The Infinity Ward saga is dragging on but analyst Mike Hickey of Janco Partners thinks the Modern Warfare developer will soon disappear.
We expect Infinity Ward studio will be essentially closed after their next map pack release, with development work on Modern Warfare 3 spread between two studios not historically tied to the franchise.
Hickey unsurprisingly blames the staff departures and legal issues for the problems.
Continued defections from their Infinity Ward studio have created meaningful uncertainty around the future of their Call of Duty: Modern Warfare franchise.
The recently released and aptly titled "Stimulus" download pack has sold over 2.5 million in less than a month. It will be interesting to see how well the next map pack does when released later this year. Will Infinity Ward go out with the proverbial bang? Or will fans finally tire of Modern Warfare 2? Given the amount of friends I have who still play regularly I'm guessing it may be the latter.
Of course the most interesting reaction will be when Modern Warfare 3 arrives. Hickey predicts that MW3 will arrive in late 2011 and earn publisher Activision $738 million in sales. But how will fans react to the changes in developer? Clearly the multiplayer is key and will need to be as well designed as MW2 for MW3 to stand any chance. Let's face it though – come November 2011 (or whenever), are Modern Warfare fans really going to shun the new game because Infinity Ward is not involved? Do most Modern Warfare players even know or care who made their favourite game? What do you think?
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