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Tories remain 17 points ahead with ICM

ICM have a new poll in tomorrow’s Sunday Telegraph. The topline figures with changes from about a fortnight ago are CON 42%(-2), LAB 25%(-2), LDEM 21%(+3).
The Conservative lead is unchanged at a landslide winning 17 points, but both the Conservatives and Labour are down, with the Lib Dems up three points to 21%. ICM normally [...]

President Blair

Events seem to have already overtaken this one, given that speculation now is that Tony Blair does not have the support to be the first President of the EU council. However, for what it’s worth, today’s Telegraph has a snippet from their monthly YouGov poll that shows the public still evenly divided over whether they [...]

More from YouGov’s Welsh poll

The full tables for YouGov’s Welsh poll for the University of Aberystwyth are now available here.
As well as the Westminster voting intentions, there are also figures for the Welsh Assembly:
Constituency: CON 25%, LAB 32%, LDEM 12%, PC 24%
Regional: CON 27%, LAB 30%, LDEM 11%, PC 21%, BNP 4%, Green 3%
That’s actually relatively little change in [...]

The BNP and YouGov entryism

A couple of people are getting flustered about the BNP trying to infiltrate the YouGov panel. Over on Political Betting Mike Smithson has rightly dismissed it, but I’ve now got the chapter and verse from Peter Kellner (see the bottom of this post).
Things like this come along occassionally – basically they could only work [...]

YouGov Welsh poll

YouGov have published that rarest of creatures, a Welsh opinion poll. In this Parliament so far all we’ve had for Wales are a couple of Beaufort research polls, who don’t have the most shining reputation, and some commissioned by the BBC which haven’t included voting intention, so it’s a delight to have some proper figures.
According [...]

ComRes show 13 point Tory lead

There is a new ComRes poll in today’s Independent. Topline figures with changes from last poll a week and a half ago are CON 40%(nc), LAB 27%(-1), LDEM 18%(-1).
Clearly there is little change in the levels of support for the main parties. Notably this is also only the second poll since the BNP’s appearance on [...]