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Labour conference puts the parties neck and neck

A YouGov poll for Saturday’s Telegraph has the two main parties neck and neck on 36%. The full topline figures, with changes from YouGov’s last poll are CON 36%(-1), LAB 36%(+3), LDEM 16%(-2).
While it is but a single poll, if other polls show a similar trend it will suggests that Labour have significantly benefited [...]

EXCLUSIVE: Conference boost for Labour leaders

Below is the updated graph of the net impression figures for senior Labour party politicians from YouGov’s BrandIndex tracker, now including the effect of the Labour party conference. Click on the graph to see a larger version of it.

The figures are all based on a five day rolling average, so it will take a few [...]

Populus Message Meter

Via Danny Finkelstein’s blog, there is an open access version of Populus’s message meter poll on Tony Blair’s conference speech (i.e. where one turns a dial, or in this case a slider, up or down in response to how positive or negative you feel about a speech) here. Obviously, it is an open access poll, [...]

Harris/FT – 50% want Brown to call an immediate general election if he becomes PM, Brown leads Reid 21% to 9% as preferred successor.
Populus/BBC – 33% of people think Brown has changed his image over the last 12 months…but 79% think he is just as responsible as Blair for decisions like Iraq.
ICM/News of the World [...]

YouGov Trackers and Brown Focus Groups

A new YouGov poll in today’s Telegraph is a prime example of the difference sample error can make – the topline figures are CON 38%, LAB 31%, LDEM 18%. The poll was begun before the YouGov poll in the Sunday Times, but there was a substantial overlap in the fieldwork, so the simple explanation for [...]

Sunday polls

The Sunday Times carries a new YouGov poll. Voting intention, with changes from YouGov’s last poll, is CON 37% (-1), LAB 33% (+2), LDEM 18% (nc). The changes are well within the range of normal sample error, but like the recent ICM polls show the the Conservative lead is falling, despite Labour’s interenal wranglings. [...]