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Populus – Labour lead up to 6 points

The Brown boost continues in Populus’s latest poll (conducted slightly earlier than normal, this is what would be their August poll). The headline figures with changes from their last poll, conducted shortly after Brown became leader, are CON 33%(-1), LAB 39%(+2), LDEM 15%(-3).
This brings Populus’s figures for Labour’s lead in line with those of [...]

YouGov shows biggest Brown boost so far

YouGov’s monthly poll for the Telegraph has voting intention figures, with changes from YouGov’s last poll, of CON 32%(-1), LAB 41%(+1), LDEM 16%(+1). The changes from the last poll, conducted only four days previously, are insignificant, but it is the largest Labour share of the vote this Parliament and the largest Labour lead since the [...]

Why Voting Intention Polls Matter

We’ve now pretty much got the measure of the “Brown bounce” in the polls – YouGov, MORI and ICM are all showing a Labour lead of around 6 or 7 percent. So, what does this actually tell us? Well, not a lot really. Anyone with sense in their head should have foreseen that Brown would [...]

Brown boost continues in three new polls

I’m on holiday at the moment, with an intermittent internet connecton so blogging will be slow over the next week. Two new polls in the Sunday papers both show Labour leads pretty consistent with the last ICM poll – YouGov in the Sunday Times has CON 33%, LAB 40%, LDEM 15%, MORI in the Observer [...]

First Boris v Ken poll?

The first Ken vs Boris poll is out in the Standard – Livingston 32%, Johnson 23%, Greg Dyke (presumably as an indepedent) 9%, an unspecified Lib Dem on 6%, John Bird (again presumably as an independent) 5%, unspecified Lib Dem on 5%. 25% undecided. It was conducted by Ciao!, an internet outfit who [...]

The boost continues – Labour lead up to 7 points

An ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph has voting intentions (with changes from the last ICM poll) of CON 33% (-2), LAB 40% (+3), LDEM 19% (+2). Far from the slight drop in the most recent ICM poll representing the end of Gordon Brown’s bounce, it has clearly continued to gather strength in the last [...]