Conservative Target Seats
Below are the two hundred seats where the Conservative party needs to overturn the lowest percentage majority to win the seat. These are not necesssarily the seats where it will be easiest to do so, or the seats that the party will actually be targetting at the next election. In seats marked with an asterisk (*) the Conservative party is currently in third (or lower) place.
Conservative target seats, Labour target seats, Liberal Democrat target seats
1. Finchley and Golders Green | 31 | Swing required: 0.05 % |
2. Crawley | 37 | Swing required: 0.05 % |
3. Croydon Central | 317 | Swing required: 0.35 % |
4. Battersea | 336 | Swing required: 0.4 % |
5. Aberconwy | 243 | Swing required: 0.4 % |
6. Harlow | 357 | Swing required: 0.45 % |
7. Milton Keynes South | 483 | Swing required: 0.5 % |
8. Hove | 450 | Swing required: 0.5 % |
9. Romsey and Southampton North | 462 | Swing required: 0.55 % |
10. Cheltenham | 515 | Swing required: 0.55 % |
11. Eastleigh | 530 | Swing required: 0.55 % |
12. Dartford | 583 | Swing required: 0.65 % |
13. St Austell and Newquay | 630 | Swing required: 0.8 % |
14. Westmorland and Lonsdale | 836 | Swing required: 0.9 % |
15. City of Chester | 813 | Swing required: 0.9 % |
16. Stroud | 1007 | Swing required: 0.95 % |
17. Bristol North West | 1075 | Swing required: 1.05 % |
18. Loughborough | 1138 | Swing required: 1.15 % |
19. Carshalton and Wallington | 1044 | Swing required: 1.25 % |
20. Cardiff North | 1146 | Swing required: 1.25 % |
21. Hastings and Rye | 1205 | Swing required: 1.3 % |
22. Chippenham | 1260 | Swing required: 1.35 % |
23. Calder Valley | 1346 | Swing required: 1.4 % |
24. Hereford and North Herefordshire | 1297 | Swing required: 1.45 % |
25. Stourbridge | 1285 | Swing required: 1.45 % |
26. Taunton Deane | 1702 | Swing required: 1.5 % |
27. Colne Valley | 1535 | Swing required: 1.5 % |
28. Corby | 1517 | Swing required: 1.55 % |
29. Brighton Kemptown | 1213 | Swing required: 1.65 % |
30. Perth and North Perthshire | 1521 | Swing required: 1.65 % |
31. South Basildon and East Thurrock | 1467 | Swing required: 1.7 % |
32. Vale of Glamorgan | 1664 | Swing required: 1.8 % |
33. Swindon South | 1565 | Swing required: 1.85 % |
34. Northampton South | 1386 | Swing required: 1.85 % |
35. Dorset South | 1812 | Swing required: 1.85 % |
36. Milton Keynes North | 1862 | Swing required: 1.9 % |
37. Stafford | 1800 | Swing required: 1.95 % |
38. Watford | 1148 | Swing required: 1.96 %* |
39. Angus | 1601 | Swing required: 2.1 % |
40. York Outer | 1821 | Swing required: 2.25 % |
41. Redditch | 1948 | Swing required: 2.3 % |
42. Broxstowe | 2267 | Swing required: 2.35 % |
43. Burton | 2134 | Swing required: 2.4 % |
44. High Peak | 2332 | Swing required: 2.5 % |
45. Pendle | 2180 | Swing required: 2.65 % |
46. Carmarthen West and South Pembrokshire | 2063 | Swing required: 2.7 % |
47. Birmingham Edgbaston | 2187 | Swing required: 2.75 % |
48. Bury North | 2236 | Swing required: 2.75 % |
49. Wolverhampton South West | 2252 | Swing required: 2.8 % |
50. Ribble South | 2686 | Swing required: 2.85 % |
51. Dumfries and Galloway | 2922 | Swing required: 2.85 % |
52. Tamworth | 2569 | Swing required: 2.95 % |
53. Derbyshire South | 2733 | Swing required: 3 % |
54. Torbay | 2755 | Swing required: 3 % |
55. Cleethorpes | 2642 | Swing required: 3.05 % |
56. Harrow East | 2647 | Swing required: 3.1 % |
57. Swindon North | 2832 | Swing required: 3.3 % |
58. Sutton and Cheam | 2870 | Swing required: 3.3 % |
59. Worcester | 3144 | Swing required: 3.4 % |
60. Bradford West | 2580 | Swing required: 3.55 % |
61. Richmond Park | 3649 | Swing required: 3.6 % |
62. Great Yarmouth | 3055 | Swing required: 3.7 % |
63. Hendon | 3005 | Swing required: 3.75 % |
64. Brentford and Isleworth | 3471 | Swing required: 4 % |
65. Cheadle | 3950 | Swing required: 4 % |
66. Eltham | 3174 | Swing required: 4.1 % |
67. Bedford | 3476 | Swing required: 4.1 % |
68. Brigg and Goole | 3347 | Swing required: 4.1 % |
69. Portsmouth South | 3181 | Swing required: 4.25 % |
70. Stevenage | 3451 | Swing required: 4.25 % |
71. Rossendale and Darwen | 3752 | Swing required: 4.25 % |
72. Halifax | 3438 | Swing required: 4.35 % |
73. Dudley South | 3126 | Swing required: 4.4 % |
74. Northampton North | 3483 | Swing required: 4.5 % |
75. Westminster North | 3021 | Swing required: 4.55 % |
76. Edinburgh South | 405 | Swing required: 4.55 %* |
77. Blackpool North and Cleveleys | 3540 | Swing required: 4.65 % |
78. Southport | 3838 | Swing required: 4.65 % |
79. Wirral South | 3724 | Swing required: 4.7 % |
80. Newton Abbott | 4573 | Swing required: 4.75 % |
81. Leicestershire North West | 4477 | Swing required: 4.75 % |
82. Wyre Forest | 4574 | Swing required: 4.75 % |
83. Lincoln | 3844 | Swing required: 4.8 % |
84. Leeds North West | 911 | Swing required: 4.8 %* |
85. Nuneaton | 3843 | Swing required: 4.85 % |
86. Bolton West | 4075 | Swing required: 4.9 % |
87. Ochil and South Perthshire | 688 | Swing required: 4.95 %* |
88. Halesowen and Rowley Regis | 4140 | Swing required: 5 % |
89. Brecon and Radnorshire | 3905 | Swing required: 5.1 % |
90. Dover | 5061 | Swing required: 5.2 % |
91. Gedling | 4876 | Swing required: 5.25 % |
92. Keighley | 4852 | Swing required: 5.25 % |
93. Carlisle | 4069 | Swing required: 5.3 % |
94. Bolton North East | 3581 | Swing required: 5.35 % |
95. Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | 4305 | Swing required: 5.35 % |
96. Dewsbury | 4924 | Swing required: 5.4 % |
97. Warrington South | 5062 | Swing required: 5.45 % |
98. Pudsey | 4751 | Swing required: 5.45 % |
99. Mid Dorset and North Poole | 5270 | Swing required: 5.45 % |
100. Stirling | 4767 | Swing required: 5.45 % |
101. Devon North | 5377 | Swing required: 5.5 % |
102. Oxford West and Abingdon | 5525 | Swing required: 5.65 % |
103. Dudley North | 4145 | Swing required: 5.7 % |
104. Elmet and Rothwell | 6295 | Swing required: 5.7 % |
105. Poplar and Limehouse | 3942 | Swing required: 5.75 % |
106. Camborne and Redruth | 4119 | Swing required: 5.75 %* |
107. Reading West | 4980 | Swing required: 5.8 % |
108. Tynemouth | 5532 | Swing required: 5.85 % |
109. Ipswich | 5274 | Swing required: 6 % |
110. Waveney | 5936 | Swing required: 6 % |
111. Morecambe and Lunsdale | 4935 | Swing required: 6 % |
112. Tooting | 5190 | Swing required: 6.1 % |
113. Chatham and Alyesford | 4800 | Swing required: 6.1 % |
114. Lancaster and Fleetwood | 4056 | Swing required: 6.1 % |
115. Barrow in Furness | 4836 | Swing required: 6.25 % |
116. Weaver vale | 4750 | Swing required: 6.35 % |
117. Warwick and Leamington Spa | 5266 | Swing required: 6.4 % |
118. Cornwall North | 5477 | Swing required: 6.45 % |
119. Gloucester | 6068 | Swing required: 6.5 % |
120. Hampstead and Kilburn | 1134 | Swing required: 6.5 %* |
121. Berwickshire Roxburgh and Selkirk | 5901 | Swing required: 6.5 % |
122. Argyll and Bute | 5636 | Swing required: 6.5 % |
123. Stockton South | 5696 | Swing required: 6.6 % |
124. Cornwall South East | 6043 | Swing required: 6.6 % |
125. Thurrock | 5501 | Swing required: 6.6 % |
126. Truro and Falmouth | 5131 | Swing required: 6.65 % |
127. Sefton Central | 5542 | Swing required: 6.65 % |
128. Bath | 5578 | Swing required: 6.7 % |
129. Hammersmith | 5646 | Swing required: 6.75 % |
130. Derby North | 3552 | Swing required: 6.8 %* |
131. Kingswood | 6354 | Swing required: 6.85 % |
132. Hyndburn | 5504 | Swing required: 6.9 % |
133. Renfrewshire East | 6657 | Swing required: 7 % |
134. Lancashire West | 6084 | Swing required: 7.05 % |
135. Brighton Pavillion | 6523 | Swing required: 7.1 % |
136. Colchester | 5864 | Swing required: 7.15 % |
137. Amber Valley | 6068 | Swing required: 7.2 % |
138. Vale of Clwyd | 4726 | Swing required: 7.25 % |
139. Moray | 5676 | Swing required: 7.3 % |
140. Luton South | 5700 | Swing required: 7.35 % |
141. Telford | 5516 | Swing required: 7.4 % |
142. Winchester | 8044 | Swing required: 7.45 % |
143. Batley and Spen | 6814 | Swing required: 7.45 % |
144. Leeds North East | 6599 | Swing required: 7.6 % |
145. Newport West | 5458 | Swing required: 7.65 % |
146. Workington | 5867 | Swing required: 7.7 % |
147. Warwickshire North | 6698 | Swing required: 7.7 % |
148. Ellesmere Port and Neston | 6612 | Swing required: 7.75 % |
149. Edinburgh North and Leith | 2153 | Swing required: 7.75 %* |
150. Coventry South | 6552 | Swing required: 7.9 % |
151. Wakefield | 6537 | Swing required: 7.95 % |
152. Chorley | 6918 | Swing required: 8 % |
153. Harrogate and Knaresborough | 7811 | Swing required: 8.05 % |
154. Erewash | 6893 | Swing required: 8.1 % |
155. Norfolk North | 8177 | Swing required: 8.15 % |
156. Norwich South | 3129 | Swing required: 8.15 %* |
157. Sheffield Hallam | 7722 | Swing required: 8.15 % |
158. Luton North | 6437 | Swing required: 8.2 % |
159. Sherwood | 6722 | Swing required: 8.2 % |
160. Bristol East | 7379 | Swing required: 8.25 % |
161. Edinburgh South West | 7242 | Swing required: 8.25 % |
162. Bassetlaw | 8126 | Swing required: 8.25 % |
163. Norwich North | 6696 | Swing required: 8.3 % |
164. Dagenham and Rainham | 6581 | Swing required: 8.35 % |
165. Crewe and Nantwich | 7494 | Swing required: 8.4 % |
166. Gower | 6703 | Swing required: 8.5 % |
167. Copeland | 6828 | Swing required: 8.75 % |
168. Lewes | 8928 | Swing required: 8.8 % |
169. Blackpool South | 5882 | Swing required: 8.85 % |
170. Bridgend | 6022 | Swing required: 8.9 % |
171. Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | 7471 | Swing required: 8.95 % |
172. Kingston and Surbiton | 9048 | Swing required: 9 % |
173. Ealing North | 7693 | Swing required: 9.05 % |
174. Middlesbrough South and Cleveland | 8061 | Swing required: 9.2 % |
175. Southampton Test | 7548 | Swing required: 9.3 % |
176. Exeter | 9208 | Swing required: 9.35 % |
177. Oxford East | 205 | Swing required: 9.55 %* |
178. Blackburn | 8016 | Swing required: 9.6 % |
179. Harrow West | 7829 | Swing required: 9.65 % |
180. Twickenham | 9965 | Swing required: 9.65 % |
181. Yeovil | 9413 | Swing required: 9.65 % |
182. Delyn | 6644 | Swing required: 9.75 % |
183. Feltham and Heston | 7760 | Swing required: 9.75 % |
184. Aberdeen South | 1348 | Swing required: 9.8 %* |
185. Birmingham Selly Oak | 8354 | Swing required: 9.8 % |
186. Clwyd South | 6185 | Swing required: 9.85 % |
187. Plymouth Moor View | 7907 | Swing required: 9.9 % |
188. Hazel Grove | 7723 | Swing required: 9.95 % |
189. Nottingham South | 7234 | Swing required: 9.95 % |
190. Slough | 8146 | Swing required: 10 % |
191. Birmingham Hall Green | 4191 | Swing required: 10.05 %* |
192. Newcastle under Lyme | 8108 | Swing required: 10.2 % |
193. Walsall North | 6669 | Swing required: 10.2 % |
194. Cardiff West | 7861 | Swing required: 10.25 % |
195. Arfon | 93 | Swing required: 10.3 %* |
196. Cannock Chase | 8655 | Swing required: 10.3 % |
197. Birmingham Northfield | 8179 | Swing required: 10.35 % |
198. Southampton Itchen | 8484 | Swing required: 10.45 % |
199. Stretford and Urmston | 8181 | Swing required: 10.5 % |
200. Walsall South | 8123 | Swing required: 10.5 % |