Posted on September 29th, 2007 by Anthony Wells
Unlike the YouGov and Populus polls in recent days an Ipsos-MORI poll in the Observer doesn’t show any sign of a conference boost for Labour – the topline figures with changes from the last MORI poll, conducted directly prior to the Labour conference, are CON 34%(nc), LAB 41%(-1), LDEM 16%(+2) This is an increase for [...]
54 Comments »
Filed under: BPIX, MORI, Voting Intention
Posted on September 28th, 2007 by Anthony Wells
When YouGov gave Labour an eleven point lead in the week I think most people were somewhat sceptical, and rightly so – it was a snap poll with less than the normal sample size conducted in a hurry straight after Gordon Brown’s conference speech. A new YouGov poll in Saturday’s Telegraph however confirms the change [...]
46 Comments »
Filed under: Populus, Voting Intention, YouGov
Posted on September 27th, 2007 by Anthony Wells
Labours press office seem to have made great things of the cross breaks of the last YouGov poll, since it showed a whopping 17 point lead amongst female voters. I’ve seen various articles by commentators* who have been briefed about it showing how women has defected en masse to Labour. Is it true?
The graph below [...]
21 Comments »
Filed under: Voting Intention, YouGov
Posted on September 25th, 2007 by Anthony Wells
A snap YouGov poll with fieldwork conducted on Monday afternoon through to Tuesday – so directly after Gordon Brown’s conference speech – has headline figures of CON 33% (nc), LAB 44% (+5!), LDEM 13% (-3).
The Conservative figure is believable enough, but the Liberal Democrat and Labour figures are extreme – the highest Labour figure [...]
87 Comments »
Filed under: Voting Intention, YouGov
Posted on September 23rd, 2007 by Anthony Wells
A new Ipsos-MORI poll in the Sun on Monday has voting intentions of CON 34%(-2), LAB 42%(+1), LDEM 14%(-2). There are no dates available for the fieldwork yet – sometimes MORI’s polls do take slightly longer to reach the papers, especially the monthly face-to-face polls, so this may have been taken prior to the ICM [...]
43 Comments »
Filed under: MORI, Voting Intention
Posted on September 22nd, 2007 by Anthony Wells
An ICM poll in the Sunday Mirror has voting intention figures, with changes from their poll taken at the very height of the Northern Rock crisis, of CON 33%(+1), LAB 39%(-1), LDEM 19%(-1). The change in this poll alone is not significant, but it is similar to ICM’s findings from before Northern Rock so it [...]
29 Comments »
Filed under: ICM, Voting Intention