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Would being more anti-immigration win votes?

One thing we’ve seen over the last few months is pressure groups commissioning helpful polls showing that, lo and behold, adopting the policy that they are campaigning for would be really fantastic for the electoral prospects of whatever party they are trying to twist to their end. So, the Electoral Reform Society has commissioned polling [...]

Conservative polling in Scotland

There is a headline in Scotland on Sunday of “Scots Tories set to gain new seats”. The story underneath is based on polling conducted by ORB for the Conservative party in the party’s 11 target seats (their one current seat, and ten they hope to gain). I always urge caution with polls commissioned by political [...]

New YouGov Poll

Today’s Telegraph has a new YouGov poll with topline figures (with changes from their poll a week ago) of CON 40%(-2), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 18%(+1). Others are up 1 at 15%.
Changes are all very minor, but it is the lowest Conservative lead from YouGov since June (and to answer Mike Smithson’s question, if it [...]

Tory sleaze?

Yesterday I had a post up on PoliticsHome looking at some of the recent Phi5000 results, specifically Caroline Spelman’s ratings.
Since the first revelations about her once paying her nanny from public funds came to light her ratings have slumped. There’s nothing particularly surprising about that, bad news story leads to negative perception about that [...]

New Year round up: The Conservatives

Looking at the Conservatives in 2007 I think there are two interesting questions, and one observation. To take the questions first, how much of the Tory progress is down to them, and how much have they just benefited from Labour’s misfortune? Secondly, are they doing well enough to be on the road to power next [...]

YouGov give Tories a commanding lead

A YouGov poll in the Sunday Times has voting intentions with changes from their last poll of CON 45% (+2), LAB 32% (nc), LDEM 14% (nc).
The 13 point Conservative lead is the largest YouGov have ever given them, and matches that recorded by ComRes (who tend to produce larger Tory leads than other pollsters) last [...]