efforts
while the other half indicated dissatisfaction. When asked whether it
thought the PA leadership has abandoned such efforts or is still seeking
international recognition of Palestinian statehood, a majority of 56% indicated
that it believes that the PA is still continuing its efforts while 39%
indicated that it has abandoned them. Dissatisfaction with the performance of
the leadership in its efforts to obtain international recognition of
Palestinian statehood increases among those who oppose the peace process (61%)
compared to those who support the peace process (41%), among holders of BA
degree (55%) compared to illiterates (37%), among professionals (67%) and
merchants (60%) compared to employees (50%) students (47%) housewives (45%),
and laborers (37%), among those who work in the private sector (54%) compared
to those who work in the public sector (45%), and among supporters of Hamas
(60%) and those who do not intend to participate in future elections (55%)
compared to supporters of Fateh (33%). Similarly, belief that the PA leadership
is continuing its efforts to obtain international recognition of Palestinian
statehood increases among supporters of the peace process (63%) compared to
those who oppose the peace process (40%), among Fateh supporters (73%) compared
to Hamas supporters (46%) and those who will not participate in new elections
(47%).
(8) Other Topics: Prisoners'
hunger strike, Visits to Jerusalem, Arab Spring, Salafis,
and Egyptian Elections:
- 59% are satisfied and 40%
dissatisfied with the size of public participation in solidarity
activities with the prisoners in Israeli jails during their hunger strike
and 42% believe conditions of prison will improve after the strike,
- 72% see benefits in Arab
and Muslim visits to Jerusalem these days
- 49% believe that Arab
revolutions will have a positive impact on the Palestinian cause in the
next year or two.
- 27% say that they would vote
for a Salafi party and 63% say they would not
vote for such a party.
- 40% believe that the
results of the Egyptian presidential elections, and the victory of
Mohammad Morsi, will serve the Palestinian cause
while 33% believe it will not.
Prisoners'
Hunger Strike: Findings show that 59% are satisfied and 40% are dissatisfied
with the size of public participation in solidarity activities with the
prisoners in Israeli jails during their hunger strike. When asked if they
personally participated in solidarity activities, 35% said yes and 65% said no.
When asked about their expectations, now after the hunger strike, regarding the
future conditions of Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails, 42% said conditions
of Palestinian prisoners will improve, 15% said conditions will worsen, and 41%
said conditions will not change.
Visiting
Jerusalem: In light of the recent talk about the benefits or harm that
might be generated by visits to Jerusalem by Arabs and Muslims, we asked the
public what it thought: 72% indicated that they believe it will benefit the
Palestinians while 25% indicated the opposite.
Arab
Spring: Findings show that half of the public (49%) believes that Arab
revolutions will have a positive impact on the Palestinian cause in the next
year or two and 23% believe they will have a negative impact while 25% say they
will have no impact, positive or negative.
A Salafi Party in Palestine: Given the surprising size of
the electoral victory of the Salfists in the Egyptian
elections, with their Nour party receiving about 25%
of the popular vote, we asked the Palestinian public about its possible
electoral behavior if a Salafi party were to be
established in Palestine: 27% said that it would vote for such a party if
established and 63% said they would not vote for one. Willingness to vote for a
Salafi party increases in the Gaza Strip (36%)
compared to the West Bank (22%), in cities (29%) compared to refugee camps
(19%), among women (30%) compared to men (24%), among the religious (35%)
compared to the somewhat religious (20%), among refugees (32%), compared to non
refugees (22%), among those who use the internet only once a month (34%)
compared to those who use it every day (26%), and among Hamas supporters (46%)
compared to supporters of Fateh (20%).
Egyptian elections: After the initial announcement of the Egyptian
election results, 40% believe that these results will serve the Palestinian
cause while 33% believe it will not. 22% said they do not know. When asked to
tell us who they think won the Egyptian elections, 64% said it was the Muslim
Brothers' candidate Mohammad Morsi while 20% thought
it was General Shafiq and 15% said they did not know.
PSR
Poll No. 44
21 – 23 June 2012
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
00)
|
From
among the following satellite news stations, which one you watched most
during the last two months?
|
|
|
1)
Al Arabia
|
11.6%
|
8.5%
|
17.7%
|
|
|
2)
Al Jazeera
|
46.5%
|
49.8%
|
40.0%
|
|
|
3)
Al Hurra
|
1.4%
|
0.9%
|
2.3%
|
|
|
4)
Al Manar
|
2.5%
|
3.2%
|
1.2%
|
|
|
5)
Palestine TV
|
14.0%
|
14.7%
|
12.7%
|
|
|
6)
Alaqsa
|
8.6%
|
3.8%
|
18.1%
|
|
|
7)
Do not watch TV
|
8.8%
|
10.4%
|
5.9%
|
|
|
8)
Others
|
4.9%
|
6.6%
|
1.5%
|
|
|
9)
Do not have a dish
|
1.3%
|
1.7%
|
0.4%
|
|
|
10)
DK/NA
|
0.4%
|
0.4%
|
0.3%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
01)
|
In
general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the
Palestinian areas in Gaza Strip these days?
|
|
|
1)
Very good
|
2.9%
|
2.3%
|
4.3%
|
|
|
2)
Good
|
18.8%
|
18.4%
|
19.6%
|
|
|
3)
So so
|
20.3%
|
15.1%
|
30.5%
|
|
|
4)
Bad
|
39.3%
|
46.1%
|
26.0%
|
|
|
5)
Very bad
|
16.7%
|
15.2%
|
19.7%
|
|
|
6)
DK/NA
|
2.0%
|
3.0%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
02)
|
In
general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the
Palestinian areas in the West Bank these days?
|
|
|
1)
Very good
|
4.6%
|
3.4%
|
6.9%
|
|
|
2)
Good
|
25.8%
|
24.7%
|
28.0%
|
|
|
3)
So so
|
29.6%
|
29.6%
|
29.6%
|
|
|
4)
Bad
|
25.1%
|
28.7%
|
18.1%
|
|
|
5)
Very bad
|
12.1%
|
13.4%
|
9.4%
|
|
|
6)
DK/NA
|
2.9%
|
0.2%
|
8.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
03)
|
Generally,
do you see yourself as:
|
|
|
1)
Religious
|
45.7%
|
43.1%
|
50.9%
|
|
|
2)
Somewhat religious
|
49.0%
|
52.0%
|
43.2%
|
|
|
3)
Not religious
|
5.2%
|
5.0%
|
5.6%
|
|
|
4)
DK/NA
|
0.1%
|
0.0%
|
0.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
04)
|
Generally,
do you see yourself as:
|
|
|
1)
Supportive of the peace process
|
56.8%
|
58.0%
|
54.5%
|
|
|
2)
Opposed to the peace process
|
20.8%
|
21.5%
|
19.4%
|
|
|
3)
Between support and opposition
|
21.1%
|
19.0%
|
25.1%
|
|
|
4)
DK/NA
|
1.3%
|
1.5%
|
1.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
05)
|
Do
you think that there is corruption in PA institutions under the control of
President Abu Mazin?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
71.4%
|
71.3%
|
71.5%
|
|
|
2)
No
|
17.3%
|
16.4%
|
19.1%
|
|
|
3)
DK-NA
|
11.3%
|
12.3%
|
9.3%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
06)
|
Do
you think that there is corruption in PA institutions under the control of
the dismissed government in the Gaza Strip?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
56.7%
|
54.9%
|
60.1%
|
|
|
2)
No
|
22.7%
|
19.0%
|
29.9%
|
|
|
3)
DK-NA
|
20.6%
|
26.1%
|
10.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
07)
|
In
your view, is there a press freedom in the West Bank?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
20.7%
|
22.1%
|
17.9%
|
|
|
2)
To some extent
|
40.7%
|
40.6%
|
40.8%
|
|
|
3)
No
|
33.8%
|
33.0%
|
35.3%
|
|
|
4)
DK-NA
|
4.8%
|
4.2%
|
6.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
08)
|
In
your view, is there a press freedom in the Gaza Strip?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
16.7%
|
17.3%
|
15.7%
|
|
|
2)
To some extent
|
34.0%
|
28.8%
|
44.0%
|
|
|
3)
No
|
38.3%
|
38.2%
|
38.5%
|
|
|
4)
DK-NA
|
11.0%
|
15.8%
|
1.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
09)
|
In
your view, can people in the West Bank today criticize the authority without
fear?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
29.1%
|
33.3%
|
21.1%
|
|
|
2)
No
|
65.1%
|
63.1%
|
69.0%
|
|
|
3)
DK-NA
|
5.8%
|
3.7%
|
9.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
10)
|
In
your view, can people in the Gaza Strip today criticize the authority without
fear?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
25.2%
|
27.5%
|
20.9%
|
|
|
2)
No
|
63.5%
|
57.8%
|
74.6%
|
|
|
3)
DK-NA
|
11.2%
|
14.7%
|
4.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
11)
|
Would
you say that these days your security and safety, and that of your family, is
assured or not assured?
|
|
|
1)
Completely assured
|
6.7%
|
5.1%
|
9.8%
|
|
|
2)
Assured
|
49.6%
|
50.2%
|
48.4%
|
|
|
3)
Not assured
|
39.6%
|
41.2%
|
36.6%
|
|
|
4)
Not assured at all
|
3.7%
|
3.0%
|
5.0%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
0.4%
|
0.5%
|
0.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
12)
|
Do
current political, security, and economic conditions lead you to seek
emigration abroad?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly seek to emigrate
|
12.9%
|
11.0%
|
16.6%
|
|
|
2)
Seek emigration
|
19.4%
|
16.3%
|
25.4%
|
|
|
3)
Do not seek emigration
|
38.4%
|
40.9%
|
33.4%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly do not seek emigration
|
29.0%
|
31.6%
|
23.9%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
0.3%
|
0.1%
|
0.7%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
13)
|
Tell
us how do you evaluate the performance of the dismissed government of Ismail Haniyeh in the Gaza Strip? Is it good or bad?
|
|
|
1)
Very Good
|
10.3%
|
10.0%
|
10.8%
|
|
|
2)
Good
|
27.9%
|
29.1%
|
25.5%
|
|
|
3)
Neither good nor bad
|
24.3%
|
23.3%
|
26.2%
|
|
|
4)
Bad
|
18.9%
|
16.6%
|
23.5%
|
|
|
5)
Very Bad
|
7.1%
|
3.9%
|
13.4%
|
|
|
6)
No Opinion/Don’t know
|
11.5%
|
17.0%
|
0.7%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
14)
|
Tell
us how do you evaluate the performance of the government headed by Salam
Fayyad? Is it good or bad?
|
|
|
1)
Very Good
|
4.6%
|
3.9%
|
6.0%
|
|
|
2)
Good
|
31.1%
|
33.4%
|
26.6%
|
|
|
3)
Neither good nor bad
|
27.8%
|
27.9%
|
27.5%
|
|
|
4)
Bad
|
21.0%
|
21.3%
|
20.4%
|
|
|
5)
Very Bad
|
10.4%
|
7.5%
|
16.1%
|
|
|
6)
No Opinion/Don’t know
|
5.2%
|
6.0%
|
3.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
15)
|
Are
you satisfied or not satisfied with the performance of Mahmud Abbas since his election as president of the PA?
|
|
|
1)
Very satisfied
|
6.1%
|
5.6%
|
7.2%
|
|
|
2)
Satisfied
|
42.5%
|
49.2%
|
29.7%
|
|
|
3)
Not satisfied
|
35.9%
|
33.1%
|
41.3%
|
|
|
4)
Not satisfied at all
|
13.0%
|
8.8%
|
21.2%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.4%
|
3.3%
|
0.7%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
16)
|
If
new presidential elections are to take place today, and Mahmud Abbas was nominated by Fateh
and Ismail Haniyeh was nominated by Hamas, whom
would you vote for?
|
|
|
1)
Mahmoud Abbas
|
49.3%
|
49.6%
|
48.8%
|
|
|
2)
Ismael Haniyyah
|
43.7%
|
43.1%
|
44.7%
|
|
|
4)
DK/NA
|
7.0%
|
7.3%
|
6.6%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
17)
|
And
if the competition was between Marwan Barghouti representing Fateh
and Ismail Haniyeh representing Hamas, whom would
you vote for?
|
|
|
1)
Marwan Barghouti
|
59.9%
|
59.5%
|
60.8%
|
|
|
2)
Ismael Haniyyah
|
34.3%
|
33.9%
|
34.8%
|
|
|
4)
DK/NA
|
5.8%
|
6.6%
|
4.4%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
18)
|
And
what if the competition was between Marwan Barghouti, Ismail Haniyeh, and
Mahmud Abbas, to whom would you vote?
|
|
|
1)
Marwan Barghouti
|
37.3%
|
36.8%
|
38.2%
|
|
|
2)
Ismael Haniyyah
|
32.8%
|
31.5%
|
35.1%
|
|
|
3.
Mahmud Abbas
|
24.8%
|
26.2%
|
22.2%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
5.1%
|
5.5%
|
4.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
20)
|
If
new elections agreed to by all factions are held today and the same lists
that took part in the last PLC elections were nominated, for whom would you
vote?
|
|
|
1)
Alternative
|
2.2%
|
2.8%
|
1.1%
|
|
|
2)
Independent Palestine
|
2.8%
|
3.3%
|
1.8%
|
|
|
3)
Abu Ali Mustafa
|
4.0%
|
3.6%
|
4.7%
|
|
|
4)
Abu al Abbas
|
0.3%
|
0.5%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
5)
Freedom and social justice
|
0.8%
|
0.8%
|
0.8%
|
|
|
6)
Change and reform
|
28.6%
|
27.3%
|
31.0%
|
|
|
7)
National coalition for justice and democracy
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
8)
Third way (headed by Salam Fayyad)
|
1.2%
|
1.0%
|
1.5%
|
|
|
9)
Freedom and independence
|
0.9%
|
0.6%
|
1.5%
|
|
|
10)
Palestinian justice
|
0.4%
|
0.2%
|
0.6%
|
|
|
11)
Fateh
|
39.9%
|
40.6%
|
38.6%
|
|
|
12)
None of the above/ DK/NA/ Do not remember
|
18.9%
|
19.4%
|
18.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
21 -1)
|
From
among the following vital national goals, which in your view should the first
most important one and which should be the second most important goal that
the Palestinian people should strive to achieve?
|
|
|
1)
Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 borders and the establishment of a Palestinian
state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as its capital
|
47.0%
|
44.6%
|
51.6%
|
|
|
2)
Obtain the right of return to refuges to their 1948 towns and villages
|
29.9%
|
30.4%
|
28.9%
|
|
|
3)
Establish a democratic political system that respects freedoms and rights of
Palestinians
|
7.8%
|
8.2%
|
7.2%
|
|
|
4)
Build a pious or moral individual and a religious society, one that applies
all Islamic teachings
|
15.3%
|
16.8%
|
12.3%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
21-2
|
From
among the following vital national goals, which in your view should the first
most important one and which should be the second most important goal that
the Palestinian people should strive to achieve?
|
|
|
1)
Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 borders and the establishment of a Palestinian
state in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as its capital
|
21.7%
|
22.3%
|
20.4%
|
|
|
2)
Obtain the right of return to refuges to their 1948 towns and villages
|
39.1%
|
38.7%
|
39.7%
|
|
|
3)
Establish a democratic political system that respects freedoms and rights of
Palestinians
|
19.3%
|
18.9%
|
20.0%
|
|
|
4)
Build a pious or moral individual and a religious society, one that applies
all Islamic teachings
|
20.0%
|
20.0%
|
20.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
22)
|
The
Palestinian society confronts today various problems, like the continuation
of occupation and settlements, the spread of unemployment and poverty, the
lack of national unity due to the split between the West Bank and the Gaza
Strip, the continuation of the siege and blockade of the Gaza Strip and the
closure of its border crossings, the spread of corruption in public
institutions, and others. Tell us, what in your opinion, is the problem you
see as the most fundamental, the one that must be on the top priority of the
Palestinian Authority?
|
|
|
1) Continuation of
occupation and settlements
|
26.5%
|
26.6%
|
26.2%
|
|
|
2)
Spread of unemployment and poverty
|
26.4%
|
31.2%
|
17.0%
|
|
|
3)
Lack of national unity due to the split between the West bank and Gaza Strip
|
23.7%
|
20.1%
|
30.8%
|
|
|
4)
Continuation of the siege and blockade of the Gaza Strip and the closure of
its border crossings
|
8.1%
|
3.2%
|
17.7%
|
|
|
5)
The spread of corruption in public institutions
|
14.5%
|
18.3%
|
7.2%
|
|
|
6)
Other
|
0.5%
|
0.5%
|
0.6%
|
|
|
88)
DK/NA
|
0.3%
|
0.2%
|
0.5%
|
|
|
99)
Other
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
23)
|
Presidential
and parliamentary elections were scheduled to take place in the West Bank and
the Gaza Strip last month. But they did not take place due to failure of
reconciliation efforts. Are you satisfied or not satisfied that elections did
not take place?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly satisfied
|
1.9%
|
1.1%
|
3.6%
|
|
|
2)
Satisfied
|
20.0%
|
17.8%
|
24.2%
|
|
|
3)
Dissatisfied
|
60.4%
|
66.9%
|
47.7%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly dissatisfied
|
10.2%
|
5.6%
|
19.2%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
7.4%
|
8.5%
|
5.4%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
24)
|
In your view, who is responsible for the
failure to organize elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip last month
as scheduled? Is it Fateh or Hamas or some other
side?
|
|
|
1)
Fatah
|
10.5%
|
8.5%
|
14.4%
|
|
|
2)
Hamas
|
13.1%
|
7.9%
|
23.3%
|
|
|
3)
Both
|
59.5%
|
63.3%
|
52.2%
|
|
|
4)
Other
|
7.6%
|
9.8%
|
3.3%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
9.3%
|
10.5%
|
6.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
25)
|
Fateh and Hamas have agreed last month on allowing the election
commission to start its work in the Gaza Strip and on starting consultation
to form a reconciliation government. In your view, will the two sides succeed
in implementing the agreement and unify the West Bank and the Gaza Strip?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly yes
|
2.0%
|
1.9%
|
2.1%
|
|
|
2)
Yes
|
33.1%
|
36.0%
|
27.6%
|
|
|
3)
No
|
41.6%
|
42.4%
|
40.1%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly no
|
15.6%
|
13.3%
|
20.0%
|
|
|
5)
DK-NA
|
7.8%
|
6.5%
|
10.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
26)
|
And
when do you think a reconciliation government or a government of experts will
be established?
|
|
|
1)
Within days
|
1.1%
|
1.4%
|
0.7%
|
|
|
2)
Within weeks
|
10.5%
|
8.7%
|
14.1%
|
|
|
3)
After a long time
|
46.5%
|
46.9%
|
45.8%
|
|
|
4)
It will not be established
|
32.3%
|
35.4%
|
26.3%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
9.5%
|
7.6%
|
13.1%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
27)
|
When
do you expect presidential and parliamentary elections will take place in the
West Bank and the Gaza Strip?
|
|
|
1)
Soon, may be this year
|
12.3%
|
12.1%
|
12.8%
|
|
|
2)
May be in one or two years
|
30.7%
|
28.5%
|
35.1%
|
|
|
3)
In several years
|
24.1%
|
24.4%
|
23.5%
|
|
|
4)
There will be no presidential and parliamentary elections simultaneously in
the two areas in the future
|
19.9%
|
23.7%
|
12.5%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
13.0%
|
11.3%
|
16.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
28)
|
If
new parliamentary and presidential elections were to take place now, who do
you think will win, Fateh or Hamas or others?
|
|
|
1)
Fateh
|
41.3%
|
46.4%
|
31.2%
|
|
|
2)
Hamas
|
22.8%
|
21.1%
|
26.3%
|
|
|
3)
Others
|
20.0%
|
17.0%
|
25.9%
|
|
|
4)
DK/NA
|
15.9%
|
15.5%
|
16.6%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
29)
|
From
among the following list, whom do you think is most suitable to be Fateh' s
presidential candidate in case president Abbas
insisted on not nominating himself in the next presidential elections?
|
|
|
1)
Abu Mahir Ghnaim
|
2.7%
|
1.0%
|
5.9%
|
|
|
2)
Mahmud Aloul
|
2.3%
|
3.1%
|
0.9%
|
|
|
3)
Marwan Barghouti
|
52.6%
|
54.4%
|
49.2%
|
|
|
4)
Nasir al Qidwa
|
2.2%
|
2.2%
|
2.3%
|
|
|
5)
Salim al Za'noon
|
0.9%
|
1.0%
|
0.8%
|
|
|
6)
Jibreel al Rojoub
|
1.2%
|
1.6%
|
0.6%
|
|
|
7)
Saeb Erikat
|
3.3%
|
2.8%
|
4.4%
|
|
|
8)
Azzam al Ahmad
|
1.2%
|
0.9%
|
1.8%
|
|
|
9)
Ahmad Qurie'
|
2.1%
|
2.1%
|
2.0%
|
|
|
10)
Others
|
14.1%
|
15.3%
|
11.9%
|
|
|
11)
DK/NA
|
17.2%
|
15.7%
|
20.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
29B)
|
What
if the list of candidates did not include Marwan Barghouti, whom would you in this case find most suitable
to be Fateh's presidential candidate from among
those remaining in the list?
|
|
|
1)
Abu Mahir Ghnaim
|
8.8%
|
4.9%
|
17.0%
|
|
|
2)
Mahmud Aloul
|
7.9%
|
10.1%
|
3.1%
|
|
|
4)
Nasir al Qidwa
|
8.3%
|
7.6%
|
9.6%
|
|
|
5)
Salim al Za'noon
|
2.1%
|
2.1%
|
2.2%
|
|
|
6)
Jibreel al Rojoub
|
4.3%
|
5.7%
|
1.3%
|
|
|
7)
Saeb Erikat
|
17.0%
|
14.9%
|
21.6%
|
|
|
8)
Azzam al Ahmad
|
5.3%
|
4.7%
|
6.5%
|
|
|
9)
Ahmad Qurie'
|
4.3%
|
4.5%
|
4.0%
|
|
|
10)
Others
|
20.7%
|
23.5%
|
14.8%
|
|
|
11)
DK/NA
|
21.3%
|
22.0%
|
19.8%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
30)
|
What
do you expect to happen between Palestinians and Israelis now after the Kadima under the leadership of Mofaz
has joined the coalition government headed by Netanyahu?
|
|
|
1)
The two sides will return soon to negotiations
|
17.7%
|
14.3%
|
24.4%
|
|
|
2)
The two sides will return to negotiations but some armed attacks will take
place
|
31.7%
|
30.6%
|
33.9%
|
|
|
3)
The two sides will not return to negotiations and some armed attacks will
take place
|
18.7%
|
19.8%
|
16.6%
|
|
|
4)
The two sides will not return to negotiations and there will be no armed
attacks
|
21.0%
|
24.9%
|
13.5%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
10.8%
|
10.4%
|
11.6%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
31)
|
Palestinian
prisoners in Israeli jails went into a hunger strike for about a month with
the goal of improving the conditions of their detention. The strike ended
with an agreement that met most of their demands. As you satisfied or
dissatisfied with the size of public participation in support and solidarity
with the prisoners during the strike?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly satisfied
|
13.4%
|
9.7%
|
20.6%
|
|
|
2)
Satisfied
|
45.4%
|
45.0%
|
46.1%
|
|
|
3)
Dissatisfied
|
33.3%
|
37.6%
|
24.9%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly dissatisfied
|
6.6%
|
6.8%
|
6.0%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
1.4%
|
0.8%
|
2.4%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
32)
|
Have
you personally participated in the various solidarity actions with the
prisoners?
|
|
|
1)
Yes
|
34.9%
|
33.1%
|
38.5%
|
|
|
2)
NO
|
65.1%
|
66.9%
|
61.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
33)
|
In
your view, will the detention conditions of the prisoners now and the future
become better than they were in the past or will they remain unchanged?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly better
|
4.9%
|
2.0%
|
10.5%
|
|
|
2)
Better
|
37.1%
|
34.5%
|
42.1%
|
|
|
3)
Will not change
|
41.3%
|
44.5%
|
35.1%
|
|
|
4)
Worse
|
12.3%
|
15.4%
|
6.2%
|
|
|
5)
Certainly worse
|
2.8%
|
2.1%
|
4.1%
|
|
|
6)
DK/NA
|
1.6%
|
1.5%
|
2.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
34)
|
The
PA has lately arrested journalists and blocked internet sites and then
released the journalists and unblocked the sites. Do you support or oppose
the arrest of journalists and the blocking of internet sites because of the
views they express or publish?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
1.2%
|
1.1%
|
1.6%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
5.7%
|
4.9%
|
7.3%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
59.3%
|
65.3%
|
47.8%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
28.7%
|
25.2%
|
35.5%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
5.0%
|
3.6%
|
7.8%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
35)
|
Do
you feel these days that you are living in a political system that believes
in freedom and democracy for its citizens or do you feel you are living in an
undemocratic system that cracks down on freedoms?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly democratic, believe in freedoms
|
4.8%
|
4.0%
|
6.3%
|
|
|
2)
Democratic and believe in freedoms
|
24.1%
|
21.4%
|
29.2%
|
|
|
3)
Undemocratic, cracks down on freedoms
|
44.6%
|
48.7%
|
36.5%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly undemocratic and cracks down on freedoms
|
22.3%
|
22.8%
|
21.1%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
4.3%
|
3.0%
|
6.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
36)
|
Do
you think the measures taken by the PA in arresting journalists and blocking
internet sites benefit or hurt the Palestinian cause among international
public opinion?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly benefit
|
0.8%
|
0.5%
|
1.5%
|
|
|
2)
Benefit
|
6.8%
|
6.2%
|
7.8%
|
|
|
3)
Hurt
|
62.2%
|
66.7%
|
53.4%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly hurt
|
24.0%
|
21.1%
|
29.6%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
6.3%
|
5.5%
|
7.8%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
37)
|
When
you heard about the PA measures, in arresting journalists and blocking
internet sites, how did you feel? Did you for example feel satisfaction,
anger, or disinterest?
|
|
|
1)
Satisfaction
|
3.1%
|
2.2%
|
4.7%
|
|
|
2)
Anger
|
70.5%
|
75.4%
|
61.0%
|
|
|
3)
Disinterest
|
21.0%
|
18.0%
|
26.7%
|
|
|
4)
Other
|
2.1%
|
2.3%
|
1.6%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
3.4%
|
2.1%
|
5.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
38)
|
The
PA leadership has promised the Palestinians for more than a year to seek
international recognition of the state of Palestine. Do you feel satisfied or
dissatisfied with the performance of the PA leadership regarding this
matter?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly satisfied
|
4.1%
|
2.5%
|
7.3%
|
|
|
2)
Satisfied
|
44.5%
|
47.4%
|
38.8%
|
|
|
3)
Dissatisfied
|
41.2%
|
42.6%
|
38.4%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly dissatisfied
|
7.3%
|
5.3%
|
11.4%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.8%
|
2.2%
|
4.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
39)
|
Do
you feel today that the PA leadership is still seeking to obtain
international recognition of the state of Palestine or do you feel it has abandoned
that goal?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly still seeks it
|
7.1%
|
5.9%
|
9.4%
|
|
|
2)
Still seeks it
|
48.7%
|
50.9%
|
44.6%
|
|
|
3)
Abandoned it
|
33.3%
|
35.6%
|
29.0%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly abandoned it
|
6.0%
|
3.2%
|
11.5%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
4.9%
|
4.5%
|
5.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
40)
|
Do
you support or oppose the solution based on the establishment of a
Palestinian State alongside Israel known as the two States solution?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
4.0%
|
3.3%
|
5.4%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
45.0%
|
48.6%
|
37.9%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
38.4%
|
40.2%
|
35.1%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
10.4%
|
6.2%
|
18.7%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.1%
|
1.7%
|
2.8%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
41)
|
Some
believe that the two-state solution, an independent Palestinian state
alongside the state of Israel, is no longer viable due to settlement
expansion while others believe that it is still viable today as settlements
can be dismantled or evacuated when an agreement is reached. What do you
think?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly the two-state solution is no longer viable
|
17.3%
|
14.3%
|
23.0%
|
|
|
2)
The two state solution is no longer viable
|
37.6%
|
39.4%
|
34.0%
|
|
|
3)
The two-state solution remains viable today
|
28.7%
|
31.3%
|
23.6%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly, the two-state solution remains viable today
|
10.6%
|
10.2%
|
11.4%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
5.9%
|
4.9%
|
8.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
42)
|
Talk
has recently increased about the inevitable failure of the two state solution
and the need to demand the formulation of a solution based on the
establishment of one state in all Palestinian areas and Israel, one in which
Arabs and Jews enjoy equality. Do you support or oppose this view?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
4.3%
|
4.8%
|
3.2%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
27.0%
|
30.8%
|
19.8%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
47.3%
|
49.9%
|
42.1%
|
|
|
4)Certainly
oppose
|
17.9%
|
12.0%
|
29.4%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
3.5%
|
2.4%
|
5.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
43)
|
Now
more than 45 years after the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza
Strip, what in your view are the chances for the establishment of an
independent Palestinian state next to the state of Israel in the next five
years? Are they high, medium, low, or none existent?
|
|
|
1)
None existent
|
27.7%
|
29.9%
|
23.3%
|
|
|
2)
Low
|
39.9%
|
39.8%
|
39.9%
|
|
|
3)
Medium
|
27.1%
|
24.6%
|
32.1%
|
|
|
4)
High
|
3.1%
|
3.4%
|
2.5%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.2%
|
2.3%
|
2.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
44)
|
To
what extent are you worried or not worried that you or a member of your
family could be hurt by Israel in your daily life or that your land would be
confiscated or home demolished?
|
|
|
1)
Very Worried
|
26.0%
|
22.6%
|
32.5%
|
|
|
2)
Worried
|
47.7%
|
47.8%
|
47.7%
|
|
|
3)
Not worried
|
20.6%
|
24.0%
|
14.0%
|
|
|
4)
Not worried at all
|
5.2%
|
5.3%
|
5.2%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
0.4%
|
0.3%
|
0.6%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
45)
|
What
do you think are the aspirations of Israel for the long run?
|
|
|
1)
Withdrawal from the territories it occupied in 1967 after guaranteeing its
security
|
7.2%
|
5.9%
|
9.6%
|
|
|
2)
Withdrawal form part of the occupied territories after guaranteeing its security
|
9.7%
|
8.5%
|
12.0%
|
|
|
3)
Annexation of the West Bank while denying political rights of Palestinian
citizens
|
18.6%
|
17.2%
|
21.3%
|
|
|
4)
Extending the borders of the state of Israel to cover all the area between
the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and expelling its Arab
citizens
|
62.1%
|
67.2%
|
52.2%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.5%
|
1.2%
|
4.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
46)
|
According
to the Saudi plan, Israel will retreat from all territories occupied in 1967
including Gaza the West Bank, Jerusalem and the Golan Heights, and a
Palestinian state will be established. The refugees
problem will be resolved through negotiation in a just and agreed upon manner
and in accordance with UN resolution 194 which allows return of refugees to
Israel and compensation. In return, all Arab states will recognize Israel and
its right to secure borders, will sign peace treaties with her and establish
normal diplomatic relations. Do you
agree or disagree to this plan?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly agree
|
4.8%
|
3.7%
|
6.8%
|
|
|
2)
Agree
|
46.5%
|
44.1%
|
51.3%
|
|
|
3)
Disagree
|
35.7%
|
40.7%
|
26.1%
|
|
|
4)Certainly
Disagree
|
9.2%
|
7.0%
|
13.7%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
3.7%
|
4.5%
|
2.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
47)
|
There
is a proposal that after the establishment of an independent Palestinian
state and the settlement of all issues in dispute, including the refugees and
Jerusalem issues, there will be a mutual recognition of Israel as the state
of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the Palestinians people.
Do you agree or disagree to this proposal?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly agree
|
2.4%
|
2.7%
|
1.8%
|
|
|
2)
Agree
|
40.3%
|
39.6%
|
41.6%
|
|
|
3)
Disagree
|
43.1%
|
47.4%
|
34.8%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly Disagree
|
12.1%
|
8.2%
|
19.6%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.1%
|
2.1%
|
2.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
48)
|
Some
Israelis talk about a new plan designed to break the stalemate in the peace
process was published in the Israeli media. These are its major features:
- The Israeli government will declare that
it is willing to return to negotiations anytime and that it has no claims of
sovereignty on areas east of the existing separation wall/fence
- Israel will end all settlement
construction east of the fence and in the Palestinian neighborhoods in East
Jerusalem
- At the same time, Israel will prepare to
bring back settlers living outside the separation wall/fence and will
establish a fair compensation plan for them
- IDF will remain in the Palestinian territories until a final
status agreement is reached
- The proposed plan will take place either
unilaterally or with Palestinian cooperation."
What
do you think about this plan? Is it good or bad for the Palestinians?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly good
|
2.6%
|
2.2%
|
3.3%
|
|
|
2)
Good
|
32.6%
|
31.9%
|
33.7%
|
|
|
3)
Bad
|
44.5%
|
48.8%
|
36.1%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly bad
|
14.5%
|
11.7%
|
20.0%
|
|
|
5)
Dk/NA
|
5.9%
|
5.3%
|
6.9%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
49)
|
What
are the chances of this plan would be implemented by the Netanyahu
government?
|
|
|
1)
Non-existent
|
35.5%
|
41.9%
|
23.2%
|
|
|
2)
Low
|
33.5%
|
32.1%
|
36.3%
|
|
|
3)
Medium
|
18.9%
|
17.4%
|
22.0%
|
|
|
4)
High
|
5.2%
|
5.3%
|
5.1%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
6.8%
|
3.3%
|
13.5%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
50)
|
The
Israeli Kadima party, led by Mofaz,
has joined Netanyah's government. Do you expect the
new government will be more or less willing to reach a peace agreement with
the Palestinians or will the change make no difference?
|
|
|
1)
Will be more ready
|
11.6%
|
12.5%
|
9.7%
|
|
|
2)
will be less ready
|
53.6%
|
57.5%
|
46.0%
|
|
|
3)
Will not make a difference
|
26.4%
|
24.0%
|
31.0%
|
|
|
4)
DK/NA
|
8.4%
|
6.0%
|
13.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
Now that
negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis have stopped, would you
support or oppose the following option in the search for achieving
Palestinian rights?
|
|
50-1)
|
Going
to the Security Council to obtain a recognition of a Palestinian state
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
19.5%
|
14.7%
|
28.7%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
53.1%
|
59.6%
|
40.6%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
22.0%
|
22.5%
|
21.0%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
3.8%
|
1.8%
|
7.7%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
1.6%
|
1.4%
|
2.1%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
50-2)
|
Unilaterally
declare the establishment of a Palestinian state
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
12.8%
|
11.9%
|
14.4%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
45.4%
|
49.3%
|
37.6%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
34.9%
|
35.1%
|
34.7%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
4.9%
|
2.2%
|
10.3%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.0%
|
1.5%
|
3.1%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
50-3)
|
Abandon
the two state solution and demand the establishment of one state for
Palestinians and Israelis
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
3.7%
|
2.9%
|
5.3%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
22.6%
|
26.0%
|
16.1%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
56.9%
|
61.2%
|
48.7%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
14.5%
|
7.9%
|
27.3%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.2%
|
2.0%
|
2.7%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
50-4)
|
Resort
to popular non violent and unarmed resistance
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
9.4%
|
8.3%
|
11.3%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
47.7%
|
52.7%
|
38.0%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
33.5%
|
32.4%
|
35.6%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
7.3%
|
4.8%
|
12.0%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.2%
|
1.6%
|
3.2%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
50-5)
|
Return
to the armed intifada and confrontations
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
11.1%
|
5.6%
|
21.6%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
25.6%
|
22.6%
|
31.3%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
52.4%
|
62.0%
|
33.8%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
9.0%
|
8.0%
|
10.9%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.0%
|
1.8%
|
2.4%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
50-6)
|
Dissolve
the Palestinian Authority
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
8.0%
|
6.0%
|
11.9%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
31.2%
|
31.6%
|
30.3%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
44.4%
|
50.5%
|
32.6%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
10.8%
|
8.9%
|
14.5%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
5.6%
|
3.0%
|
10.6%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
52)
|
The
Israeli Kadima party, led by Mofaz,
has joined Netanyah's government. Do you expect the
new government will be more or less willing to reach a peace agreement with
the Palestinians or will the change make no difference?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly it will be positive
|
11.7%
|
7.9%
|
19.1%
|
|
|
2)
It will be positive
|
37.6%
|
33.3%
|
46.0%
|
|
|
3)
It will be negative
|
18.0%
|
23.7%
|
6.9%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly it will be negative
|
4.5%
|
3.9%
|
5.8%
|
|
|
5)
Will have no impact, positive or negative
|
24.8%
|
28.0%
|
18.7%
|
|
|
6)
DK/NA
|
3.3%
|
3.2%
|
3.6%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
53)
|
Nour party which represents Salafists won
about 25% of the popular vote in the Egyptian parliamentary elections. If a Salafist party is to be established in Palestine, do you
think you would or would not vote for it?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly will vote for it
|
4.1%
|
1.9%
|
8.4%
|
|
|
2)
Will vote for it
|
22.7%
|
20.2%
|
27.5%
|
|
|
3)
Will not vote for it
|
48.0%
|
53.5%
|
37.4%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly will not vote for it
|
14.7%
|
15.7%
|
12.8%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
10.5%
|
8.7%
|
14.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
54)
|
Now
after the announcement of the results of the Egyptian presidential elections
in Egypt, what do you think about these results? Are you convinced that these
results serve or do not serve Palestinian interests and the Palestinian
cause?
|
|
|
1)
Fully convinced
|
11.6%
|
9.7%
|
15.3%
|
|
|
2)
Convinced somewhat
|
28.0%
|
30.0%
|
24.1%
|
|
|
3)
Not convinced
|
21.3%
|
23.4%
|
17.2%
|
|
|
4)
Not convinced at all
|
11.9%
|
14.0%
|
7.9%
|
|
|
5)
Convinced the results will have no impact
|
5.1%
|
5.7%
|
3.9%
|
|
|
6)
DK/NA
|
22.1%
|
17.1%
|
31.7%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
54-1)
|
Who
do you think won in the Egyptian Presidential race?
|
|
|
1)
Morsi
|
63.7%
|
63.6%
|
63.8%
|
|
|
2)
Shfiq
|
20.3%
|
15.8%
|
36.2%
|
|
|
3)
Don’t know
|
14.6%
|
18.8%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
4)
Others
|
1.4%
|
1.8%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
55)
|
Recently,
debate increased over the issue of the benefits and harms that could come
from visits of Arabs and Muslims today to Jerusalem. What do you think? Do
you think there is a benefit or no benefit for Palestinians from such visits?
|
|
|
1)
Certainly benefit
|
20.4%
|
19.9%
|
21.3%
|
|
|
2)
Benefit
|
51.3%
|
52.8%
|
48.3%
|
|
|
3)
No benefit
|
22.3%
|
24.1%
|
18.9%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly no benefit
|
2.8%
|
1.7%
|
4.9%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
3.3%
|
1.5%
|
6.7%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
56)
|
Concerning
armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel, I….
|
|
|
1)
Certainly support
|
10.9%
|
6.0%
|
20.6%
|
|
|
2)
Support
|
31.1%
|
23.9%
|
45.2%
|
|
|
3)
Oppose
|
48.0%
|
58.2%
|
28.2%
|
|
|
4)
Certainly oppose
|
7.7%
|
9.7%
|
3.7%
|
|
|
5)
DK/NA
|
2.3%
|
2.3%
|
2.3%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
57)
|
Which
of the following political parties do you support?
|
|
|
1)
PPP
|
0.6%
|
0.9%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
2)
PFLP
|
3.4%
|
2.5%
|
5.1%
|
|
|
3)
Fateh
|
30.9%
|
30.5%
|
31.8%
|
|
|
4)
Hamas
|
18.1%
|
16.1%
|
21.9%
|
|
|
5)
DFLP
|
1.5%
|
2.0%
|
0.6%
|
|
|
6)
Islamic Jihad
|
2.3%
|
1.5%
|
4.0%
|
|
|
7)
Fida
|
0.2%
|
0.1%
|
0.4%
|
|
|
8)
National initiative (Almubadara)
|
0.6%
|
0.6%
|
0.6%
|
|
|
9)
Independent Islamist
|
2.9%
|
1.3%
|
5.8%
|
|
|
10)
Independent nationalist
|
3.0%
|
2.3%
|
4.4%
|
|
|
11)
Third way headed by Salam Fayyad
|
0.9%
|
0.8%
|
1.0%
|
|
|
12)
None of the above
|
34.3%
|
39.6%
|
24.0%
|
|
|
13)
Others
|
1.3%
|
1.8%
|
0.4%
|
|
|
|
Total
|
West Bank
|
Gaza Strip
|
|
58)
|
If
you use the internet to surf social sites like Facebook,
Twitter, and various groups or to access email, how many times do you
normally do that?
|
|
|
1)
More than once a day
|
12.0%
|
10.7%
|
14.6%
|
|
|
2)
Daily
|
18.4%
|
14.7%
|
25.7%
|
|
|
3)
Between 2-5 times weekly
|
11.4%
|
9.5%
|
15.1%
|
|
|
4)
Once a week
|
6.4%
|
4.8%
|
9.5%
|
|
|
5)
Once a month
|
5.4%
|
5.0%
|
6.1%
|
|
|
6)Others
(specify -----)
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
|
|
7)
Does not apply—I have no email and do not visit social sites
|
46.4%
|
55.4%
|
29.0%
|